US30 - 15 min ( Great R : R Trade 1000 PIP Target ) After Braek💎 US30
Time Frame : 15min Chart
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🔻 Type :intraday
🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 43440 Area
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☑️Great opportunity now
Please check the drawing carefully and all the reasons for entry and exit are shown in the analysis
If the analysis does not agree with you, please do not take it
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D-US30
TRUMP is the 47th President! Is this bullish for the markets?Donald Trump is the new (47th) President of the United States, coming into office for his 2nd time. The practical question on the investor's mind is of course how will the stock markets react?
Even though there is no definitive way to approach this, the fact that Trump will resume power for a 2nd term, gives us a historic data set to have grounds for comparison. Fundamentally anything can be discussed on policies and strategies etc but technically the picture is more objective.
As you can see on this Dow Jones (DJI) chart displayed on the 1W time-frame, Trump's 1st Presidential win was on November 08 2016. At that time, the market was trading within a Channel Up that started after a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) double test on January 19 and February 08 2016. Right before the Elections, the index experienced a natural 'Pre-election volatility' phase.
The picture during the current election period isn't very different from 2016. As you can see, Dow started a Channel Up pattern after a 1W MA200 test and half-way through the year started to experience the usual 'Pre-election volatility' phase. During that time both in 2024 and 2016, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting and stayed intact. Notice how even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are similar from the time the Channel Up started until the elections.
So naturally you are asking what does that mean for us moving forward? Well after the November 08 2016 elections and Trump's 1st win, Dow started to rise aggressively immediately and by March 2017 it almost reached the patterns top (Higher Highs trend-line) before the new medium-term relief pull-back. The post-election Bull Phase was concluded in January 2018, upon completing a +71% rise from the Channel's bottom and 7.0 Fibonacci extension from the volatility phase.
So if symmetry acts its part, we may see 47000 by March 2025 and 55000 (+71% from the October 2023 bottom) by the end of 2025. Is this projection definitive? Of course not, nothing is 'absolute' in investing/ trading. But history has shown that the stock market has reacted more than positively after the U.S. elections, particularly in the case of a Trump win.
What do you think? Will Trump's 2nd term be bullish?
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US30 H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 42,767.06, a pullback resistance close to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 42,175.76, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 43,368.92, which is a swing-high resistance."
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US30 Sell Technical AnalysisUS30 Sell Technical Analysis
The US30 Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently showing a downtrend on the 1-hour chart, as evidenced by the descending trendline and multiple failed attempts to break above resistance. The Stochastic indicators also suggest overbought conditions, with the potential for a downward movement as momentum appears to be weakening. Additionally, previous rejections at the resistance zone highlight seller dominance in this range. A break below the support levels could accelerate selling pressure, making it a favorable setup for a short position.
DOW JONES: Important 1H breakout that is targeting 43,000Dow Jones has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.701, MACD = -64.350, ADX = 34.811) as it formed the new bottom on the 3 month Channel Up and that pushed the price into a rally which today crossed over the LH trendline and the 1H MA200 for the first time since October 22nd. The 1H RSI was on a Bullish Divergence (HL) against the LL of the price, so all indicators are bullish and calling for more upside. The 0.786 Fibonacci level is the next short term target (TP = 43,000).
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US30 Outlook: Bearish Below 41,970 Amid U.S. Election VolatilityUS30 Technical Analysis
Sustained stability below 41,970 will reinforce the bearish trend, potentially driving the price toward 41,750. Further stability below this level could extend the decline to 41,560.
Bearish Scenario: A firm hold below 41,970 signals a continuation of the bearish trend, with targets at 41,740 and subsequently 41,560.
Bullish Scenario: Conversely, a breakout above 42,130 would indicate a shift to a bullish trend, aiming for 42,290 and 42,450.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 41970
Resistance Levels: 42130, 42290, 42450
Support Levels: 41750, 41560, 41340
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 41970
- Bullish by breaking above 42130
previous idea:
DOW30.US30 - WHY WE HAVE NOT BEEN TRADING THE DOWTeam, since last week, we have not traded much on the DOW.US30
WHY? Because due to the elections, the market can be very manipulated.
But today, we found an excellent small recovery on the DOW.
