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Cycle

Next Bitcoin bull run top - 2025Based on data from previous Bitcoin cycles, it is possible to make an educated guess based on the trend curves and previous cycle time stamps of when the bull run will conclude and how high we can expect to go. Given the fact that crypto marked has matured over the years it is wise to assume that the next top and next bottom will not be as extreme as with the previous cycles. The prediction is that the next top will be around 120k USD on 2025 September and the bottom will be around 28k USD on September 2026.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by vytuxis
1
🔥 XLM Best Multi Year Trade With Massive Reward!This trade is based on the idea that the bear market bottom is in for XLM and that it gradually increase in value until the next bull market top. As seen on the chart, we can draw a bullish channel on XLM's price chart. The top of the channel is the target, the stop is just below the channel's support. This trade has a massive risk-reward ratio because it's a long-term trade, think multiple years. If you have the patience, this trade could be something for you!
Long
by FieryTrading
7
🔥 Predicting The Next Crypto Bull-Cycle Top And DateIn this analysis I want to make a prediction on where the next bull-market will top, and around which date we can expect it to top. Keep in mind that I only use the last two cycles in this analysis, so take this analysis with a grain of salt. To make the prediction, I use the total marketcap of crypto (TOTAL), which is the value of all Bitcoin and altcoins combined. As seen on the chart, it appears that the crypto market is following a multi-year rising wedge pattern with a clear support and resistance line. My assumption is that this support and resistance line will guide us during the next cycle. In the previous two bull-markets, the market topped 77 or 78 weeks after the halving. With the halving being the 16th of April 2024, we can easily extrapolate the date for the next market top: between 13 October (77 weeks) and 27 October (78 weeks) of 2025. Now that we have the date, we can combine it with the top resistance of the rising wedge pattern. My best guess is that the market will top at this same resistance like before, which will be around the 12 trillion dollar mark. This would indicate that the market will roughly do a 11x from this point onwards towards the top in October 2025. With a Bitcoin & ETH dominance of exactly the same value as now, it would mean that BTC will top at ~330,000 and ETH at ~20,900. My assumption will be that the dominances of the two biggest cryptos will be much smaller in the future then they are now. Do you think this analysis is valid? Where and when do you think that BTC will top? Share your thoughts below 🙏
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by FieryTrading
26
🔥 Total Altcoin Marketcap Inverse Head & Shoulders: New Cycle?TOTAL3, the total crypto marketcap excluding BTC and ETH, has been trading significantly more bearish than Bitcoin and Ethereum. This can also be deduced from the vertical trend of Bitcoin dominance. Still, there's some good news to be said about the altcoin market. As seen on the chart, the altcoin marketcap has formed an inverse head & shoulders pattern, which is classically a trend reversal pattern. Keep in mind that the pattern is not yet confirmed. First we have to break through the top resistance (neckline). Nevertheless, it's a pattern that we definitely have to keep a close eye on since it can signal that great things are coming soon for alts. If the pattern confirms, there's a decent case to be made for the idea that the bear market bottom is in and that a new bull-cycle for alts will begin. Share you thoughts🙏
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by FieryTrading
5
ANT: THE START CYCLE COIN OF THE MOMENTThe ANT coin, also known as Aragon, is a decentralized platform built on the Ethereum blockchain. It allows users to create and manage decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), which are digital organizations that operate without a central authority. ANT has experienced significant growth since its launch in 2017, and is currently ranked among the top 200 coins by market capitalization. we expect that ANT is entering a new cycle, which could lead to further growth in the coming time. One of the key factors driving the growth of ANT is the increasing adoption of decentralized technologies. As more and more people become aware of the benefits of decentralized systems, the demand for platforms like Aragon is likely to increase. Additionally, ANT's focus on decentralized autonomous organizations makes it an attractive option for businesses and organizations looking to streamline their operations and reduce their reliance on centralized authority. Overall, ANT appears to be a promising coin with strong potential for growth. However, as with any investment, it is important to manage risks and do your own research before making any decisions. The first focus target is the 2,80 zone which could enter ANT on way to up 6 USD. We did scan more than 400 high-value coins and ANT come out as a New start cycle coin. Trends show also that decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO) becoming more trend and its possible that the focus coming time will be more there. This is not trading advice, manage always your risk. take this as our view to this view.
