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XAUUSD 3/11/24We have a short bias on gold this week, mainly to establish a better price level in case the market decides to move higher again, based on the daily timeframe gap. This is the first bearish gap in over a month, which indicates a strong chance for a possible sell-off. We’ve marked the lows, and currently, there are no unmitigated areas of demand. Given our bearish bias, this is expected, as previous areas of demand or support are likely to be broken, allowing the price to reach a more favorable level for future buying opportunities. There’s also an area of supply marked above, which could push the price lower. However, we're primarily looking for a short-term sell-off, with a longer-term expectation of reaching all-time highs again, driven by strong fundamentals supporting gold. This pullback is likely a temporary correction in the overall uptrend. Since we haven’t seen a pullback in a while, a correction is ultimately inevitable. Where it will end and turn bullish again is uncertain. This week, our focus is on the liquidity levels marked for potential reactions. Trade based on current price action and follow your plan. Stick to your strategy, manage your risk, and consider the supply area as a possible point for selling into the lows. Follow your plan and stick to your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
2
GOLD - Price can little correct and then bounce up to $2825Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Not long ago, price bounced from $2665 support level and fell below it, after which it started to grow inside rising channel. In channel, Gold broke $2665 level one more time and later rose to resistance line of channel, after which made little move down. Then Gold rose to $2755 level, after which bounced down to support line of channel and then continued to grow. Later price made a gap, after which fell back to support line and then bounced up, breaking $2755 level. Price a little rose, after which it started to decline, so, in my opinion, Gold can little decline. After this movement, price can turn around one more time and then start to grow to $2825 resistance line of channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
3
HelenP. I Gold will make small correction and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you XAUUSD analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago rebounded from the trend line and rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then the price broke this level and then continued to move up, until it reached 2680 points, after which it turned around and made a correction movement to the trend line. When Gold reached this line, the price broke it and dropped to support 2, but soon turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line and even made a gap. Then price some time traded near the trend line and later broke it. After which Gold reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, broke it, and rose even higher in this area. But sometimes, the price fell to the support zone, and now it rising. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make small correction and then continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 2775 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
15
HelenP. I Gold can grow a little and then rebound downHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In the chart we can see how the price declined to trend line and then started to grow inside pennant. In this pattern, price some time rising near trend line and later rebounded to the support zone, which coincided with the support 2. Then price made correction, after which continued to move up and soon broke the support 2, after which rose until to resistance line of the pennant. Then Gold turned around and started to decline and quickly fell to the support 2, which coincided with the trend line and then rebounded. Price made a gap and then exited from the pennant, after which continued to move up to the support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. Soon, Gold broke this level, rose a little and made retest, after a breakout. After this movement, price rebounded and continued to move up, and now trades close 2790 points. So, in my mind, XAUUSD will reach 2795 and then start to decline to 2715 support level, which I set my goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
3
XAU/USD: Final NFP before Election Americans continue to rank the economy as their top issue, and the final Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before voting day, offers a crucial signal this coming Friday. September saw a gain of 254,000 jobs, but forecasts point to a marked slowdown, with expectations hovering just above the 100,000 mark. The expected downturn stems from several factors, including back-to-back hurricanes disrupting the Southeast of the country. For now, gold is trading below Friday’s close (but for how much longer?) as markets react to limited Israeli action against Iran. Tehran has indicated it won’t retaliate, easing geopolitical tension and potentially reducing demand for the haven asset.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Gold continues to show impressive resilience near recent highs As the threat of a resurgence in inflation with the reckless fiscal policies that are likely to follow the presidential election loom, gold is firmly holding its ground around its historical high. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, coupled with soaring demand in China and India, are driving up gold prices. Furthermore, the uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election is boosting demand for gold as a safe haven. UBS has reported that global central banks has acquired 483 tons of gold in 1H2024 and forecasted that gold prices could soar to 3,000 USD per troy ounce next year. XAUUSD sustained strength throughout the week within the 2720-2750 range. The price maintains a solid uptrend within the ascending channel, while EMA21 shows bullish momentum, widening the gap with EMA78. If XAUUSD breaches the resistance at 2750 and the ascending channel's upper bound, the price could gain upward momentum toward a new high of 2850. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaks the support at 2680, coinciding with EMA21, the price may fall below the channel's lower bound and decline further to the support at 2520.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by inkicho_exness
