US30 Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 42,645.7.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 43,102.7 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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D-US30
DOW JONES The RSI shows the bottom is in.Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a 1-year Channel Up and is on a Bearish Leg since the December 05 2024 High. The price has found support so far 4 times on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and is consolidating.
This is most likely a bottom formation as the 4H RSI is posting a Bullish Divergence similar to the 3 previous times in 2024 when the price broke below the 4H MA200. Technically once the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks, we should a confirmed Bullish Leg, which is what happened on all 3 occasions.
The minimum Target is Resistance 1 at 45000. Note that as long as the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) holds, the bullish trend will continue to be favored.
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Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100: Key Support Holds as Bulls The Nasdaq 100 (NAS100) is currently trading at 21,100, with a target price of 23,000, suggesting a bullish outlook and a potential rise of 1,900 points. The price is holding above a key trendline, which acts as a strong support level. This trendline's role is significant, as the recent bounce from this support confirms its reliability. The pattern indicates that the index may continue its upward trajectory if no major resistance levels hinder its movement. Such a setup suggests the market sentiment remains positive. A break above intermediate resistance levels could accelerate the rally. However, traders must remain cautious of external factors like earnings reports or Federal Reserve policy updates that might affect momentum. Proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility.
US30 I Potential Long Opportunity Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
DOW JONES giving a buy opportunity on this correction.Dow Jones / US30 pulled back today and remains under its 1day MA50 for 20 days straight.
Despite this weakness, this is technically a bottom formation of the Channel Up.
As long as the 1day MA200 holds, the long term trend is bullish.
Technically, it is similar with the Channel's first correction, which also pulled back by almost -7%.
The 1day RSI is printing the same bullish divergence as then, which cause the price to rebound immediately and hit Resistance A.
Buy and target 45000.
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Dow Jones 30-Min Short: Bearish Momentum Building Toward 42kThe Dow Jones has triggered my short position following a significant volume spike, currently trading below the key EMA levels. The technical setup suggests a bearish continuation toward the 42k price zone. This aligns with a short-term correction in equities after December marked the Dow’s worst monthly performance in over two years.
Fundamentals:
• Major indexes continue to struggle, with the Dow and S&P 500 facing extended losing streaks.
• Market sentiment remains cautious as investors digest recent corporate earnings, geopolitical risks, and upcoming key economic data such as ISM Manufacturing PMI.
• Despite a strong year-end rally, December losses reflect broader market uncertainty, further pressuring the Dow.
Technicals:
• Price remains below both the 50 and 200 EMAs, signaling bearish momentum.
• Volume analysis highlights increased selling pressure, confirming bearish sentiment.
• Immediate support at 42,000 aligns with key demand zones and historical price reactions.
With these conditions in play, I’ll manage risk carefully, monitor for any major shifts, and adjust my position accordingly. Pay yourself and trade responsibly!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
US30 longThis analysis highlights key patterns and price levels observed on the weekly, daily, and four-hour (4H) timeframes, supporting a bullish outlook. The discussion focuses on the significance of untested formations, rejection patterns, and accumulation zones that signal potential market moves.
1. Weekly Analysis
M Formation Neckline Retest: The M formation observed on the weekly timeframe has not been retested at its neckline of 43,500, leaving room for potential upward movement.
Three-Pin Rejection Pattern: Price remains below the high of the three-pin pattern formed earlier, and a break above this level would confirm bullish momentum.
Daily Target: A double bottom has formed, indicating that price could aim for the daily target of 43,680.
2. Four-Hour (4H) Timeframe Insights
Bullish Pattern Formation: The 4H chart reveals a bullish setup, with price approaching a strong resistance zone at 43,700.
Accumulation Phase: The presence of two doji candles suggests ongoing order accumulation, signaling potential market movement.
Entry Strategy: I am monitoring the following levels for possible entries, depending on how the next 4H candlestick closes:
42,450
42,670
The alignment of weekly, daily, and intraday confluences supports a bullish outlook. My strategy involves waiting for confirmation from the next 4H candlestick closure before executing trades at the identified entry levels. Patience and precision are key to leveraging this setup effectively.
US30 Bullish Play for the WeekUS30 hit my zones perfectly and I am excited for this week to be a continuation. I will be looking for another entry to this swing trade on the dips to 42.600-42.700 anything below 42.550 has potential to retest 42.250 which would suck ! Lol so let’s hope the whales are full and ready to leave this area.. next stop 43.500
Scenario: if scenario plays out the week will start bullish with a potential drop back into the KILL ZONE on Wednesday w the red folder news that day but afterwards buyers will clean all that liquidity back up and NFP Friday will propel it to the 1st major target 43.500 w the week closing very Bullish.
Will monitor the play through out the week and update accordingly but if it does close as predicted the following week will most likely be a continuation to the next Major Zone at 44.450 & beyond.
May the pips be in our Favor !
DOW JONES: Rare Channel Up bottom buy opportunityDow Jones remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.772, MACD = -242.050, ADX = 47.872) as despite trading on the 1D MA100, it has failed yet to recover the 1D MA50. Technically though, the price action is sitting exactly at the bottom of the long term Channel Up and the 1D RSI has formed a bottom fractal identical to those of June and April 2024. The minimum target on those has been +7.65% but since we have the R1 level to consider as Resistance, that will be our target (TP = 45,000).
