Gold. probably "bottomed" muti "weekly" @ 1870 +/-. 28/Sept/23XAUUSD. There was a "hidden" triangle here @ wave (4)(blue)..So current downward trend probably the last leg of wave A (Red Circled) which is a leading diagonal pattern.
Cycle
Gold. wave ii (green circled) reached earlier. 27/Sept/23Gold wave ii (flat pattern)( Green Circled ) probably reached earlier than expected As we have "wedge pattern" waiting for breakout in DXY/USD/Dollar index.
BTC/USD Main trend. Cycles. Halving BTC. Surrender zones.Logarithm. The time frame is 1 month. The main bitcoin trend (almost all of it). Idea for understanding cyclicality, and secondary trend capitulation zones. Also, for understanding where the price is in a long-term trend.
The idea shows surrender zones in secondary trends. The timing of bitcoin's halvings and the trend reaction in the aftermath. Cyclicality. Also shown on the chart are intermediate cycles of bitcoin and market pumping between major long-term cycles.
Note that unlike past cycles, the bitcoin price has been under the uptrend line for a very long time. Electricity. I have shown this many times before.
Linear graph.
Understanding Long-Term SPX500 & QQQ Cycle PhasesMy continued effort to share my research, experience, and expectations with the TradingView community has allowed me the freedom to create forward-looking content to help traders/investors understand the real risks/opportunities going forward.
If my research is correct, then next 5+ years will be incredibly difficult for skilled traders/investors. I don't believe the US markets will enter a real organic growth phase until after 2025 (possibly in 2026 or later).
There are many reasons for this extended contraction phase in the US/Global markets. Most importantly is a broad cycle phase related to societal changes. Secondly, we have a Sine-wave structure that confirms a contracting price phase needs to reach a base/equilibrium before it will be able to extend into an organic growth phase.
As a trader, investor, or just someone trying to protect your family, your home, your children, and more, you need to understand the value of PROTECTING CAPITAL before taking on foolish risks. That is exactly what I'm trying to help you manage and understand - where opportunities exist in the markets over the next 5 to 15+ years.
Watch this video, then click on my profile to watch some of my other TradingView videos.
We live in a world where what happened 3 weeks ago is almost forgotten. These cycle phases exist, continue to drive price setups/trends, and will continue.
Are you ready for what's next?
Gold long @ 1918 +/-. 22/9/23Gold probably found its support near inverted order block now building its base on wave 2 (yellow circled) ( p/s : base always in consolidation) before a big "up" rally
Gold. Where to sell/buy for better risk/reward ratio? 21/Sept/23The Fed just "giving" "ambiguous" "fundamental news" as usual. A "hints" for use to "interpret" with our own bias/perception.. Treat "news announcement" as "timing/cycle" for market not as "fundamentals for trading" maybe be a "good ideas"...
USD/DXY probably will > 105.883. 21/Sept/23Dollarindex Back to previous idea on 19/July/23 that wave A (yellow) is an expanding flat pattern abc (green circled) where price will slightly above 105.883.
SPX short again @ 4498 +/-. 20/Sept/23SP500 wave (2) (blue) is probably a running flat pattern ABC (yellow). Where pull back price probably stalled @ 4498 +/- .. A confluence zone of 1) Trend line ( red) 2) Order Block (Red rectangle )
A BTC Bullrun plan for rookiesThis can be viewed as a prediction, but ultimately is a simple plan for emotional traders and investors, whos patience is sometimes a little bad.
This chart can help you holding your coins easier by removing the Low timeframe noise and makes you focus on the coming 2 years.
Small alterations can or should be made depending on High Timeframe price action.
The system stays the same, on the prices would differ.
A look at it once a week and you are set for 2025!
Does history rythmes?2020-21 felt a lot like 99-00
1. Inflated valuations
2. Record high IPOs
3. Retail participation
Do we see the same cycle again?
📅📈4-Year Bull Cycle and the 100 SMA Connection 🔄📅 The 4-Year Bull Cycle: Many seasoned crypto traders are familiar with the concept of the 4-year bull cycle, which appears to be a recurring phenomenon in the world of cryptocurrencies. Historically, it's been observed that approximately every four years, Bitcoin experiences a significant surge in value.
