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Cycleanalysis

QRTEA, another cyclical peak?Since 2015 this stock has reached a peak every 3 years approximately, as it happened in 2018 and 2021, this time it could happen again around mid 2024 as the price has plumbed drastically, reaching an all-time low. If this is true, then price could be around 7 to 10 dollars during 2024. If "Project Athens" is succcesfful and the company is able to regain profitability, generate cash, keep good levels of revenues and make a sound transition to streaming and ecommerce, then this stock could recover and gain a strong terrain as before. How long do you think this downtrend will continue?
QLong
by amateur_trad3r
LINK - 4 Phases YOU Should Know 📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. The markets are currently taking a breather after upside price action and this is typically where we expect altcoins to shine. Chainlink is particularly interesting to watch at this point since it has been trading range for an extended period of time. This is bullish according to the Wyckoff Method Analysis and other market cycle- or phase analysis'. This chart presents an easy guide to market cycles considering the moving averages and the macro perspective. Can you guess what phase we are currently in and what comes next? 🔥 Here's another altcoin with great upside potential that you may not have heard of : Shirtium _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Long
by CryptoCheck-
44
Bitcoin -> The Final DropHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Bitcoin just recently perfectly created and also already confirmed a quite nice inverted head and shoulders with the neckline being exactly at the $25000 area. From a weekly perspective everything seems quite bullish overall so I am now just waiting for a retest of the neckline before I then do expect the next push towards the upside. On the daily timeframe you can see that over the past couple of days Bitcoin has just been trading in a sideways range so I am also on the daily timeframe waiting for a retest of the $25000 area and then the next impulse towards the upside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
39
The Realest Post You Will Read All YearWhy you should care to listen to this. I first discovered crypto in 2013, but my initial encounter with Bitcoin dates back to 2009. At the time, I dismissed a considerable amount of Bitcoin as a trivial payment for a World of Warcraft private game server admin position. However, in 2011, I was reintroduced to Bitcoin and purchased a significant amount for $10. Unfortunately, after losing my father and misplacing the hard drive containing my Bitcoin during his eviction, I was filled with regret by 2013. Now, I can look back and laugh at those experiences, as they led me to see a much bigger picture. Bitcoin operates in cycles, and it's easy to get caught up in the present moment, listening to influencers claiming that it's all over for the sake of views on their channels. I'm here to explain the true nature of the market, hoping to provide you with a sense of clarity and liberation. A few years ago, Warren Buffet's quote, "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own," was as ubiquitous as the definition of insanity. Despite its overuse, the quote held true. However, when faced with reality, people still tend to act on fear. Market cycles are influenced by fear, as seen in the news, lunar cycles, and retrogrades' gravitational waves. It is fascinating how the market operates based on these factors. There are two fundamental human emotions: fear and love. Everything can be traced back to these emotions in one way or another. Our minds are wired to respond strongly to fear, which is why our reality often revolves around it. Trading on higher timeframes can be easier for some because it doesn't require constant attention to the cyclical nature of the market. I have previously mentioned that this recurring cycle will happen once more before the market undergoes a significant change. Currently, there is widespread fear of banks failing, but if we look at history, such events were never anticipated. The 2008 crash began just after reaching all-time highs. In the market, traders often encounter psychological tactics employed by market makers to influence their actions. Emotionless trading is essential to navigate these tactics. By utilizing basic technical analysis one can anticipate market movements, as demonstrated in my earlier idea from last year (I will link to it for reference). Many people in the market cannot afford to trade their $100 or $1000, but they would fare better if they identified promising opportunities and left their investments to grow while they worked on increasing their account balance. High-margin trading, is akin to gambling. I have lost significant amounts in high-margin trades, watching the market move to my liquidation point on one exchange while others remained unaffected. It's crucial to understand that long-term investing generates wealth. Allocating 10% of your total balance to promising altcoins is a wise strategy. Focus on consistently investing in cryptocurrencies and stocks while working hard, and you'll see success. Betting on the unlikely scenario of the US dollar failing and causing societal collapse isn't productive. I predict that Bitcoin will experience an upward wave for a few months, followed by a retracement of that wave, and then gradually work its way up to all-time highs, just like in previous cycles. This may be difficult to visualize amid the world's turmoil, but adopting a month-by-month approach rather than an hour-by-hour one can provide clarity. Stay resilient and maintain a clear mind. You can't turn $100 into a million dollars in two days. Instead, work hard, save, and invest gradually in the market. The best advice is to earn $10,000 to $100,000 from the market and then start your own business. Remember, this is just my opinion, and I hope it helps. Bitcoin has repeatedly defied predictions of continuous decline. While it's possible we could see a drop to $12,000 - $13,000 due to a black swan event, similar to March 2020, it's not worth waiting idly for that moment. Choose the long route; your life will still be here in two years, and impulsively risking everything won't bring lasting change. If you're interested in learning how to trade like a pro and want access to unique tools, visit my website, as mentioned in the description. If you trade NASDAQ futures, you'll be thrilled with our recent release. Take care and remember to invest wisely, focusing on long-term growth rather than seeking immediate results. Slowly add to your investments with each paycheck, and avoid waiting for the "perfect" price. If you listen to anything I have to say, remember this: the right time to start investing is now.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Psycho_1-1
3
Potential start of the bull marketFOREXCOM:SPXUSD As of 01/16/2023, I believe the birth, or first sign of a potential return to bull market to be today. In the process of reviewing ema, macd, and cycle based indicators, we should see uptrend begin to take off leading back into 4300 by February '23. This can all change with fed's taming of inflation, or any external circumstance. But if trajectory remains strong, we should have a confirmed uptrend by start of this February. Refer to the 2 weekly chart, as this is the core of my thesis for the return to bull market.
