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Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level. Pivot: 2,642.32 1st Support: 2,591.17 1st Resistance: 2,708.30 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
XAUUSD - Buy Gold!?The US dollar gained strength again last week due to the effects of Trump being elected as the next US president. Considering that the Republican Party will control the US Congress in both the House of Representatives and the Senate, it is expected that the implementation of Trump's pre-election promises will easily become law. The new US president wants drastic cuts in corporate taxes and tariffs on goods imported from around the world, especially from China. From the point of view of the financial community, these actions could increase inflation and prevent the Federal Reserve from lowering interest rates in the future. US inflation data in October indicated the persistence of price pressures. Also, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently stated that there is no need to rush to cut interest rates. This has led some market participants to believe that interest rate cuts will stop in the near future. Mark Leboitt, publisher of VR Metals/Resource Letter, commented: "Gold's price correction is happening as expected, with a possible drop to the $2,300 level, although the long-term view remains to reach $3,700. considers "Right now, gold is oversold, so we're likely to see a correction," he continued. In such a situation, buying at weak price points for long-term positions and doing short-term transactions with a buying approach can be considered a suitable strategy. Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart.com, said: "For the coming week, an upward trend is expected. The excitement and frenzy surrounding the recent US election is likely coming to an end, which means the market will face new uncertainties. In such a situation, gold can once again be considered as a safe asset by investors and can be bought as a hedge against the volatility of other market sectors, especially the stock market. This week for the US we have S&P Global manufacturing, services and composite PMI data to watch out for. The beginning of the easing cycle in September and the first reduction in interest rates have revived hopes for the improvement of data such as PMI, and economic activities are expected to improve, especially in the manufacturing and industrial sector, with the continued reduction in borrowing costs. Therefore, although we cannot expect a significant improvement in the short term, we can hope for the improvement of the production sector in the future and gradually. In addition, the speeches of several central bank officials are also of particular importance to traders, as they try to get indications of the speed and possible depth of interest rate cuts. Among the important speeches of the week, we can mention Goolsby's statement on Monday and his appearance again with Hamek on Thursday.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
GOLD - Price can make small correction and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price declined in falling channel, where it fell below $2655 level and reached support line of channel. Then price turned around and started to grow inside rising channel, where it soon reached $2655 level and broke it. In this channel, price grew to resistance line and continued to move up near this line, until it reached $2790 points. After this, price turned around and started to decline, exiting from rising channel and fell to $2655 level. Soon, Gold broke this level too and fell to $2560 level, where it bounced from support area and started to grow recently. I think that XAU can little correct to support level and then continue to move up to $2655 resistance level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
3
HelenP. I Gold will continue to decline between the trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago price entered to consolidation, where it some time traded near resistance 1, which is the bottom part of this pattern. Next, the price rebounded up to the top part of the consolidation, after which little corrected and later fell back to resistance 1 already. After this, Gold some time traded in the resistance area, after which turned around and started to grow, and soon exited from consolidation. Later, the price broke resistance 2, which coincided with one more resistance zone and some time traded near. After this, the price turned around and rebounded up to the trend line and then started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to resistance 2, after which broke it and continued to move down between trend line. Soon, the price fell to resistance 1, broke it too, and continued to fall next. At the moment, Gold trades near the trend line and I expect that XAUUSD will break the trend line, after which continue to decline next between this line. Therefore I set my goal at 2500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
3
XAUUSD, WEEKLY CHART... here's how it looks.I've been trying some custom approach / experiment on detecting reversal play in advance stages -- and my current case study is XAUUSD. Here's how it looks. Based on weekly data, we got a thinning price line with a shifting inverted support lines (bottom lines). A good confirmation Identifier would be a complete horizontal inverted support line shift. 1950 (completed support line) would be the key price point for that level. Touch it, and we got a BUY SIGNAL. Non-confirmatory (risky) would be 1940 level. TAYOR. Safeguard capital always.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JSAL
7
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 2,607.71 1st Support: 2,530.05 1st Resistance: 2,673.73 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
1
