DOW JONES - Potential long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from OB.
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D-US30
Dow 30 Tanks! Short Trade Hits First Target – More Downside?The Dow 30 (DJIA) has shown significant bearish momentum, with the short trade reaching Take Profit 1 (TP1) at 42855.11.
Key Levels
Entry: 42975.00 – The short position was entered as the price broke below this level, indicating bearish sentiment.
Stop-Loss (SL): 43072.00 – Placed above recent resistance to protect against a potential price reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 42855.11 – The first target has already been reached, confirming the downward move.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 42661.11 – The next target as the bearish trend continues.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 42467.11 – A further target if selling pressure persists.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 42347.22 – The ultimate profit target signaling a continued decline.
Trend Analysis
The price has dropped below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming the strength of the bearish trend. With TP1 already hit, further downside potential is in play, with the price likely to test TP2 and beyond.
The short trade on the Dow 30 has successfully hit its first profit target, with further targets likely if the current bearish trend holds. The strong downward move suggests that TP2 and TP3 could be reached in the near term.
DOW JONES 15 year cheat-sheet that can make you rich!Dow Jones (DJI) is extending what seems a relentless rally since the August 05 Low, which was the most recent short-term correction, but in reality the index has been rallying very aggressively since the October 23 2023 Low.
That was when after a 3-month correction, it found Support above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 2 weeks later it reclaimed the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been supporting ever since. So basically the index has been on a 1W MA50 Support for 1 whole year!
What's more striking however and what short-term traders/ investors tend to ignore are the long-term Cycles of a financial asset. And Dow being one, is no exception. As mentioned, the 1W MA200 supported the October 23 2023 Low and in effect has been holding since October 10 2022 (so for 2 full years!), two weeks after the Inflation Crisis bottom. Since then we have been inside a Bull Phase.
This is part of a greater trading Cycle for Dow, one that started 1 year after the March 2009 market bottom of the historic Housing Crisis. As you can see, the pattern is recurring and the phases have a high symmetry and frequency among them.
First and foremost, they tend to do two Lows within a 1 year span, which is essentially the Bear Phase, which finds Support on the 1W MA200 (exception was of course the Black Swan of the COVID flash crash but it is of course a non-technical irregularity event) and then rebounds, effectively starting the Bull Phase.
The first 2 Bull Phases rose by +75.80%, while the most recent by +70.80%, so we are roughly around the same strength levels. Also as far as duration is concerned, the 1st Bull Phase lasted for 1239 days (177 weeks), the 2nd for 1134 days (162 weeks) and the 3rd for 1106 days (158 weeks). Again the time element is quite similar. Notice also the similar pattern that the 1W MACD prints every time Dow enters the final part of the Bull Phase.
As a result, if we apply those dynamic conditions on the current Bull Phase, we can see that a minimum rise of +70.80% from the bottom, should peak a little over 48000, and if it last a minimum of 1106 days (158 weeks) it should come to an end and price the top by October 06 2025.
This indicates that we have at least another full year of bullish trend ahead of us and a fair Target could be 48000.
As you realize, investors who are methodically following this 15 year old cheat-sheet, know where and when to buy/ sell and that achieves investing's two main principles: Profit Maximization and Risk Management. Patience and proper management within such Cycles are what "can make you rich" indeed.
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Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 15.10.2024Option 1: Gold has been in a range today. Still expecting price to retrace towards the $2,630 zone, in order to grab weekly liquidity, before moving back up.
Option 2: Gold carries on moving up towards our $2,700 target without any retracement.
What option do you think is more viable?
DOW JONES Still bullish. Drop expected end of month.Dow Jones / US30 is trading inside a Channel Up since August 5th.
Despite the mini rally since last Monday, the rise isn't technically over as the overbought (>70.00) 4hour RSI is on a level similar to where the two bullish waves before entered a slower but still upward trend until they priced a higher high.
Buy and target 43900.
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Dow Jones Index (US30): More Growth is Coming?!
US30 successfully violated a resistance line
of a horizontal parallel channel on a daily time frame on Friday.
It indicates a highly probable bullish trend continuation.
Next resistance - 43150
For entries, consider a retest of a broken structure.
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DreamAnalysis | US30 on the Edge Key Levels & Crucial Scenarios!✨ Today’s Focus: Dow Jones (US30) – A Market Mover
We’ll break down the latest price movements and explore potential trends by analyzing key market levels.
🚨 Previous Analysis Recap:
In our last analysis, we anticipated a dip into the Equal Lows (EQL) before a reversal higher, and that’s exactly what played out. But what's next? Let's dive into all possible scenarios together.
📊 Current Market Overview:
The price has recently taken a major Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) level at the Previous Month High (PMH), and we’re now hovering near the Previous Week High (PWH). This proximity to key levels sets the stage for the next move.