FOREXCOM:SPX500Long
by JuanLagos94
2
Exxon Mobil time cycle and pattern analysis**disclaimer: this post reflects my personal opinions from my own charting analysis and should not be used as financial advice of any kind. There are no guarantees in the market and I am just a guy on the internet*** This is a very brief analysis of XOM stock which is approaching a significant swing trading cycle trough (in blue) with a trough around February 16-17 as an estimate. There is a fib channel and extension here, the 161.8 extension has not been hit (117ish). It might not get hit. Or it may exceed that and hit the fib channel just above it around 120. That is where I'm looking for a top - 117-120, HOWEVER; if the current part of the bubble that has grown here is just a bear flag after a top was already put in, we will know very soon as price will start making lower highs and lower lows on shorter time frames. In that case we could see a decline from HERE into that trough in the middle of February. In any case, I believe this chart has either topped, or is about to top.
NYSE:XOM
by thestructured
Get ready for Friday ;-)XRP is in corrective phase of nested cycles and this spike from 1'st of January indicates that there's more pain to come. I personally see this move as some speculative dump caused by 3'rd party with huge number of tokens and it can be potential "early" bottom of this cycle. Nevertheless, corrective phase is still not finished and by end of the week we might finally form a trough. Personally, I'm not expecting new lower-low, rather test of .30 spike. Buy zones: Fib ext: 0.618-0.786 @ $.32 - $.30 Fib ext: 0.786-1.000 @ $.30 - $.288 Buy timing: Between 1/9 - 1/19, ideal cycle bottom Friday night! Support with XRP: rNCUtwqnsKa3k5poB5WYDirhwhcoyr9W7D
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by rafal_w
3
BTC: One more month of sideways action?BTC is moving with 80 day long cycle, last cycle was negative ( late November ) and current cycle seems to be very weak, we already had rejection from 0.386 level and for now it's quite boring. Technically we are already in small 40-day cycle which should form a bottom between 2/9- 2/24. In the beginning of February, I'm expecting corrective phase of cycle and visit of Fib-extensions levels marked with 0-A-B. Buy zones: Fib ext. 500 - .618 @ 15335 - 14680 Fib ext. 618 - .786 @ 14680 - 13670 Regardless of price action pay attention to timing, second week of February should trigger some bullish impulse. Support with XRP: rNCUtwqnsKa3k5poB5WYDirhwhcoyr9W7D
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by rafal_w
1
GOLD NATURE PREDICITON | 8-JAN-2023By looking at the week TF chart I analyzed the following things that I want to share: 1. Duration of the first double top was 567 days 2. Duration of descending channel was 238 days 3. Formed a bullish rally (approx 76% up) of 21 months by breaking a major resistance level 4. Duration of the second double top was 574 days 5. Duration of descending channel was 238 days again So the market manipulators (Big Boys) hopefully will move the market upside Let's see what happens
OANDA:XAUUSD
by hassamsaeed
2
The Anatomy of the TLT; Cycle analysis by ThestructuredThis is my dissection of the TLT chart into the classic stages of a bubble, with time cycles. Each stage is present and the TLT appears to be in a bottoming process. I'm a big fan of using Fib channels combined with time cycles, because with fib channels, you are looking for a certain line to get hit, wherever that may be, as opposed to traditional fib retracements and extensions where you are looking for exact numbers. I find that with regular fibs, price often overshoots or undershoots them, whereas using a channel, it is more so a time based touch of a line, which si why it works so well with time cycles. Last year I had used these fib channels and cycles to find the current bottom on the TLT, which was an exact touch of the 161.8, right at a (red) time cycle trough region, and also at a strong volume profile node. There are larger, converging cycle troughs shown which should be somewhere in the September area of 2023. It is unclear at this time whether that region will be a higher low, or 'the bottom' (assuming that the 92 area wasn't already 'the' bottom, which it might have been. In any case, I am planning on investing this fall in that major trough zone, regardless of if price is higher or lower than it is now, when that timing region comes. Disclaimer: These charts and posts are a reflection of my own analysis and opinions based on my own analysis. I could be wrong, nothing is guaranteed, and my posts are for educational purposes only, as they are my own pure speculation, and should not be taken as investment advice of any kind. Do you own DD!
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by thestructured
Paypal stock in a final bottoming processPaypal stock appears to be in the final bottoming process of its bubble crash pattern. While I personally have not owned or traded this stock since July of 2022, the time cycles on the chart have not been changed since that time, and yet continue to show accuracy. The larger red cycle is a zone, and if the stock pulls back a bit just before earnings, I will be tempted to average in since I missed the smaller white cycle trough that just passed which led to a $10 parabolic squeeze already.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by thestructured
1
10 more days of consolidation.XRP is quite cyclic in past few months, we can clearly see 61 day dominant cycle. Previous trough formed in mid Nov is quite important right now, we are still 12 days away from ideal next trough and 0.786 was already violated what indicates that we can expect test of that low. I personally expect rather sideways action in next week or two with potential buy zone taken from fibonacci extensions levels between XYZ. Timing: Trought should be formed between 9'th and 19'th of Jan. Buy zone 1: between 0.33-0.34 Buy zone 2: between 0.32-0.33 Support with XRP: rNCUtwqnsKa3k5poB5WYDirhwhcoyr9W7D
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by rafal_w
2
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CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
4