D-ETH
ETH Accumulating possible breakout (Very Bullish) Ethereum is still in the liquidity zone, but there is good news, first of all is that it has stayed in that zone for several days accumulating. Second, ETH has shown a lot of strength over the last 3 days, reaching up to $3,700. And the best part, as you may have seen in my Bitcoin analysis, is that the price is close to making a strong bullish move. This suggests that ETH and other coins will also gain strength and move in a bullish direction.
The key for Ethereum is to wait for it to break out of this downward channel. I believe it has been following a bearish sequence for a long time, but these last few days have been very positive as Bitcoin starts to gain momentum, and we are also seeing ETH begin to gather volume and buying pressure.
We will be keeping a close eye on the market in the coming days.
Thank you for following and supporting my analysis; we have been predicting every price movement according to a positive forecast.
Best regards.
Point to break out of short-term downtrend channel (2851.75)
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above 2851.75 to break out of the short-term downtrend channel.
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Currently, it has risen above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Therefore, from a long-term perspective, it is possible that the uptrend will continue.
However, in order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart must be in that state.
Therefore, we need to see if it can maintain the price by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart after the volatility period around September 8th.
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Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, it is important at what point it finds support when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and becomes StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 2851.75 and falls, it is important to see if it can find support around 2621.99-2700.43.
If it finds support around 2621.99-2700.43 and switches to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise above 2851.75.
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If the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart rises above, the HA-High indicator (3265.00) of the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator (3321.30) of the 1M chart are likely to be the first resistance zones.
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The volatility period on the BTCUSDT chart is around September 13.
However, the volatility period on the ETHUSDT chart is expected to start around September 8.
Therefore, the key is whether it can escape the short-term downtrend channel after September 8.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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ETH-USDT 1D Interval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to a quick review of the ETH pair to USDT chart, taking into account the interval of one day. As we can see, the price is moving along a locally formed upward trend line.
Currently, we can see how the price approached the resistance level at $2,843, then resistance at $3,010, then resistance at $3,251, and then very strong resistance at $3,569.
Looking the other way, support is visible at $2,550, the next support is at $2,383 and then there is support at $2,112.
BRIEFING Week #34: Crazy Monthly CandleHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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NOTUSDT & TON total delistingThe telegram director was arrested in France. Its service will be closed all over the world and crypto projects will be subject to delisting from exchanges as they pose a threat of losses to users. Their price will only go down without knowing the limit. Good luck to everyone and beware of TON-based scam projects.
ETHEREUM RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅ETHEREUM is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 2900$
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 2700$
SHORT🔥
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Stocks and BTCBTC is analysed from price 0, 12 Jan 2009. Aggregate of stock markets (IWM, SPX and IXIC) are analysed from 2009's crash. Both asset classes are normalised to gold.
Using the Elliot Wave Theory on the long-run movement of BTC and Equities the following has been determined:
1. BTC has converged to the stock market's movements
2. Equities and Cryptos have passed the Wave 5, currently finishing the Wave B corrective movement.
BTC - Daily Bullish MomentumBINANCE:BTCUSDT has seen a bullish momentum recently, largely supported by a dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve. The Fed is now expected to implement further rate cuts by the end of 2024, which has softened the U.S. Dollar and, in turn, boosted BTC and gold prices. In addition, geopolitical uncertainties, such as the attempted assassination of a political figure, have driven safe-haven assets like gold and Bitcoin to new highs.
Technically, COINBASE:BTCUSD is currently trading within a bullish expanding triangle pattern, a structure often associated with further upside potential. Given the current price action and the liquidity above $60K, there’s a strong case for BTC to revisit the resistance zone and potentially break to new highs. However, it’s essential to monitor the price action around key levels to confirm this bullish scenario.
The combination of favorable macroeconomic conditions and supportive technical indicators suggests that CME:BTC1! could see continued growth in the near term.
Aug 23Overview:
Wow, what a 24 hours it has been. At one point, BINANCE:SUIUSD was up 21.6%. Yesterday, we mentioned that "some long positions can be taken with a properly tight SL" once a new trading range was established. On August 21st, we wrote, " BINANCE:ARUSD , BINANCE:APTUSD , BINANCE:TAOUSD showed better price action in the last couple of days. They will likely continue trading higher next week, as BTC stays within its range."
But let's break it down step by step. VANTAGE:SP500 posted a green candle, closing the week on a positive note. However, that candle was within the shadow of yesterday’s red candle, making it neutral rather than bullish.
Additionally, Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole wasn't particularly dovish. It was seen as a signal that the Federal Reserve is prepared to maintain a restrictive stance on monetary policy to ensure inflation is brought under control, even if that means keeping interest rates higher for longer than the markets might prefer.