XAUUSD 17/11/24Following the previous weeks' analysis, we are once again adhering to the bearish narrative for this pair. Many traders have attempted to go long despite the pair showing strong bearish momentum. In my opinion, this is due to a couple of major factors. Firstly, gold is considered a safe haven, and as the market becomes more fluid, liquidity is being redirected to other assets that may carry slightly more risk. Secondly, the election of Donald Trump as president has bolstered confidence in the economy, further contributing to this liquidity shift. While gold remains a reliable safe haven, these factors have influenced its price movements. It’s important to note that this view is based on my perspective. Over the past few months, gold prices have surged significantly, making a corrective move almost inevitable. As mentioned in the EUR/USD market analysis, we are maintaining a bearish outlook here as well. After sweeping the daily low—indicated by the arrow on the left-hand side—the market experienced a short-term push to the upside. This move has swept liquidity, and we are now anticipating a reallocation higher within the short-term range that has been established. Within this range, there is an unmitigated supply area similar to what was observed on the previous chart. We expect the price to run through the short-term highs located in the middle of the range before initiating a sell-off near the upper boundary. However, there is also a possibility that the sell-off could occur earlier, without pulling back into any of these areas. Should that happen, the chart will need to be updated accordingly. Our overall targets are the liquid highs at the upper end of the range, followed by a continuation to the downside, with the price running the marked low and sustaining its bearish trend until the bias shifts. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
Gold isn't ready to buy yetI've been trading gold for many years and I can say that I have a pretty good handle gold's behaviors. While I think many think now might be the right time to buy gold as it is "really low" at least by comparison, I don't think so. Gold Buys slowly and overtime, big bull spikes while they do occur they typically aren't the catalyst for the actual bull push. You'd typically find bearish spikes as these are the fake move. What I mean by this is I think gold may continue to sell until it starts to slowly create higher highs and higher lows only to break out slowly after that. The fact that gold is so bearish currently, it is likely to go up to get rid of these sellers within this orange zone (which I have re-analyzed) to the level I've highlighted (black line) and then drop. But why am I choosing this line in particular, well I've studied gold for such a long time - I've noticed that it actually likes to play between obvious levels rather than go directly to them. These are just my thoughts and I wouldn't act on them (for sells) until it actually decides to start going bearish. So even if I am wrong about this, who cares lol
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Brandon_evo4
GOLD - Price can bounce up from support line to resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 After price started to trades inside rising channel, it at once rose to $2730 level from $2610 level. Then price broke it and some time traded inside resistance area, where it made a gap and later grew to resistance line. Next, price turned around and started to decline inside falling channel, exiting from rising channel. In falling channel, Gold broke $2730 level and some time later reached $2610 level and some time traded near it. Recently price broke it and fell to support line of channel, but a not long time ago it bounced up. So, in my mind, Gold can fall to support line again and then bounce up to $2610 resistance level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
5
Heading into overlap resistance?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 2,589.58 1st Support: 2,530.28 1st Resistance: 2,641.36 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
1
Sell XAU/USD (Gold) Bearish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2560, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2524 2nd Support – 2501 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
4
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and is also slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2,589.18 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and also lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2,625.45 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 2,546.42 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
XAUUSD - which way will gold go after CPI!?Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of upward correction due to today's economic data, we can see supply zones and sell within those zones with appropriate risk reward. The continuation of the downward movement of gold has led to the visibility of the demand zone and it is possible to look for buying positions. UBS analysts are optimistic about a possible rate cut by the Federal Reserve despite inflation concerns. Recent inflation data has not been enough to change UBS's view on further rate cuts by the FOMC. UBS refers to the following points: • Economic data indicates a stronger than expected economy. • Concerns about inflation remain. • The expectations of the market are moving towards the reduction of the interest rate by the Federal Reserve. • Federal Reserve officials see the current rate as restrictive but are trying to balance employment and inflation goals. • A major inflationary shock is needed to change the policy landscape. The consensus seems to be that once Trump takes office, he will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to boost growth and deliver on his economic promises. This was indeed the context for the questions asked of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell last week. He was asked if he would resign if pressured by the Trump administration. Powell stated that he will not resign and that the president does not have such authority. This assumption partly goes back to the first term of Trump's presidency, when he repeatedly called for easing policies of the Federal Reserve and sometimes criticized Powell. But the difference between today and 2018 and 2019 is that inflation was much lower at that time. Most importantly, voters showed their anger at the high cost of living by ousting Democrats from the White House and the Senate. NBC exit polls in 10 key states found that three-quarters of voters rated inflation as a moderate or severe problem in the past year, and more supported Trump. "It makes more sense for Trump 2.0 to bear some of the economic slack (and blame it on Biden and Harris) to curb inflation," Stephen Jenn, CEO of Eurizon SLJ Capital, wrote in a note. "I don't agree at all that Trump 2.0 risks increasing inflation." Meanwhile, China's central bank stopped buying gold for reserves for the sixth consecutive month in October, according to official data. China's gold reserves reached 72.8 million troy ounces at the end of last month. However, the value of gold reserves rose to $199.06 billion from $191.47 billion at the end of September. The World Gold Council's report predicts that gold purchases by global central banks, which increased in 2022 and 2023, will decline in 2024, although they will remain above pre-2022 levels. This issue is partly due to the suspension of 18-month purchases of the People's Bank of China since May.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Could Gold reverse from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 2,555.82 1st Support: 2,530.28 1st Resistance: 2,588.66 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
