D-XAU
Gold can do a correction before ascending furtherAs you can see, the price is within a bearish pennant pattern, and if this pattern breaks, the price could drop significantly. Additionally, we have a bearish divergence, which strengthens this signal. In the short term, I think gold is forming an ascending wedge, which, once completed, could lead to substantial growth.
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XAUUSD - gold waiting for the Federal Reserve meeting!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its medium-term bearish channel. In the authentic failure of the support area, we can see the continuation of the gold decline and the demand zone. Within the zone of demand, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If the resistance range is broken, you can sell in the supply zone.
The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting is scheduled for today. According to a recent report by Crédit Agricole, it is expected that during the December meeting, the interest rate will be reduced by 0.25%, bringing it to a range of 4.25-4.50%.
While this rate cut has largely been priced into the market, the Fed’s monetary statement may carry a hawkish tone. It is anticipated that the Federal Reserve will indicate slower rate cuts in 2025 due to resilient economic conditions and persistent inflation. Crédit Agricole predicts that Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, will likely hint at pausing rate cuts early in 2025.
Additionally, recent employment and inflation data from November suggest that the Fed is in a position to implement this rate cut.
However, the risks associated with persistent inflation indicate that the rate-cutting cycle will progress more gradually. Crédit Agricole estimates that interest rate projections for 2025 could be revised to 3.625% and for 2026 to 3.125%. These figures represent reductions of 0.75% in 2025 and 0.5% in 2026, showing smaller decreases compared to earlier forecasts.
According to the Financial Times, Israeli negotiators have met with mediators in Doha to discuss a ceasefire with Hamas and the release of hostages from Gaza. These talks are taking place ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration in January. Both Israeli and U.S. officials remain cautiously optimistic about reaching an agreement, though disagreements over key details persist.
The Israeli negotiating team arrived in Qatar on Monday, focusing on resolving major points of contention. It is expected that both sides will respond to a recent mediator proposal, which includes a six-to-eight-week ceasefire and the release of hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners.
These discussions have intensified following Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. elections. Steven Witkoff, Trump’s envoy to the Middle East, has met with Benjamin Netanyahu and Qatar’s Prime Minister to advance the agreement.
Despite progress, significant challenges remain, including disagreements over the number of hostages to be freed and the presence of Israeli forces in Gaza. While Hamas has softened its stance somewhat, substantial differences still exist.
UBS, in its recent report, has projected that gold prices will reach $2,900 per ounce by the end of 2025. A key factor highlighted by UBS is the continued demand for gold from central banks, driven by the declining value of the dollar and diversification of reserves. UBS expects central bank gold purchases to remain strong throughout 2025, supporting elevated gold prices.
Moreover, investor demand for gold as a hedge against geopolitical and policy uncertainties will play a significant role in maintaining high gold prices. UBS points to ongoing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Middle Eastern tensions, and uncertain fiscal and trade policies under the incoming administration of Donald Trump. These factors could boost investment in gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Lower interest rates and a weaker U.S. dollar are additional factors that could drive gold prices higher. UBS predicts that interest rate cuts will continue and the dollar will weaken further, which will bolster demand for gold.
In addition to gold, UBS has identified opportunities in copper and other transition metals. Global investments in power generation, energy storage, and electric transportation are expected to serve as long-term drivers of demand for these metals.
HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line and start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some days ago price dropped from the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone to the trend line. Then it turned around and started to grow inside a triangle pattern, where Gold soon reached the 2615 support level. Next, the price broke this level, made a retest, and continued to move up to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level. When XAU reached this zone, it later turned around and made a strong impulse down, breaking the resistance level and declining to the support level. After this movement, the price some time traded near this level and started to grow, but later it declined to the support level, which coincided with the trend line again. Later price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance zone one more time, after which turned around and dropped to the trend line, which is the support line of the triangle as well. Recently price exited from this pattern and now trades below the trend line. In my opinion, XAUUSD will rebound from this line and start to decline. For this reason, I set my goal at the 2615 support level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can rebound from support line of wedge to seller zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price rebounded from resistance level and started to decline to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then the price broke the 2625 level and dropped to 2536 points, and then started to grow inside the wedge. In a wedge, the price soon reached the 2625 support level and broke it again. Then the price made a retest and continued to grow to the resistance line of the wedge, and then turned around and dropped to the support level, breaking the 2690 resistance level. After this, Gold started to trades inside the range, where it some time traded near the support level and later made a strong impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge, exiting from the range and breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. But a not long time ago, the price turned around and dropped to the support line of the wedge, breaking the resistance level one more time. In my mind, Gold can fall to the support line of the wedge and then rebound up to the seller zone. For this case, I set my TP at 2700 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD - Daily | BREAKOUT IncomingSimple Trading - Ascending Triangle
Gold is overall bullish so if the pattern breaks, it should break to the upside. Of course, if gold can not maintain bullish momentum, it may result in a further decline in the price.
