Nagarro SE (NA9): Small Cap Multi-Bagger in Germany.Nagarro SE (NA9) is a global software engineering and digital transformation company. It provides services such as software development, cloud computing, data analytics, and user experience design to clients across various industries including retail, healthcare, finance, and manufacturing.
In terms of Nagarro SE's competitive advantages , some of the key factors that set the company apart from its competitors include:
Technical Expertise: Nagarro SE has a highly skilled and experienced team of software engineers, data scientists, and UX/UI designers who are proficient in cutting-edge technologies and frameworks. This technical expertise enables the company to deliver high-quality software solutions that are customized to meet the unique needs of its clients.
Agile Delivery: Nagarro SE follows an agile methodology for software development and delivery, which allows the company to quickly adapt to changing client requirements and market conditions. This approach enables the company to deliver projects faster and with a higher degree of flexibility and scalability.
Global Delivery Model: Nagarro SE has a global delivery model, which allows the company to tap into a diverse talent pool across different geographies. This model also enables the company to provide 24/7 support to its clients and reduce development costs by leveraging the cost arbitrage between different regions.
Client-Centric Approach: Nagarro SE puts a strong emphasis on understanding its clients' businesses and their unique challenges. This client-centric approach enables the company to provide customized solutions that address specific pain points and drive business outcomes for its clients.
Overall, Nagarro SE's technical expertise, agile delivery, global delivery model, and client-centric approach are key competitive advantages that differentiate the company from its competitors in the software engineering and digital transformation space.
As with any company, Nagarro faces various risks that could impact its business and financial performance. Some of the key risks that the company faces include:
Economic and Market Risks: Nagarro SE's business is dependent on the overall health of the global economy and the demand for software engineering and digital transformation services. A slowdown in economic activity or a downturn in the global market could reduce demand for the company's services and negatively impact its financial performance.
Competition: Nagarro SE operates in a highly competitive industry, and faces competition from both established players and new entrants. If the company is unable to compete effectively in terms of price, quality, and innovation, it could lose market share and revenue.
Dependence on Key Clients : Nagarro SE's revenue is concentrated among a few key clients, which increases the risk of revenue volatility if these clients reduce their spending on the company's services, or if the company is unable to secure new clients to replace lost business.
Talent Retention: Nagarro SE's success depends on its ability to attract, retain, and develop top talent in a highly competitive labor market. If the company is unable to attract and retain top talent, it may not be able to deliver high-quality services and meet its clients' needs.
Technological Risks: Nagarro SE operates in a rapidly evolving technology landscape, which requires the company to invest continually in research and development to stay ahead of the curve. If the company is unable to adapt to new technologies or fails to innovate, it could lose market share to competitors that offer more advanced solutions.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Nagarro has a ROCE of 20%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the IT industry average of 15%.
To sum it up, Nagarro has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. Given the stock has declined 55% from its highs, this could be a good investment if the valuation and other metrics are also appealing. With that in mind, I believe that the promising trends warrant this stock for further investigation.
D-DAX
GER3 30 H4| Bearish Divergence?Looking at the H4 chart, Price is approaching our sell entry at 15713.94, a swing high resistance level. If there is a reversal from this level, the price could drop to our take profit at 15480.74, which is a swing low support level.
If the price were to break above, it could rally to hit our stop loss at 15920.63 which aligns with the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion. However, it's important to note that bearish divergence is present, indicating that the bears may be preparing to take control once again.
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DAX traded to the highest level in 62 weeks!GER40 - 24h expiry -
Daily signals are bullish.
Traded to the highest level in 62 weeks.
There is no sign that this bullish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing high of 15683.
15791 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 15791 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy a break of 15801 (stop at 15681)
Our profit targets will be 16101 and 16151
Resistance: 15791 / 15900 / 16000
Support: 15630 / 15600 / 15500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
11/04/2023 - $FDAX #DAXDAX is back after holidays, gap up after US went higher yesterday. Price is between the 1 and 2 SD BB. Looking for another spike for a good pullback. Looking for the short between 15812-15872 for a move to PZ. But if market goes to PZ/BZ first look for the bounce to target above instead.
DAX: Holding the 4H MA50. Accumulating for the next rally.DAX is trading on a Rising Wedge pattern inside a Channel Up, whose 4H RSI just hit the 1 month HL trendline. The 1D technicals remain bullish (RSI = 58.718, MACD = 105.900, ADX = 38.304) hence the long term trend upwards.
As long as the 4H MA50 holds, our target remains the top of the Rising Wedge (TP = 16,100).
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Ger30 ShortGer30 Short potential
Short it now
The GER30 daily chart is trading in its bullish channel between its upper blue and red bands. It RSI is trading above 50 (green rectangle). The longer it maintains on the bullish side of 50 the greater the probability of higher prices ahead.
The hourly chart shows a strong start to today's trade. The trend following EMAs and the momentum-based stochastic have turned up (black ellipses). If the stochastic makes its way to the 80+ levels (blue arrow) and holds it will denote a strong underlying bullish momentum is present.
xDAX forecast 04/11/23
For the 11.04.23 we see the following trend reversal zones:
Up 3 15,674
Up 2 15,656
Up1 15,612
MoB 15,594
Down 1 15,584
Down 2 15,536
Down 3 15,518
5 days Trend barometer
The signal changes back from neutral to bearish again.
Technical Assessment
There is nothing more to add to the working theses published in the past few days. We continue to wait for the XETRA GAP close and the completion of the bearish pattern before we get back to the content of the technical chart analysis.
