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A BTC Bullrun plan for rookiesThis can be viewed as a prediction, but ultimately is a simple plan for emotional traders and investors, whos patience is sometimes a little bad. This chart can help you holding your coins easier by removing the Low timeframe noise and makes you focus on the coming 2 years. Small alterations can or should be made depending on High Timeframe price action. The system stays the same, on the prices would differ. A look at it once a week and you are set for 2025!
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TheTweet2909
📅📈4-Year Bull Cycle and the 100 SMA Connection 🔄📅 The 4-Year Bull Cycle: Many seasoned crypto traders are familiar with the concept of the 4-year bull cycle, which appears to be a recurring phenomenon in the world of cryptocurrencies. Historically, it's been observed that approximately every four years, Bitcoin experiences a significant surge in value. 📉 The Dip Before the Leap: Interestingly, before each of these major bull runs, there's often a notable dip in the price of Bitcoin. It's during these dips that we see Bitcoin briefly dropping below the 100 SMA (Simple Moving Average) on the charts. 🚀 Setting the Stage: The dip below the 100 SMA seems to serve as a setup for the next bullish wave. It's as if Bitcoin takes a brief breather, shakes off weaker hands, and then prepares for its ascent. 📈 Past as Prologue: While history doesn't guarantee future outcomes, this pattern reminds us of the cyclical nature of the crypto market. It's not uncommon to see Bitcoin drop below the 100 SMA, only to rally to new heights shortly afterward. 🔍 Key Takeaway: Keep an eye on the 100 SMA, but remember that it's just one piece of the puzzle. Crypto markets are influenced by a multitude of factors, and no single indicator can predict the future with absolute certainty. 💡 Stay Informed and Adaptable: As crypto enthusiasts, our strength lies in staying informed, adaptable, and open to various perspectives. While historical patterns can provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside other indicators and analysis. 🔄 The Cycle Continues: Whether you're a seasoned trader or a crypto newcomer, understanding the patterns and rhythms of the market can be empowering. The 4-year bull cycle and its dance with the 100 SMA are just part of the ongoing saga of crypto. ❗See related ideas below❗ Don't forget to like and share this post, and share your thoughts in the comments. Your insights fuel the crypto conversation! 💚📊💚
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Ethereum -> My New Trading PlanMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️ I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise. This is how you build real long term wealth! In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Ethereum . You can perfectly see that just a couple of months ago Ethereum retested the preivous cycle high of 2018 at the plsychological $1000 level. Since then Ethereum already pumped 100%. However there is still a possibility that Ethereum will once again retest support at the $1000 level and then start the next bullish cycle from there. I will personally buy the dip. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy. Keep the long term vision🫡
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
35
Impact of Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization on Market DynamicIn the world of cryptocurrency, staying informed about market trends and indicators is essential for making informed trading decisions. One crucial metric that often goes hand-in-hand with market sentiment is the overall cryptocurrency market capitalization. This article delves into why keeping an eye on the cryptocurrency market capitalization is crucial and how it can provide insights into the broader market situation. Understanding Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization: Market capitalization refers to the total value of a cryptocurrency or the entire cryptocurrency market. It's calculated by multiplying the current price of a cryptocurrency by its circulating supply. Monitoring the market capitalization provides a snapshot of the market's size and valuation at any given time. The Impact on Market Dynamics: Keeping track of cryptocurrency market capitalization can offer valuable insights into market dynamics and trends. Here's why it matters: Market Sentiment Indicator: Changes in market capitalization can reflect shifts in investor sentiment. Rapid increases may indicate bullish enthusiasm, while significant declines might signify market apprehension. Market Trends Identification: Monitoring market capitalization over time can help identify trends such as bull markets, bear markets, and periods of consolidation. It offers a broader context for analyzing price movements. Relative Comparison: Comparing the market capitalization of different cryptocurrencies allows traders to assess their relative performance. It helps in identifying potential investment opportunities. Impact of Market Events: Major news, regulatory developments, or technological advancements can influence overall market capitalization. Tracking these changes can provide insights into market reactions. Market Liquidity: Market capitalization can also give an indication of the overall liquidity of the cryptocurrency market. Higher market capitalization often implies higher trading volumes and increased market activity. Conclusion: Monitoring the cryptocurrency market capitalization is an essential practice for traders and investors seeking a comprehensive understanding of the market's dynamics. It serves as a key indicator of sentiment, trends, and the broader market situation. Combining insights from market capitalization with technical analysis, fundamental research, and other indicators can enhance your decision-making process. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, adapt your strategies to account for changing market conditions. Remember that market capitalization is just one piece of the puzzle, and a holistic approach that considers multiple factors is crucial for successful trading in this dynamic landscape. ❗See related ideas below❗ Follow + Like this post and leave a nice comment, it will allow me to move faster and make more useful content! 💚💚💚