ALong
by Goldenbreakout
13
Can You Trade The Cycle?Hi folks, We're going to talk about trade cycles today. I hope you love learning! The strongest power is knowledge! We'll be stronger together! In economics, a trade cycle is a pattern of economic activity that repeats itself over time. It is often characterized by periods of expansion, followed by periods of contraction. The trade cycle can be caused by a variety of factors, including changes in government policy, technological innovation, and consumer demand. The trade cycle is also known as the business cycle or economic cycle. It is a recurring but not periodic fluctuation found in a nation's aggregate economic activity- a cycle that consists of expansions occurring at about the same time in many economic activities, followed by similarly general contractions (recessions). There are a number of different types of trade cycles, each with its own characteristics. Some of the most common types of trade cycles include: Kitchin cycle : The Kitchin cycle is a 4- to 5-year cycle of economic activity. It is named after Joseph Kitchin, an English economist who first described it in the 1920s. The Kitchin cycle is typically characterized by a period of rising prices, followed by a period of falling prices, followed by a period of rising prices again. Juglar cycle : The Juglar cycle is a 10- to 15-year cycle of economic activity. It is named after Clement Juglar, a French economist who first described it in the 19th century. The Juglar cycle is typically characterized by a period of expansion, a period of contraction, a period of recovery, and another period of expansion. Kondratiev cycle : The Kondratieff cycle is a 50- to 60-year cycle of economic activity. It is named after Nikolai Kondratieff, a Russian economist who first described it in the 1920s. The Kondratieff cycle is typically characterized by four phases: prosperity, recession, depression, and recovery. Now, we know what cycles are in the shape of context. There is a million dollars question. Can we trade the cycles? As a trader or an investor, we definitely can trade the cycles. However, we need to learn what the cycle is, and how can it start or end. There are a number of ways that a trader can trade the cycle. Some popular methods include: 1- Using fundamental analysis . Fundamental analysis can be used to assess the underlying value of a security. This information can be used to identify potential undervalued or overvalued securities. 2- Using cycle analysis. Cycle analysis is a more specialized form of technical analysis that focuses on identifying cycles in market prices. This information can be used to identify potential entry and exit points for trades, as well as to forecast future price movements. 3- Using technical analysis. Technical analysis can be used to identify key support and resistance levels, as well as trendlines and patterns. This information can be used to identify potential entry and exit points for trades. It is important to note that there is no one-size-fits-all approach to trading the cycle. The best approach will vary depending on the individual trader's risk tolerance, trading style, and investment goals . Final Tips: 📍 Use a stop-loss order . A stop-loss order is a type of order that automatically closes a trade if the price of a security reaches a certain level. This can help to protect your profits and limit your losses. 📍 Use a trailing stop-loss order . A trailing stop-loss order is a type of order that automatically moves with the price of a security. This can help to lock in profits and protect your gains. 📍 Be patient . Trading the cycle can be a patient game. It is important to be patient and wait for the right opportunities to trade. 📍 Don't overtrade . It is important to avoid overtrading. Overtrading can lead to losses and can also increase your risk. Bonus Chart : US10Y A task for you! Look at the bonus chart and leave your thoughts considering the correlation between US10Y and SP500 or ONS.