The fluctuation ratio of 1.228 signals a bullish bias in the 15,674.29 / 15,535.69 area.
We see the flipping point ( Sigma n1 ) at 15,715 or 15,480.
This means that from these zones onwards, self-reinforcing reactions UP and DOWN can occur.
Technical stops
UP DOWN
261.80% 15,978 15,162
200.00% 15,881 15,259
161.80% 15,822 15,318
138.20% 15,785 15,355
127.20% 15,768 15,372
100.00% 15,726 15,414
88.60% 15,708 15,432
76.40% 15,689 15,451
61.80% 15,666 15,474
50.00% 15,648 15,492
38.20% 15,629 15,511
23.60% 15,607 15,533
14.60% 15,593 5,547
MOB 15,570
Note
nothing has to be - everything can
A rolling, volume-based trend-following system is used to create this forecast, which was determined using mathematical-statistical methods and partially enriched with technical chart content
Forecasts are what they are: a look into the future, including the past, which can change dynamically, positively or negatively, from the time of publication
Will DAX continue to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell a break of 15529 (stop at 15649)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A break of the recent low at 15479 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 15229 and 15179
Resistance: 15660 / 15740 / 15800
Support: 15552 / 15500 / 15370
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX formed the 1st Golden Cross in 3 months.DAX completed a Golden Cross pattern on the (4h) time frame, the first such occurrence since January 10th.
The RSI (4h) has pulled back considerably, harmonizing the overbought conditions of last week.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price and as long as it stays over the MA50 (4h).
Targets:
1. 16000 (+11.00% rise).
Tips:
1. RSI (4h) is copying the bullish leg of of December 16th-January19th. Some room to pullback more and off a new High.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
This is a continuation of this trading plan:
GER40 to breakdown at overbought extremes?GER40 - 24h expiry -
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A break of the recent low at 15551 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
A higher correction is expected.
We look to Sell a break of 15598 (stop at 15718)
Our profit targets will be 15298 and 15248
Resistance: 15660 / 15740 / 15800
Support: 15552 / 15500 / 15370
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX momentum has stalled at 2023 highs.GER40 - 24h expiry -
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
15708 has been pivotal.
A higher correction is expected.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look to Sell at 15699 (stop at 15819)
Our profit targets will be 15401 and 15341
Resistance: 15662 / 15708 / 15800
Support: 15550 / 15470 / 15350
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX This wave still has room to riseDAX has gone a long way since our buy recommendation 2 weeks ago (see chart below). The technicals on the 1D time frame are firmly bullish (RSI = 60.575, MACD = 68.200, ADX = 31.986) and the RSI in particular is out of its Buy Zone and approaching the top of the Channel Down.
The index is trading inside a Channel Up for exactly 5 months and every bullish wave has so far been within 11.50% - 11.85%. If it rises by +11.50% again from the recent bottom, then we are looking at a target price around 16,130. Our TP is 16,000.
It is important to keep in mind the long term dynamics on DAX and what stands out in particular is how perfectly the 1D MA100 supported March's correction. In fact, DAX hasn't closed a 1D candle under the 1D MA100 since October 24th 2022.
Prior idea:
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DAX is bullish and going for a Higher HighDAX is trading inside a Channel Up and crossed today over both the 4hour MA200 and the Pivot Zone.
The 4hour MA50 is supporting (same with the RSI being on a Rising Support) and as long as it does, the Channel Up will be going for a Higher High.
Buy and target the 15700 Resistance but keep an eye for an RSI peak near 70.00.
Previous chart:
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Elliott Wave Favors DAX Rally to FailCycle from 9.28.2022 low has ended as a 5 waves impulse at 15706.51. We labelled this rally as wave ((1)) as the 1 hour chart below shows. Wave ((2)) pullback is currently in progress to correct cycle from 9.28.2022 low. The decline from wave ((1)) peak on March 7, 2023 is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from March 7, 2023 high, wave ((a)) ended at 14664.17 and rally in wave ((b)) ended at 15153.11. Final leg wave ((c)) lower ended at 14458.39 which completed wave W in higher degree. Wave X rally is now in progress to correct cycle from 3.7.2023 high with internal subdivision as a zigzag structure.
Up from wave W, wave ((a)) ended at 15298.49 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 14809.82. Wave ((c)) higher is in progress to retest wave ((1)) high at 15706.51 before the Index turns lower. A 100% Fibonacci extension of wave ((a)) comes at 15644.18 which is a possible target for wave ((c)) of X. Near term, as far as pivot at 15706.51 high stays intact, expect the rally to fail and the Index to resume lower again.
GER30 Sell LongSupport occurs where a downtrend is expected to pause due to a concentration of demand.
DAX to turnaround at trend line resistance?GER40 -
Our short term bias remains negative.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Trend line resistance is located at 15350.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Prices expected to stall near trend line resistance.
24h expiry - We look to Sell at 15359 (stop at 15479)
Our profit targets will be 15059 and 15009
Resistance: 15200 / 15300 / 15400
Support: 15100 / 15000 / 14900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FDAX UpdateIndicators are neutral, but it hasn't hit oversold yet so there's a possibility of a gap down Monday despite the bullishness in the US market today.
the US market probably wants to gap up but the Euros dictate the gap direction much like this morning. I am planning on carrying a relatively small long position over the weekend.
As I said earlier in my ES post, expecting a whipsaw finish today.
Kinda tempted to add some IWM (small cap index) to my retirement account, I think there will be a garbage stock short squeeze next week. I don't recommend investing directly into garbage like PTON or AFRM, lol. Bad news can tank an individual stock.