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Bitcoin - Accumulation PhasesIn this graph I show you all the accumulation phases bitcoin has been in so far. An accumulation phase is a stage that all assets go through. After a prolonged period of growth, the asset declines and enters an accumulation phase. It's during this time that savvy investors buy in, anticipating the next upward trend. It's important to note that we might remain within this trading range for another year before breaking out of it. While I believe a breakout will happen sooner, historical trends suggest otherwise, unless we replicate the 2011-2012 pattern. Regardless, this could present a favorable buying opportunity for Bitcoin within this range, with potential selling during the euphoria (distribution stage). To be able to see the chart like this, turn on logarithmic scale in your Tradingview.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by WealthNode
Potential of Gooner EMA Crossovers in Bull Markets 📈🐂The Gooner EMA crossover strategy revolves around the interaction of two Exponential Moving Averages – a short-term EMA and a long-term EMA. When the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term EMA, it generates a bullish signal. Conversely, when the short-term EMA crosses below the long-term EMA, a bearish signal emerges. The Influence of Gooner EMA Crossovers in Bull Markets: Gooner EMA crossovers carry substantial implications, particularly in bull markets. Here's why they matter: Trend Confirmation: A bullish crossover, where the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term EMA, confirms the presence of an emerging bullish trend. This indicates potential upward momentum and the possibility of sustained price appreciation. Entry Point Identification: Gooner EMA crossovers offer traders an opportunity to pinpoint entry points in bull markets. When the bullish crossover occurs, it signifies that the asset's momentum is shifting positively, making it an ideal moment to consider initiating a long position. Visual Clarity: Crossovers are visually evident on price charts, making them easy to identify. Their clear representation provides traders with a straightforward signal for making informed trading decisions. Timing Advantage: Gooner EMA crossovers offer traders timely insights into market shifts. Acting promptly upon the occurrence of crossovers enables traders to capitalize on the evolving market conditions effectively. Supporting Technical Analysis: While Gooner EMA crossovers are strong indicators, combining them with other technical tools can enhance your analysis. Confirming crossovers with additional indicators or patterns adds another layer of confidence to your trading decisions. Conclusion: In the realm of trading, Gooner EMA crossovers are a powerful tool, especially in bull markets. They serve as robust signals for confirming bullish trends and identifying potential entry points. As you navigate the dynamic landscape of trading, integrating Gooner EMA crossovers into a comprehensive trading strategy alongside other technical indicators and analysis tools can elevate your decision-making prowess and empower you to seize opportunities effectively. Remember that successful trading involves a holistic approach, discipline, and continuous learning. 🚀📈 ❗See related ideas below❗ Follow + Like this post and leave a nice comment, it will allow me to move faster and make more useful content! 💚💚💚
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Yaroslav_Krasko
2
ADAUSD is the bottom in? Where could it go?The last time ADAUSD created a macro market bottom and rallied, it gained about 17,000%. If history holds any merit, it may make moves like this again in the future. However, it's important to highlight that ADA could be targeted by the SEC for violations. It's also the case that Metcalf's law requires more users to use ADA blockchain in order for the price to increase. It is also true that the law of diminishing returns may dampen the potential upcoming pump.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by BACapitalManagement
Is the BTCUSD bottom in? Where could it go?Historically, BTCUSD has corrected over 75% from its all time high on many occasions. After these corrections, BTCUSD has rallied anywhere between 1,600% and over 13,000% from its market bottom, according to this price chart. I believe BTCUSD could do the same again in the future. How high will it go? That's challenging to determine. If history holds any merit at all, we could see prices rally over 13,000% from the recent market bottom.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BACapitalManagement
