HelenP. I Gold will grow to trend line and then rebound downHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. On this chart, we can observe how the price was trading near the support level, which aligned with a key support zone. Gold initially dropped, rebounded from the trend line, and began moving higher within an upward channel. However, it eventually broke below the support level. Following this, the price made a correction to the trend line, which acted as support, before continuing its upward movement. Later, it reached the resistance level, which coincided with a resistance zone, and then pulled back downward. After this move, the price made a minor correction and quickly returned to the resistance area. Gold repeated this pattern once more, spending some time trading near resistance before recently breaking below it. Additionally, the price has broken through the trend line and exited the channel. Given this setup, I anticipate that XAUUSD will first rise back to the trend line before resuming its decline. My goal for this scenario is set at 2860. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
D-XAU
XAUUSD - Worries about the US economy!?Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 30-minute timeframe and is in its descending channel. An upward correction of gold towards the supply limits will provide us with the next selling position with a good risk-reward ratio.
An economist believes that the massive influx of gold and silver into the United States, coupled with speculation about the liquidity of the country’s gold reserves, could have profound effects on American consumers as well as the domestic and global economy.
Thorsten Pollitt, professor emeritus of economics at the University of Bayreuth and publisher of the BOOM & BUST report, told Kitco News that the increase in physical gold and silver inflows into the US is not surprising, as banks are increasing their reserves to counter potential risks associated with tariffs. He stressed that while the likelihood of tariffs on gold and silver is low, the risk is significant enough for banks and investors to take a precautionary approach.
Looking at the long-term implications of this, Pollitt explained that the increase in US gold and silver reserves, coupled with the government’s renewed focus on its reserves, could lead to expectations that both precious metals would be used as currency alongside the US dollar.
He added that using gold and silver as hard currency alongside the dollar could help reduce the problem of inflation, which has become a major challenge for the economy. However, he stressed that for such a scenario to happen, the price of gold and silver would have to reach a much higher level to be commensurate with the size of the US economy. (Hard currency refers to a form of currency that is globally accepted and retains its value due to its stability and reliability.)
Pollitt went on to explain that the significant increase in US government debt has put not only the Federal Reserve, but the entire fiat-based monetary system at risk. “In the future, the Federal Reserve will no longer be able to maintain the same flexibility that it has in the past,” he said. For example, in times of financial crises, the Fed would usually support the economy by injecting liquidity into it. But now, doing so could trigger a wave of hyperinflation. We now know that the Fed can no longer simply be the savior of the economy as it used to be.”
He also warned that the Fed’s policies have led to the market not pricing in risks properly. For example, yields on risky corporate bonds are significantly below their historical average. Currently, the yield spread between B-rated corporate bonds and U.S. Treasury bonds is 1.45 percent, its lowest level since mid-1979.
Warren Buffett, one of the most influential figures in the investment world, has made his concerns clear. In his annual letter to shareholders, the 94-year-old has a stark message for policymakers in Washington: financial turmoil and monetary instability pose a serious threat to the U.S. economy.
The warning comes as his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway has delivered a record-breaking profit and a record $334.2 billion in cash. But Buffett is treading carefully as investment opportunities appear to be shrinking and is preparing to hand over the reins to his appointed successor, Greg Abel.
In the letter, Buffett expressed concern about the growing U.S. budget deficit and warned of a possible extension of tax cuts that began under Trump. He emphasizes that “irresponsible fiscal policies can destroy the value of paper money” and emphasizes the importance of sound public financial management. According to him, the stability of the US economy depends on a strong dollar, and any mistake in monetary policy can have irreparable consequences.
With the rapidly growing budget deficit and increasing discussions about extending the Trump-era tax cuts, Buffett warns that the value of the dollar may weaken. He calls on Washington policymakers to maintain a stable economic framework and support the vulnerable:
“Support people who have been unfortunate in life through no fault of their own. They deserve a better life.”
Warren Buffett reminds us of one of the fundamental principles of investing: “In times of uncertainty, caution and responsible management are more important than ever.” His warning about the growth of the US public debt and the depreciation of the dollar may come true if current trends continue.
Moreover, his focus on investing in Japan and preparing for his successor is a key step for the future of Berkshire Hathaway, a company that must find its way without him in a world of increasing economic instability.
XAUUSD - 1hr | Wyckoff Event UPDATEWe await the price to confirm the last step (6) to complete the distribution Phase. The price has fallen to SUPPORT as we predicted. Once a LOWER LOWER is formed, the Distribution Phase is complete. Expect gold turn to remain bearish. Falling as low as 2815.
