D-US30
XAUUSD - GOLD 1hrSimple trading:
M - Pattern "Double top"
We look to sell gold for a correction. Gold is respecting the trend, but if the price fails to break above 2265, it could see a possible downside after its massive bullish impulse.
When U.S. bond yields rise:
- Gold prices might decrease as investors find bonds more attractive due to higher returns.
US30 Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 39768.0.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 39375.1 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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US30So wrong or just too early.
Mid way we were moving following our analysis and the bulls just gained energy but that's okay. I did have quite a bad week so it would have affected my thoughts.
Currently 39450, were we anticipated the major drop is where we can adjust and rework our analysis from 1W down to 15min.
Weekly we have a strong bearish candle, which looks to be engulfing the previous week. It's cause of sign because it is happening at the top of the trend.
Daily we had an evening star, that further adds to our analysis and believe of the bears.
4H we had a double top, indicating the fall (39900 being the ceiling). If we get a neckline (39300) break then we off to the races.
1H we'll wait for 39260.
Trade Idea: Wait
US30 Technical Analysis: Counter-Trend Short OpportunityThe US30's bullish momentum has encountered a key resistance level. This presents a potential counter-trend shorting opportunity. Here's the trade idea:
Entry: Sell short at the current resistance level.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the recent high.
Target: Aim for the previous support/imbalance zone established at a prior low.
Rationale: The US30's extended rally into resistance increases the likelihood of a pullback. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio for a short-term counter-trend trade.
Important Note: Market conditions can change rapidly. Manage risk diligently and adapt your strategy as needed.
US30 Bulls still holding strong (buys potentially from 39400.0)US30 remains in a strong bullish stance, and I'm still on the lookout for long opportunities. Last week, we witnessed a retracement in price to fill the previous imbalance, although some imbalances remain. This was adequate for initiating a new rally, as we're currently observing.
Now, I anticipate two possibilities: either price will break past the newly formed high, or it will retrace to address a significant demand level. In the event of a retracement to the demand level, I'll wait for lower timeframe confirmation before preparing long setups, targeting either new highs or significant liquidity points.
Confluences for US30 Buys are as follows:
- Price broke structure to the upside once again.
- Lower and higher time frame remains extremely bullish.
- Clean nearby demand zone on the 18hr or 21hr.
- New high is close by which is a strong level of liquidity tat is lying there.
- After this imminent retracement we can expect a new rally.
P.S. I strongly favor the bullish trend due to several recent breaks of new highs. Additionally, there are several demand zones that have yet to be mitigated. However, given the impulsive nature of price movements, I wouldn't be surprised if we witness further upward momentum, potentially breaking the high once again.
Have a great trading week guys!
Bitcoin - BTCUSD 4hrUPDATE:
Head and shoulder patterns continue. BTC is following a 1hr trend (blue lines). Pay attention to the lower high BTC is about to create. The USD markets are on a holiday break, if the USD news is bullish for GoodFriday then BTC will continue to drop.
***Fed Powell is speaking as well.
This could be the start of the biggest pullback in BTC History.
I am looking for BTCUSD to continue falling as it respects the lower highs.
Tp1: 61500
Tp2: 51500
Tp3: 47500
Tp4: 37749
DOW JONES At the edge of the cliff.Dow Jones (DJI) is approaching the top of the 1.5 year Channel Up, while at the same time holding the Inner Higher Highs trend-line. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) Support is getting increasingly weak as it is now on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the closest it has been to the price action since the the November 2023 break-out.
Technically this is as overbought as it can get on the 1D time-frame and the 1D CCI gives a clear sell signal that is consistent with the late July and January 2023 peaks. On this scale, the time to buy is far from the current prices, quite the contrary, the RR favors selling on the short-term.
We are expecting 38050 (Support 1) to be tested on the 0.618 Channel Fib level. Even though the previous two corrections made -9.25% dips, the time to buy would be when the 1D CCI posts a Higher Low on oversold territory. That was a solid buy signal in 2023. The ideal price level for that would be as close to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as possible, although it is not necessary.
Profit by selling short-term and buying the dip long-term.
