Silver D1: buy stop 19.15 SL 18.10 TP 21We have positive phases from dominant cycles and annual cycles for the next 1.5 weeks. A short-run long position is reasonable prior the further long-run drop from Sept.
Cycleanalysis
NIFTYBANK D1. Stay bearish till the end of OctMarket highly probable turned down after violation of 38,760 local top. At the same time price confirmed bullish turn of all high-degree ZZs. Thus, current cutback is corrective segment of Red ZZ development with the most probable target at 36,000 reached approx by the 21st of Oct. After this further increase will continue from Nov 2022.
SPY Dancing On The Edge Of A CliffThe US markets are experiencing a unique capital shift at the moment. Foreign capital is pouring into the US equity markets and driving the US Dollar higher.
When this trend shifts - look out below.
I'm sending this warning to all traders/investors right now. Even though my research suggests we may see an extended rally phase lasting many years for the US markets - any global crisis event (think China/Asia/Russia) could blow a hole in the support we are seeing right now.
In other words, stay cautious, use stops, play the trend as very fragile and possibly strengthening over time.
My research focused on broad cycle patterns and suggests a big cycle event will take place in the second half of 2022. After that, the next big cycle event is more than 4+ years away.
That means we have quite a bit of time to trend, or move into a disruptive phase, over the next 4+ years.
Pay attention.
ASTS bearish wave countI will stay away from earning as we approach a critical cycle date as well. Every 70 days we have a flip, and after 3 flips we have a consolidation period of ~140 days. I am expecting a selling event to take place, I don't know what will be, maybe an offering, maybe sell the news... The tricky part is that we are many retailers here and as is well-known institutions will want to participate and have the best price possible. Although if we go above 13.20 will be very bullish as we will invalidate the bearish count. Good luck to all of you!
Crude Oil. Its dynamic/ Astro cycle. 11/ August/22 “Crude” Oil. The “mother/father” of “all” inflations probably on its last “leg up” soon @ around 87.98 toward around 118..So..So..All stocks/equities market will probably “end” its crashes ONLY around last quarter of 2022. P/S Crude Oil movement is “governed” by planet Saturn and Neptune. The Purple 7, 8 ( dynamic cycle ) are based on “cycle” counts with “statistics “...
RRR CYCLE POP already started on the .80 gapThis is at the end of a cycle and a test to the cloud has already started. It will either touchback to the cloud and consolidate then take off.
Or it will fail and reaccumulate and retest as early as Tuesday
Option calls are around 1.65 at this level. For aug17th
Cycle pop has already been confirmed with the gap up of .80 this morning. Now it’s just a matter of if absorption was complete and they own enough of the float and if retail is on the right side of the fence to see this thing go
By ICantw84it
07.14.22
Iron ore miners to Bull hard Hey guys,
Good time to load up on iron ore miners who have been sold off recently but i dont see prices falling below that major long term support line it has bounced off.
This chart is part of my thesis on the Inflation cycle to calm down over the next few months but as commodities like iron ore, copper, Oil etc start to bull again as people still have cash at hand to deploy as prices come back down. The Bullwhip effect has certainly started with retailers increasing stock by +25% while sales Revenue only increases by 3% something that confirms prices have started to fall but Major support being hit here and in other commodity showing people are back to buying and the commodities will lead the way back up starting the next wave of inflation that will hit a higher peak then current levels.
The Magic of Cycles - Part IIThis chart reviews the four major cycles affecting humanity, being the:
- Kondratieff Cycle;
- Strauss-Howe Generations Cycle;
- W.D. Gann Property Cycle; and
- Solar Cycle.
I contrast these cycles with Global events of the time, the price of Gold, the US M2 monetary aggregate, and US Interest rates.
My commentary on the chart is available on Patreon for free. Enjoy!
BTCUSD - Multi-Cycle Main TrendlinesBottom is top and top is bottom?
Observations from the BTCUSD monthly chart
+ Decreasing angles of long term upward trendlines shows diminishing returns.
+ Price crossing down through current cycle's upward trendline indicates current cycle is ending.
+ Previous cycle's upward trendline becomes next cycle's top.
What have I missed? Comments down below. Thanks.
