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🇺🇸🇯🇵 USDJPY Weekly Plan – CPI Could Trigger Reversal🌍 Macro Outlook – Inflation in Focus This Week USDJPY is entering a critical week with high-impact US economic releases, particularly inflation and retail sales data, which could strongly influence dollar momentum. 🔔 Key Events (GMT): Tuesday (Jul 15) – US Core CPI, CPI m/m, CPI y/y – Empire State Manufacturing Index Wednesday (Jul 16) – US PPI (Core + Headline) – UK CPI y/y Thursday (Jul 17) – US Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims – GBP Labour Market Report Friday (Jul 18) – US Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations ⚠️ Higher-than-expected inflation could drive USDJPY toward fresh highs. But if data cools or jobs data weakens, JPY strength may pull the pair back down sharply. 📊 Technical Analysis – H4 Smart Money Structure 🔻 SELL ZONE 147.800 – 148.000 SL: 148.300 Weekly high with strong liquidity Diagonal resistance and BOS (Break of Structure) area Rejection expected if CPI cools or yields drop 🟢 BUY REACTION ZONE 144.300 – 144.100 SL: 144.000 FVG + previous supply turned demand Good for a bounce or short-term scalp 🟢 STRONG DEMAND ZONE 142.500 – 142.300 SL: 142.000 Aligned with trendline and structural low Swing entry if price dumps post-news 🧠 Market Structure Insight: USDJPY still trending upwards, but RSI divergence and liquidity sweep suggest correction is likely. Price could form a lower high near 147.800 before retracing to deeper zones. Key confluences align with macro data timing. 🎯 Trade Scenarios 🔹 Scenario 1 – Short Setup Entry: 147.800–148.000 SL: 148.300 TP1: 146.000 TP2: 144.300 TP3: 142.300 (Open if USD weakens) 🔹 Scenario 2 – Reaction Buy Entry: 144.300–144.100 SL: 144.000 TP1: 145.500 TP2: 146.700 TP3: Open 🔹 Scenario 3 – Swing Buy Entry: 142.500–142.300 SL: 142.000 TP1: 144.000 TP2: 146.000 TP3: 147.800 (if trend resumes) 🔍 Key Price Levels to Watch 148.000 – Weekly Liquidity Zone 144.300 – Short-Term Support / Reaction 142.300 – Swing Buy Zone 📣 Analyst’s Note: This week, USDJPY direction hinges on US inflation data. A hot CPI print may push prices toward 148, while weak data could drive a deeper pullback to 144 or 142. Trade smart, manage risk, and don’t chase breakouts before confirmation.
Long
by EliseLunaTraders
USDJPY LONG & SHORT – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | Y25 💼 USDJPY LONG & SHORT – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | Y25 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT USDJPY is currently reaching for a key higher time frame supply zone, looking for price action to show weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence. 🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝 ✅ Daily Order Block (OB) Looking for Strong reaction and early signs of distribution. ✅ 4H Order Block Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition. ✅ 1H Order Block 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. 🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT 📌 The structure is clear. The confluences are stacked. Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY Long potential setupWhat's going on? USDJPY – Reload Zone Marked. If They Take Me Out, I’ll Be Waiting Lower. Discipline means you don’t chase. You wait where the market must return. Currently in 2 buys, one is an added position, then I moved my stop in from the purple line— but if those get wicked out, I’m hunting the next key demand zone just beneath 144.10. Where we'll have a textbook spring setup! 🧠 What I See: We're forming a potential micro accumulation structure. If the current position gets taken out, I’ll reload lower at the spring aligned with the prior reaction low + liquidity sweep zone. 🎯 Next Area of Interest: Zone: 144.00 – 144.10 📌 Target Remains: 144.76 → 145.36 1.618 extension aligns with supply inefficiencies & range completion --- > “Stop loss isn’t failure. It’s recon. The second entry — that’s where pros feast.” I’m not trading emotion. I’m trading plan + precision + execution.
Long
by theeOperator90
WHO LOVES A STRONG JPY ( YEN )BASKET FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25WHO LOVES A STRONG JPY ( YEN )BASKET FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! ✅The JPY Basket tracks the overall strength of the JPY against a weighted average of other currencies. ✅It can be used as an indicator of YEN strength which can be a tool for analysing and potentially hedging for or against the Index. ✅ Pairs to watch - GBPJPY, USDJPY EURJPY, CADJPY, AUDJPY 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
FX:JPYBASKET
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25 Happy Friday Traders, It has been a week of sitting on capital. Being cautious, awaiting for breaks of structures at key areas and not not getting dragged into trades that do not fully present themselves. The clues have been there. The carrot has been continually dangled however as risk managers... You know how the saying goes. We stay true to our trading plan. We hold firm with what we know works. We are aware of our market edge. We know our "perfect" set up does present itself. with that said, we are dynamic! We do of course entertain the "Imperfect" setup. We simply approach with caution. USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25 15' of course, bearish start to the Friday. Perhaps we are asking a lot from UJ today but let's see if we can break 15' structure before taking a deeper look. Bigger picture, We are in a weekly order block in the long direction so all shorts are OFF until further notice. Best of Luck Traders. Continue to manager your capital. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
SMC - UsdJpy 15min update - levels etcReview of where we are looking and if the lows are out .. at least for now.. eyes are above and there are levels here to reach for. Still using the previous marked 1h and weekly levels and important areas of interest for framing the Price Action Happy Trading, -- Doc PS - leave a comment and let me know what you think will happen. Let me know if you see something different if you have more experience with this pair etc. What do you think of the areas of interest and how the price is moving around them etc.
Long
by docholliday