Xau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframeXau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframe
- This idea is based on educational purposes
Detailed analysis for higher time frame to lower time frame
Market currently at 2639.72 and in higher time frame 2621 is a rejected point more then 6 times
so when we move to lowest time frame things are more clearly and we see that market is moving in uptrend so we have to move and trade within trend
if market move and touched 2642 to 2645.00 area we will entered in buy trade and our first target would be 2650.00 then 2660 onwards
if market break the region which are selected and move downward we will take our first take profit at 2621.00 again it was crucial point but if it went again this point we will see the next move at 2605.00
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D-XAU
Gold can drop from resistance line of pennant to 2595 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the support line and rose to 2790 points, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the support line, breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and then continued to fall next. Soon, Gold declined below the support line and even broke the 2595 level and fell to 2536 points. But later Gold turned around and made a strong impulse up to the seller zone, breaking the support level one more time, and started to trades inside pennant as well. Next, the price made a small correction and then some time traded in the range, after which in a short time rose to the seller zone back. In this area, it reached the resistance line of the pennant and then started to decline to the buyer zone, breaking the 2710 level. Later XAU some time traded near the support line of the pennant and then rebounded up to the resistance line of this pattern, which at the moment continues to trades near. For this case, I think that Gold can rebound from the resistance line and drop to the support level, exiting from the pennant. Therefore I set my TP at 2595 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold's Potential Movememt in 2025Here is the detailed technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
1. Key Levels and Chart Structure
- Resistance Zones (red boxes): There is a significant resistance zone highlighted around $2,720–$2,740. This is an area where the price has previously struggled to break through, indicating strong selling pressure or profit-taking.
- Support Zones (green boxes): The key support levels are marked near $2,580–$2,600. This area has been tested multiple times in the past, showing buyers stepping in and defending this zone.
2. Chart Pattern
- Symmetrical Triangle: The white lines outline a symmetrical triangle pattern. This indicates consolidation and a potential breakout, either upwards or downwards, as the price nears the apex of the triangle. Triangles often lead to sharp price movements as traders anticipate a resolution.
3. Potential Scenarios
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (green path)
- If the price breaks above the resistance zone near $2,720, we could see a bullish rally.
- The price might retest the breakout level before heading higher towards $2,760–$2,800. This aligns with the continuation of the prevailing uptrend from earlier in the chart.
- A breakout above the symmetrical triangle would signal strong buying momentum, supported by increasing volume during the breakout.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (red path)
- If the price fails to hold the triangle's lower boundary and the key support zone near $2,580, a bearish breakdown is likely.
- This could lead to a sharp decline, targeting levels around $2,520 and potentially further towards $2,480.
- Such a move could be triggered by strong selling pressure or macroeconomic factors unfavorable to gold, such as a strengthening U.S. dollar or rising bond yields.
4. Volume Analysis
- The volume seems to be decreasing as the price moves within the triangle, which is typical for such consolidation patterns. A significant increase in volume during the breakout or breakdown would confirm the direction of the move.
5. Trading Implications
- For a bullish breakout, traders might consider entering long positions above $2,720 with stops below the triangle and targeting $2,760 or higher.
- For a bearish breakdown, short positions could be initiated below $2,580, with stops above the triangle and targets near $2,520 or lower.
- Risk management is essential, especially in volatile market conditions like this.
This analysis is based purely on the technical chart setup and does not account for any fundamental factors or news events that could influence gold prices. It would be wise to monitor any upcoming economic reports or geopolitical developments that might impact gold's movement.
HelenP. I Gold will reach resistance level and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago price rebounded from the trend line and dropped to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level. Then price some time traded near this level and then tried to grow, but failed and continued to decline, breaking the 2640 level. Then it fell to the support level, and even a little below, after which some time traded and then broke the 2600 level and started to grow. Firstly Gold rose almost to resistance level, but then made small corrections and then continued to move up. Some time later price rose to the resistance zone and tried to rise to the resistance level, but failed and when it touched the trend line, the price dropped to the support level. After this movement, Gold rebounded and in a short time rose to the trend line and even broke it. At the moment, I expect that XAUUSD will rise to the resistance level and then start to decline to the support level, breaking the trend line again. For this case, I set my goal at 2600 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD - Price can little correct and then continue grow in wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price bounced from $2720 resistance level and tried to grow, but failed and started to decline inside wedge.