Gold. I’m reholding bigger cup’s handle tighter. 16/July/22.Gold. I’m “ re- holding” my bigger golden cup’s handle ideas “tighter” with 2 reason at chart. Sorry unlike Conventional Technical Analysis e.g RSI, MACD, MA or support/resistance, today I gonna talk about the ideas/ concepts of cycle on charts which is the x- axis of any charts. just to “find” the “probability “ of gold’s next “moves”..
Topglove’s medium cycle analysis. 15/July/22.Topglov’s medium cycle 7 ( Purple) will be due anytime soon (as it was always between green/red vertical line ) and move up to cycle 8 ( purple) which is due by year end of 2022.
FLUX project , a potential blockchain for futureHi all.
we have a long term analysis on FLUX in 1W chart.
as you see on my chart after compelete a full cycle of 1-2-3-4-5 and ABC waves
we have a potential to start a new impulsive wave.
of course this correction may be extend and lasts more.
i draw cycle lines (Blue vertical lines) and we see ABC correction lasts 2 cycles and now is in the end of cycle.
this means correction last 2 time more than impulsive wave and have a potential to reverse.
for the end of ABC correction we have a lot of reason and levels like:
1-we are in the range of recent impulsive wave 4
2-we see a strong support level there(i show it with a purple rectangle)
3-recent impulsive wave fibonachi retracement 50% level
4-wave A projection 200% fibo level
5-POC(point of control) is here.
so i think this altcoin have a lot of technical potential for amazing growth.
if we see this blockchain website,we found it good protocol with amazing roadmap.
runonflux.io
what we need is a liitle good news for inflation this week...
have good investing and dont forget to manage your risks.
!!!NOTE!!!
MY POSTS ARE NOT TRADING AND INVESTING ADVISE
SO TRADE ON YOUR OWN STRATEGY AND CONSIDER MARKET RISKS.
Topglove long term cycle analysis. 13/July/22.Topglove as the chart. Its long term cycle 13 (Green) is due slightly after green vertical line = it will be “bottomed” anytime now or by early 2023. Cycle 14 high ( Green) is @ the “middle” of vertical green and red line = Topglove will have “uptrend” until 2024/2025 min after it completed Cycle 13 ( Green) low.
KLCI Cycle & elliotwave analysis. 11/July/22.KLCI “based” on its cycle analysis. KLCI is still forming its expanding flat pattern in (A)(B)(C)(cyan) in wave 2 ( Red Circled) which probably ONLY completed by end of 2022 as long term cycle 8 (purple) alway reached near by the red vertical line. (Year end).
BTCUSD BTCUSDT Pop Alert by 8pm tonight!Based on my cycle theory there is a strong chance BTCUSD pops at or by 8pm tonight. This is on a pretty large chart so there should def be an attempt to the upside. Based on the fact it already tested the cloud and failed. This would be the second opportunity for it to go.
by iCantw84it
07/04/2022
Bitcoin long term analysis - (2012-2022)If the older chart patterns serve as an indicator to predict future movements, we can conclude that the price is not far from establishing a bottom and reaching the accumulation zone, where it previously spent months lateralizing until reaching the halving and starting a new cycle. Look
Blue vertical line - Halving's
Green area - Bull Market
Red area - Bear Market
Blue area - Accumulation zone
Yellow arrow - time period to ATH
Yellow dashed line - ATH
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTCUSD Cycle Analysis | Hyper-Bullish BTC is on his bottom right now. Global BTC Cycle changed in this 2 days.
Last time this happend we had 1000% gain in the next 1-2 years.
LONG on BTC
Its comming, lads...
THINK about market cycles...
Year Bitcoin Price ($) Change ($) Year-over-year (%)
2022 47,743 18,351.22 62.44
2021 29,391.78 22,203.31 308.87
2020 7,188.46 3,318.99 85.77
2019 3,869.47 -9,542.97 -71.15
2018 13,412.44 12,414.75 1,244.35
2017 997.69 563.23 129.64
2016 434.46 120.54 38.40
2015 313.92 -456.51 -59.25
2014 770.44 757.13 5,690.96
2013 13.30 8.04 152.56
2012 5.27 4.97 1,655.90
2011 0.30 0.21 249.65
2010 0.09 0 0
Is NIFTY50 in correction or crash mode?Update on last 4 NIFTY Predictions : 4/4 Correct with precise targets.
EMA150 is very curious.
