D-US30
Dow Jones Index (#US30): Your Trading Plan Explained
Dow Jones is currently stuck on a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
The price is trading within a narrow range on that on a 4H time frame.
Your confirmation to sell the Index will be a bearish breakout of the support of the range.
A 4H candle close below 39325 will confirm the violation.
A bearish continuation will be expected to 38890 then.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined blue resistance
will push the market higher.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
US30 longHere is why;
Weekly;
Price went below 40,000 and never retested the region.
Hence, a retest is due.
Daily;
There is a bullish formation of a higher high that has been formed in the last 3 days.
The target for the daily timeframe is 39,750.
4 Hour;
This is the time zone I am looking for my entry level.
For now, I believe that the best place to enter longs are at 39,350, however, I am waiting for price to show me better confluences before I enter the market
Dow Jones Faces Strong Resistance: Bearish Reversal in Play?The chart highlights a gray resistance zone at the top, indicating an area where the price has struggled to break through. This zone represents a strong supply area where sellers are entering the market.
The purple horizontal lines represent key support levels at approximately 39,200, 39,000, and 38,800. These levels are critical points where the price may find buyers or continue its bearish momentum.
The price recently approached the upper resistance zone but failed to break above it.
The candlesticks show a series of wicks near the resistance, indicating rejection and the presence of sellers.
The price is expected to move lower after testing and failing to break through the resistance zone.
How to win More Trades (Using Probability)I had a shit last 2 days so I am actually taking today off, I have some work to do on one of my cars so I am going to do that today.
This is also very important, taking a break when you aren't feeling that up to it.
But in this video we discuss probability and how probable any given scenario could be in your favor. If you aren't taking this into consideration you aren't doing what you are supposed to do.
Dow Jones (US30) Outlook ICT ConceptsDow Jones Industrial Average (US30) Analysis
💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US30, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
💡 Previous Analysis Review:
In the previous analysis, we expected the price to expand lower after the Market Structure Shift (MSS), which occurred as anticipated.
📍 Current Market Overview:
The current price is around 38,643.10. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) has swept both the Previous Month Low (PML) and Previous Week Low (PWL), which are significant liquidity levels. The price is currently within a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked by a line on the chart.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels:
• PMH: Previous Month High
• PWH: Previous Week High
• PWL: Previous Week Low
• PML: Previous Month Low
• BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
• SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
• 4H FVG: 4-Hour Fair Value Gap
• MSS: Market Structure Shift
📊 Key Considerations:
• Swept PML & PWL: The price has swept the Previous Month Low and Previous Week Low, indicating the potential for a reversal or at least a short-term expansion higher.
• Inside 4H FVG: The price is within the 4H FVG, which could serve as a support zone for a possible expansion higher.
• Reaction to Bearish FVGs: The key to the next movement lies in how the price reacts to the two bearish FVGs above.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Given the current price action and key considerations, a bullish scenario is possible if the following conditions are met:
• Support from 4H FVG: The 4H FVG provides support, and the price begins to expand higher.
• Reaction to Bearish FVGs: Watch the reaction to the bearish FVGs above; if the price can break through these, it would confirm the bullish bias.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A bearish scenario should be considered if the following conditions are met:
• Sweep of Lower Time Frame BSL: On lower time frames, we need to see buy-side liquidity levels swept before considering short positions.
• Target Lower Objectives: After the sweep of lower time frame BSL, the price could target lower objectives such as the SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) marked below on the chart.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
• Bullish Expectation: The price is in a key area after sweeping PML and PWL, and being inside the 4H FVG. We can expect a possible expansion higher from here, especially if the price holds within the 4H FVG and breaks through the bearish FVGs above.
• Bearish Expectation: For a bearish scenario, wait for lower time frame buy-side liquidity to be swept, followed by a reversal to target lower levels like the SSL below.
Conclusion:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at a critical juncture after sweeping key liquidity levels and entering a 4H FVG. The next move depends largely on the reaction to the bearish FVGs above. A bullish scenario would see an expansion higher if the 4H FVG holds and the price breaks through the bearish FVGs. A bearish scenario would require a sweep of lower time frame BSL and then a move lower to target SSL and other lower objectives.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring US30 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
US30 / Futures Waver on Anxiety Ahead of Jobs DataFutures Waver on Anxiety Ahead of Jobs Data
Current Outlook:
The price is expected to consolidate between 38,790 and 38,580 until a breakout occurs.
Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish trend to emerge, the price needs to stabilize above 38,790 and close a 4-hour candle above this level.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price drops to touch 38,580, it should break this level to continue the bearish trend towards 38,400 and 38,050.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 38770
- Resistance Levels: 39050, 39250, 39410
- Support Levels: 38580, 38400, 38050
Today's Expected Trading Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 38,580 and the resistance at 39,050.
Tendency: Downward
US30 shortsHere is why;
Daily
Price broke below the region of 39100. There have been two retests. This is as of Tuesday and Wednesday
Wednesday's candlestick engulfed Tuesday's candlestick to the downside. The next noticeable zone 38,500 but I expect price to go even lower.