BTC saw a massive $252 million in ETF flows from tradfi investors. And what did early Grayscale Trust adopters do? They sold $35.6 million worth of it. We’re left wondering how much of that $35.6 million was clients simply converting expensive GBTC into cheaper BTC fund, or if they sold for good. Unfortunately, even on-chain analytics won’t reveal that.
ETH ETF? No chance... Tradfi investors don’t seem to grasp smart contracts. They sold $5.7 million worth, even during a significant BTC rally.
Whales and other professional market actors are well aware that September is historically volatile and often brutal. Will they start selling and closing their positions in the last week of August, or will they wait until the first or second week of September, right before the expected interest rate cut? The big question is, do you want your portfolio to end up in a meat grinder?
W: Yesterday’s BINANCE:BTCUSD wick went higher than the BB MA, but after a pullback, it settled nicely right at the precisely drawn W level of $64k. If bulls can keep it above the $63k level, we can start talking about a new bullish sentiment, but as of now, we are still in a bear market. No divergence.
D: The $61.8 level was taken by bulls six times, and on the seventh attempt, they gathered enough strength. BTC rebounded after a crash, forming a nice bullish pennant. However, it has now reached the upper bound of the Bollinger Bands. Definitely not a time to go long—keep an eye on MACD or CVD divergences.
4h: RSI is above 70, but no MACD divergence yet.
1h: No divergences.
Alts Relative to BTC: If BTC grew by 6%, BINANCE:APTUSD is up 9%, COINBASE:RNDRUSD is up 10%, BINANCE:NEARUSD is up 12%, and BINANCE:SUIUSD is up 20%. Is SUI gearing up to be 3rd favorite smart contract platform after SOL? Will be looking closely. Some of these started to rally 2-3 days ago.
BINANCE:ETHUSD and BINANCE:SOLUSD performance was more underwhelming, posting only 5.4% and 7%, respectively. Are they so beaten up that fewer people want to touch them? Where’s the ETF crowd? Leave your thoughts in the comments.
Bull Case: Bulls are able to hold the important W level in anticipation of rate cuts. Reaching that level has already happened; now it’s just a matter of staying there. If Panama, Brazil, and Paraguay announce Bitcoin as legal tender, following in the footsteps of El Salvador and the Central African Republic, this could fuel further bullish sentiment.
Bear Case: The trend continues without a reversal. The Fed doesn’t cut rates quickly enough, and corporate earnings reveal weakness in consumer spending. Whales and insiders start selling and shorting in late September, causing the market to drop in October—a month historically tough for crypto (cough, cough... FTX).
2013: After a strong first half, Bitcoin saw a correction in September before resuming its rally towards the end of the year.
2017: Bitcoin experienced a notable dip in September, partly due to regulatory concerns in China. However, this was followed by a rapid recovery and an all-time high in December.
2021: After strong growth earlier in the year, September saw a decline due to regulatory fears and macroeconomic factors, although the market rebounded in Q4.
Fear and Greed Index: 55.87. Remember—you only buy in 'Fear' territory, which is below 40.
Prediction: We might see some altcoins grow a bit more, but overall, BTC is likely to post a Doji candle next week.
Opportunities: On W and 4h charts, we continue to see many major altcoins in the RSI danger zone. Wait for Saturday’s price action and potential divergences to prepare for a Sunday sell-off.
TIAUSDT Soars to New Heights, Hitting All Targets at 5.900!TIAUSDT has experienced a remarkable rally, reaching all set targets and surging to a price of 5.900. This bullish movement reflects strong market demand and positive sentiment among traders. The coin broke through multiple resistance levels, confirming the strength of its upward trend. Several technical indicators, including moving averages and RSI, signaled bullish momentum. The rally has attracted increased buying interest, pushing the price to new highs. Investors are now eyeing the next potential moves as TIAUSDT establishes itself at this elevated level.
Ethereum (ETH) Consolidation Continues, Potential Breakout AheadCurrent Situation:
Ethereum's daily chart remains unchanged as the price consolidates within its current range. The longer this consolidation continues, the larger the anticipated breakout could be.
Trade Position:
Currently positioned long on ETH, but traders should be cautious of a potential stop-hunt that might trigger a flush to the downside before the significant move occurs.
Key Level to Watch:
Support Level: $2,350 – This is the critical area to monitor if a downside flush happens.
Stay vigilant and prepared for potential volatility as the consolidation phase unfolds.
#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Cryptocurrency #Consolidation #SupportAndResistance #Breakout #Volatility
Aug 22Overview:
The S&P 500 corrected by 1.17%, as more turbulence is expected in its attempt to break the all-time high (ATH). The chances of a 1.73% rise on Friday are slim, but we still have one more week of a relatively calm August to set some bull traps. Thursday saw a correction for BTC, but it managed to hold the crucial $60.2 level, attempting to break it three times. This establishes a new range of $60.2 to $63.1, where some long positions could be taken with a properly tight stop-loss (SL).
Over the last three weeks—specifically on Sunday, the 4th, 11th, and 18th—BTC has closed with red candles, highlighting the strength of the bears, who appear to be preparing for the upcoming week by selling BTC. There's no indication this week will be any different, so consider holding long positions until Sunday, then look into taking profits or even shorting.
Weekly (W) : For the fourth week in a row, we’re holding the $58.2 level. Wicks are attempting to push lower, but the bulls remain strong. This still allows some room for a bullish scenario if we can break and hold the $63.1 level. However, with a potentially difficult September ahead, there's little to suggest extreme optimism towards this risky and still relatively alternative asset. No divergence observed.
Daily (D): The main event on the daily timeframe is BTC’s escape from the daily range and breaking the Bollinger Bands moving average (BB MA). However, if we consider more recent daily levels, the trading range widens, and BTC has yet to break out of it, with resistance at $61.6. No divergence observed.
4-Hour (4h) : No divergence or signs of a reversal. BTC is approaching its sixth attempt to break the $61.6 resistance.
1-Hour (1h): Showed some weakness in its attempt to break and stay above $61.6, as bears activated and pushed it down. It’s now trading below the BB MA.
Alts Relative to BTC: Altcoins have been pumping at twice the rate of BTC. NEAR, SUI, APT, TAO, and FTM are all up by 4-7%. This growth is expected to continue through Friday and into the weekend.
Bull Case: Same as yesterday. We believe BTC has found its bottom, and once more liquidity flows into the market, possibly following an interest rate cut, BTC will rally. The combination of the last week of August, followed by a small correction, could lead to further gains.
Bear Case: The economy may be in worse shape than anticipated, and even with four interest rate cuts by the end of the year, we could still be in a recession.
Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 48.45, slightly lower than yesterday’s 49.59. This is surprising, given that BTC has been on the rise for the last three weeks since the crash.
Prediction: Expect growth in the last week of August, followed by a slump in the first two weeks of September, and then a downturn.
Opportunities: On the weekly (W) and 4-hour (4h) charts, watch for divergences in major alts like BINANCE:NEARUSDT NEAR, BINANCE:APTUSDT APT, BINANCE:ARUSDT AR, $BINANCE:RNDRUSDT RNDR, BINANCE:TAOUSDT TAO, and BINANCE:FTMUSDT FTM. All have RSI above 70. Wait for Friday to see if MACD divergences emerge as this initial push weakens and they approach weekly resistance levels.
SKALE #SKL is positioned nicely versus Ethereumright in accumulation zone
which was a previous launchpad for good gains versus #ETH
can it do it again?
Well odds favour YES
and you have a well defined area/level that if you see skale breakdown on this ratio you can abandon the trade.
But I believe Skale can go on a Run
Gasless Gaming blockchains are very much needed if #Crypto is to succeed in bringing millions of more people into this space.
DOLLAR down BITCOIN upThe DOLLAR is the worlds #1 trade and reserve currency
#GOLD is the KING of Anti Fiat
#Bitcoin is attempting to replace GOLD in the mindshare of people
(to a certain extent it has, considering from where it started from just a brief 15 years ago)
So observing the major trends of the #DXY is crucial to determine how to place your bets
and how much risk you should be taking on.
*** The caveat being that the DXY is just measuring the dollar mainly against the Euro and various other major Fiats that become more worthless over the years ... so these decades long gyrations don't actual show you how poorly these #fiat currencies store your value.****
I believe #Crypto is on the cusp of some spectacular returns
The #BTC.d will soon reverse
You will see #Ethereum and the # altcoins gain some real strength once grayscale has sold down much of it's ETH holdings.
The 4 year cycle is back on track ... after running too soon in the cycle.
Historically Q4 of a Bitcoin halving year is the start of some explosive up moves.
We have been waiting 4 years for this...
Do you want to wait another 4 years for 2028 to experience the next Crypto meltup?
Aug 21Overview:
There were no surprises in the Fed’s meeting minutes. "Officials were confident about the direction of inflation and are ready to start easing policy if the data continues to cooperate." However, too many traders are interpreting this as “on September 18th, my $stonks go up.” Don’t be one of them.
VANTAGE:SP500 posted another green candle, but momentum is slowing as it approaches its ALH, now just 0.82% away. We might see it by the end of the week, reducing the chances of $ BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC crashing this weekend.
$63.2k is still a possibility for BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC as it slowly inches closer, needing only a 4.28% increase over the next 2-3 weeks.
W: Heading to close this week green. No divergences.
D: Finished Wednesday strong, posting a green candle, solidifying the BB MA breakout, and escaping the $60.2k level, which should now turn into support. Expecting to close the week between $60.2k and $63.2k.
4h: No divergences. Range trading.
1h: No divergences. Range trading.
Alts Relative to BTC: No divergence relative to BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC.
Bull Case: Same as yesterday. We’ve likely passed the bottom (or an intermediate bottom), and with the booming VANTAGE:SP500 , expected rate cuts each month, and more institutional money flowing into risky assets in September, we should continue marching up. IPO stocks, small-cap tech stocks, and crypto are poised to benefit.
Bear Case: Same as yesterday.
Fear and Greed Index: Slowly trending higher, now almost exactly in the middle at 49.59. Untradeable.
Prediction: Close this week green, then grow to $63k next week before a drop.
Opportunities:
BINANCE:UNIUSDT UNI Expected to complete its move to $7.52, offering a 7.87% gain.
BINANCE:ARUSDT AR, BINANCE:APTUSDT APT, BINANCE:TAOUSDT TAO Have shown better price action in the last couple of days and may continue trading higher next week, as BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC stays within its range. These moves are not indicator-driven, so proceed with extreme caution and tight stop-losses.
ETHUSD - Ethereum will go below 2500 dollars?!Ethereum is below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the 4H timeframe and is trading in its medium-term bearish channel
If the upward and downward movement continues towards the specified supply and demand zone, you can look for Ethereum buying and selling positions with the appropriate risk reward
It should be noted that these zones are at the intersection with Ethereum's weekly pivot and transactions in these areas will be short-term.
Aug 20Overview:
For the first time in the last six trading days, the S&P 500 closed with a red candle (-0.20%), even though its wick extended higher than the previous trading day. The key macroeconomic event to watch this week is the release of the "Minutes of the Fed's July FOMC meeting" on Wednesday, which will provide insights into the discussions and debates among Federal Reserve officials, revealing their views on the current state of the economy.
Overall, this week might be relatively calm as the market anticipates potential rate cuts, election outcomes, and TradFi executives wrapping up their vacations. For example, much of Western Europe essentially shuts down in August, with many French citizens heading to the south of France, Germans traveling to Turkey, and Italians and Spaniards taking a more relaxed approach to work all year round.
By the way, it's been a while since we’ve seen any major hacks or rug pulls in the crypto space. Imagine running the 15th largest crypto exchange and starting to see diminishing returns as enthusiasm for the current bull run fades. You also notice more consolidation among the top 2-3 CEXs, while DEXs are gaining traction and cutting into your profits. This grim outlook might lead to some troubling thoughts cooking up. Although FTX filed for bankruptcy on November 12th, and BTC at that time dropped by 70%, we still have time to make informed decisions as we sit at the end of August. Remember: not your keys, not your crypto ...cough ...cough Lido...
Alts Relative to BTC:
Alts haven’t diverged much from BTC, but on the 4-hour chart, ETH shows a small MACD divergence between Sunday the 18th and Tuesday the 20th, with SOL showing it even more clearly. This suggests that while BTC remains within its daily range, alts are showing more weakness. Only AR and TAO have shown positive price action in the last two days. We know about the Grayscale news regarding the TAO trust, but what’s driving AR?
In the DeFi sector, AAVE continues to pump.
Bull Case:
We’ve reached the bottom and are now heading upward. Alts are already at their lows, and major institutional investors and governments haven’t even started accumulating the new digital gold. The world’s major economies are relatively healthy, and in 3-4 years, we might look back at 2024 as the bottom and the end of the "COVID economy." More money could flow into risky and alternative assets like crypto.
Bear Case:
Despite the macro outlook, crypto has likely reached its intermediate bull run, driven mainly by ETF demand without any major crypto breakthroughs or new use cases like DeFi. In reality, only a few market participants hadn’t yet entered the crypto space and needed an institutional vehicle like an ETF.
Fear and Greed Index:
45.39. The index has flattened over the last three days, mirroring BTC’s price, indicating neither strong buy nor sell opportunities.
Weekly: Range trading, slowly moving toward the BB MA, which it may reach within the next two weeks (conveniently the last two weeks of August).
Daily: BTC continues to trade within its daily range. It broke above the BB MA, but no significant pump followed. Bulls appear weak and may need more accumulation, a "whale push," or this might not be the time. Was it a fake-out?
4-Hour: Range trading, no divergences.
1-Hour: Range trading, no divergences.
Prediction:
Range trading with a possible spike up to $62k.
Opportunities:
SOL: Shows a bearish divergence on the 4-hour timeframe but could quickly reverse if BTC prints a green candle.
TON: Has completed the "Motive" part of Elliott’s wave pattern. In about 40 hours, it might finish the B wave, presenting a short opportunity that could last through the entire C wave down.
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