Get started

Cycleanalysis

Ethereum - Is everything already over?CRYPTO:ETHUSD is struggling to break above the previous all time high and might correct soon. Please don't look at headlines and news regarding cryptocurrencies. Overall these messages are just preventing you from objectively looking at the chart. Ethereum is creating higher highs and higher lows, meaning that Ethereum is trading in an uptrend. Even if Ethereum is not able to break above the previous all time high, market structure still remains decently bullish. Levels to watch: $4.000, $2.200 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
4
Tesla - Breakout leading to four digits!NASDAQ:TSLA is attempting to break out of the long term descending triangle consolidation. If you cannot wait patiently for your textbook setups, there is no chance you will make money trading. For almost four years, Tesla has been consolidating in a huge triangle formation. And it seems like Tesla is finally breaking out towards the upside. This breakout was actually not unexpected at all and provides a very high probability trading opportunity in the near future. Levels to watch: $250 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
3
Gold - Should we take profits now?OANDA:XAUUSD has been heading higher and creating a strong rally; time to take profits. Gold is still clearly bullish, creating higher highs and higher lows on the higher timeframes. But we also always have to keep in mind, that metals and commodities in general are always following anticipated economic cycles. It is actually quite likely, that after the recent rally of +30% we will now see a retracement on Gold, maybe even back to the previous breakout level. Levels to watch: $2.400, $2.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by basictradingtv
2
XrpUsd - Rally back to previous resistance (+100%)?BITSTAMP:XRPUSD is one of the most interesting cryptocurrencies for potential setups in the near future. For a couple of years now, XrpUsd has been trading in a symmetrical triangle trading pattern. Always when XrpUsd retested support in the past, we simply saw a very nice rejection away towards the upside. And as we are speaking, XrpUsd is once again retesting such a confluence of support from which we could see a rally towards the upside. Target is the previous resistance of the triangle pattern. Levels to watch: $0.491, $0.911 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by basictradingtv
5
The Duration of the Current Bitcoin Bull CycleHow Much Longer Will the Good Times Last? In this chart, I highlighted 3 different cyclic frameworks. The dynamic time cycle which is shown as "grey/blue zigzag" extended into the future. It is a 186 day cycle pattern which was observed at any past parabolic move since 2010 in Bitcoin. It needs 5 repetitions in order to complete a parabolic up move. Count 5 is to be expected to arrive summer next year. I also marked the "static" view for that cycle with blue circle arcs at the bottom. The red is the nominal (average) 200days cycle. I added the seasonality cycles for Bitcoin at the top of the chart, highlighted with colored areas. The simple seasonality is always a bullish yearly start into May/June, follows by a flat June and bearish July-September pattern. Then bullish from October into end of the year. The bitcoin halving cycle impact is also shown with the pinkish vertical lines. The last one happened April 2024. During the first 100days period after the halving, there is no impact to be expected. But analyzing past halving cycles, there has always been a big-up-excess around 400days after the halving. Interestingly, all these 3 cyclic pattern are in alignment for the period October 2024 into May 2025 with a common bullish outlook. So we might get a flat to challenging summer 2024. But afterwards the cycle seem to vote for a continuation of the current bull cycle. At the bottom, I added my preferred cyclic-tuned dynamic cyclic RSI indicator. Which I have made public for everyone. ("cRSI") I presented more details on this analysis in my personal blog.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by StockMarketCycles
3
Dogecoin - Last buy before +250% pump!CRYPTO:DOGEUSD broke out of another triangle formation and is preparing a major move. Cycle after cycle after cycle. Dogecoin is definitely one of these assets where you have to look at the higher timeframes; otherwise there is a high risk that you get caught up in short term moves. The trend is clearly bullish and five months ago Dogecoin broke out of a symmetrical triangle formation. We also have a valid break and retest, all indicating a bullish reversal. Levels to watch: $0.125, $0.359 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by basictradingtv
2
NVIDIA - Correction after stock split?NASDAQ:NVDA has been one on the strongest stocks of the past decade with a rally of +25.000%. Today, Nvidia had a stock split of 1:10, meaning that for every 1 share of Nvidia, you recieved another 9 shares (10 in total). Therefore, Nvidia stock price was simply divided by 10 ($1.200 / 10 = $120). Nvidia stock is currently retesting a major resistance trendline and is repeating another "cycle pattern" like we saw in 2015 and 2019. A correction is simply quite likely. Levels to watch: $120, $50 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
17
This Cycle Take Profits! "Ladies and gentlemen, I'm excited to share with you that Bitcoin adoption is gaining momentum in institutional settings! Heavy hitters like Fidelity Investments, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs are actively exploring cryptocurrency offerings. And it's not just them - real-world banks like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America are taking notice, filing patents for blockchain-related technologies. But that's not all - institutions like the Intercontinental Exchange and Nasdaq are building cryptocurrency trading platforms! Now, I know mainstream adoption is still in its early days, but these developments show a growing recognition of Bitcoin's potential in traditional finance. The future is looking bright, and I'm excited to see where this momentum takes us!"