4 hour
Price has formed a massive 3 pin pattern formation which has broken below 38,865 (this is a minor region where orders were collected). I expect a retest of this region before price continues going lower.
US30 - 4H DowJones is in a pullbackThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is currently facing significant bearish pressure, as indicated by recent market trends and technical analysis. The support trend line has broken, leading to a notable drop in the index. This break, coupled with a clear pullback, presents an opportune moment for traders to consider short positions with a logical stop loss.
From a fundamental perspective, the rising rate of unemployment and the postponement of interest rate cuts are increasing the chances of a recession. These economic indicators suggest that the market could experience further declines as investors react to the potential economic downturn.
DOW JONES Is a new rally starting right under our nose again?Consistent with our macro approach to investing (particularly with stocks), we continue to address the recent stock market correction by examining similar behavioural patterns of the past.
It was 10 months ago (October 11 2023, see chart below), when Dow Jones (DJI) was under another short-term turmoil phase that turned out to be exactly that, short-term:
As you can see on that chart, while most were panic selling, we addressed the idea that Dow was "starting a new Bull rally under our nose". And as you can see, the index did exactly that, as it rebounded at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Rising Wedge, starting a new +23% rally.
Our basis for this projection was the similar Rising Wedge pattern of September 2015 - November 2016 (almost 1 year), which after a fake-out for the week hands (green circle) on January 2016 (as it was on October 2022), it rebounded in October 2016 at the bottom of the Wedge and posted a +19% rally.
You can see that so far the lows are highly symmetrical as the first was priced in the month of October (2016 then and 2023 now) and the next in April (2017 and 2024 respectively).
The initial rally that broke above the Rising Wedge in 2017, had a small upward extension that then gave a new pull-back for an August 2017. If symmetry continues to dictate the price action, then the current August Low (2024), may be our new bottom as Aug 2017 was.
On the past fractal, the new rally was concluded on a +30.72% rise. As a result, we see it highly possible to get a new long-term peak early next year (January 2025 if symmetry continues) at around 49000.
High as this Target may seem at the moment with the current economic slowdown fears, these are the standard conditions that make rallies start "under our nose".. Especially as November's U.S. elections are approaching.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US30 - DOW JONES - SHORT POSITION Due to the consolidation area at 39 450, we could see possible short opportunities for the US30. Should this be in favour, a sell will continue to levels 38 400. We've also seen a slower upward momentum. Confirmation was given on the Fib Retracement tool at level 0.618
CAPITALCOM:US100 CAPITALCOM:US100 BLACKBULL:US30
US30 Neutral today but expecting price to head upwards longtermI believe that there is no clear cut setup for US30 at the moment. A daily closure would give the best signal for what it is going to happen.
However, I believe that price will go upwards long term.
Here is why;
- Price broke below 40,000 which is a massive weekly region with a lot of bearish momentum.
- Price has not retested 40,000 and I believe we will see a retest in the near future.
- Price went as low as 38,500 where we can see that is the region where most of the bullish orders were filled. 39,000 is also a notable region where orders were filled.
- As of this morning, price is trapped between 39,100 and 38,500. Until I get a full daily closure above 39,100 then I will know whether to buy or sit on my hands.
My thesis as of now is that there is no clear bias to jump on today and that it is best for me to sit on my hands as I wait for price to make a comprehensive decision. I will update if there are any changes during the day.
Dowjones Is Approaching The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 38400 zone, US30 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 38400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Dow Jones Index (US30): One More Bearish Setup
I also see a bearish trend following setup on Dow Jones.
After yesterday's selloff, the market started a correctional movement.
On an hourly time frame, the market found a resistance around 39100 level
and formed a double top on that.
I think that the Index may drop at least to 38655 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
US30: Day 3 short traders in the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance ✅
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, potential signal of reversal, day 3 short traders in the market, closed yesterday out of balance (out of previous daily level). I would be interested in a long position if the market will hold the consolidation till indexes opening at 9:30am NY time.
Short: secondary, when a market is out of balance can stays out of balance, it can still blowing down in the direction of the main trend. Why Im not interested at the moment? because I let the 3 session setup to drive my main thesis, and at the moment the setup is long.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
US30 / Global Stocks Decline as Investor Sentiment SoursStocks Drop as Early Relief Fades
Global stocks retreated on Tuesday, surrendering earlier gains as the uncertainty from the previous day's aggressive selloff weighed on investor sentiment. This occurred despite central bank officials making reassuring statements to calm the markets.
Current Outlook:
The price is trading in a critical zone, indicating potential breakout movements between 38,770 and 39,130. A decisive move in either direction is required to establish a clear trend, with a greater likelihood of a downward movement.
Bullish Scenario:
- Stability above 39,130 could signal a bullish trend, targeting 39,360 and 39,510.
Bearish Scenario:
- A bearish trend would be confirmed by stability below 38,770, with a 4-hour candle close below this level, aiming for targets of 38,380 and 37,800.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 38,770
- Resistance Levels: 39,130, 39,350, 39,550
- Support Levels: 38,450, 38,100, 37,790
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 38,450 and the resistance at 39,130.