Could the price reverse from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,421.62
1st Support: 2,375.32
1st Resistance: 2,455.69
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D-XAU
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2430, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2385.50
2nd Support – 2358
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2480. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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Gold is heading to 2340 zone(8/5/2024)in our last analysis, we predicted the gold move correctly, the price overlapped the 2450$ and moved back quickly even though the weak NFP data couldn't make significant changes.
after the NFP data, the market made a bearish candle and for now is aiming for lower prices.
For now, we are expecting the price to move in the C wave. In this case, the final wave will be around the 2340 area.
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Team Fortuna
-RC
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GOLD - Reversal or further correction ?#GOLD #Analysis
Description
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+ GOLD price has reached the current support zone which acted as resistance in the past.
+ We can expect a slight bounce from the current support zone however it doesn't look promising.
+ If the bounce continues we then there is a slight chance of hitting 2470 price.
+ Mostly likely the support will not hold and price can expected to be corrected further with the major support around 2350
+ Minor support is around 2392 which can act as a temporary support for before bouncing back from it.
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XAUUSD 4/8/24This week in gold, we have the potential for another sell-off through trendline liquidity, as we’ve seen before. However, all price action is trending upwards, making this our main scenario. As shown on our chart, we have a liquid high that is close to the current price, with liquidity built up below the lows.
We know that on a high timeframe, we are strongly bullish. The price tested last week’s high and then fell significantly, indicating a potential pullback before the high is taken. Key points to note include the heavy sell-off from the supply area, leaving an untapped supply zone, and creating the first sell-side imbalance during the upward trend. This suggests a chance for price to hold and potentially drop below the trendline mark. If this occurs, we will look towards the demand area shown on the chart in red. We will monitor this area to see if it pushes the price back into the higher timeframe trade alignment or fails, leading to a sell-off and a change in our bias on the given timeframe.
If the bullish trend continues, we will monitor the supply area above the current price, expecting it to fail. If it does, we may see a new all-time high for gold. Overall, the price is bullish, so a fallback would be preferable if we aim to take buys from this price section.
Watch the trendline liquidity being created below the untapped supply area and the liquid high just above it. Also, if the trendline breaks, watch the demand area to see if it goes higher within our range.
Trade safely, stick to your risk management, and follow your plan.
GOLD (XAU)Gold broke its down trend at 1680 and It was a great opportunity for longing and now we heading to 1815
XAU continues to push higher and trades above $1,770 for the first time in nearly three months on Friday. The US Dollar stays under heavy bearish pressure as investors cheer the soft US inflation report and heightened optimism about Chine easing coronavirus restrictions. The Consumer Price Index in the United States rose 7.7% YoY, down from 8.2% in September and clearly below the 8.0% consensus forecast. The CPI accelerated by only 0.4% on the month, down from 0.6% in September and core figures rose 0.3%, rather than the 0.5% expected. The highly anticipated economic release from the United States triggered a massive risk rally on increased expectations of a smaller rate hike by the US Federal Reserve in December. Markets now price roughly an 81% probability of a 50 bps December Fed rate hike vs. odds of about 55% at the start of the week.The US Dollar was heavily sold off into the softer US Consumer Price Index release, propping up Gold price to the best levels unseen since August 26. At the time of writing, the American Dollar is reeling from Thursday’s massive blow, allowing Gold bulls to take a breather
HelenP. I Gold can drop of trend line lower than support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago price started to grow inside the upward channel, between the trend line and when it almost reached the resistance line, the price dropped to the support line, breaking the trend line. Then XAU made a fake breakout of the support line of the channel and then in a short time rose higher than support 2, breaking this level and then continued to grow. Price reached the trend line and some time traded near, and later it made impulse up to support 1, breaking the trend line. Also then, the price broke support 1 and even exited from the channel, but soon turned around and made a correction movement below support 1 and the trend line, breaking them. After this, the price tried to grow back, but when reached the trend line, it dropped more. A few moments ago Gold turned around and quickly rose to the trend line again, breaking support 1, and now trades near this level. For this reason, I expect that XAUUSD will reach the trend line again and then drop to $2390 points, breaking the support level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Could Gold reverse from here?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to our take profit.
Entry: 2,452.60
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,483.10
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2,422.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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GOLD Retests Minor Demand Area: A Bullish OutlookOn Tuesday, GOLD retested a minor demand area on the daily chart, showing a clear rejection and strong reaction from this level. This technical move coincides with significant shifts in the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, suggesting a potential bullish outlook for the precious metal.
The price action on Tuesday was notable, as GOLD's rejection at the demand area indicated a resurgence of buying interest. This demand zone has acted as a critical support level, preventing further declines and signaling that buyers are stepping in to defend this price point.
The latest COT report reveals a mixed sentiment among different market participants. Both Retailers and Commercials are currently holding short positions, reflecting a bearish stance. However, the Non-Commercials, often considered the more informed traders, continue to push their long positions. This divergence suggests that while some market players are expecting lower prices, the more influential traders are betting on a rise.
Seasonality further supports a bullish perspective on GOLD. Historically, certain periods of the year tend to favor higher prices for the metal, driven by factors such as increased demand during festive seasons and economic cycles. This seasonal trend adds another layer of confidence to the bullish outlook, aligning with the technical and fundamental indicators.
Given these factors, we are opening a scalping position targeting $2500. This strategy aims to capitalize on the anticipated short-term price movement driven by the confluence of technical support, COT report insights, and seasonal trends.
In summary, the rejection of the minor demand area on the daily chart, coupled with the COT report's indication of strong Non-Commercial long positions and favorable seasonality, provides a robust case for a bullish move in GOLD. As we look to target $2500, this scalping position is poised to take advantage of the potential upside in the precious metal.
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Gold is heading to 2450 zone(07/31/2024)in our last analysis, we predicted the gold move correctly,
For now, after a long correction, we are expecting the price correct some of the losses as B wave. In this case, the final wave will be around the 2450 area.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD #Update #Short #ShortSetup #Eddy#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD #