BRIEFING Week #44: Ready For a Wild Ride ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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D-ETH
Ethereum's Potential Drop: Key Zones to Watch for Reversalhello guys.
Trendline Break: Ethereum has broken below a significant ascending trendline, signaling potential bearish momentum.
Engulfing Pattern: The price shows a bearish engulfing pattern after breaking the trendline, indicating further downside could be ahead.
Next Target Zone: Price action suggests that Ethereum could target the next support area around $2,300, which aligns with the 0.66 Fibonacci retracement level, as shown in the purple zone.
RSI Divergence: Previous highs displayed a bearish divergence on the RSI, reinforcing the bearish sentiment after the recent top.
Bearish Continuation: A retest of the broken trendline near $2,410–$2,450 is possible, but a failure to reclaim it could lead to further downside.
ETH to $25K - No Joke - BUY & HODLEthereum is at levels not seen since the Crypto Stone Age.
The Crypto Markets will start BOOMING!
ETH ( ETHUSD , ETHUSDT , ETHEUR ) is getting ready to go Bullish.
When? Early '23.
The Fibonacci Time Zones and Cycles tell me that the 3rd Fibonacci Summation is NOW.
So, I reckon Cryptos are getting ready for something BIG.
I do see a last drop before that though.
From Jan '18 until Dec '18 ETH had a whooping 94% crash.
We're only at 82% from Nov '21 top. So I am waiting with buying interest for a much better level.
I am buying big dips, adding value.
If you look at the Ellipse, Ethereum is doing the same pattern it did on the previous Bear Market.
Hmmm...
I've decided on my best BUY level: $550 .
Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave A-B-C Pattern
* Jan '18 - Dec '18 Fractal Sequence
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* Harmonic Pattern: Bullish Cypher
* Fibonacci Extensions Confluence
* Bullish Divergence
* Demand Zone
What more do you need?
Oh yeah, a much better price. :D
We went to the Moon, now let's go to Mars!
ETHEREUM - Time to buy again!The BINANCE:ETHUSDT is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD). also a bullish Hidden Divergence (HD+) on MACD which shows Positive Signs for ETH.
Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move, If the triangle breaks, we expect a new ATH to occur, but in new year.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
$ETH going to the moon!BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
Repeat this trade.
On the chart we can see that the correction I mentioned earlier is underway.
The price is now at the Fibonacci level, which could be the reversal point of this movement.
Also, the price may go a little lower to gain more volume at the support level.
After that a longing pattern will be formed. And the movement will continue towards the strong resistance level and there will be a final denouement. If the price is able to break the resistance level, we will go to take a take, if not, we will have to move the stop.
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Ethereum New Update (Road Map)According to the data we have from various indexes, such as Tether's dominance or Bitcoin, it seems that the most likely scenario for Ethereum is a large diametric.
The red range is a strong supply that is expected to be unreactive when the price reaches it.
We are looking for sell/short positions in the red range.
Closing a daily candle below the invaliation level will violate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
The One&Only BTCUSD update price fractal V-shape recovery 74 000🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4 hour price chart for BTCUSD . This is
no-nonsense update with no MACD, no RSI, no fibonacci, no elliott waves
on the price chart. Just pure price action with logical price targets based
on recent price history of the BTCUSD.
🔸On the right we got two major recent V-shape recovery price fractals
in BTCUSD, the latest was in September 2024, high at 64 300 then low
was printed at 54 146 after 17% pullback. Then low to new high at 66 114
completed the V-shape recovery sequence for a 23% gain off the lows.
🔸Other V-shape recovery also started off with the high near 72 994
then 17% pullback and low was printed at 61 919, so this was a 16% pullback
off the highs. Then the low to new high at 72 520 completed the V-shape
recovery sequence for a 19% gain off the lows. This was in March 2024.
🔸On the left, the current market situation high was set at 72 680
expecting a low at/near 61 969, so this is a 16% pullback off the highs.
Then to complete the V-shape recovery price will pump 20/21% off the lows
resulting in new high printed at/near 74 600 usd to complete the
V-shape recovery sequence.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for pullback to complete near 62 000 usd and enter BUY/HOLD trade with price target set at/near 74 000 USD.
for a total of 20% unleveraged gains with low risk. good luck traders!