📉 The Dip Before the Leap: Interestingly, before each of these major bull runs, there's often a notable dip in the price of Bitcoin. It's during these dips that we see Bitcoin briefly dropping below the 100 SMA (Simple Moving Average) on the charts.
🚀 Setting the Stage: The dip below the 100 SMA seems to serve as a setup for the next bullish wave. It's as if Bitcoin takes a brief breather, shakes off weaker hands, and then prepares for its ascent.
📈 Past as Prologue: While history doesn't guarantee future outcomes, this pattern reminds us of the cyclical nature of the crypto market. It's not uncommon to see Bitcoin drop below the 100 SMA, only to rally to new heights shortly afterward.
🔍 Key Takeaway: Keep an eye on the 100 SMA, but remember that it's just one piece of the puzzle. Crypto markets are influenced by a multitude of factors, and no single indicator can predict the future with absolute certainty.
💡 Stay Informed and Adaptable: As crypto enthusiasts, our strength lies in staying informed, adaptable, and open to various perspectives. While historical patterns can provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside other indicators and analysis.
🔄 The Cycle Continues: Whether you're a seasoned trader or a crypto newcomer, understanding the patterns and rhythms of the market can be empowering. The 4-year bull cycle and its dance with the 100 SMA are just part of the ongoing saga of crypto.
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Don't forget to like and share this post, and share your thoughts in the comments. Your insights fuel the crypto conversation! 💚📊💚
Gold probably "bottomed" @ 1900.87 (fxcm). 15/Sept/23Gold's "market maker" seem like knowing that majority are waiting for < 1900, so...They made it "u-turn" @ 1900.97 (fxcm) by forming daily pin bar?...
Gold. back to previous idea @ 1898 +/-. 13/Sept/23Gold by breaking previous low, gold is trending down to 1898 +/- as previous idea. As 1898 +/- is a confluence zone of 1) Demand Zone 2) Trend line.
US dollar/DXY just broke Liquidity zone. 8/Sept/23USD just broke Buy Side Liquidity / Stop Hunting zone @ 104.699 which is ..? AND more importantly what will happen to the correlation within Gold and SP500? start moving different direction or same? until 21 Sept 23? Depend on whether it is "risk on" or "risk off"?
Topglove most likely "bottomed in". 2/Sept/23Topglove stock price breaking 0.850, which is subwave ii (cyan), so most likely "bottomed in"..
Ethereum -> My New Trading PlanMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Ethereum .
You can perfectly see that just a couple of months ago Ethereum retested the preivous cycle high of 2018 at the plsychological $1000 level. Since then Ethereum already pumped 100%.
However there is still a possibility that Ethereum will once again retest support at the $1000 level and then start the next bullish cycle from there. I will personally buy the dip.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Topglove! Good News! Finally reached 0.725! 1/Sept/23By "breaching" 0.80 again and reached 0.725 as last post on 20/May/23. Market Maker finally "creating panic selling!". But checking from smaller/lower time frame chart. its price still have high probability reaching @ 0.71-0.70 +/- before multi years bottom formed!
Apple Offer its "New" Phone with >20% discount? 19/August/23Apple probably give us rare change to have its "new" phone with more than 20% discount with "unprecedented" rare chance to have its phone "appreciate" more than 40%...
Impact of Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization on Market DynamicIn the world of cryptocurrency, staying informed about market trends and indicators is essential for making informed trading decisions. One crucial metric that often goes hand-in-hand with market sentiment is the overall cryptocurrency market capitalization. This article delves into why keeping an eye on the cryptocurrency market capitalization is crucial and how it can provide insights into the broader market situation.
Understanding Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization:
Market capitalization refers to the total value of a cryptocurrency or the entire cryptocurrency market. It's calculated by multiplying the current price of a cryptocurrency by its circulating supply. Monitoring the market capitalization provides a snapshot of the market's size and valuation at any given time.
The Impact on Market Dynamics:
Keeping track of cryptocurrency market capitalization can offer valuable insights into market dynamics and trends. Here's why it matters:
Market Sentiment Indicator: Changes in market capitalization can reflect shifts in investor sentiment. Rapid increases may indicate bullish enthusiasm, while significant declines might signify market apprehension.