BULLS :
If the price can respect the support and bounce back above 2910 with strong bullish momentum, we can see the price rally back up to the 2950 area.
BEARS :
If the price creates the lower low as we are expecting around 2860-2880. Then look for the price to:
1. retest support as far back up to 2910.
2. dramatically fall and continue its pullback as low as 2800-2820
GOLD - Price can make movement up and then fall to $2880Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Not a long time ago, the price started to grow inside rising channel, where it soon reached $2760 level.
Price some time traded inside support area and then broke $2760 level, after which continued to grow next.
Soon, price made a correction to support line of channel and then rose to $2880 level and at once made a small correction.
After this, Gold broke $2880 level and then exited from a channel and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, Gold declined to support level and then in a short time rose to the top part of flat, where it trades near now.
In my mind, Gold can make a move up and then start to decline to $2880 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
XAUUSD SHORT 4H (Results)Due to inattentive study of the rules of the tradingviews platform, the trading idea was blocked
I apologize to those who used this idea in their trading system due to the blocking, I will be more careful in the future.
Result : XAUUSD SHORT 4H reaches the 2 targets zone for taking profits.
I move my stop into profit and wait for new variables from the market .
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakdown from Flat Range? Hello traders
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 2H Chart Analysis
🔍 Market Insights:
🔹 Uptrend Channel Breakout: Gold was trending in a bullish channel but broke out and transitioned into a flat consolidation.
🔹 Flat Price Action: After multiple rejections at the top, price has failed to continue the bullish momentum.
🔹 Potential Breakdown: The price is now showing bearish momentum and could test the $2,880 support level.
📉 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: $2,950 - $2,960 (Flat Range Top)
✅ Support: $2,880 (Key Support) & $2,760 (Major Support)
📊 Possible Scenarios:
📌 Bearish Continuation: If the price fails to reclaim $2,925, we may see a drop to $2,880, and potentially $2,760 if bearish pressure continues.
📌 Reversal Opportunity: A bounce from $2,880 could lead to a retest of the upper range near $2,950.
💬 Will gold break down further or find support for another push higher? Let me know in the comments! 🔥👇
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback?Hello, Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on gold?
Gold remains in a robust uptrend, with each downturn providing a buying opportunity inside the trend.
The ideal strategy at this point is to wait patiently for a price pullback to support levels before starting a buy position.
Another method is to wait for a break above the most recent high before buying on a pullback to the broken level.
The bullish trend continues, but trades must be performed with correct risk management and confirmation indications.
What is your opinion on gold? Do you anticipate further growth?
🚀 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback? 🔥
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 8H Chart Analysis
🔍 Market Insights:
🔹 Strong Uptrend: Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum, respecting the ascending trendline.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone: The $2,945 - $2,960 area has been acting as a supply zone (black box).
🔹 Fibonacci Support: Price recently tested the 0.236 Fib levels ($2,902 & $2,871), which align with a key demand zone (yellow box).
📈 Two Potential Scenarios:
📌 Bullish Breakout: If price holds above the trendline & reclaims resistance, we may see a breakout towards $2,980 - $3,000 🚀.
📌 Deeper Pullback: If support breaks, we could see a correction to $2,875 - $2,850 before a stronger reversal.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: $2,902 - $2,871 (Fib Levels & Trendline)
✅ Resistance: $2,945 - $2,960 (Supply Zone)
💬 Do you think gold will break out or dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥👇
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
XAU/USD – Trendline Breakout Signals Sell!The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 period offers a potential selling opportunity due to the recent formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This indicates a shift in momentum to the downside in the coming hours.
For a short trade, consider entering around the pattern's trendline.
Target levels: 2904 (first support) and 2880 (second support).
:
🚨 XAU/USD – Trendline Breakout Signals Sell! 📉
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 30M Chart Breakdown
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Trendline Breakout: Price broke below the strong ascending trendline, confirming a bearish shift.
🔹 Resistance Zone: $2,942 - $2,954 acted as a rejection point, leading to a sharp sell-off.
🔹 Strong Bearish Momentum after breaking key support levels.
📉 Bearish Trade Setup:
📌 As long as price remains below $2,912, we expect further downside towards:
🎯 1st Support: $2,903
🎯 2nd Support: $2,880
📌 A break above $2,912 could lead to a short-term recovery, but overall bias remains bearish.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: $2,942 - $2,954
✅ Support: $2,903 & $2,880
💬 Do you agree with this bearish outlook? Let us know in the comments!👇🔥
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
GOLD Analysis | Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below ATH 2954GOLD Analysis | February 25, 2025
🔸 Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below ATH (2954) and 2935
Gold is exhibiting bearish momentum, having already stabilized below the all-time high (ATH) of 2954. The price is now trying to touch 2918.
