Cycle
Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom I have calculated different time averages between certain Bitcoin Events, such as cycle top to bottom, bottom to halving, and top to top, to give an estimate to when Bitcoin could potentially find a bottom. One can either measure from the 2021 high which suggests that BTC will bottom later this year (November), or one can use the RSI top which would give us a different cycle bottom, which would be rather sooner than later. When measuring from the 2021 high however, you get more confluence imo. Where the price of BTC will find a bottom is hard to tell but I believe, based on past cycle bottoms that the 200 MA (currently at arund 22k) could be the bottom for Bitcoin.
WIG (Warszawa, PL) - global view on wide market.Hello,
Today we have a global view on the condition of Polish wide market (WIG) in Warszawa (Warsaw, PL). The bottoms are accordingly the global 11-years economic cycles.
The 11-years cycles do have their origing from the Sun. The Sun affects the whether and climate in many different ways. Not only by the quantity of visible light (and radiation in general). Sun creates also the magnetic field which also influences the storm creation in the Earth's atmosphere.
Of course, we have also smaller subcycles. What to expect? We could be at the creation of local minimum of the subcycle. And the local minimum we could reach before the end of Atumn.
As previous 11-years cycle was not very efficient for emerging markets, there could be the change. There is also the question on the Ukraine, however, before the end of Atumn we should know much more in which direction it comes.
As much as you buy this and next year, could be your working capital since 2024.
Best,
Paweł
Waiting for the worst...In the chart we have the SPX versus the US10Y (US 10 Year Government Bonds Yeld Rate, in the blue line).
We are at a peak moment.
In principle, the rate in US10Y is inverse, that is, when it goes down, more people are buying — more people leave the stock market and buy government bonds.
The correlation with SPX is high in periods of extreme volatility, as shown in the circles.
Frighteningly, the US10Y is close to the same levels as March/2018 and October/2018.
If it drops like it did before, will we see a strong correction in global markets?
Analyzing the US10Y alone:
The US10Y has broken up a long bearish channel.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicates an extremely stretched value, signaling a possible reversal to the downside.
On the weekly chart it is in a resistance test region, similar to the periods mentioned.
Apple computers and Bitcoin comparisonWhat's up my trading-view family!
Today I am sharing a fractal of apple when it was worth 7$ and Bitcoin today.
As you can see we have a clear corrective ABC structure on Bitcoin and Apple.
Apple recovered and went to $149 and is still pushing higher, The sky is the limit for Bitcoin.
This bull market is extremely profitable and only just getting started.
Stay profitable! (check my YT channel for a video update on this exact chart)
- Dalin
United States Oil Fund (USO) in bullish channelThe price has broken out of a long bearish channel (green color), and is now in a bullish channel (cyan color).
Within the long bearish channel, we can see a downward seasonality in the second half, in the months of July and October.
Will the cycle repeat itself in July or October of this year?
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 5 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 1 out of 6.76
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 53.15%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.61
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.96
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.56
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 12 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 18.81%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±22.50
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±49.52
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±103.09
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 1 out of 5.42
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 103.775-103.060
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 9.76%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.63
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.39
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±2.90
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 1 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 47317.5-44345.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 61.09%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1524.89
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3356.89
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±6987.93
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 4 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 1 out of 5.79
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 54.04%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.63
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.98
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.62
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 11 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 19.71%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±23.21
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±51.10
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±106.38
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 22 out of 4.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 10.82%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.70
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.55
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.23
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 19 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 40332.5-39342.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 64.45%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1581.97
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3482.54
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7249.48
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 3 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 4 out of 6.76
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 54.15%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.53
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.78
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.19
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 10 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 20.06%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±23.49
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±51.71
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±107.65
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 21 out of 4.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 11.21%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.73
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.61
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.35
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 18 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 40332.5-39342.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 63.20%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1532.97
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3374.68
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7024.96
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 2 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 3 out of 6.76
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 53.10%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.39
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.46
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±15.53
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 9 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 19.83%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±23.47
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±51.66
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±107.53
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 20 out of 4.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 10.51%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.68
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.51
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.14
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 17 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 47317.5-44345.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 62.70%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1538.12
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3386.02
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7048.57
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
BTC Cycle "Roadmap"This is just a cycle-based roadmap for BTC's upcoming price action. In addition to the circles and vertical line correlation there is also a notable white-cross in play on the Tesla Coil ML indicator, which also occurred during the last cycle. As you can see, the proportions have been quite different this cycle, so don't expect the white bars to play out exactly as shown. Use Boom Hunter XL , COG XL, and real TA to trade safely.