In wedge, price broke $2720 level and dropped to support line of wedge, breaking $2595 level as well.
After this, price made upward impulse to $2720 level, breaking $2595 support level again and then made correction.
Gold rose to resistance level again and then corrected to support level, where some time traded near.
Recently, price started to grow from support line of wedge and I think it can make correction movement.
Then Gold can turn around and continue to move up to $2690 resistance line of wedge.
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GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving in an UP trend channel and is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an Ascending channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance area, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
XAUUSD - Gold reached its previous day's target!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term bullish channel. The correction of the price of gold towards the demand zones will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward.
In the early days of 2025, gold prices surged by over $40, regaining some of the losses from December and once again capturing investors’ attention. Although December’s decline in gold prices was not significant, it was disappointing for many investors—especially considering the positive news at the start of December 2024 that the Chinese central bank had resumed its gold purchases after a months-long pause.
Several key factors are currently shaping the outlook for the gold market. First, the release of China’s economic data on January 7 is expected to play a crucial role in influencing the market. Second, the weak start to 2025 for Chinese equities and domestic investors’ disappointment with the lack of tangible economic stimuli, particularly in the consumer sector, have acted as supportive factors for gold.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s interest rates and the strength of the US dollar remain important elements to watch. While US bond yields dipped slightly today, the dollar remains strong. For gold to replicate its impressive 2024 performance, a reversal in the dollar’s upward trajectory will be essential.
Gold had a very strong performance in 2024, but it now appears to be entering a phase of range-bound movement for a period. Historically, gold has exhibited back-and-forth fluctuations, and with US interest rates continuing to rise, this trend could work against it. Analysts estimate that the $2,500 level could serve as a price floor in the first quarter of 2025. Any price dips are likely to attract buying pressure, though a significant upward breakout is not expected. A key factor that could support gold would be a decline in the 10-year US Treasury yield.
For instance, if the 10-year yield drops below 4%, it could trigger a significant rise in gold prices. However, there is little interest in selling gold under current conditions.It is predicted that gold’s behavior in 2025 will resemble its performance in 2021, where buyers were present but no substantial upward movement occurred.
Should gold break above the $2,800 level, this could trigger major changes and push prices toward the $3,000 mark. It would not be surprising if this happens at some point during 2025. However, the first few months of the year are expected to favor range-bound price movements.
XAUUSD: Gold in 2025!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term ascending channel. In case of a valid break of the resistance range, we can witness the continuation of the rise of gold and see the supply zone. Correction of gold and pullback to the broken channel will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward.
According to a recent report by UBS, the price of gold is expected to reach $2,900 per ounce by the end of 2025. UBS highlights that one of the main drivers of this price increase is the continued demand for gold by central banks. These institutions are motivated by a desire to reduce reliance on the dollar and diversify their reserves, and they are expected to maintain their purchasing momentum in 2025, supporting high gold prices.
In addition, investor demand for gold as a safeguard against geopolitical and policy-related uncertainties will also play a critical role in sustaining elevated prices. UBS points to ongoing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine conflict, tensions in the Middle East, and uncertainty surrounding U.S. fiscal and trade policies under President Donald Trump as factors that could boost investment in gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Furthermore, declining interest rates and a weakening U.S. dollar are other key factors contributing to gold’s rise. UBS anticipates that interest rates will continue to drop and that a weaker dollar will drive higher demand for gold.
Beyond gold, UBS also highlights opportunities in copper and other energy-transition metals. The bank identifies global investments in electricity generation, energy storage, and electric transportation as long-term drivers of demand for these metals.
Meanwhile, according to surveys conducted by the Financial Times, Trump’s economic policies, known as “Maganomics,” could pose risks to economic growth. The findings suggest that many economists believe Trump’s protectionist measures might overshadow the benefits of his other policies.
More than half of the 220 economists surveyed across the U.S., UK, and Eurozone believe Trump’s policies could lead to higher inflation and force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more cautious stance on cutting interest rates. However, most analysts, including those from the IMF, OECD, and European Commission, forecast that U.S. economic growth in 2025 will outpace that of Europe.
Could the Gold drop from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support level.
