XAUUSD 1/12/24Heading into a new week with a fresh bias on gold, we maintain an overall short bias and aim to follow it. However, we are fully aware that the chances of gold moving long are relatively high. Because of this, we advise caution. Gold can be a challenging asset to trade due to its sensitivity to fundamentals and potential counter-bias movements.
Regardless, we stick to our data-proven ruleset. Currently, we are monitoring two key areas: the liquidity highs above the current price and the supply zone at the top of the last major high. These areas may offer good opportunities for a sell move. However, we are more inclined to see a sweep of a major high followed by a sell-off, aligning with our expected short bias.
Additionally, the upward-moving institutional average suggests that if gold begins to trade below this level, it could further support our anticipated downward move.
Trade safely, and stick to your plan and risk management strategy!
D-XAU
Falling towards the 50% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 2,648.80
1st Support: 2,622.49
1st Resistance: 2,685.35
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could fall from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,659.61
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,713.45
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 2,611.27
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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HelenP. I Gold will fall to trend line and then continue to riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price traded inside consolidation, where it at once fell to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance zone. Price some time traded inside this zone and then rose to the top part of the range, after which turned around and declined back to the resistance zone. Later, the price broke the 2720 resistance level, exiting from consolidation, and continued to fall next. But Gold tried to grow and failed, after which dropped tothe 2605 support level, which coincided with the support zone and even broke this level. Price fell to the trend line, after which started to grow and soon reached the support level again. Gold broke this level one more time and continued to move up until to resistance level. When the price reached this level, it at once turned around and made an impulse down to the trend line, which coincided with the 2605 support level. A not long time ago price continued to grow next, so, in my mind, XAUUSD will fall to the trend line again and then rise to the resistance level. That's why I set my goal at a 2720 resistance level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Don't expect seasonality to save gold's baconWe're at that time of the year that gold tends to outperform. Yet with bigger drivers behind the wheel, I doubt that gold's 5% rebound will extend through to December. In fact, I'm now looking for short entries. Using stats from seasonality, ETF flows and market positioning, I outline my base for bears before highlighting key levels for them to consider.
MS.
GOLD at Critical Levels: Breakout or Rejection Looms?The XAU/USD chart indicates consolidation near a supply zone. This indecision reflects a potential breakout or breakdown setup:
Upside Potential: A clean break above the consolidation zone could signal a bullish continuation, targeting the next resistance levels.
Downside Risk: A failure to sustain higher prices may trigger a sell-off back toward the demand zones.
A rejection at this resistance zone could result in a sell-off towards lower support levels around 2,619.65, 2,616.00, and potentially lower. Watch for bearish price action signals at the resistance zone to confirm this move.
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,656.94
1st Support: 2,606.39
1st Resistance: 2,709.10
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into overlap resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,659.61
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,713.45
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 2,577.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
$GOLD BREAKING DOWN ?As we can see gold is struggling to pass the 2632.00$ key level which is now playing as a strong resistance in the 1h tf and i think we will see gold going down more into the bleu highlighted zone (FVG).
Key levels to watch : 2632.00 // 2603.00
Also the fundamentals suggest that gold is bearish
Gold Analysis: Straddling the Fence Amid Market UncertaintyIt’s pretty interesting to read comments and trading ideas on forums during these uncertain times. Right now, 9 out of 10 traders are saying to sell or hold short positions if they have them. They’re referencing MACD, EMA, charts, stars, the mood of their pets (just kidding, but hey, it’s a possibility) and other indicators.
I analyze the chart differently, always keeping an eye on my indicators, which I’m sure you’re aware of since I talk about them all the time.
So, looking at the Gold chart right now, the question is: who’s suffering more, the bulls or the bears? Honestly, it’s not clear-cut. If you ignore the chart and just look at the exchange data and positions, it’s pretty much 50/50. But there’s a solid call option for a rise with a strike at $3000 that popped up right after the drop to 2620, which is a positive sign.
Overall, I’m “sitting on the fence,” and I’d recommend you do the same. News is coming soon, and I have a feeling there might be some bloodshed in the market.