Bearish drop?XAU/USD has broken out of the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2,589.18 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2,617.67 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 2,555.36 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
HelenP. I Gold will reach trend line and then start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago price declined below a support level, thereby breaking it, and started to trades inside the support zone. Later prices declined from this area lower, but soon turned around and backed up to the 2650 level, making a gap and breaking this level. Next, the price made a retest and continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. After Gold reached this level, the price some time traded between this level, and last time it broke the 2735 resistance level, made a second gap, and continued to move up. Some time later price reached the trend line and then started to decline inside the pennant. In this pattern, the price first fell to the 2735 level, and then broke it, after which made impulse down to the support level. A not long time ago price rebounded from this level and now the XAU rise. So, I think that XAUUSD will reach the trend line and then start to decline to the support level, thereby exiting from the pennant. For this case, I set my goal at 2650 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
14
Could the Gold reverse from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and is also slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2,589.18 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and also slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2,555.36 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 2,641.60 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
Gold: A Sudden Pivot and Decline… All Eyes on Powell and the FedGold’s Outlook Amidst Global Shifts: Anticipating the Federal Reserve’s Decision and Trump’s Return to Power Gold (XAUUSD) currently exhibits a technical reversal setup, hinting at a potential downward trend in the medium to long term. The fundamental landscape is shifting to favor the U.S. dollar, subtly steering capital away from gold. This pivot is influencing price targets and investor sentiment, aligning more with an appreciation of the dollar than a rally in precious metals. In a surprising twist in U.S. politics, Donald Trump has regained the presidency. What does this political shift mean for gold and other key markets? Historically, Trump’s policies have leaned toward deregulation and fiscal expansion, potentially fueling inflation. With an administration focused on rapid economic growth and bold policies, there’s a plausible scenario for rising inflation, increased demand for the dollar, a robust stock market, and strengthening U.S. bond yields. Yet, gold and currency markets might not see immediate benefits from this environment. Trump’s known stance toward China and Europe, marked by economic confrontation and protectionist measures, could eventually provide a supportive backdrop for gold, although this may not manifest immediately. Investors may perceive gold as a safe haven in the face of prolonged U.S.-China tensions, but significant gains may only materialize over time—perhaps not until late next year or beyond. So, what are the forward-looking targets for gold? Analysts are keeping an eye on potential pullbacks to levels like 2400, 2300, or even 2200. Should the selling pressure increase, a test of the 2000 mark isn’t out of the question. These medium to long-term projections underscore a cautious outlook, hinging heavily on both domestic policy under the new administration and ongoing global economic challenges. At present, however, the immediate focus lies with the Federal Reserve. This Thursday’s rate decision is critical: Will the Fed cut by another 0.25% to continue economic support, or opt for stability and keep rates steady? Yet, the spotlight is less on the rate decision itself and more on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary. Any signals that the Fed may ease up on its current rate cut cycle could impact markets dramatically, especially those tied closely to interest rates like gold. Hints of a potential slowdown in easing could push investors away from the yellow metal as confidence in the dollar strengthens. From a technical perspective, gold appears to be re-entering a price range, with attention drawn to significant internal levels, including the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement line—a crucial marker. Should gold breach this level, a resumption of the downtrend may be imminent. If sellers reclaim control below this level, a deeper pullback may follow. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 2670, 2685, 2696 Support: 2652 (trigger point), 2637, 2624 As a correction pattern emerges in the wake of recent declines, traders are monitoring for a potential false breakout. If gold experiences a brief push above these resistance points but subsequently consolidates below them, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend. In summary, gold's trajectory will be shaped by a unique combination of technical pressures and fundamental shifts. Trump’s return and its implications for inflation and foreign policy, combined with the Fed’s upcoming rate guidance, form a complex backdrop. Investors should brace for heightened volatility, as the evolving policy landscape and economic indicators will likely be pivotal in determining gold's next moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0