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US30 Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 42,499.9.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 40,967.2 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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DOW JONES Bullish accumulation below the 1D MA50.Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 18 High. Right now the price is consolidating between its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). At the same time, the 1D RSI breached the oversold barrier (30.00) and rebounded.
This trading sequence has presented the most efficient buy opportunity since April 19 2024 and the even though all Bullish Legs that followed have been a little over +8.00%, the weakest one has been +7.63%. As a result, our current Bullish Leg Target of 45235 is formulated out of that minimum.
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Quick Rally For 3030 Has Fallen to a High volume trading area reaching the point of control that could act as a strong support, added There's also a strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the RSI that gives great indication that we could see a rally up from this daily support lvl (42,300) back to the "trend line" break & previous structure low,(Filling the sell side imbalance -FVG)
Confluences on This Trade
- Rejecting Daily support lvl 42,266
- Rejecting Demand zone
- @ 38.2 Fib Retracement
- Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI)
- Buy Side imbalance fill
- Daily Volume Support
Lock in with your LTF Bullish Entry Signal,
WAIT FOR YOUR CONFIRMATION AND
**RISK ACCORDINGLY
Intro to the next possible move:
After this bullish move - price could reject the Trend line and previous structure low, then continue down.
**This bullish to bearish move would give price action a "Head and shoulders ish" Pattern on a HTF.
Caution on the Bearish Sell- we have high volume right below the 41,000 bank lvl that could act as a support.
with all of that being said the one thing that gives me great hesitation on the 2nd part of this move The "Bearish Sell" is the fact that this current pull back only brought price down to the 38.2 Fib lvl, so this could just be a minor pull back for a big Bullish continuation move.
DJIA H4 | Falling to swing-low supportDJIA (US30) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 42,153.14 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 41,650.00 which is a level that sits under the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 43,042.34 which is an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US30 Bearish to Bullish Play for the Week So US30 hit a nice bullish Rally from the divergent bottom but we were not able to break through 35.400 even though we broke the 4hr daily yellow trendline to the upside.
We broke back into bearish territory Friday before close. So now I am looking at a weekly consolidation candle from last week giving me a projection for another possible consolidation week starting with a drop to the 42.450 area then I expect bulls to come In ultimately pushing price higher breaking through our 1st major resistance 34.400 into our 2nd major resistance 35.550, if we manage to break through both expect a bullish Rally into our next Major Resistance at 44.450. This week could close as another doji consolidation week if so I’m holding bottom buy entry to swing exits.
I’m looking for a higher low this week giving us a wick on this weekly candle, I have a sell limit placed (shown on chart) and will possibly put a buy limit at the target price.
FULL BEARISH SCENARIO: If we manage to break through 42.440 in a major way expect 42.250 next and a full break through that level would go to next major support zones at 41.900 & 41.650
May the pips be in our favor.
BEarish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 43,358.90
1st Support: 41,883.16
1st Resistance: 44,074.83
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DOW JONES: Ignore the pullback, this is a new bullish wave.Dow Jones turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.280, MACD = -138.420, ADX = 33.278) as it failed to hold the 4H MA50 as support today and crossed under it. The 1D MA100 is coming in as the next level of support, which formed the Dec 18th-19th low. According to the 4H MACD, the index formed during those 2 days a bottom similar to of August 5th. As long as the 1D MA100 holds, it is more likely to see a bounce above the 4H MA50 again like August 13th. Our goal is a wave, so we're targeting the R1 level (TP = 45,000).
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GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)I am expecting a ‘complex correction’ of the Elliott Wave Theory, to complete the correction on Gold. So a 5 Sub-Wave pattern (A,B,C,D,E). This correction should push the price down towards $2,240 roughly. We can then look to start buying Gold again at cheaper prices. At the most extreme, if the bigger institutional firms want to really shake people out of buying Gold before it creates new high’s towards $3,200+, I would not rule out the possibility of price dropping towards $1,960 as an extreme target.
DOW JONES What signals the top of this Cycle?Dow Jones (DJI) has been on a highly systematic pattern ever since the 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis and this chart on the 3W time-frame depicts very accurately the symmetrical nature of the Cycles that the index is going through in the past 15 years.
As you see, ever since the October 2011 bounce on both the 3W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 3W MA200 (orange trend-line), Dow started a hyper aggressive Bull Cycle, which after making a Top on each phase, it broke below the 3W MA50 to become a buy opportunity again but has never yet broken below the 3W MA200.
So far we have completed three such phases and we are currently on the 4th. In the three that have already been completed, the Top of the Phase was signaled by the RSI. At a certain point that it broke above the 70.00 overbought barrier, it started a Channel Down comprised of 4 legs (a through d). On the (d) leg, it gave a signal that Dow had (or is very close to) topped. That was the ultimate long-term Sell Signal. Similarly, when the index broke below its MA50 and the RSI double bottomed, it has been the ultimate signal to buy.
Right now it appears that the RSI has completed Leg (a) and is starting the rise to Leg (b) of its newly emerged Channel Down. That means that the market has around another 12 months before it Tops again.
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US30 4HIt is expected that the price will move towards the middle range after hitting the upper resistance and then again move towards the lower target.
I also expect that after hitting the lower range, the price will change direction upwards; however, I will wait to see if an engulfing pattern occurs or not.
DJIA H4 | Potential bearish reversalDJIA (US30) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 43,058.41 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 43,850.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 42,139.85 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Overlap resistance ahead?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 43,351.87
1st Support: 41,852.98
1st Resistance: 44,363.95
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.