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Looking for US30 to rise back upWaiting for a internal liquidity sweep of today's low for a possible buying opportunity up to march 21st high. There is liquidity on lower time frames more visible (30min,15min & 5min). I'm personally using 1Hr and 5 min combination for this entry. When there is confirmation on the 5 min chart I'll enter around 39345- 39336 area located in the discount. That huge dump was distribution, we've consolidated in a range monday through tuesday, then made a lower low and got a market structure shift to the upside showing reversal signs. Good luck!
Dow Jones Index (US30): Classic Bullish Pattern
As we discussed on a live stream today,
US30 index tested a recently broken horizontal resistance
that turned into a solid support.
The market formed a double bottom formation and successfully violated its neckline.
We can anticipate a bullish continuation at least to 39744 now.
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US30 Retracement 27.03.2024The index moved to the downside rapidly since the 22nd March and a consolidation phase took place for while. It is possible that the index will retrace to 61.8 fibo level.
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US30We are on track and going very nicely to what we wanted before we go with the market. Keep holding that patience and stop those fingers from executing any trades.
As we move lower, think of possible moves which could invalidate the forecast:
Bull momentum taking over
New rejection level
Fake outs to the downside
Major news announcements
Wrong psychology
Wait, hold, plan, wait some more
US30 Waves AnalysisHello Traders, Base on technical and wave analysis we see this scenario for #US30 #DowJones for next move. let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
DJ: US30 Assessing Reversal Potential Amidst Historical HighThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJ - US30) faced downward pressure after reaching historical highs around 39910 on Friday. As US markets conclude the trading week, the DJIA's downward testing suggests a potential reversal and retracement before a possible bullish move.
On Friday, most major sectors of the US equity market experienced losses, with Real Estate down approximately 1.25% and the Financial Sector falling 1.21%. However, the Communications Services Sector showed resilience, closing up around 0.85% as telecoms rebounded from recent selling pressure.
Traders are eyeing next Thursday's release of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures, which are expected to hold steady at 3.2% growth for Q4. Additionally, attention will be on the latest Federal Reserve's (Fed) inflation metric, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, scheduled for release next Friday. Market forecasts predict a slight decrease in the MoM Core PCE for February, from 0.4% to 0.3%.
With anticipation of these economic indicators, a reversal is anticipated, prompting consideration for a Sell limit on DJ.
USStraight forward, this is bullish and has no reason to stop being bullish. HH and HL are the indications of the strength of this trend. Within the channel is where the action is. Current price we bearish.
For now stay away from the trade idea but rather on the movement of price. We melting downwards, which resembles the supply but not the demand because it could still be up. For now hold and wait for consolidation before wanting to enter sells.
LET CONSOLIDATION BE MIMUMUM 5-10 CANDLES, this is a better confluence as this will give us a price squeeze and better direction predictions.
Trade Idea : Buy Limit
SL - 38680
Entry - 38835
TP - 40010
US30 BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
We are going short on the US30 with the target of 33342 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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US30 remains bullish ( 39200.0 or 38800.0 longs?)This week, I'm bullish on US30. I'm waiting for a pullback followed by a re-accumulation within the demand zone. Once I receive confirmation on the lower time frame, specifically in the 21-hour or 18-hour demand zone, I'll consider taking long positions along the trend.
With the recent breach of all-time highs and significant bearish momentum, there's a possibility of price dipping further to capture liquidity and address imbalances before initiating a new upward rally.
Confluences for US30 Buys are as follows:
- Price broke structure to the upside once again.
- Lower and higher time frame remains extremely bullish.
- Two clean demand zones that have caused BOS to the upside.
- Imbalances left above that need to get filled before price comes in to zone
- After this imminent retracement we can expect a new rally.
P.S. If the price declines and breaches my Points of Interest (POIs), I won't be surprised. Since price has absorbed all liquidity to the upside, a decrease in bullish pressure is possible. With major news behind us, the trading week ahead appears promising!
Have a great trading week guys and lets catch those pips!
DOW JONES: Short term decline started.Dow Jones is still on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.232, MACD = 275.500, ADX = 55.346) but today's red 1D candle, being the strongest since February 13th, is a first hint that a short term correction is starting. The price has almost made a HH at the top of the 18 month Channel Up, so the probabilities of a technical pullback are getting stronger. Both prior HH touched the 1D MA200 and the middle of the Channel Up. As a result a -6.90% decline (like December 20th 2022) seems a modest target (TP = 37,300) as it will hit the middle of the Channel Up, even approach the S1 level.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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