📉 While below 2935 will touch 2918 and If a 4H or 1H candle closes below 2918, this could trigger a strong bearish continuation toward 2906 and 2895.
📌 However, if the price closes a 4H candle above 2918, the market is likely to remain volatile between 2918 and 2935 before confirming the next move. 4h candle above 2935 will be sensitive to 2945.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels: 2945, 2954, 2975
Pivot Point: 2935
Support Levels: 2918, 2906, 2895
✅ Bias: Bearish as long as the price trades below 2935, with confirmation needed below 2918 for further decline.
XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (21.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2904
2nd Support – 2880
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HelenP. I Gold may enter to resistance zone and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Not long ago, the price climbed into the support zone before making a corrective move down to the trend line. After that, it reversed and began rising within a wedge pattern, eventually reaching the support level, breaking through it, and continuing to move higher. Later, Gold surged into the resistance zone but soon faced a sharp correction back to the trend line. However, in a short time, it rebounded and returned to the resistance level. After another drop to the trend line, the price once again started climbing. Soon, Gold reached the resistance level and consolidated below it for some time before finally breaking through and touching the wedge’s resistance line. Following this movement, the price reversed and started declining. It attempted to recover but is currently trading below the resistance level. From my perspective, XAUUSD is likely to enter the resistance zone again before reversing and falling back to the trend line, which also acts as the wedge’s support. Given this outlook, I’ve set my target at 2915, close to the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 2,953.33
1st Support: 2,882.38
1st Resistance: 2,979.66
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GOLD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a bullish
Rebound from the support
Cluster of rising and horizontal
Support levels so as Gold is
Trading in an uptrend we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
XAU/USD may enter the resistance zone and then start fallingHello everyone, today I'm ready to provide you with Gold analytics. Not long ago, the price surged into the support zone before correcting back down to the trend line. Following that, it reversed and began rising in a wedge formation, finally hitting the support level, breaking through it, and continuing higher. Later, gold rose into the resistance zone, but it quickly corrected back to the trend line. However, it quickly recovered and returned to the resistance level. Following another drop to the trend line, the price resumed its upward trend. Gold quickly approached the resistance level and consolidated beneath it for some time before breaking through and touching the wedge's resistance line. Following this fluctuation, the price reversed and began to decline. It attempted to recover, but is now trading below the resistance level. From my perspective, XAUUSD is expected to retest the resistance zone before reversing and dropping back to the trend line, which also serves as the wedge's support. Given this view, I've set a goal of 2915, which is close to the trend line.
:
🚀 XAU/USD – Rising Wedge Formation! Key Breakdown Incoming? 📉
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart Analysis
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Ascending Trend Line is acting as strong dynamic support.
🔹 Resistance Zone at the top of the wedge is holding price down.
🔹 Support Zone has been tested multiple times, showing buying pressure.
🔹 Price is currently at the upper boundary of the wedge—possible rejection?
📉 Potential Trade Setups:
📌 Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects from the resistance zone, a drop toward $2,915 is likely.
A break below $2,915 could trigger further downside toward $2,880 support.
📌 Bullish Scenario:
A clear breakout above resistance and trend line invalidates the wedge.
If price closes above $2,950, it may rally toward $2,970 - $2,980.
🔔 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: $2,950 - $2,960
✅ Support: $2,915 - $2,880
💬 What’s your bias? Breakout or Breakdown? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥👇
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
Gold might descend to a support level, breaching the resistance Hi, traders. I'd like to share with you my thoughts on Gold. On this chart, we can observe that the price has recovered from the mirror line and begun to rise. Shortly later, it approached the support level, broke it, and hovered for a while before returning to the mirror line. Later, the price broke through the support level once more and resumed trading inside a range. During this phase, it climbed to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, before retreating to the mirror line. Gold then dipped into the buyer zone before quickly rising over the mirror line and into the seller zone. Following this movement, XAU corrected below the mirror line and resumed its upward journey. Shortly later, the price approached the resistance level, broke through it, and departed the range. For a while, gold traded above the seller zone, but it subsequently plummeted and is presently hovering at the 2930 resistance level within the sale zone. I anticipate Gold will climb little before continuing to drop, eventually shattering the resistance level. Furthermore, I believe that following the breakout, it will prolong its slide toward the 2865 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost! 🚀
:
📉 XAU/USD - Bearish Reversal from Seller Zone! 🚨
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart Analysis
Key Insights:
🔹 Resistance Level Held Strong – Price tested the seller zone but failed to break through, signaling strong bearish momentum.