This pattern may not break out until the end of Dec. maybe into Jan. with this in mind we are still about to take price action trades on the smaller time frames.
Levels to look out for:
BULLISH:
2673 - 4hr FVG low
2683 - 4hr FVG High
2700 - supply and demand
BEARISH:
2624 - 1hr Head and Shoulder Target
2610 - Daily FVG High
2590 - Daily FVG Midpoint
2575 - Daily FVG Low
2560 - Daily Double Bottom
XAU/USD (Gold) Wedge BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2678
2nd Support – 2692
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Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,665.31
1st Support: 2,628.12
1st Resistance: 2,690.20
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD (XAU/USD)📉 Sell Signal for XAU/USD
✅ Suggestion: I expect a drop for gold. You can enter a market sell position.
🎯 Target Area:
1️⃣ 2643.654
📊 This is a great opportunity to capitalize on the downward move. 🚀
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XAUUSD 15/12/24Coming into this week, we are observing a clear shift in market bias that occurred at the end of last week, transitioning from bearish to bullish. After running the highs and selling off, we are now looking to run the lows and then buy back into the same highs. This setup could shape up to be a strong week for longs in gold, potentially leading to a clean bull run as Christmas approaches and the market slows down.
Based on the content shown on our charts, we can see there was "money out" within our supply zone, which triggered the previous downward shift. Now, we are looking for "money in" within our entry timeframe, which is the 15-minute chart. Watch for a clear entry around the lows. Additionally, there is liquidity above the current highs, which could fuel the next upside move.
Trade safely and stick to your plan.
EURUSD 15/12/24Starting this week the same way we always do—with our markup on EU. Following last week’s chart, we still maintain our bearish bias. This week, we’re focusing on the highs once again as a potential sell entry zone. As you can see on our chart, all key points are clearly marked, highlighting areas to aim for and areas to sell from.
Last week, we identified a money-out area, and price reacted perfectly to this zone, aligning with our bias as it has consistently for over a month now!
Don’t expect the market to shift its bias unless it provides a very clear reason to do so. For now, we remain patient and wait for potential entry opportunities.
Stick to your plan and always follow your risk management.
GOLD - Price can little fall and then bounce up to $2690 levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to decline from resistance line, breaking $2690 level, and fell to $2535 points, breaking $2605 level too.
Then price turned around and started to grow inside wedge, where it broke resistance line and soon reached $2605 level.
Price broke this level and rose to resistance line of wedge, after which made a correction to support level.
Next, price some time traded and then fell to support line of wedge, after which made upward impulse.
Gold rose to resistance line of wedge, breaking $2690 level, but recently it turned around and fell to support line.
Now, I think that Gold can fall little below support line of wedge and then bounce up to $2690 level.
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Gold can correct and then continue to grow to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and started to grow inside a broadening wedge. In this pattern, the price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and even broke it, after which continued to grow to the resistance line of the wedge pattern. After this, Gold made a correction to the seller zone and then in a short time backed up to the resistance line, but soon turned around and started to decline. Gold quickly fell lower the 2720 level, breaking it and also it exiting from a broadening wedge pattern. Then the price continued to fall and later reached the 2605 support level and even broke it too, after which made a retest and continued to fall to 2535 points. Later XAU turned around and started to grow inside the upward pennant, where it in a short time rose to a resistance level, breaking the 2605 support level, but then Gold made a downward impulse. After this, the price fell to the support line, but a not long time ago it exited from the pennant pattern and now continues to grow. In my mind, Gold can make a move down and then continue to rise to the 2720 resistance level. So, that's why I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold can little correct and then grow to 2720 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the resistance level in the seller zone, and later price rebounded and started to grow. In a short time price rose to 2790 points and then turned around and started to decline inside the downward triangle. In this pattern, the price first broke the 2720 level and then declined to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, after which broke this level too. Next, Gold declined to support line of the triangle, after which at once made impulse up, breaking the 2625 level one more time. Then it made a retest and continued to grow to the resistance line of the triangle, and when Gold reached this line it at once dropped to the 2625 support level. Price some time traded near this level, after which fell to the buyer zone and then started to grow. In a short time, the price rose to a resistance level, exiting from the triangle, but recently it turned around and made correction. So, now, I think that Gold can decline to support line of the triangle and then rebound up to the 2720 resistance level. That's why I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can correct and then continue to grow in channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price bounced from $2710 resistance level and in a short time declined to $2536 points, breaking $2615 level.