We are entering at 41820-35
STOP LOSS at 41766
with target 1 at 41886, BRING STOP LOSS TO BE once the target hit
target 2 at 41935-45
target 3 at 41976-92
DOW JONES Quick sell signal before the elections result.Dow Jones is trading inside a Channel Down since October 21st.
Following the rejection on the MA200 (1h), it started the new bearish wave.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 41400 (-2.70% decline like the first bearish wave of the Channel).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is also printing a Rising Support pattern like the one during the previous bearish wave.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
US30 / Consolidation Zone with a Bearish BiasUS30 Technical Analysis
The price has a consolidate between 42130 and 41970
Bearish Scenario: Breaking 41970 by closing 1h or 4h candle under it, will be a bearish trend to get 41740 and then 41560
Bullish scenario: any breaking above 42130 will support the bullish trend to get 42290 and 42450
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 42130
Resistance Levels: 42290, 42450, 42590
Support Levels: 41970, 41750, 41560
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 41970
- Bullish by stability above 42130
- Consolidation 41970 and 42130
DreamAnalysis | Dow Jones Focus Key Levels and Strategic Moves✨ Today’s Focus: Dow Jones (US30) – A Major Market Influencer
We’re diving into the latest NASDAQ price action to pinpoint crucial levels, assess potential trends, and uncover strategic trading opportunities.
📊 Market Overview:
Currently, Dow Jones is positioned in a Discount. The price has broken through significant Seel-side liquidity levels, including the Relative Equal Lows Taken and now is having a retracement back higher, setting the stage for a potential move toward the Previous Week High ( PWH ). A Bullish Smart Money Technique (SMT) signal also aligns with the SPX500 (ES), hinting at possible headwinds.
🔴 Short- and Long-Term Outlook:
We’ll explore both bullish and bearish setups, equipping day traders with insights to approach both short-term and long-term trends effectively.
🗣 Short-Term Outlook:
In the short term, two scenarios could play out: either a push into the Buy Side Liquidity targeting the Previous Week High ( PWH ) and after that leading to a lower move. Lower timeframes will be crucial for monitoring these moves—drop down to spot key market movements in real-time.
🗣 Long-Term Outlook:
Looking long term, there’s potential for a pullback into a Premium level. For entries, tracking lower timeframes is essential. The Bullish SMT divergence with SPX500 (ES) reinforces the possibility of a Upward expansion.
🕓 Key Levels to Watch:
These levels will likely shape price movement:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- PWH: Previous Week High
- PWL: Previous Week Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
- SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) serve as pivotal retracement zones, potentially guiding the next price movement.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
In a bullish setup, watch for Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes (LTF). Look for entry signals targeting higher levels, including a potential move toward the all-time high (ATH).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
For bearish trades, focus on lower timeframes such as the 15-minute chart. Short entries within the 4-Hour Imbalance or a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity provide further confirmation.
📝 Final Thoughts:
Stay adaptable as market dynamics shift. By monitoring these key levels and setups, you’ll refine your strategy and increase the potential for high-probability trades.
🔮 On the Radar:
We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets for evolving insights and timely updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
SasanSeifi| Where is the Next Support?Hey there, ✌ In the 10-hour timeframe, the Dow Jones Index has been correcting from the 43,300 price range. With a structural break around the 42,700 to 42,500 zone, the price entered a corrective phase, reaching down to 41,700. Currently, it is trading around 42,000.
The general outlook leans more towards a bearish scenario. One potential scenario is that after some slight upward fluctuations or sideways movement, if the 42,500 supply zone doesn’t break, we may see further correction to lower levels around 41,400 and 41,300. Following this, a range-bound movement is possible upon reaching these levels.
Should there be a correction in the price trend, it’s important to watch the price reactions in these zones to better understand the continuation of the movement. Additionally, if demand picks up and the critical 42,500 level breaks and holds, we could see a further price rise toward the 42,700 and 43,000 levels.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
US30Regarding Us30 two situations may take place however the end is the same ( falling)
Situation one : retracement from 41848 or 41452 level
To 42494 and continue to fall
Situation two : retracement from above mentioned levels
To higher high at 43389 forming a double top pattern and end up to fall .
The accending channel is broken so situation two is acceptable for me .
US30: Volatile Day Ahead with Key Levels in FocusUS30 Technical Analysis
The price has reached our previously highlighted support level at 41,745, bouncing back toward resistance.