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Apr 29 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 2 out of 6.76
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 102.99-99.80
3️⃣Options IV: 51.94%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.49
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.69
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.01
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 8 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 19.00%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±22.94
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±50.49
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±105.11
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 19 out of 4.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 11.56%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.75
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.65
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.44
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 16 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 47317.5-44345.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 61.03%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1515.71
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3336.67
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±6945.83
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Apr 27 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 3 out of 5.83
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 53.57%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.45
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.59
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±15.80
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 6 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 19.23%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±22.97
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±50.57
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±105.27
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 17 out of 4.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 9.47%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.61
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.35
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±2.80
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 14 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 47317.5-44345.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 67.27%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1656.48
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3646.58
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7590.96
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Apr 26 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 2 out of 5.82
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.42-99.88
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 52.86%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.28
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.21
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±15.01
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 5 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 19.47%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±23.37
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±51.45
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±107.10
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 16 out of 4.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 103.960-101.555
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 8.95%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.57
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.26
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±2.63
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 13 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 47317.5-44345.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 66.23%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1686.15
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3711.89
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7726.93
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Apr 25 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 1 out of 5.82
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.42-99.88
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 51.15%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.14
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±6.91
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±14.38
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 4 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 18.97%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±22.84
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±50.28
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±104.67
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 15 out of 4.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 103.960-101.555
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 9.10%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.58
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.28
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±2.67
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 12 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 42842.5-38882.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 67.63%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1641.49
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3613.57
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7522.25
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
XLM (stellar) price highs for 2022 and 2028I am using a Modified Schiff Pitchfork and an ascending channel to show the possible price targets for XLM on a weekly chart. You can see how XLM has been respecting these low points on both the ascending channel and the MSP (modified schiff pitchfork). This is extremely crucial to take notice of as xlm is respecting this bottom already three times (in 2017 $0.0018, 2020 $0.02, and 2022 $0.17) as shown by the yellow thumbs. XRP has a similar chart as XLM came out of Ripple's loins with Jed McCaleb at the helm. I am extremely bullish on this chart long-term. Can we break this channel? Most certainly we can break this to the downside as nothing is guaranteed but I highly doubt it, my opinion only.
Also, take notice of the top for xlm in 2017 hitting a high of $0.99 which represented a 51,000% increase. If we carry this over to the next possible cycle top for 2022 and 2028 we see a $99 price and into the thousands by 2028.
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku by TheSocialCryptoClubGood weekend,
As usual, here is our analysis of the week looking at a glance at the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator with traditional settings. We used additional indicators that we have developed and released Open Source, you can find them at the end of the analysis.
Trend:
As described last week, exactly 7 days ago Kumo turned red and currently has a thickness of about 1.85%.
The market is in a downtrend situation - confirmed by Tenkan and Kijun and the price is below the Kumo, below the Tenkan on both daily and weekly timeframes - and has a sideways bias.
The Kijun Trend indicator always indicates the search for short positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
After three green candles, now a series of particularly "strong" red candles have taken the price in and below the Kumo, confirming a moment of indecision.
