US30 Bearish 4HTF(4H Div, Dow BOS)US30 showing bearish momentum supported by 4H Divergence and DOW Break of Structure (BOS). Based on the seasonality chart of last 30 years, US30 performs bearish in the month of September.
Entry is taken as Sell Stop slightly below the previous HL.
SL is placed above previous HH
TP is taken based on 1:1 and 1:2 R:R.
Note: Break Even if TP1 hits.
What do you think, will it work?
D-US30
US30 shortsHere is why:
- I believe that US30 is due for a very strong uptrend in the near future. However, orders are not enough to take the pair to all time highs.
- Hence, we saw the rush of downward momentum.
- There is a bearish setup on the 4 hour timeframe and the targets are 40,583
- I am currently looking to sell the pair, but I have to wait for more confluence.
- The best possible scenario, is if price tests 40,950 before I look to sell the pair to 40,580
- Another scenario I would sell the pair is if it forms a setup at 40,790 during the new york session.
- For now, I sit on my hands as I wait for the pair to give me more confluence to sell.
US30 longHere is why:
- Price broke all time highs, therefore there is evidence of price going higher
- The monthly, weekly and daily candlestick closures are showing evidence that price is definitely going higher.
- On the 4 hour timeframe I can see that price has reached a major level of resistance. However, there is no convincing rejection, indicating that price is going higher.
- I would have to wait for a convincing buy pattern, before I enter long. Therefore I am waiting for buy confluences to form on the 4 hour timeframe. Moreover, I would have to wait for the New York session before I make any move.
Breaking down Dow Jones Elliott WavesThe above chart is my main hypothesis for the Elliott Wave count of Dow Jones which represents the Elliott Wave Analysis of the Bull Market Post 2008 financial crisis.
Kindly read all the details to better understand the Elliott Wave analysis and how Elliott Waves can be used to give us an edge in trading.
Currently it looks like we are in an Ending Diagonal waves. The reason we are in Ending Diagonal Wave 3 instead of Wave B of ABC flat is because we are too far up now for our current market to be considered in wave B of an ABC flat.
The 2008 crisis bear market was an ABC flat, if you look, we crashed at that time when Wave B was at around 138% of Wave A.
I have attached sub wave structure of the rally we have seen so far after the COVID crash.
I have explained my reasoning for my wave counts in the chart which you can take a look.
Now moving further inside our sub waves, below chart shows the sub wave structure of the ABC wave we are in since 27 October, 2023
Further moving inside our sub waves, the chart below shows the breakdown waves of our this year move. Once all the waves shown in the below chart finish, we should see a correction towards our Post COVID peak price levels.
US30 Poised for Consolidation with Bearish Bias Below Key LevelThe price reached our targets perfectly, The US30 is expected to consolidate between 41,345 and 41,030 until a breakout occurs.
Stability above 41,365 will support a rise towards 41,760.
Stability below 41,365 will favor a decline towards 41,030, with a move below this level indicating a bearish trend to 40800 and 40480
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 41345
Resistance Levels: 41450, 41720
Support Levels: 41180, 41030, 40800
Expected Trading Range Today: The price is likely to fluctuate between support at 40800 and resistance at 41365.
Trend: Bearish as long as the price remains below 41365.
previous idea:
Possible setups for tomorrow after unemployment rate news We have filled the fair value gap from the 15 min TF. US30 has been bullish on the 1h, 4h and 1D Timeframe. Which gives us more confirmation that we might still be bullish. As i said in my last post if trend line was broken we might see a break to ATH, but for that to happen we needed high volume news, yesterday there was no news. we were bearish for the day, but yesterday makes my bias even stronger since the gap was filled and we touched a support area and then bounced on that area back up. Tomorrow at 8:30AM there is unemployment claims news, Forecast is expected to be the same as previous. If it stays the same we might see some consolidation or even bearish movements. But if claims were better than expected probability of breaking ATH is HIGH. Heres what i suggest if actual unemployment claims show up lower than previous and forecast.
1) go to 5 min TF find a good bullish entry with confirmation.
2) If and when price gets to ATH, move your SL to breakeven and take off half of your profit.
3) Keep dragging your SL 30 pips under the actual price after it breaks ATH.
Remember Trading is all about increasing your probability %, nothing is 100%. So keep your risk management tight and keep an eye on it and keep your charts simple.
Possible setups for tomorrow after unemployment rate news We have filled the fair value gap from the 15 min TF. US30 has been bullish on the 1h, 4h and 1D Timeframe. Which gives us more confirmation that we might still be bullish. As i said in my last post if trend line was broken we might see a break to ATH, but for that to happen we needed high volume news, yesterday there was no news. we were bearish for the day, but yesterday makes my bias even stronger since the gap was filled and we touched a support area and then bounced on that area back up. Tomorrow at 8:30AM there is unemployment claims news, Forecast is expected to be the same as previous. If it stays the same we might see some consolidation or even bearish movements. But if claims were better than expected probability of breaking ATH is HIGH. Heres what i suggest if actual claims show up higher than previous and forecast.
1) go to 5 min TF find a good bullish entry with confirmation.
2) If and when price gets to ATH, move your SL to breakeven and take off half of your profit.