Market Trends Identification: Monitoring market capitalization over time can help identify trends such as bull markets, bear markets, and periods of consolidation. It offers a broader context for analyzing price movements.
Relative Comparison: Comparing the market capitalization of different cryptocurrencies allows traders to assess their relative performance. It helps in identifying potential investment opportunities.
Impact of Market Events: Major news, regulatory developments, or technological advancements can influence overall market capitalization. Tracking these changes can provide insights into market reactions.
Market Liquidity: Market capitalization can also give an indication of the overall liquidity of the cryptocurrency market. Higher market capitalization often implies higher trading volumes and increased market activity.
Conclusion:
Monitoring the cryptocurrency market capitalization is an essential practice for traders and investors seeking a comprehensive understanding of the market's dynamics. It serves as a key indicator of sentiment, trends, and the broader market situation. Combining insights from market capitalization with technical analysis, fundamental research, and other indicators can enhance your decision-making process.
As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, adapt your strategies to account for changing market conditions. Remember that market capitalization is just one piece of the puzzle, and a holistic approach that considers multiple factors is crucial for successful trading in this dynamic landscape.
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Bitcoin - Accumulation PhasesIn this graph I show you all the accumulation phases bitcoin has been in so far.
An accumulation phase is a stage that all assets go through.
After a prolonged period of growth, the asset declines and enters an accumulation phase.
It's during this time that savvy investors buy in, anticipating the next upward trend.
It's important to note that we might remain within this trading range for another year before breaking out of it. While I believe a breakout will happen sooner, historical trends suggest otherwise, unless we replicate the 2011-2012 pattern.
Regardless, this could present a favorable buying opportunity for Bitcoin within this range, with potential selling during the euphoria (distribution stage).
To be able to see the chart like this, turn on logarithmic scale in your Tradingview.
Potential of Gooner EMA Crossovers in Bull Markets 📈🐂The Gooner EMA crossover strategy revolves around the interaction of two Exponential Moving Averages – a short-term EMA and a long-term EMA. When the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term EMA, it generates a bullish signal. Conversely, when the short-term EMA crosses below the long-term EMA, a bearish signal emerges.
The Influence of Gooner EMA Crossovers in Bull Markets:
Gooner EMA crossovers carry substantial implications, particularly in bull markets. Here's why they matter:
Trend Confirmation: A bullish crossover, where the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term EMA, confirms the presence of an emerging bullish trend. This indicates potential upward momentum and the possibility of sustained price appreciation.
Entry Point Identification: Gooner EMA crossovers offer traders an opportunity to pinpoint entry points in bull markets. When the bullish crossover occurs, it signifies that the asset's momentum is shifting positively, making it an ideal moment to consider initiating a long position.
Visual Clarity: Crossovers are visually evident on price charts, making them easy to identify. Their clear representation provides traders with a straightforward signal for making informed trading decisions.
Timing Advantage: Gooner EMA crossovers offer traders timely insights into market shifts. Acting promptly upon the occurrence of crossovers enables traders to capitalize on the evolving market conditions effectively.
Supporting Technical Analysis: While Gooner EMA crossovers are strong indicators, combining them with other technical tools can enhance your analysis. Confirming crossovers with additional indicators or patterns adds another layer of confidence to your trading decisions.
Conclusion:
In the realm of trading, Gooner EMA crossovers are a powerful tool, especially in bull markets. They serve as robust signals for confirming bullish trends and identifying potential entry points. As you navigate the dynamic landscape of trading, integrating Gooner EMA crossovers into a comprehensive trading strategy alongside other technical indicators and analysis tools can elevate your decision-making prowess and empower you to seize opportunities effectively. Remember that successful trading involves a holistic approach, discipline, and continuous learning. 🚀📈
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ADAUSD is the bottom in? Where could it go?The last time ADAUSD created a macro market bottom and rallied, it gained about 17,000%. If history holds any merit, it may make moves like this again in the future. However, it's important to highlight that ADA could be targeted by the SEC for violations. It's also the case that Metcalf's law requires more users to use ADA blockchain in order for the price to increase. It is also true that the law of diminishing returns may dampen the potential upcoming pump.