GOLD - Price can continue to grow inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price traded inside flat, where it made a gap and then bounced up, thereby exiting from this pattern.
Next, price started to decline inside falling channel, where Gold broke $2740 level and fell to $2660 level.
Price tried to grow, but failed and declined more, until to $2610 points, after which exited from falling channel.
Then price fell to $2535 points, after which Gold started to grow inside rising channel, where it broke $2580 and $2660 levels.
Next, price rose to resistance line of channel and made correction to $2660 level, after which continued to rise.
I think that price can correct to support level again and then continue to grow to $2740 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Xauusd | pathways Hey traders !
hope you are doing well
-we have been seen the market and our last analysis which were based on educational analysis -So we are observing that market is stuck in the region and the point which we have been highlighted so basically there are 2 scenarios
if market cross the 2630 area and candle closing above that structure then we will wait for the 2638.00 point which is seem as our next resistance level
Although market is still in bearish circle
we have been set on both ways possibilities
so lets see what will happened!
you guys can direct message us so we can give you our Public Telegram link channel for free
Gold plunges as Trump 'trumps' seasonalsLast week I revealed in a video of my scepticism gold would tracks its seasonality into December , given its outperformance earlier in the year and the hunch that Trump 2.0 would likely to overshadow typical flows. And Trump's US Treasury Secretary cabinet pick has done just that.
Monday's price action should serve as a stark reminder that seasonality has taken a back seat with its prominent bearish engulfing day and most bearish candle in four years. And there could be further losses ahead.
The daily chart shows the drop from its all-time high (ATH) came in three waves, which suggests it is the beginning of a larger ABC retracement. Assuming Monday's engulfing candle was the end of wave B, a 100% projection (wave equality) could see gold fall to ~2460.
note that the daily low found support around a high-volume node (HVN) and weekly S1 pivot point. A bullish divergence is also forming on the 1-hour RSI (2) to suggest a bounce.
Bears could seek to fade into retracement within Monday's range to try and increase the reward to risk ratio.
MS
GOLD RISKY LONG|
✅GOLD will be retesting a support level of 2604$ soon
From where I am expecting a bullish reaction
With the price going up but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
XAUUSD 25/11/24Following last week's shift into a bullish narrative, we remain bullish on the higher timeframe. This outcome was anticipated in our previous reports, where we noted that failing to interact with key areas appropriately would likely result in a bullish shift.
As expected, the daily bias has also turned bullish, aligning with our forecast. We failed to engage with the liquid highs and areas of supply, resulting in a push upward and the establishment of a new upward trajectory. Currently, we have an unmitigated area of supply, representing a potential counter move. While this scenario is less likely, we are closely monitoring the area of demand at the base of the last major move. If the current upward trajectory breaks, this demand zone will be our focus.
As always, if the price continues downward to the demand area and fails to hold, we will look for lower points within the current range. Our bias will remain bullish unless the daily timeframe bias shifts again. However, if there is no pullback—as previously mentioned—this will be a counter-trend move, increasing the likelihood of another upward expansion. This would target pre-established highs and potentially breach the area of supply.
It’s also worth noting that there are several pockets of liquidity around the demand area, as well as liquidity above the major highs of our previous downward trade.
Trade safely, stick to your plan, and always follow your risk management rules.
HelenP. I Gold will correct to trend line and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A few moments ago price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and some time traded near this level. Then Gold turned around and started to grow to a resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, making a gap as well. When the price reached the 2730 level, it tried to break it but failed, and then some time traded between this level. Later Gold finally broke this level and rose to 2790 points, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, it fell to the 2730 level, broke it, and then continued to fall. Price tried to return, but failed and dropped to the 2610 support level. Gold broke this level and then reached the trend line, after which turned around and started to move up near this line. Soon, the price broke the 2610 support level and rose almost the resistance level. At the moment, the price continues to grow, and I expect that XAUUSD will make a correction to the trend line and then rebound up to the resistance level. After this, the price can break it and continue to grow. That's why I set my goal at 2760 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️