🔹 Buyer Zone Played Out – Earlier, buyers pushed the price up from a strong accumulation zone, but exhaustion is visible now.
🔹 False Breakout & Range Formation – A range developed at the top, indicating distribution before a potential drop.
🔹 Support Level in Sight – If the price follows the projected path, we might see a test of the $2,865 - $2,850 zone soon.
📊 Trading Plan:
📌 Bearish Bias: Look for short opportunities as long as price stays below resistance.
📌 Confirmation Needed: A break below $2,930 would strengthen bearish sentiment.
📌 Targets: $2,900, then $2,865 - $2,850.
🚀 What do you think? Will gold break down or bounce back? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇🔥
#gold #xauusd #trading #forex #priceaction #technicalanalysis
Golden Opportunities: Navigating the New Era of InvestmentFolks, we're witnessing something truly remarkable with XAUUSD. Gold's weekly uptrend is not just a blip on the radar; it's a beacon signaling a return to the fundamentals I've been harping on for ages. Recall my earlier insights? I pegged the long-term trend in Gold, and here we are, watching it soar. Trump's chatter about inflation and rates? It's like watching a chess game where each move by the Fed could be influenced by such rhetoric. The market, my friends, seems to be betting on this narrative, pricing in these potential shifts.
Now, let's not forget the basics. Historically, precious metals dance to the tune of real interest rates - those inflation-adjusted numbers. Sure, during times of market panic or geopolitical tension, Gold might get caught in the crossfire as either a collateral darling or a safe haven. But in these calmer waters, it's the real rates that dictate the dance. So, keep your eyes on the prize. Gold isn't just shining; it's setting the stage for what might be a golden era in investment. Watch, learn, and maybe, just maybe, enjoy the ride as we navigate these waters together. Stay vigilant, and may your investments be as golden as your opportunities.
Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
XAUUSD - 1hr | Wyckoff EventSimple Trading: Distribution Phase
First, we can see that gold has started to consolidate. Once we see this, we look back at previous candles to identify the patterns in this phase:
(1) preliminary resistance
(2) the last buy
(3) a retest to confirm support
(4) confirm resistance without making a higher high.
(5) Higher high (typically a FAKEOUT)
We are waiting for the price to confirm the last step (6) to complete the pattern. If the price falls to SUPPORT, creating a LOWER LOWER, the Distribution Phase is complete. Expect gold turn to remain bearish.
Falling as low as 2815.
Gold might descend to a support level, breaching the resistance Hi, traders. I'd like to share with you my thoughts on Gold. On this chart, we can observe that the price has recovered from the mirror line and begun to rise. Shortly later, it approached the support level, broke it, and hovered for a while before returning to the mirror line. Later, the price broke through the support level once more and resumed trading inside a range. During this phase, it climbed to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, before retreating to the mirror line. Gold then dipped into the buyer zone before quickly rising over the mirror line and into the seller zone. After this movement, XAU corrected below the mirror line and resumed its upward journey.
Shortly later, the price approached the resistance level, broke through it, and departed the range. For a while, gold traded above the seller zone, but it subsequently plummeted and is presently hovering at the 2930 resistance level within the sale zone. I anticipate Gold will climb little before continuing to drop, eventually shattering the resistance level. Furthermore, I believe that following the breakout, it will prolong its slide toward the 2865 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost! 🚀
📊 XAU/USD – Key Levels for the Week Ahead 🔍
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading within a well-defined range, testing the seller zone near resistance while eyeing the buyer zone near support.
🔴 Resistance Level: 2,930 - 2,940 (Seller Zone)
🟢 Support Level: 2,865 (Buyer Zone)
📉 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bearish Rejection from resistance could push price down to the support level (2,865).
2️⃣ Breakout Above 2,940 may signal further upside potential.
3️⃣ Range-Bound Movement between support and resistance until a clear breakout.
📌 Market Outlook: Watching price action near key levels for confirmation before entering trades! 🚀
XAU bearish and bullish setup for next week
Still XAU making HH and HL
It has to retrace before going for another HH
Seasonal analysis showing same previous 5 year data
XAU Bearish from 23 Feb to 2 Mar then Bullish from 3 Mar - 20 Apr
So, instead of this week retracement and consolidation
I look for trade bullish trade next week.