Near term (1-2 weeks): target range 25-28
1-2 months: 45 range
Goal target (Q1 or Q2 2023): 163
Historical pattern is cyclical, with 7 completed alternating cycles between 20 and >=163
Although this is a rather unscientific examination of potential VIX cyclicality, mid-month volatility pops have occurred in 11 out of the last 17 months, with 6 of those months displaying no significant pop, and only two prior occurrences of us having two months in a row where we didn't really have a significant pop, one of which occurred in April and May of last...