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The latest bull attack this monthTo date, the market is clearly working out according to the planned plan. We are still collecting work-outs, but it is worth being on the alert as we approach the end of the month. As the middle of the month progressed, we expected to see a wave of growth to consolidate the monthly bullish candle. As I wrote in the last review, as we approach the end of the month, we should expect a second wave of growth to finally consolidate the month bullish on the tops. Against this background, a new wave of growth began with the flips of monthly candlesticks and altos.
As always, the opening level of the new month will be of great importance. The opening levels of the half-year and quarter still technically support growth, but there is an extremely negative picture with a growing dollar and falling oil, which puts a lot of pressure on the crypt and increases the activity of sellers, which is why we have already seen a stronger correction from the 2750 ether test than expected. The 2500 level was broken again, which indicates a breakdown of the bullish trend and gives a signal for a new attempt to go to 2000 in the future. The next month is the central one in the quarter and the final direction for the end of the year and the five-year plan will be chosen, which can lead to a very strong increase in volatility and new large drawdowns for the altos. Given this picture, after collecting the latest developments this week, it is worth carefully weighing money management and reducing positions in the work before determining the direction of the new month.
Most of the coins that I have taken into work show good dynamics and are in the top of growth, troy has shown itself most well. Most of the goals were taken, so far I'm not considering it anymore. Among the coins without a monitoring tag, only vib remained the most attractive, with a likely increase by a retest of 0.125-150 and above. The weekly candle opened quite negatively on the ast. Unpleasant signals were also left for a new local fracture. Today, it was not possible to gain a foothold above 0.1 and give a local overshoot of the previous momentum. In addition, the ast was delisted with okx, which is an additional negative signal and a reason for a local fracture. In this regard, I reduced my position on the 0.1 test. For now, there is a possibility of a higher breakdown in the coming days when fixing above 0.1, but with a lower probability in my opinion than for vib.
In addition to vib, among the coins of binance, only coins with the monitoring tag remained in the most oversold position. Such assets are often the last to grow and may show good momentum in the coming days. OAX still has the top potential among them, with the nearest targets at a retest of the range 0.20-25 and an exit to the test of 0.35 in an optimistic scenario. Secondly, I am again considering the work of pros, a partnership with which was announced last week by Metalpha. The immediate goal for him, while maintaining the current emission, is a retest of the 0.50-75 range and a test of 1.0 under an optimistic scenario. Also, waves of growth up to 30-50% can still show vite and hard. When choosing the position size, do not forget that coins with the monitoring tag, although they have the greatest growth potential, still retain the probability of delisting.
To save funds in the medium term, gft looks the most interesting so far due to its high liquidity.
$ETH Is This the Perfect Entry Point or a Trap?BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
On the chart we can see that the correction I mentioned earlier is underway.
The price is now at the Fibonacci level, which could be the reversal point of this movement.
Also, the price may go a little lower to gain more volume at the support level.
After that a longing pattern will be formed. And the movement will continue towards the strong resistance level and there will be a final denouement. If the price is able to break the resistance level, we will go to take a take, if not, we will have to move the stop.
Entry data:
Entry: 2580
SL: 2468
TP: 2952
ETHEREUM is 1.1 TRILLION DOLLARS less valuable than BITCOINor -78%
The flippening was a common narrative.
ETH as hard money was also a narrative - in reality only when gas is exorbitant.
ETH as a world computer was the early narrative.
Bitcoin deserves it entry on to the world stage cycle.
ETH can become a 1 Trillion dollar + network.
Sharding and splintering of the network effects of the mainet clearly is not value creating. Splitting of communities and economic energy was the result.
Solana flippening is a good narrative that we are following this cycle.
Coins are the product of these smart contract platforms.
At the moment the best coin factory is SOL.
BTC is scarce. No coins are allowed to be created on it's. The Bitcoin forks had the stink of a founder, a human attached to it's network ... not what capital allocators.
They wanted a autonomous network that runs by itself and ossificatoin of the code. A complicated spaghetti bowl of code that the core dev team refuse to tinker with.
The results is clear at this point in time.
For altcoins to follow the rise of BTC, ETH needs to rise
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-------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1M chart)
In order for altcoins to show an upward trend, BTC dominance must be in a downward trend.
Otherwise, altcoins are likely to fail to follow the movement of BTC and gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
You should not judge the market movement solely based on the rise or fall of BTC dominance.
At least you should look at it together with the USDT dominance chart.
You can tell to some extent whether the coin market price is rising or falling by looking at whether USDT dominance is falling or rising.