XAUUSD 27/10/24Continuing from last week's analysis on gold, we are again anticipating higher prices as we enter this trading week. We don’t expect the trend to change unless there's a clear reason, such as breaking below key lows and staying bearish for an extended period, which could signal the start of potential sell-offs. However, for now, we're not considering this scenario. We have three key reference points: the primary target is another all-time high this week. Watch for price to dip below lows that hold liquidity, and then aim for the target at the all-time high. Follow the upward trend of large bank orders and look for a good entry if we see a pullback. Trade safely and stick to your risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
Gold Price Hits New All-Time High Near $2,757 - Have a Look NextGold has once again proven its status as the ultimate safe-haven asset, recently reaching an all-time high just shy of the $2,757 mark. This surge comes amid rising geopolitical tensions and increasing expectations for further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve. Despite a rise in US Treasury yields, the yellow metal's upward momentum remains strong as investors flock to it during times of uncertainty, highlighting its enduring appeal as a store of value. Factors Behind Gold’s Historic Surge 1. Geopolitical Tensions Global geopolitical risks have escalated recently, leading to a rush toward safe-haven assets like gold. Heightened conflicts in the Middle East and lingering tensions in Eastern Europe have fueled fears of broader market instability. Gold, historically seen as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty, has been one of the primary beneficiaries as investors seek to protect their portfolios. 2. Expectations of Further Fed Rate Cuts Market sentiment is increasingly tilting toward additional rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The anticipation of lower interest rates typically supports gold prices, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. With economic data pointing to slower growth and possible deflationary pressures, the Fed may be inclined to continue its dovish stance, further boosting gold’s appeal. 3. US Treasury Yields and Safe-Haven Demand Even as US Treasury yields have risen, signaling expectations of a stronger US economy, gold's ascent has not been hindered. This decoupling suggests that other factors, like risk aversion and safe-haven demand, are currently driving the metal’s price. Growing fears of a potential Trump presidency in 2024 have added an extra layer of uncertainty, prompting investors to seek the stability that gold provides. Technical Analysis: Is a Retracement on the Horizon? From a technical standpoint, the recent surge in gold prices suggests that the metal may be poised for a near-term pullback. Here’s why: Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Analysis: According to the latest COT report, retail traders remain heavily bullish on gold, a potential contrarian indicator that often precedes a short-term price reversal. Meanwhile, the so-called "smart money" appears to be scaling back on long positions, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment. Seasonal Forecast: Seasonality patterns indicate that gold might be approaching a reversal phase. Historically, gold has shown a tendency to retrace after significant rallies, especially when retail sentiment becomes overly bullish. This seasonal forecast aligns with technical signals that suggest a possible correction. Potential Retracement Levels: If gold begins to retrace from current levels, key support zones to watch would include $2,700 and $2,650, where previous resistance levels could now act as support. Traders should keep a tight stop-loss to protect against potential downside risks, especially given the ongoing volatility in global markets. Trading Strategy: Cautious Optimism with a Tight Stop-Loss While the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and monetary easing expectations, short-term traders should exercise caution. With the potential for a near-term pullback, the ideal strategy may involve waiting for a retracement to key support levels before considering new long positions. Risk Management: Given the current elevated price levels, it’s crucial to maintain a tight stop-loss to manage potential downside risk. Potential Reentry: If a retracement occurs, investors could look for signs of stabilization around the $2,650–$2,700 range before reentering the market. Final Thoughts: A Bullish Long-Term Outlook with Short-Term Caution Gold’s recent surge to near $2,750 highlights its role as a global safe haven amidst uncertainty. However, with retail sentiment leaning heavily bullish and the possibility of a technical correction looming, traders should remain cautious in the short term. Despite the potential for a pullback, gold’s long-term fundamentals remain intact, driven by geopolitical risks, monetary policy expectations, and overall global economic uncertainty. As always, a balanced approach, considering both the fundamental and technical factors, will be essential to navigating the evolving landscape of gold trading. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FOREXN1
1
