Gold's Next Chapter: Technical Insights and Market TrendsGOLD (SPOT) – technical overview
The 2019 breakout above the 2016 high at 1375 was a significant development, opening the door for fresh record highs and this next major upside extension into the 2500-3000 area. Setbacks should now be well supported above 2000 on a monthly close basis.
R2 2451 – 20 May Record high – Strong
R1 2388 –7 June high – Medium
S1 2277 – 3 May low – Strong
S2 2223– 21 March high – Strong
GOLD (SPOT) – fundamental overview
The yellow metal has pushed record highs in 2024 with solid demand from medium and longer-term accounts. These players are more concerned about inflation, geopolitical risk and a less upbeat global growth outlook. All of this should keep the commodity well supported, with many market participants also fleeing to the hard asset as the grand dichotomy of record high equities and record low yields comes to an end.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
D-XAU
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is currently to the pivot and could potentially fall to the pullback support.
Pivot: 2,334.49
1st Support: 2,306.73
1st Resistance: 2,354.71
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GOLD to form another higher low?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
Price action continues to trade around significant highs.
50 1day EMA is at 2317.8.
Trend line support is located at 2318.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to Buy at 2319.0 (stop at 2303.0)
Our profit targets will be 2359.0 and 2367.0
Resistance: 2327.3 / 2340.0 / 2355.0
Support: 2316.8 / 2306.5 / 2295.6
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Could Gold drop from here?XAU/USD is currently at the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could potentially fall to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,325.19
1st Support: 2,306.73
1st Resistance: 2,338.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD 23/6/24Gold this week has a similar outlook to last week. We have an extreme POI (Point of Interest) within the market, a higher time frame order block, and a fair amount of liquidity below the structural lows established last week during our pullback.
If you are up to date with last week's markup that we posted on TradingView, you would see that it has played out almost perfectly as expected. Following this, if we pull higher into the area of supply before dropping, we would expect a longer-term sell move. Conversely, if we sell off sooner, we will expect a bullish move later in the week.
If this fails, we expect the 4-hour low to be closed out completely and the price to move bearish. The main points to focus on this week are selling away from the area of supply and capturing the liquidity that sits below the lows.
Trade safe stick to your rules!
GOLD - Price can bounce up from support line to $2380 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price broke resistance level, which coincided with resistance zone and rose a little higher.
But soon, Gold made downward impulse to $2295 support level and started trading in flat.
Later price exited from this pattern and entered to upward pennant, where it made strong upward impulse.
Gold reached resistance line of pennant, breaking $2375 level, but soon, turned around and in a short time declined back.
Price fell to support line of pennant and now continues to trades near this line, and I think XAU can bounce up.
Also, I think price can break resistance level and reach $2380 resistance line of pennant.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold will make impulse from support level to $2360Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago broke the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and made a retest. After this, XAU continued to move up and later reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and soon broke this level too, after which rose to the trend line. Next, the price turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel, and made at once impulse down to the support line, breaking the 2385 level again, and even made a fake breakout of the support line of the channel. After this movement, the price quickly rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the trend line, which is the resistance line too and then rebounded down to the support zone. Then Gold in a short time rose back and even a little higher than the trend line, but a not long time ago, the price turned around and fell back to the channel, making a fake breakout of the resistance line. Now, I expect that XAUUSD will fall to the support level and then repeat movement up, higher than the trend line, thereby exiting from the channel. That's why I set my target at 2360 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
US30 Bullish Momentum Continues with Key Support at 38,790 Technical Analysis: US30
The US30 index retested the 38,790 level and then surged approximately 150 points, continuing its upward momentum toward the 39,050 level.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price trades above 38,790, it will likely push up to 39,050.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below the support levels at 38,790 and 38,760, it could decline to 38,580. Sustained trading below this level may result in a further drop to 38,400.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 38,790
- Resistance Levels: 39,050, 39,350, 39,700
- Support Levels: 38,580, 38,400, 38,290
Today's Expected Range:
The price is expected to move between the support level at 38,760 and the resistance level at 39,050.
In summary, maintaining a position above 38,790 supports a bullish outlook with higher resistance targets, while trading below this level indicates potential bearish movement towards lower support zones.