🔴 What to Expect: Short-term vs Long-term Scenarios
This section outlines what we can anticipate in both short-term and long-term contexts, considering both bullish and bearish possibilities for day trading.
🗣 Short-term Outlook:
A crucial focus for the short term is the previous week’s range, highlighted on the chart using Fib Retracement. Pay attention to the 50% level and the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone.
We might see price break through Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) below the 50% level to balance the range, possibly tapping into the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) for a rebalancing move.
🗣 Long-term Outlook:
Currently, we’re trading in a premium zone, which means two potential outcomes: continuation or reversal.
- Continuation: If the SSL above the Daily FVG is swept, we could see the price drive even higher.
- Reversal: An aggressive drop below the 4H and Daily Imbalances could trigger a reversal, leaving behind a Balance Price Range (BPR) with both bullish and bearish FVGs. The bearish FVGs, in particular, could play a crucial role.
🕓 Key Levels to Watch:
These are pivotal zones that could influence price action:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- PWH: Previous Week High
- PWL: Previous Week Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
- SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
- Daily FVG: Fair Value Gap (Imbalance zone)
These levels indicate where the price might seek liquidity or rebalance. FVGs represent zones where the market may retrace before continuing its trend.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
For bullish setups, we need lower time frame (LTF) confirmations, such as the 15m chart. Look for liquidity sweeps and target higher levels like the Previous Week High (PWH).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
While it’s possible to look for short entries now, the ideal scenario would be for the price to first take out the Previous Week High. After that, the target could be the Sell-Side of the chart, including the Daily Imbalance and SSL.
📝 Conclusion:
Stay adaptable as market conditions evolve. Monitoring these key levels and setups can help refine your strategy and spot high-probability opportunities.
🔮 Looking Ahead:
Stay tuned for updates as we keep an eye on NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets. Timely insights will follow as trends unfold.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BANKNIFTY ProjectionBased on the demand of a follower here, we decided to look into BANKNIFTY for the first time ever...
We anticipate BANKNIFTY heading to either of the two zones up there marked with a blank line, the we expect a great fall on BANKNIFTY...
Should this align with your analysis, endeavour not to miss out on it!
US 30 I Impulse, correction, and potential continuationWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Long Term Positions Currently In The Gold Fund!Gold Buy Position 1: Running 10,300 PIPS in Profit📈
Gold Buy Position 2: Running 10,200 PIPS in Profit📈
Gold Buy Position 3: Running 10,000 PIPS in Profit📈
Only 3 remaining positions left. The rest of our buy positions have been closed out slowly since I called this move LIVE for you all in 2022.
S&P500 INDEX (US500): Bullish Trend Continue
US500 broke and closed above a resistance line of a horizontal
range yesterday on a daily and updated the All-Time High.
It confirms the dominance of the buyers and indicates
a highly probable continuation of the uptrend.
Next resistance - 5850
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DOW/US3- PREPARE TO SHORT ONLY WHEN IT FALL INTO THOSE PRICETeam, I prepare for the DOW tonight, ensure only SHORT when the price reach at 42516-42497, STOP LOSS at 42625
Target 1 at 42409-42012 - BRING STOP LOSS to BE once target
Target 2 at 42312
Target 3 at 42150
ONLY short when they are falling to that price only
DOW JONES: Channel Up extending. 43900 possible this month.Dow Jones is on very steady bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.810, MACD = 361.330, ADX = 26.315) and this is further displayed on the chart where the two month Channel Up has ended its consolidation and should technically move to the next HH. The 1D MACD is close to a new Bullish Cross, the strongest validation for buying inside this Channel. We expect to see the index reach its top within this month (TP = 43,900).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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DJIA H4 | Falling to multi-swing-low supportDJIA (US30) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 41,966.98 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 41,400.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 42,720.14 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Dow JonseDowjonse moves in a wide range between ( 37782 : 37079)
i prefer not to take any orders now untill we see clear trend
if it break 37079 and close 4H Candel under this support it will be perfect to take sell order to 35670.00
but if we see it go up and close above 37782 i think it will continue to 41049.00 ( 261.80 % Fibo lvl )
US30 Approaches Key Resistance: Buyers are losing momentumIn this US30 chart, price action is currently testing a key resistance zone. After a period of consolidation and a rally, the price is struggling to break above this zone.
The projection indicates a potential bearish reversal if the resistance holds, with price possibly retracing toward the support level around 41,920.
Buyers are losing momentum, and sellers may start stepping in at this resistance. A failure to break above could trigger a move back down, with a significant drop expected to the highlighted support level. Traders should watch for any bearish confirmation before taking short positions. If the price breaks through resistance, however, it could invalidate the bearish scenario and lead to further bullish continuation.