D-US30
US30 | Trade ideaKey Points:
Tesla: Shares fell 1.6% after a report that the company plans to produce a six-seat Model Y in China by late 2025.
Boeing: Dropped 7.3% following a downgrade from Wells Fargo to "underweight" from "equal weight."
Nvidia: Slumped nearly 10%, wiping out a record $279 billion in market value, marking the largest single-day decline for a U.S. company.
U.S. Manufacturing: Edged up in August from an eight-month low but remained subdued, according to ISM data.
Market Performance:
S&P 500 fell 2.1%
Nasdaq dropped 3.3%
Dow declined 1.5%
This marks the biggest daily percentage decline for these indexes since early August.
Nine out of 11 S&P 500 sectors fell, with technology, energy, communication services, and materials leading the decline.
Market Sentiment: Weakened amid concerns about the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, with September being historically one of the worst months for stock market performance.
Volatility: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) jumped 33.2% to 20.72, the highest close since early August.
Trading Volume: Totaled 12.14 billion shares across U.S. exchanges, above the 20-day moving average of nearly 11 billion.
Labor Market: Traders are awaiting labor market reports ahead of the August non-farm payrolls data.
Fed Meeting: Scheduled for Sept. 17-18, with a 63% chance of a 25-basis point rate cut and a 37% chance of a 50-basis point cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Market Breadth: On the NYSE, declining issues outnumbered advancers by 2.52-to-1, while on the Nasdaq, decliners outnumbered advancers by 3.5-to-1.
U.S. Equity Investors Eye CPI Data Amid Fed Rate Cut SpeculationU.S. Equity Investors to Focus on Inflation Data to Gauge Potential Fed Rate Cuts
This week, U.S. equity investors will closely monitor consumer and wholesale price inflation data to assess the likelihood and magnitude of potential interest rate cuts in September.
The Dow Jones is expected to experience heightened volatility, particularly in response to the CPI data and the evolving interest rate environment. The index may attempt to reach 40,670, followed by a potential drop to 40,470 or lower, likely occurring ahead of the CPI release. If the CPI comes in at 2.8% or lower, upward pressure on the price is anticipated. Stabilizing above 40,800 before a decline would signal the end of the bearish correction.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 40,670
Resistance Levels: 40800, 41030, 41340
Support Levels: 40470, 40320, 40000
Expected Trading Range: 40800 - 40320
Trend: Bearish as long as the price remains below 40670.
US30 (Log Chart)- firstly i want to explain what is US30, you can google it :
- US30 is a stock market index designed to measure the performance of 30 large industrial companies based on the average stock price of the components "during a specified period".
- So basically...when u have a Top30, if one company fail, this company is replaced by number 31.
- it's same in football or tennis, if you are in the top30 and u fail to win, you lose your rank and down to 31 right? Then u are not in Top30 anymore ?
- So you are replaced in the Top30 list (but sport is not a Ponzi, it's a real effort to be on the Top of the chain).
- Just made this text to explain how a big Ponzi works.
- Companies in US30 are not Ponzi because they work hard to stay in the Top30.
- but in matter of " Efforts", if you have the power to create your own money, you can do everything, and also buy your own stocks.
- Hope u get it.
- So when i read some peoples speak Bitcoin is a Ponzi, it makes me smile.
- it's clear that they didn't read at all Satoshi's White paper, or they are hypocritical.
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- Thirteen years ago today, Satoshi released the Bitcoin genesis block - block 0.
- Embedded in it was a quote, “The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks".
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To be a precursor, you need to know the future, Satoshi knew the future.
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- So let's back to the chart :
- from 2009 to 2020. 11 years. DowJones was just perma bullish all the time with some small ridiculous dips.
- you can see how US30 Reacted during Covid worst pandemic situation in the world.
- after a fast dip in 2020 caused by Covid news.
- US30 went up for 672 days ( annotated in chart ) during a 2 years frustrating and painful lockdown.
- so it means those Top30 companies weren't affected by this pandemic situation.
- Really Weird.
- Actually imho, i think they were just preparing the actual dip, but this is just my own view.
- honestly, i just hope my US30 analysis fails.
- it would means that this time, governments are starting to be honest.
Happy Tr4Ding !
US30 / DJ30 / DJI Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist US30 / DJ30 / DJI Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 1H timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style
US30: Sell Opportunity After Red Line RejectionUS30 has shown a strong rejection at the red line, signaling a potential sell trade. Keep an eye on price action as it approaches the green levels—possible bounce zones where a reversal could occur. These key areas may provide both continuation and counter-trend opportunities for day traders.
Got questions about these lines? Drop a comment, and follow for more real-time insights!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly!
XAUUSD | Trade idea- **Gold Price:** Gold is holding above $2,500 ahead of the US Non-Farm Payroll data, having reached a high of $2,523 yesterday and currently trading around $2,517.
- **US Economy Expectations:**
- August Non-Farm Payroll is expected to increase by 164,000, up from 114,000 in the previous month.
- Unemployment rate is expected to rise to 6.5%, from 6.4%.