Price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon broke $2615 level one more time and rose to resistance area.
But then, price corrected to support level, after which some time traded near it and then continued to grow.
In a short time, Gold rose to resistance level and then entered to resistance area, but later bounced down.
Thereby price makes a fake breakout of $2710 level, so, now I think that XAU can decline a little more.
After this, price can turn around and then rise to $2760, breaking resistance level inside a rising channel.
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Could the price bounce from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the overlap resistance.
Pivot: 2,657.81
1st Support: 2,627.26
1st Resistance: 2,713.51
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD - gold will be welcomed by the Federal Reserve!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. If we maintain the drawn channel, we can witness the continuation of gold's decline and limited visibility of the bottom of the channel. Within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If it returns to the ceiling of the channel, it is possible to sell within the supply zone.
1. UBS Gold Forecast:
UBS has projected that gold prices will reach $2,900. This prediction is based on factors such as the rising U.S. debt, strong demand from central banks, and declining interest rates. The institution also anticipates that U.S. inflation will decrease to 3% by the end of 2024, 2.6% by the end of 2025, and 2.5% throughout 2027. These figures are significantly higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, suggesting that persistent inflation may pose a significant obstacle to the Fed’s efforts to control it.
2. U.S. CPI Report:
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for November highlighted the persistence of inflationary pressures. However, the details of the report appeared somewhat reassuring. CIBC Bank predicts that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates by 0.25% in its December meeting, though subsequent rate cuts may be delayed due to the economy’s continued growth.
3. Ray Dalio on Gold:
Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, referred to Bitcoin as a hard asset and stated that he prefers Bitcoin and gold over debt-based assets. He expressed concerns about a potential global debt crisis and emphasized the importance of shifting investments toward hard assets.
Dalio pointed to unprecedented levels of debt in major countries such as the U.S. and China, deeming these debt levels unsustainable.Speaking at a financial conference in Abu Dhabi, he remarked, “It is impossible for these countries to avoid a debt crisis in the coming years, which will likely lead to a significant depreciation of their currencies.”
4. Dalio’s Evolving Stance on Bitcoin:
Previously, Dalio believed that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin would not achieve the success many had hoped for. However, in recent years, he has become a prominent advocate of Bitcoin. In 2022, Dalio suggested allocating up to 2% of an investment portfolio to Bitcoin and gold as a reasonable strategy to combat inflation. He also reiterated his preference for gold over Bitcoin while emphasizing the importance of portfolio diversification.
5. Peter Schiff’s Warning on Bitcoin:
Peter Schiff, a prominent gold advocate, has warned that creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the U.S. could have negative consequences. On December 9, Schiff posted on the social media platform X, suggesting that the Biden administration should sell all Bitcoin currently held by the U.S. government before leaving office. He stated, “This move would not only help reduce the 2024 budget deficit but also put an end to all the nonsense about establishing a ‘strategic reserve’ of Bitcoin, which is detrimental.”
Could the price bounce from here?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,665.32
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.89% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,620.34
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 2,716.62
Why we like it:|
There is an overlap resistance level.
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GOLD to extend it's gains?Gold - 24h expiry
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end. Our short term bias remains positive. 5 positive daily performances in succession. Price action continues to trade around significant highs. We look for gains to be extended today. A break of the recent high at 2728.5 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy a break of 2728.5 (stop at 2708.5)
Our profit targets will be 2778.5 and 2788.5
Resistance: 2726.3 / 2735.7 / 2750.0
Support: 2710.0 / 2695.0 / 2675.5
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