SP:SPXEducation
by Bullfighterr
6
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week, Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source. Trend: Kumo has been red for 26 days and is 4.2% wide. The various lines confirm a downtrend situation and we are below the Kumo, going towards the Tenkan Weekly. The already bearish momentum has been further exacerbated by the lawsuit to Binance by the SEC. The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for short positions, now since May 9, 2023 Heikin-Ashi: Instead, the Heikin-Ashi is communicating uncertainty to us, as we are still inside the Kumo and certainly today's day pushed the price towards the lower end of the Kumo. Supports and resistances: - 28900.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan - 27800.00-27900.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan - 25000.00 Fibonacci - 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan - 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame. For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term). Conclusions: For the past month the situation is bearish, today after the announcement that the SEC has sued Binance, it has led to fear in the markets, generating a candle at the moment of about -5.5%. There are several allegations: first of all about the fact that some coins are considered as securities(e.g. BNB, BUSD, SOL, SAND, FIL, ADA, MATIC, COTI, ALGO, ATOM, MANA, since they can be staked to generate annuity) and therefore need a license to be managed, non-compliance with the ban towards US users and some suspicious transactions carried out by CZ and on the management of clients' funds. In contrast, Binance has defended itself by rejecting allegations that it maneuvered customer funds and that it has always cooperated--from the creation of binance.us--with the SEC and thus points to the allegations as unjustified. It is possible to find a sideways/rebass ABC pattern indicating the following levels: NT 29230, N 26655, E 24080, V 23296. It is important to evaluate the price close during the week on the following price structures: - Bullish: 27100.00-28700.00 - Bearish/Lateral: 24800.00-28155.00 Altcoin Cycle: For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation: - Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased. - Dominance of BTC: Decreased. - Price of BTC: Decreased. - Alt cycle expectation: Stable. Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community. Indicators used: Analysis Tool Kijun Trend Indicator Ichimoku Support and Resistance Chikou Support and Resistance
by TheSocialCryptoClub
🔥 Is The Bitcoin Halving Causing Bull Markets? New Theory!The classical Bitcoin theory about halvings is that they "cause" bull-markets because the supply mined gets halved, leading to a negative supply shock and therefore increasing the value per Bitcoin. This is not a surprising theory since it makes a lot of sense and has worked in the past. But, is the halving really that important for the Bitcoin price? I've plotted the balance sheets of the largest central banks in white. If this line goes up, it indicates an expansion of the balance sheet (Quantitative Easing / QE), which can roughly be interpreted as printing money. It appears that Bitcoin bull- and bear-markets are highly correlated with central banks expanding their balance sheets. White line goes up, BTC goes up, white line goes down (or sideways) BTC goes down. I've marked two previous occurrences where the central banks started QE in purple. Bitcoin arguably started the bull-market from those points, and not once the halving (yellow) took place. From this chart we can conclude that the Central Banks are a decisive factor in the start and end of Bitcoin bull markets. Sure, the halving is a highly anticipated event among retail investors and manages to revive the interest into crypto, but I'd argue that QE (= a better investing climate) is the main reason why Bitcoin goes up and down in cycles. In other words, we can have a BTC bull-market during a period of QE without the halving taking place. We can't have a bull-market after the halving without QE. If you enjoyed this analysis, please give it a like. Share your thoughts below 🙏
ECONOMICS:USCBBSLong
by FieryTrading
8
Are we approaching the last cycle expansion phase?The last cycle expansion phase or the euphoric stage, has already occurred between 2020 and 2021. Sir John Templeton said: “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.” Reference of Nasdaq: E-mini Nasdaq-100 & Opt Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index & Opt Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
2
If Bitcoin Repeated 2019In today's idea, we're going to entertain a "what if" scenario for CRYPTOCAP:BTC : what if the price of Bitcoin does an exact repeat of what happened back in 2019 up until the high in early 2021? This hypothesis is based off the candle pattern that starts from the 2019 mid-cycle high (1). So, assuming April 2023 was our mid-cycle high of $31,035, it's interesting to note the possibility of further downside continuation for BTC. From here on out it would be a slow grind down to $16,506 (2), then a sharp move to FWB:25K (3) (which would be an excellent fake out), then a final dump to $10,731 (4). While we aren't expecting (or hoping for) a repeat of the COVID crash that happened in March 2020, it's interesting to note that such a panic could push Bitcoin's price down to $10k- a level that would cause extreme fear and panic. Lastly, the candle projection takes us just over $100k in early 2025 (5)- a realistic ATH target for Bitcoin in our opinion. Note that this idea is purely based on a "what if" scenario, and should not be taken as financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by thebettertraders
4