Previous idea:
GOLD / Bullish Momentum with Key Support at 2323Technical Analysis: Gold
As noted yesterday, the price pushed up from 2323 and reached our target of 2344.
Current Outlook:
The trend appears bullish for today, with the price stabilizing above 2323 and 2327. As long as it remains above 2323, it is expected to reach 2354 and 2357.
Bullish Scenario:
- As long as the price trades above 2323 and 2327, the trend remains bullish towards 2357. A break above 2357 could continue the bullish trend towards 2369.
- There is a possibility of a price correction down to 2327 or 2323.
Bearish Scenario:
- Closing a 4-hour or 1-hour candle below 2323 would indicate a downtrend, with the price moving towards the bearish area around 2303.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2327
- Resistance Levels: 2345, 2357, 2369
- Support Levels: 2311, 2302, 2292
Today's Expected Range :
- The price is anticipated to move between the support at 2323 and the resistance at 2357.
Summary:
- Maintaining a position above 2323 supports a bullish outlook, targeting higher resistance levels.
- Conversely, breaking below the support line could shift the trend to bearish, aiming for a lower support zone.
GOLD / Bullish Momentum Aims for Higher TargetsTechnical Analysis: Gold
The price has risen from 2323, as mentioned yesterday, and has successfully reached our target of 2357.
Current Outlook:
The trend remains bullish today, with the price stabilizing above 2357 and 2362. As long as it stays above these levels, it is expected to reach 2377 and 2386.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price trades above 2357 and 2362, it is likely to maintain a bullish trend towards 2377 and 2386. A break above 2386 could extend the bullish trend to 2397.
Bearish Scenario:
A 4-hour or 1-hour candle closing below 2357 would indicate a downtrend, with the price expected to trade in the bearish zone between 2357 and 2344.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2357
- Resistance Levels: 2377, 2386, 2397
- Support Levels: 2344, 2333, 2323
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to move between the support at 2357 and the resistance at 2386, with a bullish tendency.
Summary
Gold has reached 2357 from 2323. Today’s outlook is bullish if the price stays above 2357 and 2362, targeting 2377 and 2386, potentially reaching 2397. A close below 2357 may turn the trend bearish towards 2344. Expected range: 2357 to 2386 with a bullish bias.
previous idea:
Gold can fall to support level, break it and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago price started to trade inside the wedge, where it at once made an impulse up from the support line to the resistance line, after which turned around and fell to the support level. Then price some time traded near this level and then started to grow to the resistance line of the wedge pattern and when Gold reached this line, the price broke it, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. Next, XAU quickly rose higher than the 2415 level, which coincided with the seller zone, but soon turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel. In the channel, the price declined to the support line, breaking the resistance level, after which rose to the resistance line of the channel. Then Gold almost fell to the 2285 support level, after which turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance line of the channel. At the moment, the price continues to trades near this line, so, I think that price can decline to the support level, after which Gold will break it and continue to decline. For this reason, I set my TP at 2240 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD - Sell PositionSomeone asked how I took this position. Let me explain the different reasons:
1. Two Bullish Legs: During the Asia session, XAUUSD formed two bullish legs. This suggested a pullback to the previous pivot level, even if it continues to rise in the London and NY sessions.
2. Bearish Flag Pattern: The trading range resembled a bearish flag, indicating a likely reaction and decline from this resistance zone.
3. Weakening Momentum: In the 5m chart, the three pushes up at the end of the second leg showed signs of weakening momentum, pointing to increased selling pressure. This signaled a high probability of a pullback.
These observations combined led me to anticipate a decline, making this position a strategic move based on technical analysis.
We remain wary of today’s gains on gold and silverSilver rose over 2% in Thursday’s Asian session, eventually prompting gold to try and catch up. Yet gold’s ‘rally’ was lacklustre in comparison, and with silver pausing near a resistance cluster, we’d prefer to fade fold below $2350 for a move lower.
Silver has stalled around a high-volume node (HVN) and trend resistance. RSI (2) is overbought and prices have risen whilst volumes were lower. RSI (2) is also overbought for gold on this timeframe with lower volumes, and the monthly pivot point and weekly R1 pivot reside around 2350.