Are there really Cycles in the Crypto market?Are there really Cycles in the Crypto market? Are there really cycles in the markets? -Are cycles only in the stock market or in all walks of life? -What is the use of understanding cycles? -How is it always going up or not? -If it always goes up, why do the majority lose? -Is there a similarity? Does it always have to be similar? -How do we recognize meaningful textures? How do we distinguish between cycles and meaningless similarities? Are altoins long-term or cyclical? -But could it be different this time? Cycles and similarities actually exist in every aspect of life. In living beings, inanimate beings, radioactive elements, our planet, the universe, the devices we use, products, history, sports and the part that interests us - the markets. As long as humans and markets exist, these cycles will continue. If human behavior is similar across time, the consequences of human behavior should be similar. So, what do we actually see in the graphs. "Consequences of human behavior Within cycles, there will always be new winners and losers. This is why the stock market exists. In order for the last losers to win, new last-comers must enter the market (new cycle). Cycles in crypto are faster than in general markets. Cycles that used to take almost a human lifetime in classical exchanges, commodities and exchange rates have now been reduced to shorter periods due to the speed of life, the impact of technology and the increase in the number of investors. Another reason for the speed in crypto is that the market can be traded 24/7 and 365 days a year. Within a year, we see more transactions and more movement in crypto than in other markets. The crypto market is the most suitable market for the speed of the new world (technology-fashion-obsolescence-consumption speed, etc.) and reflects the speed of the age. Fast technology, fast fashion, fast communication, fast human relations, fast production-consumption; and of course fast MARKET. The increase in speed in every aspect of life would of course also affect the markets. There are good and bad sides to this; very quick losses and very quick gains. Reasons for rapid losses and gains: a-) The market we are in is not regulated (rule-law), b-) The fact that its technology is very new, that its technological part is understood only by a certain segment of the population, again speaking for the world in general; + a very minority group is only capable of distinguishing right from wrong with their own analysis, c-) With just a phone; it can be operated very simply by everyone (young, old, rich, poor, educated, uneducated, women, men, etc.) regardless of class, gender, age What do I mean by the above? a-) Lack of supervisory and regulatory rules; There are no regulations protecting investors in this market. In other words, our money is not protected or insured by any state-institution as of now. As you know, when there are no rules and when there is big and easy money involved, people with bad intentions end up here. The fact that it's easy to issue tokens, that there are no rules for creating tokens, selling them, marketing them, advertising them Limited number of shares in the stock exchanges and too many rules for going public (according to crypto=) ) So coins come out almost every minute. Exchanges can be easily opened in tax haven countries, Easy (low-cost) listing of coins on decentralized exchanges or shitcoin exchanges. It is easy to issue and sell tokens as if you were creating an asset from scratch with no strings attached, and it is very easy to sell during bull periods, No penalties for marketing and manipulating Shitcoins on Social Media. Since it is the most risk-averse market in the world, rug-pulling is considered normal by investors. Experienced malicious people can make big profits in a short period of time at a low cost. (We have seen many examples of the bull, which we have seen many examples of before, hitting 4-5m USD with a cost of $ 50,000 and escaping - advertising, shilling, etc.). b-) Incompetent people believe in everything and enter into direct transactions without knowing and learning (creating volume) (small money - many transactions) Experienced investors make fewer transactions with more information and analysis (big money - few transactions), On the contrary, inadequate or new investors taking more transactions with sudden decisions and feelings, "More transactions, more money perception", stock market advertisements that push believers to make more transactions (Exchange = gettin commission income) Are altoins long-term or cyclical? To put it crudely: The more shitcoin an Altcoin is, the more cyclical it is (i.e. earn during the trend and run away when the trend ends). The more quality and proven Altcoin is, and the more it solves a problem, the more long-term it is. You can look at Altcoin/btc parities to see what I mean. Very few Altcoins have been able to show a sustainable increase against BTC and only in certain periods. Does the crypto market always have to grow? Unless there are very harsh regulations or bans, "Yes" against paper currencies. it doesn't matter whether it is usd, eur or gbp. Content of cycles: Briefly: 3 periods Decline from peak > accumulation > ascent Bottom level base formation, saw zone, pre-rally, disbelief, aggressive rally. Afterwards, the cycle repeats according to the conditions of the coming days. Although the cycles follow one another, each cycle is different from each other. That is, the periods of decline-accumulation-rise can be of different lengths. Depending on the conditions of the period, there may have been a very long uptrend. This may be followed by a very long and sharp correction. At the end of a weak trend, the downturn may be short. We will examine the details on the charts. When we enter the accumulation period, the price has realized the bottom formation and the products sold at the peak have started to be collected again at low cost by the big players (capital, whales, rich people, masons, 7 families ruling the world, whatever you want to call it:) ). This process can be long or short depending on the period (see chainlink) Sometimes markets can recover quickly with a V shape (rapid decline-fast reaction) (covid period). Sometimes we see a saw in a certain narrow price range at the bottom. (Btc 2015-2016) The aim is to collect goods without raising the price and without making it obvious. Understanding the cycle through Doge? Dogecoin was launched in December 2013. In December this year, it will be 10 years old. That's a long time for the crypto market. We have witnessed 3 different cycles of Doge in these 10 years. 