Pivot: 2,636.83
1st Support: 2,608.00
1st Resistance: 2,657.44
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GOLD:Will the U.S. Dollar Cap Gold Gains?Analyzing Market TrendsGold prices have seen a surge in buying activity as the week begins, aiming to build upon the recovery initiated from a one-month low reached last Thursday. Analyzing the market from a technical perspective, we've observed the price hitting our pending order level. According to the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, retail traders remain bullish while commercial traders have shifted to a bearish stance over the past week. This dynamic suggests that we are anticipating a bearish continuation in gold prices despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, fears surrounding trade wars continue to create a backdrop that benefits the safe-haven appeal of gold.
However, the strength of the U.S. Dollar (USD) presents a contrasting scenario that could further suppress gold prices. Recently, there has been a resurgence in dip-buying within the USD, fueled by the Federal Reserve's hawkish signals and rising U.S. Treasury yields. These factors are likely to impose additional constraints on gold, a non-yielding asset, limiting its upside potential. In summary, while the geopolitical landscape might support gold's appeal, the prevailing strength of the dollar could undermine any significant price increases in the near term.
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GOLD - Price can correct to support line and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price entered to triangle, where it at once broke $2700 level and then fell to support line of this pattern.
Also, Gold broke $2595 level, but some time later it turned around from support line and soon broke $2595 level again.
Later Gold rose to resistance zone, after which made correction and then reached support line of triangle.
Then price made upward impulse, thereby exiting from triangle and breaking $2700 level, and started to trades in pennant.
In this pattern, price broke $2700 level one more time and declined to support level, after which rose to resistance line.
In my mind, Gold can fall to support line and then bounce up to $2660, exiting from pennant.
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XAUUSD 30/12/24Our final gold markup before 2025 arrives and we transition into a new trading year! As expected, the Christmas period brought low trading volume, which leads us to review the setups from last week. With the New Year approaching quickly, we anticipate volume will remain low until 2025. Here’s last week’s text for additional context.
XAUUSD Analysis
Last week, we began with a bullish bias, but our outlook quickly shifted to bearish by Monday's close. This shift led to the significant downside movement observed during the latter half of the week, driven by fundamentals. We saw a substantial run targeting the lower levels, which brings us to today’s bias, which remains bearish.
Currently, we are focused on the three liquidity lows as our primary targets. As always, we look to the highs within the range to provide optimal entries for these targets. At the moment, there is a high in the middle of the range, but we are prioritizing the higher, more favorable highs for potential short positions. If an entry aligns with our plan, this could lead to the final sell-off of the week before the New Year approaches.
Trade safe and stick to your plan.
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,632.65
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 2,655.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,593.01
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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HelenP. I Gold can break support level and fall to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago, the price broke the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and rose to 2720 points, after which it made a strong impulse down to the support level, breaking the resistance level. Next, the price turned around from the 2610 level and started to grow, and when it almost reached the resistance level, Gold made a correction to the support level. After this, the price turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance level, broke, and later rose to the trend line. Then the price turned around and started to decline, so, in a short time it fell to the 2675 resistance level, broke it, and continued to fall next. Gold declined to the support level and even broke it and fell lower even support zone. But soon it turned around and rose to the trend line, after which it broke this line and continued to move up. Recently XAU dropped to the support level and now trades close to it. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make a small move up and then continue to decline to the trend line, breaking the support level. That's why I set my goal at 2575 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can drop to support line of wedge, breaking support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it. After this, the price rose to 2721 points and then made an impulse down to the support level, which coincided with the support line of the wedge, breaking the resistance level. Next, Gold started to trades inside the range, where it rose to the 2665 resistance level, but then made a correction to the bottom part of the range. After this movement, the price started to grow and reached the resistance level again, and even broke it, thereby exiting from the range and continuing to move up. Price rose to the resistance line of the wedge, turned around, and quickly dropped below the resistance level, breaking it again. Later price fell to the support line of the wedge, breaking the support level, but a not long time ago it rebounded up the top resistance line, breaking the 2605 level one more time. At the moment, I think that the price can rebound from the resistance line and start to decline to the support line of the wedge pattern, breaking the support level. For this case, I set my TP at 2575 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD bullish movement continuesThe FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD)
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Gold in corrective phase then trend resumes?Currently gold is in a corrective phase. My expectations for is a further climb to around 2650-2655 range. In the daily timeframe we can see Supply zone. A good rejection may follow here. Notice the support trend below, If it still get respected gold can push up again. A break below after confirmation will shift our technical analysis, and selling the market becomes prio.
Resistance: 2635, 2643, 2651
Support: 2622, 2613, 2604