The real value of gold is not this!!Gold is currently in a descending wedge and has completed its five upward waves, all indicating a bearish price trend. What further confirms this bearish outlook is the bearish divergence in the MACD. If the signal is followed, we will see a price drop. but Do current tensions in the Middle East allow for it ? ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by CobraVanguard
2
Sell XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2722 Target Levels: 1st Support – 2702 2nd Support – 2687 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2744. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
GOLD - Price can continue to grow inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price entered to pennant, where it at once bounced up from support line and rose to $2625 level. Soon, price broke this level, and quickly reached resistance line of pennant, but then made correction back. After this, price rose to resistance line and some time traded near, after which bounced down, exiting from pennant. Also, Gold broke $2625 level, but soon started to grow inside rising channel and later broke this level one more time. Inside channel, price made a gap and some time later reached resistance line, breaking $2720 level and recently making correction. Now, I think that Gold can firstlty fall to support level and then continue to grow to $2785 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
2
GOLD to find buyers at current overbought extremes?XAUUSD - 24h expiry Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 2753. Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes. Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. 20 1hour EMA is at 2743. There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end. We look to Buy at 2744.5 (stop at 2726.5) Our profit targets will be 2789.5 and 2799.5 Resistance: 2753.4 / 2770.0 / 2785.0 Support: 2745.0 / 2725.0 / 2700.0 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by OANDA
2
XAU 1M Gold price formation history and future expectationsGold , or as denote the main trading pair XAUUSD , has been gaining a lot of attention around itself in recent years. As soon as major analysts or hedge fund top-managers begin to say that the next crisis is near, investors immediately start buying gold as a defensive asset, and its price, accordingly, goes up. Let's walk a little through the history of the Gold price. We finished drawing the graph, to what exists on tradingview.com, based on the data that is freely available. 1) In 1933, to overcome the crisis after the "Great Depression", US President Roosevelt issued a decree on the confiscation of gold from the population. The price for an ounce of gold is set at $20.66. 2) In 1971, a real rise in the value of gold begins. After decoupling the US dollar rate from the "gold standard", which regulated the cost of 1 troy ounce of gold at $35 for a long period from 1934 to August 1971. 3) 1973 - "The First Oil Crisis" and the rise in the value of gold from $35 to $180 - as the main anti-crisis instrument, a means of hedging investment risks. 4) 1979-1980 Islamic Revolution in Iran (Second Energy Crisis). The cost of gold, as the main protective asset, in a short period of time grows more than 8 times and sets a maximum at around $850 5) During 1998-2000, the world swept through: the "Asian economic crisis", defaults in a number of countries, and the cherry on the cake - the "Dotcom Bubble". During this period, the price of gold was twice aggressively bought out by investors, from the level of $250. It was a clear signal - there will be no lower, next, only growth! 6) And so it happened, from 2001 to 2011 there was an increase in the value of gold from $250 to $1921 . Even the mortgage crisis of 2008 could not break the growth trend, but only acted as a trigger for a 30% price correction. Looking at the XAUUSD chart now, one can assume that large investors were actively buying gold in the $1050-1350 range during 2013-2019. It is hard to believe that investors who have been gaining long positions for 6 years will be satisfied with such a small period of growth in 2019-2020. For ourselves, we establish a Gold purchase zone in the range of $1527-1600 per troy ounce, from where we expect the growth trend to continue to the $3180-3350 region What are your views on the future price of gold? Share them in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by P_S_trade
24
XAU/BTC - Gold and Bitcoin outlook for next 6 months ?GOLD & BITCOIN OUTLOOK for the ppl saying that TVC:GOLD is outperforming CRYPTOCAP:BTC Well... not really as you can see at a relatively big timeframe on this XAU/BTC chart what is happening now ? well XAU had a rebound mid March, making a +66% pullback, it seems a lot but as you can see during august 2020 it felt 85% ! 1. made it to the previous resistance quite hardly, first sign about the bearish approach that could arrive 2. we are now around , in fact around a very hot zone, 0.4 , if we go above, more chance to see bullish moves in this chart, meaning that Gold could go more up and/or Btc could go more down, its a weekly timeframe so, im talking about a 6 months move BUT, I think XAU/BTC will not be able to pass that resistance and will in fact go big red candles till spring 3. if you look at what happened 4 years ago just copy paste it now, you should have a view of the next 5-6 months for both assets Not saying that gold is gonna plummet and XAU/BTC will go -85% this time but it should bring it a bit down, as in august 2020 it was also going parabolic and went -20% in 6 months so yes im expecting gold to go -20% during the 6 next months and of course BTC to go UPPPPPP so if they're one thing to retain here, its that Gold seems now inversely linked to the 4 years BTC cycle ! And this is quite interesting because it means that BTC has a lot more power and influence than people think Cheers & thx for reading
TVC:XAUBTCShort
by Investwine
1