1. Trend > It took 476 minutes to fall from its peak to its lowest point. It then rose from this point (not forming a new bottom) and accumulated. This up and down process lasted until February 2017. This is where the "doge-style bullish" phase, as we will later call it, began. In the region where this uptrend started, it gets support from the 100-week moving average (100w sma) and the move begins. Level 1: peak zone Level 2: Intermediate transition line (Important support-resistances are in place) Level 3: Bottom and Accumulation bowl 2nd Trend > The uptrend that started in February 2017 continues until January 2018 with 2 stages. The 3-level structure is also seen here. The decline from the peak to the low lasts 798 days. The upward break of the trend lasts 910. Here, too, the region gets support from the 100-week moving average (100w sma) and aggressive action begins. We can say that the rise until May 2021 is again in 2 phases. Trend 3 > Along with the whole market, Doge's trend turns bearish in May 2021. The lowest level we have seen so far in Doge within this trend is $0.05. 833 days have passed since the May 2021 peak. We are below the 100-week average and the average is now at $0.11. What's important in this Dogecoin cycle chart; 3-level structure Time from peak > trend breakout Position relative to the 100-week moving average Aggressive 2-stage bullish moves starting after the trend breakout. Explaining it through Doge is easy for both the narrator and the reader. It shows the cycle clearly. I have prepared multiple doge charts, you can review them. Are there similarities, and if so, do they always have to be similar? Capturing similarities and using them meaningfully Similarity does not always have to be in every product. Different actions may have taken place in very different scenarios. The important thing is to find the mathematically meaningful similarity and draw conclusions in a way that is useful to us. Similarity is not just a resemblance of shape when viewed from a distance. It must be confirmed in many ways and temporally proportional. It should also be possible with important indicators such as Rsi and moving averages. Just as technical analysis is not just 2 lines, similarity is not just a resemblance of shape. It should also be kept in mind. Cycles and similarities are most meaningful on long-term charts Siacoin XRP/BTC VERGE Digibyte
BNC:BLXLong
by Cryptollica
BTC : CYCLE VIEW 2025 - $119,000Using a comprehensive analysis of BTC's historical data from all years, including its halvings, and sophisticated trend analysis techniques, as we have stumbled upon a fascinating observation in its price action. While we must acknowledge that our findings are based on data study and not a glimpse into the future, we are cautiously optimistic about the potential for BTC's growth. Our study suggests that, with the current trajectory, BTC could potentially reach the impressive target of $119,000 sometime around the year 2025, or possibly even earlier. However, it is essential to emphasize that this remains an expectation rather than a certainty, as the future is inherently uncertain, and various unforeseen factors can influence market dynamics. Yet, drawing from the patterns observed in previous years' data, there is a significant possibility that BTC might soon experience a formidable bull market, akin to a real whale in the financial world. Such a surge in price action could gradually propel BTC towards the mentioned target, assuming historical trends continue to play a role in shaping its trajectory. For the short term, there is already an active cycle that started in NOV 2022 and did confirm today. We expect with time we will see more volume on BTC. The YEAR 2023 is a stable year where BTC has done better than all previous years in breakdown %/ The next important target short term for BTC $32800
Long
by Goldenbreakout
🔥 Bitcoin MACD First Bullish Cross In 3 Years: Parabolic Move?On the chart you can see the monthly chart of Bitcoin with the monthly MACD. In Bitcoin life we've seen 6 bullish crosses (blue over orange lines), with 3 of them being the start of a parabolic move, 2 being local tops and 1 (the current one) being unknown. Where the current bullish cross differs from the prior ones is the fact that the cross happens below zero, indicating that there's potentially still a lot of upside for the MACD and therefore the price. Think about pushing a ball under water, the deeper you push it, the higher it will fly outside the water once released. Bitcoin's MACD has been pushed very deep after a prolonged bear market. So, could this bullish MACD cross signal the start of a new parabolic move? At this point, we can't be sure. On the other hand, falling inflation numbers, a very well performing stock market, Bitcoin ETF news etc are tailwinds for crypto and all-round bullish. On the other hand, there's still enough stress in the markets because of high interest rates and decreasing consumer spending. Time will tell. Are we going to fly? Is 31k the top? Please share your thoughts in the comments 🙏
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FieryTrading
14
Bitcoin Steps Into 3-Year UptrendToday we want to share an interesting monthly chart of Bitcoin, in which we highlighted the durations of bull and bear market cycles. As you can see bear markets last for about a year, while bull markets last for almost 3 years, specifically 35 months, which was the case from 2015-2018, then from 2019 – 2022 and now it can last from 2023 till the end of 2025. One of the important indications for bitcoin recovery can of-course be weak USD which is trading down since 2022 and it appears it may fall much lower when FED is done with the current hawkish cycle.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ew-forecast
2