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week, Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source. Trend: The Kumo has been green for 41 days and is about 13% wide and is starting to tighten, especially the Senkou Span B is getting lower. The various lines indicate a downtrend situation with a sideways bias. Price has broken the Kijun and is approaching the Kumo and Tenkan Weekly, Tenkan and Kijun have crossed to the downtrend. The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for short positions. Heikin-Ashi: The Heikin-Ashi confirm a downtrend memento, also there Kijun and Tenkan are crossing downward. Supports and resistances: - 32150.00 Fibonacci - 30350.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan - 30000.00 Psychological threshold - 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan - 27950.00 Fibonacci - 25000.00 Fibonacci - 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame. For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term). Conclusions: The situation has changed a lot since the last analysis, where the Heikin Ashi presents a series of red candles and the next support is the Kumo itself. It is possible to find a sideways ABC pattern indicating the following levels: V 23400, E 25215, N 29015, NT 32815. It is important to evaluate the price close during the week on the following price structures: - Bullish: 28700.00 - Bearish/Lateral: 26500.00 Altcoin Cycle: For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation: - Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased. - Dominance of BTC: Decreased. - Price of BTC: Decreased. - Alt cycle expectation: Stable. Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community. Indicators used: Analysis Tool Kijun Trend Indicator Ichimoku Support and Resistance Chikou Support and Resistance
by TheSocialCryptoClub
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week, Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source. Trend: Kumo has been green for 34 days and is about 12.9% wide. It has widened and is now flat. The various lines indicate a general uptrend situation with a momentum of long-term laterality and a short-term retracement The price today touched the Tenkan and in less than 2% could touch the Kijun. The Kijun Trend indicator is looking for long positions. Heikin-Ashi: The Heikin-Ashi confirmed with today's candle a retracement. Supports and resistances: - 32150.00 Fibonacci - 30350.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan - 30000.00 Psychological threshold - 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan - 27950.00 Fibonacci - 25000.00 Fibonacci - 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame. For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term). Conclusions: The situation is bullish after crossing the psychological threshold of 30000.00 and it is now in a retracement. It is possible to find a sideways ABC pattern indicating the following levels: V 23400, E 25215, N 29015, NT 32815. It is important to evaluate the price close during the week on the following price structures: - Bullish: 30387.00 - Bearish/Lateral: 29400 Altcoin Cycle: For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation: - Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased. - BTC Dominance: Decreased. - Price of BTC: Increased. - Alt Cycle Expectation: Strong growth. Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community. Indicators used: Analysis Tool Kijun Trend Indicator Ichimoku Support and Resistance Chikou Support and Resistance
by TheSocialCryptoClub
🔥 Comparing Bear Markets: This Time Is NOT DifferentIn this analysis I want to shed some light on the fact that the 2-week is an amazing tool to determine the start and end of Bitcoin trading cycles. In this specific example, I'm comparing all three previous bear-markets. Note that the MACD has performed in a very similar fashion. The first bearish cross confirms the bear-market, and the first bullish cross confirms the next cycle. Keep in mind that 2022 got another cross because of the July-Nov pump. In my view, crypto "topped" in March of 2021 because that's when all the technicals and on-chain analytics topped as well. Furthermore, the November 2022 top didn't make a new MACD high, making it a bearish divergence. Looking at the chart, I think we can confirm that a new cycle has started. Sure, we will see bullish and bearish times for the foreseeable future, but I highly doubt whether we're going to make new lows from here onwards. Share your thoughts 🙏
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FieryTrading
11
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week, Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source. Trend: Kumo has been green for 28 days and is about 10.8% wide. It has widened and is looking upward. The various lines indicate a general uptrend situation. The Kijun Trend indicator indicates looking for long positions. Heikin-Ashi: The Heikin-Ashi confirms the bullish momentum with no shadows below. This points us to some market strength. Supports and resistances: - 32150.00 Fibonacci - 30350.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan - 30000.00 Psychological threshold - 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan - 27950.00 Fibonacci - 25000.00 Fibonacci - 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame. For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term). Conclusions: The situation is bullish after crossing the psychological threshold of 30000.00. It is possible to find a bullish ABC pattern indicating the following levels: NT 27892.34, N 29876.78, V 31169.78 and E 31867.22. It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures: - Bullish: 30387.00 - Bearish/Lateral: 29300 Altcoin Cycle: For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation: - Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased. - Dominance of BTC: Increased. - Price of BTC: Increased. - Alt Cycle Expectation: Decreased. Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community. Indicators used: Analysis Tool Kijun Trend Indicator Ichimoku Support and Resistance Chikou Support and Resistance
by TheSocialCryptoClub