- **Rate Cut Probability:** The likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has decreased to 57% from 70% a week ago (CME Fed Watch Tool).
- **US Dollar Index:**
- Bullish outlook with minor support around 101.20/100.50.
- Near-term resistance at 102/102.80.
- **Gold Price Drivers:**
- **Global Stock Market:** Bearish, which is positive for gold.
- **US Dollar Index:** Bullish, which is negative for gold.
- **US 10-Year Bond Yield:** Bearish, positive for gold.
- **Technical Analysis:**
- **Support:** Near-term support at $2,470; a break below targets $2,449/$2,430.
- **Resistance:** Minor resistance at $2,520; a break above could lead to $2,525/$2,530.
US30: A record Higher High is On The Way $43000! Swing TradeBLACKBULL:US30
Fundamentals supports our idea, while looking at the technical side we can confirm that price will drop around 39k to 39.5k this is the zone which remain a key level for the big buyers. Ideally we would wait for price to approach our key level and then take buy entry. However, we might see early price mitigation around $40000 region. Good luck.
DOW JONES correction to extend until the Fed.Dow Jones (DJI) did what we expected of it 3 weeks ago (August 13, see chart below) and after pricing a Higher Low at the bottom of the 5-month Channel Up, it rebounded and reached the All Time High (ATH), pricing a Higher High:
In continuation of that analysis, we now expect the new Bearish Leg to extend to possibly as low as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which was the case with the May 30 pull-back.
The 1D RSI suggests that a 35.00 value would be ideal to signal a buy (same as May 30, see how both RSI fractals priced the top on the 70.00 overbought limit), while a Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD would be the final confirmation of the buy.
Our long-term Target remains 42400 (+11.00% from the Higher Low, the same % rise as the July 18 High).
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S&P500 INDEX (US500): Strong Intraday Bearish Signal
Update for US500.
Earlier, we spotted a breakout of a support line of a horizontal
trading range on a daily.
Retesting a broken structure, the market formed a symmetrical triangle
pattern on a 4H time frame.
Bearish breakout of the support of the triangle gives us a strong intraday bearish signal.
We can anticipate a bearish continuation now.
First goal - 5450
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
US30 , Today 09/05/2024 Strategy - Sell Or Buy ?!Strategy Overview:
In this chart of the US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average Index), the price action is forming a rising channel within the 15-minute timeframe. The trendlines highlighted suggest potential buy and sell zones based on the interactions with these lines.
Key Elements:
Trendline Structure:
Buy Side: The lower trendline is acting as dynamic support. Each time the price touches this line, there's a buying opportunity, which has resulted in several bullish movements in the past.
Sell Side: The upper trendline represents resistance. When the price approaches this area, it faces selling pressure.
Trading Strategy:
Buying Strategy: A buy trade can be initiated if the price retraces back to the Buy Side trendline (around 40,937), with a stop loss placed just below this support line. The target would be a movement toward the upper Sell Side trendline (near 41,043).
Selling Strategy: A sell trade can be considered when the price reaches or slightly breaks through the Sell Side trendline. A stop loss can be placed above this level, with a target back down towards the Buy Side.
Confirmation with RSI:
The RSI indicator shows both overbought and oversold conditions frequently, which complements the trendline strategy. Currently, RSI is around neutral, meaning there’s potential for either direction depending on where the price moves next within the channel.
Conclusion:
This strategy uses both support and resistance levels created by the rising channel to define entry and exit points for buy and sell positions. The interaction of the price with these trendlines, along with RSI confirmation, provides a clear framework for making trading decisions in this timeframe.
US30: First green dayHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2 ✅
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, first green day signal potentially is a sign of bullish move, I will be waiting for a 3 session setup dump and pump in the day itself, after all the news. All the trades will be taken after 10am NYT.
Short: secondary, although the signal day, I can't exclude a scalp setup back into the LOW, retesting the area for the main trade on tomorrow.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
US30 / Bearish Bias Below 41,030 Amid Key Economic Data ReleasesADP, Unemployment rate, and ISM figures are set to be released today.
The price followed a bullish trend yesterday but has since corrected to the resistance at 41,030.
A sustained position below 41,030 will reinforce the bearish trend, potentially driving the price towards 40,800 and 40,480. Conversely, a 4-hour candle close above 41,030 would signal a continuation of the bullish trend, with targets at 41,180 and 41,345.
These economic reports are likely to have a significant impact on market movements.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 41,030
Resistance Levels: 41180, 41345, 41550
Support Levels: 40810, 40690, 40470
Expected Trading Range: 41180 - 40690
Trend: Bearish while below 41030.
US30/DOW30 - Preparing stageTeam, we are preparing to short US30 once the price set up confirm at 41035-50. However if the price continue to pass the above price 41150 then we need to review again. Please do not enter yet. We would prefer to trade during US marketing opening.
if it go according to our plan, Short will be place around 41035-50, with stop loss at 41232.40
TARGET 1 - 40898.40
TARGET 2 - 40603.10
TARGET 3 - 40297.70
We will update once we are in the market, please check our update comment below the chart. Thank you