Bears could fade into gold below $2350 and target the weekly pivot around $2320. They could also seek shorts on silver around current levels with $30 as an initial target. At which point, bulls could then seek evidence of a swing low around the monthly pivot point or $30 for long swing trade.
XAUUSD H2 - Long SignalXAUUSD H2
Here is XAUUSD update on the H2, we were previously targeting 2325/oz and then 2335/oz. With further targets pushing towards that 2350/oz price. We are looking at pulling towards the previous area of resistance, which we now anticipate to act as support, priced 2320/oz.
Targets remain at around 2350/oz and then 2360/oz subsequently. Not much in the way of economic data today, so lets see what unfolds. Might be a slow burner of a day
GOLD (Reversing to bullish trend)Technical Analysis: Gold
The price reversed to a bullish trend after closing 4h candle above 2332, so the next bullish station is 2337 and 2357
Current Outlook:
The trend appears bullish for today, as the price has stabilized above 2323. As long as it remains above 2323, it is expected to touch 2338, and above it will get 2357
Bullish Scenario:
as long as the price trades above 2323 means has a bullish trend toward 2337 and then should break 2338 to continue the bullish trend till 2357, There is also the possibility of a price correction down to 2323.5
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below 2321, it is likely to drop to 2302. A 4-hour candle close below 2292 would suggest a further downtrend towards 2260.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2321
- Resistance Levels: 2337, 2357, 2369
- S upport Levels: 2302, 2292, 2260
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to move between the support at 2223 and the resistance at 2357.
In summary, maintaining a position above 2323 supports a bullish outlook, targeting resistance levels. Conversely, breaking under the support line could shift the trend to bearish, aiming for a lower support zone.
GOLD (It looks bearish trend) while under 2321Technical Analysis: Gold
The price will consolidated between the 2321 and 2302 zones.
Current Outlook:
The trend appears bearish for today, as the price has stabilized below 2321. As long as it remains under 2321, it is expected to touch 2302, and under it will get 2292
Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish trend to be activated, the price must break through the resistance zone between 2321 and 2327, targeting 2337 and 2357.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below 2321, it is likely to drop to 2302. A 4-hour candle close below 2292 would suggest a further downtrend towards 2260.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2321
- Resistance Levels: 2337, 2357, 2369
- Support Levels: 2302, 2292, 2260
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to move between the support at 2278 and the resistance at 2328.
In summary, maintaining a position below 2321 supports a bearish outlook, targeting lower support levels. Conversely, breaking above the resistance zone could shift the trend to bullish, aiming for higher targets.
GOLD heading for under 2300$(06/18/2024)bears in the gold market still have the upper hand and selling pressure on gold still dominates the market. we believe the current price market will reach under 2300$ (likely 2285$ and 2266$) before doing a proper correction.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
XAUUSD M15 - Long SignalXAUUSD M15
Healthy start for XAUUSD here on the LTF. We just need this M15 to close bullish in the next 3-4 minutes and we could likely see another surge of 10-15 points. Making this position 1R and risk free from an attractive buy region.
Again, targets as per previous H1 analysis, 2323, 2335, 2350.
XAUUSD H1 - Long SignalXAUUSD H1
We bounced nicely yesterday from this indicated buy zone, offering as much as 3.5R. We have since come back down to this area of support. We could see some potential re-entries from this zone, with targets of 2325/oz, 2335/oz and then 2350/oz.
If support doesn't manage to hold this time round, we could expect to see the more major support price of 2285 see a test.
Potential bearish drop for gold?Price has rejected off a resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could fall to our take profit.
Entry: 2,337.01
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 2,353.31
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 2,308.44
Why we like it:
There is a pull back support level which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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XAUUSD 16/6/24This week on gold, we are looking at the same range we had last week on the 4-hour chart. We expect prices to either move even lower from the last confirmed low within the range or break this range and push into the area of unmitigated supply above.
Our preferred move is for the price to drop slightly lower, then run higher into the area of supply, and subsequently sell off, following the higher timeframe bias we have for this pair.
A key point to remember is that we might not get a pullback, and the price could actually shift bullish if the last major high is broken. If this is the case, we are looking for a bullish run of the daily highs.
For now, we are bearish, and I expect this to sell off further for the time being.
Follow price action and trade your rules.