In the 4 drawdowns of bear markets, it has touched when it was a crash
It bounced off from around 25% when it was just a correction
Sep 2022 - Looks like make or break. Coincidentally US Recession is more or less confirmed that month since June quarter GDP data is out. (2 Q -ve GDP is Recession)
EMA200 and EMA100 were conclusively broken or untouched at monthly for me to make any assumptions.
So when are we buying crypto again?Just a case study that I wanted to share with you guys
like and leave a comment if you enjoy it and find it useful XOXO
first let me introduce you to this chart: BTC.D
keeping it simple, BTC.D or Bitcoin Dominance shows you what percentage of the whole crypto marketcap is allocated to Bitcoin.
when the numbers on this chart are high, it shows you that the ALT MARKETCAP is draining, no matter what!
But, when this chart is bearish it shows you (NOT NECESSARILY!) that money is flowing from Bitcoin to other ALTCOINs.
Now let's rewind the previous cycle (2017-2018)
back in 2017, as you can see on this chart, the dominance of Bitcoin on Altcoins was completely lost and went in hands of Altcoins such as Ethereum.
That incident triggers the very memorable Alteason of 2017 which a lot of CT (crypto twitter) people like to brag about.
2017's Altseason lasted until late 2017 when Bitcoin finally tops around $20,000. as soon as the bloody year of 2018 begins, BTC.D started to pump towards high numbers.
at first, you would think that the glorious days are not finished but there is more to come for Bitcoin. But the little we knew that the great Bear Market is upon us!
The psychology of 2018 BEAR MARKET
as the market started to collapse, a lot of shit coins (not very valuable but extremely profitable in bull cycles altcoins) were losing over 90% of their value against Bitcoin,
but Bitcoin itself was losing 80% of its value against the U.S DOLLAR, so why the BTC.D was going nuts?
the answer to this question is very simple, the total market cap of the crypto market was draining, people were selling their coins and not reinvesting in lowers prices, but
there were still some investors left for Bitcoin, and you may forget that the BTC.D shows you the "percentage" of the dominant of Bitcoin over rest of the market, now when
Bitcoin was dropping hard in price the rest of the Altcoins were dropping even harsher and more. but I like to keep it dramatic so this is my favorite approach to this question:
Altcoins were about to Parrish from the market forever and left illiquid for the rest of their lives, but Bitcoin still had its bitcoiners, the people who bought literally above $19,000 or so, with the dream of selling their coins at 100,000 UNITED STATE DOLLARS. sounds a bit familiar, doesn't it?
so in reality you would expect the whole market to collapse together, but the big boys always survive. just like coronavirus and what it did to tiny little startups and entrepenures back in 2020.
Those who survived were left to tell the tails
Now the numbers are too low for people to even think about the $100,000 goal, the dream was finally over. so the market continued developing...
you may find this childish but the market actually breaths the same air that we breathe, it is alive just like us. as we approach the next HALVING for Bitcoin, the accumulation phase began. smart money was here way before retail investors dare to reactive their wallet addresses again. in that final phase we saw that Bitcoin dominance tops just after the Halving and the cycle repeats itself once again.
So what is my speculation
Yes you read it right, this is all speculation and not fact so, please do not consider this as financial advice.
we are obviously in a bear market and as I show you on my chart, the next time we can expect strength and smart money to come back to the crypto market is the next halving ( May 2024).
1- we haven't seen it all yet, another -50% on your favorite Altcoin is not out of mind
2- accumulation phase begins just after the capitulation phase, 2023 near the next halving will be a good time to invest.
3- don't try to catch any knives, prices won't skyrocket in one candle. it takes time and a lot of manipulations.
4- be patient, we can bounce 30% but the reality is the same, the next bull cycle is in 2 years ahead of us so keep your targets as low as possible
5- don't be greedy, with your longs and your shorts
6- GL
BTC Cycle Bottom?BTC has historically dropped 82% from cycle highs to cycle lows. This cycle was a bit different in that we had a double top sort of pattern, instead of the typical blow-off top. We did not reach the top of the historic parabolic channel, which would of put us at roughly 100k. An 82% drop from 100k would bring us down to around 18k. What if we break 20k and bottom around 18k, perhaps a bit lower? I think the bears would then be calling for 12k. BearTrapSet?
Bitcoin Bear Bull Bottom TimesJust created it for myself but can't keep this away for some of you.
Simply illustrated some times it took for Bitcoin every halving cycle to reach the bottom, top and the total bottoming time.
Enjoy