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by AsadAftab
A Bitcoin Fib-Time Based Cycle ConceptHere we look at a quirky emoji infographic showcasing one of five potential Bitcoin cycle concepts. Using trend-based Fibonacci Time Extensions, I've drawn them since the inception of Bitcoin's first impulse rally from 2009 to its 2013 all-time high. These are then projected sequentially four times to 2025. While it seems simple, and not perfect, it appears to be quite effective and has not been invalidated to date. Importantly, this is not a price prediction or estimation, nor does it offer an overall bearish or bullish take. Although the outlook seems bullish, cycles can play out over years, and we may not have seen Bitcoin's final cycle just yet. This is why it's the first of five concepts (long & short Term) I'll explore and adapt alternatives in the coming weeks and months. This merely presents a conceptual analysis of Bitcoin's time and cycles, highlighting key pivotal points worth watching. Timing can be just as crucial as managing risk. Having a plan to correlate these factors allows you to spend less time watching charts and more time enjoying whatever you want. Key Takeaways: With a 1-2 weeks variance, each fib level (signpost) approximately triggers the next phase. It is within that phase expect the noted legend and take that mindset. Each fib range marks 1456 days with 728 being the halfway point of each sequence. Note that 0.5 is not an actual fib level. Once a cycle of phases is completed, rise and repeat. We just passed the Halfway point in early Nov 2023. This current cycle is projected to end in Nov 2025. This is purely a concept and not financial advice. I apologise for the resolution. A screenshot can be viewed here: Enjoy!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by LiquidMafia
📈 Elevate Your Portfolio with Synthetix (SNX) - Long Awaits!Hello, fellow traders and blockchain enthusiasts! Today, I'm diving deep into the undercurrents of the crypto sea to fish out a gem—Synthetix (SNX). But before we set sail, let’s anchor down on some recent trends and data analytics that signal a wave of potential profits! 🌊💸 Current Landscape and Analyst Insights on Synthetix (SNX) Recently, Synthetix has been bustling with activity, especially with the launch of Synthetix V3 on the Base network. This upgrade introduces significant enhancements such as increased liquidity provider limits, up to $21.92 million USDC, and an enriched user experience with better incentives and transaction fee structures. Here’s what you need to know: Governance and Community Engagement: Synthetix is actively engaging its community for governance decisions. For example, to participate in the PYTH governance distribution, users need to actively participate through the Synthetix Discord by April 22nd. This shows Synthetix’s commitment to decentralized decision-making. V3 Launch and Liquidity Impacts: The recent shift to Synthetix V3 on the Base network has successfully increased the liquidity cap and introduced a system where users can earn transaction fees and LP incentives by providing USDC collateral. Diving Into Data: The Big Picture Hold on to your hats, because the winds of change are blowing! Recent analyses using sophisticated big data tools have surfaced some compelling indicators: Transaction Value Native: Recently hit a trough at $3,232.41. Historical data suggests that such lows are often followed by significant price surges. 📉➡️📈 On-Chain Metrics: Indicators are in a downturn. However, don't be misled—this is when the magic happens! Past patterns show a potential median price increase of a whopping 43.89% over the next month. Mark your calendars! 📅 Such a configuration of data previously marked 22 similar historical episodes with a staggering 87% of those signaling an upswing post-condition met. Cyclical Surge: Timing is Everything And guess what? SNX is just revving at the bottom of its composite price cycle. This isn't just a quick sprint but a marathon with the cycle projected to rise through July. Ready, set, go long! 🏁 Targets: Entry Point (Long Position): Leverage the low transaction value native and on-chain metrics downturn as entry signals. Target Prices (TP) and Stop Loss (SL): TP: $4.0108 🎯 SL: $2.1757 🛑 Price Predictions for Upcoming Periods Based on the current analysis and market cycles: 1 Week: $2.9748 2 Weeks: $3.2584 1 Month: $3.9659 3 Months: $8.6669 6 Months: $10.8558 To Conclude: Why Ride the Synthetix Wave? High historical hit rate and accuracy Consistent relationship between observed drivers and market movements Attractive risk-reward balance with minimal drawdowns So, why wait? Dive into the Synthetix tide and let the currents guide you to profitable shores. Let's catch this wave together—follow for more deep dives and treasure troves! P.S. Don't forget to subscribe to this ideas flow right now😂