3) Keep dragging your SL 30 pips under the actual price after it breaks ATH.
Remember Trading is all about increasing your probability %, nothing is 100%. So keep your risk management tight and keep an eye on it.
US30 Buy ZoneStep one
* Market creates a sell structure @ 41169
Step two
* Market breaks through support @ 40953
Step Three
* Market breaks towards low of 40750 and quickly recovers in price action. Rally?
Step 4
*Economic data sends the Dow jones back to the resistance zones in step 1 & 2. Recovers to rally to an all time high of 41,500 or 42,000 and quickly sells.
US30 / Reached ATH, then downside or yet...Futures Inch Up with Focus on Interest Rates and Nvidia Results
The price reached its all-time high as we anticipated yesterday before pulling back. The US30 is expected to consolidate between 41,345 and 41,030 until a breakout occurs.
Stability above 41365 will support a rise towards 41760.
Stability below 41365 will favor a decline towards 41030, with a move below this level indicating a bearish trend for the week.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 41180
Resistance Levels: 41365, 41450, 41720
Support Levels: 41030, 40810, 40480
Expected Trading Range Today: The price will likely fluctuate between support at 40800 and resistance at 41430.
Trend: Bearish as long as the price remains below 41345.
previous idea:
US30 Daily/4hr/1hrBefore:
Pre Analysis: Looking for price to respect 41,230 to take long position. In this area we've had multiple rejections which formed a beautiful 1hr support. On the 1hr we can see a possible liquidity grab around 41,180 where on a higher timeframe (Weekly + Daily structure) we have respected putting in HL.
After:
41,230 Area respected again putting in bullish momentum.
US30 / DJ30 / DJI Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideMy Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Newbies,
This is our master plan to Heist US30 / DJ30 / DJI Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
DOW JONES The pattern that never failed is now targeting 48000Dow Jones (DJI) gave us the best bullish break-out signal of the year 8 months ago (December 13 2023, see chart below), as our buy entry at 36577 is very close to hitting our 42900 Target:
At that time we made a clear point why that rally 'shouldn't surprise you' and now you see why. This 1W time-frame chart shows the cyclical behavior of the index, which peaks (Sine Wave top) then pulls back and starts forming a Rising Wedge (Sine Wave bottom) and when it breaks above the Rising Wedge, is where it flashed the bullish break-out signal we got back in December.
As you can see it then starts a gradual rise on the BB20 and completes the Cycle again (Sine Wave top) after roughly a +47% rally. The title mentions that this pattern 'never failed', in practice it only broke during the COVID flash crash, which is a non-technical event than occurs once every 100 years. As you can see even the 1W MACD sequences between the cyclical patterns are identical.
As a result, our Target towards the Sine Wave peak is 48000.
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Prepare to short US30 - read belowTeam, I am preparing to short US30 once the price pull down toward 41165, then I would set stop loss at 41260 with target at 40930-40876
Option 2 - If the US continue uptrend, wait until it hit 41230 ranges, then SHORT, with stop loss at 41285, while target at 41115, then 40930.
DYOR
DJI 8/26~30 LONG Forecast
1D Chart / LONG
Technical Grounds
-NV > +250M
-TV Strong buy
-LinReg Pearson <0.95
-Pivots HL still Long-Green
-LinReg > 90 degrees (uptrend)
-Reverse Head & Shoulders Formation
-NV shows a declination trend of negative bars
-Price crossed up SMA100, SMA20 & LinReg Mid Line
-Price crossed up index resistance on past Aug 15th
-Price level far from cyclic ending point of Sep 13th
-POLITICAL FACTOR: Elections coming / +Media Influence
-Fed announcing interest rate cuts (as political influence in elections / investors mindset)
SHIBUSDT / LONG ....
US30/DJ30 Bullish Robbery Plan on Long SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist DOW JONES US3O market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Dow Jones Index (US30): New All Time High Soon?!
US30 may update the all time high soon.
The market closed, testing a major daily structure resistance
based on a current all time high.
A bullish breakout of the underlined blue area will give us a strong bullish signal.
A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 42000.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
US30 4H / Continuation to 40030 and then...Equities Rise as Fed Minutes Indicate September Rate Cut Likely
Current Technical Outlook:
The trend suggests a potential upward movement as long as the price stays above 40,860. The market is expected to consolidate between 41,030 and 40,850 until a breakout occurs.
Bullish Scenario:
Stability above 40,850, could drive an increase toward 41,030, with further gains potentially leading to 41,345.
Bearish Scenario:
Should the price reverse and stabilize below the pivot line at 40,800, a bearish trend may emerge, targeting 40,480 and 40,320.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 40900
Resistance Lines: 41030, 41345, 41600
Support Lines: 40800, 40660, 40470
Expected Trading Range Today:
The price is likely to fluctuate between support at 40800 and resistance at 41130.
Trend: Upward movement.
Don't miss the great SEE Opportunity in US30The chart predicts a bearish reversal from the identified selling zone near 41,000, with potential targets around 40,820 and 40,780. The arrows indicate the possibility of a downtrend following the price's interaction with the selling zone.
This analysis suggests that a short position might be considered if the price shows rejection in the selling zone. However, monitoring the market closely for confirmation signals before executing any trades is always important.