Currently, as long as trading remains below 41,970, we anticipate a downward trajectory toward 41,750, with further decline potential to 41,560 if breached. Additionally, news events are adding pressure to the outlook.
Bearish Scenario: Sustained trading below 41,970 may drive the price lower toward 41,750, and ultimately to 41,560.
Bullish Scenario: A break above 42,130 could reinforce a bullish trend, pushing prices to 42,290 and potentially to 42,450.
Today’s market is expected to be highly volatile due to the release of the NFP, Unemployment Rate data, and earnings reports, which will likely have a strong impact on indices.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 41970
Resistance Levels: 42130, 42290, 42450
Support Levels: 41750, 41560, 41350
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 41970 and 41740
- Bullish by stability above 42130
- Consolidation 41970 and 41750
previous idea:
DOW JONES: Bottom of the Channel Up.Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.00, MACD = 51.000, ADX = 21.000) as it almost hit the bottom of the Channel Up pattern. It is about to form a Death Cross on the 4H timeframe, which will be the first since August 8th that was technically the bottom of July's correction and start of the current Channel Up. We expect the bottom to be priced either today or tomorrow and the RR is good enough to buy. We aim for the 1.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 44,000), which priced the previous two HH.
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US30 / Key Levels for Breakout from Consolidation ZoneUS30 Technical Analysis
Following the retest at 42,450, the price has dropped approximately 500 points as anticipated.
Currently, US30 is expected to consolidate between 41,970 and 42,130 until a breakout occurs.
Bearish Scenario: The price needs to break 41960 and stabilize under it to continue the bearish side toward 41740 and 41560
Bullish scenario: any breaking above 42130 will support the bullish trend to get 42290 and 42450
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 41970
Resistance Levels: 42130, 42290, 42450
Support Levels: 41750, 41560, 41350
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 41970
- Bullish by stability above 42130
- Consolidation 41970 and 42130
Dow Jones Index (US30): Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest support & resistance analysis for US30.
Resistance 1: 42450 - 42720 area
Resistance 2: 43280 - 43310 area
Support 1: 41616 - 41886 area
Support 2: 40850 - 41182 area
Support 3: 40000 - 40240 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 41,894.89
1st Support: 41,497.27
1st Resistance: 42,478.07
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DOW JONES Channel Up near its bottom. Solid buy.Dow Jones / US30 is trading inside a Channel Up since late August.
The price is about to enter the buy zone of the pattern.
The previous bearish leg made a -3.81% correction before it bottomed and initiated the bullish leg to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
We expect a strong rebound from the current prices, so buy and target 44100 (just under the 1.618 Fib).
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US30 / Dow Jones Buys!!!Analysis Confirmation
1. Fibonacci Levels: I’ve marked the 0.618, 0.786, and 1.618 Fibonacci levels, which align well with potential reversal and target areas. The 0.618 level at approximately 42,327 acts as support, while the 0.786 level around 42,479 provides additional confirmation near the breakout point.
2. Descending Triangle Breakout: Your chart shows a descending triangle with the resistance trendline below the 42,500 area, indicating a potential breakout if the price can close above it. This pattern suggests bearish exhaustion, so a breakout above the trendline could initiate a bullish move.
3. Target Levels: You’ve set the 1.618 and 2.618 Fibonacci extension levels as potential targets, at approximately 42,884 and 43,374 respectively. These strong resistance zones give realistic take-profit levels if the breakout occurs.
4. Moving Averages and Support: The price is supported by the 200-period moving average (black line) and is currently testing the 50-period moving average (blue line). A break and hold above the 50-period moving average could signify bullish strength.
Trade Description
Entry:
- Enter a buy position on a confirmed breakout above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level around 42,479. Look for a strong close above this level to confirm momentum.
Stop Loss:
- Set a stop loss below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, around 42,340, to manage risk in case of a pullback or false breakout.
Take Profit:
- First target: 1.618 Fibonacci extension level around 42,884, which could serve as the initial resistance.
- Second target: 2.618 Fibonacci extension level around 43,374, if bullish momentum continues.
Risk Management:
- Keep your risk per trade low, ideally around 1-2% of your account balance, especially if this is part of your account growth strategy.