To summarize the above,
- BTC dominance rises: Funds are concentrated toward BTC
- BTC dominance falls: Funds are concentrated toward altcoins
- USDT dominance rises: Coin market is likely to show a downward trend
- USDT dominance falls: Coin market is likely to show an upward trend
--------------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
In any case, ETH is the coin with the largest market cap among non-BTC coins.
Therefore, it is likely that BTC dominance will show a downward trend only when ETH starts to rise.
-
Currently, ETH is stuck in the box range (2273.58-2706.15).
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W chart is showing a convergence as it passes near the 2666.70-2706.15 section.
Therefore, if the price rises above the 2666.70-2706.15 section and maintains, ETH is expected to form an upward trend.
Therefore, whether it can break through the 2666.70-2706.15 section upward is the key.
-
If the price maintains above 2706.15, it is expected to rise to around 3265.0-3321.30 and determine the trend again.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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ETH bear flag or consolidation at support?ETH is a structure that is at critical levels of support. Both a bullish and a bearish thesis can be argued here. Regardless of the bias, an invalidation can placed at the structure boundaries. Bullish divergence is clear on the momentum indicator, which is a good sign. However, does Ethereum have what it takes to pivot here?
ETH Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Could Ignite Rally to $3,500ETH/USDT is currently attempting to break out of a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart, a pattern that typically represents a period of consolidation before a strong directional move. The price has been coiling between a horizontal resistance zone around $2,750 and a rising support trendline, building tension for a potential breakout. Currently priced at $2,628.72, Ethereum has gained over 6% today, showing signs of upward momentum. If this breakout occurs, it could confirm a continuation of the broader bullish trend, with the next target for Ethereum sitting around $3,500.
From a technical perspective, symmetrical triangles are considered neutral patterns, but the current market conditions suggest a bullish breakout is more likely. The increasing volume and positive price action leading up to the resistance level are bullish indicators. If Ethereum clears the $2,750-$2,800 range convincingly, the measured move from the height of the triangle suggests a potential upside target of $3,500. However, failure to break could lead to further consolidation within the pattern, and traders should watch for a decisive move above resistance before entering long positions. Overall, the breakout scenario presents a favorable risk-reward setup for bulls aiming for $3,500 in the short to medium term.
Could Ethereum drop from here?The price has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 2,651.09
1st Support: 2,557.66
1st Resistance: 2,766.07
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$MATH at the crossroadsNASDAQ:MATH doesn't always respect trends and has even broke through them before without much fanfare. It has been idle for awhile now and converging on decision time. If it breaks down, I do not expect it to go lower than my green buy box. However, if it breaks up, I do think it will hit some nice take-profits. Dream scenario is the end of my zig-zag line. Lol.
ETHUSD: 12 weeks of bottom formation finally over. 4900 is next.Ethereum has just turned bullish on 1D but remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.413, MACD = -97.490, ADX = 28.674) as the price is on the 12th straight week of consolidation inside the 1W MA50-MA200 range. This sideways trading is being performed at the bottom of the Channel Up that started in June 2022 and has already seen three major bullish waves. Once the 1W MA50, we will have confirmation that the 4th one is starting. When that happens, aim for no lower than the All Time High (TP = 4,900). The 1W RSI has already crossed over its MA.
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Stand pat!Hey guys and girls,
Here is an updated chart from my (Nov 12, 2023) post
As you can see, this is only half of the battle!
Further targets: $ 74k, $ 84k, and $ 100k
Appendix:
Structure: 5-3-5 (Inverted)
Bitcoin halving countdown: 49 Days
Technical Section:
Wave 5 has two different relationships:
1- If wave 3 is less than 161.8% of wave 1 -----> the 5th Wave overextends itself.
2- If Wave 3 is greater than 161.8% of wave 1 -----> Wave 5 = 100% , 161.8% or 262% of wave 1
The upcoming period may be a bit painful.First of all, I should state that I expect Bitcoin dominance to rise to the 60%-62% range and Bitcoin usually falls in september.
If Bitcoin will fall and at the same time its dominance will rise that's means we may see a strong downtrend in altcoins.
Ethereum has completed its Elliot 5 wave pattern from the bottom and and still in the correction waves. And I think a second wave Elliott correction is needed in the longer term uptrend.
Afterwards, I think 2025 could be a very good year the market and there might be a chance to sell at good prices in 2026.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.