BINANCE:SNXUSDLong
by WealthRay
BTC BULL CYCLE PREDICTION This post is an idea I had about predicting this Bullrun cycle top using the previous cycles pattern. The general rule of the pattern is: - Bullcycle last 1065 days - Bear cycle lasts 365 days Knowing this we can predict that the end of the Bullrun will be... OCTOBER 2025. Meaning we have 670 days remaining. Estimating the peak price of BTC is a bit more challenging, we know there are diminishing returns with every complete cycle, the first cycle had a % drop of: Cycle 1-2 = 97.15% Cycle 2-3 = 82.14% By continuing the pattern of percentage drop of 15.01% per cycle, we get: Cycle 3-4 = 67.13% Using the previous Cycle % gain of 2,108.27% multiplied by our % drop off we get: 2,108.27*0.6713 = 1,315.24% or 14.1524x This then gives you % gain from start of the bull cycle. The bottom was $15,473.7 so... $15,473.7*14.1524 = $218,989 ~ $229,000/BTC CYCLE TOP Obviously this is all theoretical, I wanted to have a prediction post to look back on after this cycle but also to have a plan to sell long term holdings when price nears this area. Many aspects of the cryptocurrency world would have changed by October 2025. Mass adoption, ETF's, Regulation and so on will change the landscape of the market, this may be the last cycle of sizable gains before volatility leaves the space. 670 days left to make generational wealth.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ProR35
BTC half way through the cycle likely heading for at least 140kI've posted a BTC chart here last cycle, showing the weekly and monthly RSI cheat-sheet of where to buy and sell, and I trust it served many well (see the related idea below) The key to anticipating cycle targets ahead of time is the adoption curve, which is actually a straight line on a chart with log on both axes, but without log on the date axis (unsupported by TradingView sadly) one may plot points and retrofit curves into that as shown So far Bitcoin's price action has been oriented around "lay-line" diagonals similar to Gold (see my recent XAU chart) but the main difference is that the sectors on BTCUSD are now beginning to fractionalise owe to diminishing adoption curve returns At the bottom is my custom relative volume indicator which shows relative volume in a Bollinger Band sigma measurement fashion split down into a buy-to-sell ratio depending on the composition of the candle (this is the Bitstamp chart but a summation chart produces the exact same consistent capitulation flags) At some point I may list my RSI candles and RVB histogram as premium indicators here on TradingView since their tried-and-tested benefits are not to be underestimated as can be seen very clearly here The current blue bull cycle channel I called over a year ago before the support was even touched and I was able to do that because I recognised the angle of the resistance last Easter and extrapolated a projection from the last cycle (it's copy pasta of the same channel as last cycle basically) It has not moved since I was also able to call the 70k local top a month ago because I'm well aware that for whatever reason the numbers 7 & 14 are significant on the Bitcoin chart and that's why I also expect that this cycle will likely black swan past 140k briefly up to about 200k similar to how it shot to 20k past 14k seven years ago Some very notable calls in recent years: SPREADEX:NIKKEI and TVC:DJI both to 40k (over 1y in advance) CRYPTOCAP:BTC pico bottom at 15k and recent local top at 70k FX:EURUSD pico bottom & TVC:DXY pico top at 115 TVC:USOIL pico bottom at 68 NASDAQ:SMCI mega breakout at 100 NASDAQ:NVDA mega support at 120 NASDAQ:TSLA pico bottom at 105 NASDAQ:NFLX pico bottom at 165
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by markusrafferty