Supports and resistances:
- 75000.00 from Fibonacci
- 67000.00 from historical high
- 66001.41 from the all-time high of Chikou
- 51800.00-52600.00 from Ichimoku Flat/cusp areas of the Chikou
- 49000.00-51000.00 Fibonacci, Psychological Threshold and Kijun Weekly
- 44400.00-45600.00 by areas Ichimoku Flat/Chikou Cusps
- 41200.00 by Ichimoku Flat/Cuspid Chikou areas
- 39400.00 from Ichimoku Flat/Cuspid areas of Chikou
- 37000.00 from Ichimoku to Chikou Plains/Cuspid areas
- 35000.00 from Ichimoku Chikou flat/peak areas
- 33500.00 from Ichimoku Flat/Cuspid areas of Chikou
- 30300.00 by areas Ichimoku Flat/Cuspids of Chikou
For the various static price structures it is possible to refer to the chart where the structures identified by the flat moments of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes are plotted, also Chikou price for the daily time frame.
Also, recall that the various Ichimoku lines serve as dynamic price structures: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Fibonacci:
The Fibonacci levels still show us a long-term positive sentiment and puts the 0 on the upside at 75000.00. The price is back below the 0.618 level.
Conclusion:
BTC is in a downtrend with a sideways bias on the daily and weekly time frames. Last week's Kumo volatility, as indicated in concert by the various indicators and the Kumo itself, has turned from support to resistance.
The well-known exponential moving averages often used in the Crypto market on the 200, 50 and 20 periods also confirm the downtrend.
From a fundamental point of view, a bullish impulse is possible on the week to launch a BTC Spot ETF.
It is important to evaluate the closing of the week and during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 41250.00
- Bearish: 39400.00
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased
- BTC dominance: Increased
- Price of BTC: Decreased
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Marked Downtrend ccc
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
XRP 2022/2023 and 2028 price points at cycle topsI am using the Modified Schiff Pitchfork to show the longer-term possibility of the XRP price. We are counting on a cycle top end of 2022/2023 and another in 2028. Taking the 68k % increase back in late 2013 or early 2014 if we apply another similar % increase for the next cycle top we could see between $400 for 2022 and $1250 for 2028 (if 2028 is the next cycle top for crypto in general).
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Apr 22 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 1 out of 6.76
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 49.86%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.20
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.05
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±14.68
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 3 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 18.22%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±22.32
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±49.15
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±102.31
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 14 out of 4.76
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 103.960-101.555
🛸Buy UFOs: 97.850-97.295
3️⃣Options IV: 8.79%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.56
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.23
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±2.56
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 11 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 47317.5-44345.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 63.21%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1604.79
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3532.78
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7354.06
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Apr 21 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 2 out of 5.83
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 52.23%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.40
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.48
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±15.57
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 2 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 18.15%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±22.27
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±49.02
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±102.04
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 13 out of 4.76
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 101.045-100.680
🛸Buy UFOs: 97.850-97.295
3️⃣Options IV: 8.30%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.52
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.15
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±2.39
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 10 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 43980.0-42597.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 64.54%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1721.59
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3789.91
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7889.34
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
GBPAUD Trade Idea - Elliott WaveLet’s discuss the price chart of the GBPAUD currency pair based on the 480 minute timeframe.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the price has completed the 5 wave impulse sequence down on April 5. From that point, we have been trading higher in a corrective formation which appears to be carving out a W, X, Y pattern.
From the Hurst Cycles perspective, the composite model line which measures the combined cyclical pressure, bottomed on April 3 (green vertical line), and is projected to form a top on June 17.
Based on this, we can expect prices to move higher after the minor X (circle) is complete, which should be within the next few days or so at the latest. The price should continue until it reaches a distance equivalent to that traveled in wave W (circle).
If you find this analysis useful, make sure to press the “Like” button and Follow us.
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Apr 20 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 1 out of 5.85
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 108.68-102.12
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 50.34%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.26
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.18
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±14.96
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 1 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 18.19%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±22.39
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±49.30
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±102.62
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 12 out of 4.76
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 103.960-101.555
🛸Buy UFOs: 97.850-97.295
3️⃣Options IV: 8.54%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.54
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.19
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±2.47
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 9 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 43980.0-42597.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 64.69%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1690.65
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3721.80
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7747.54
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice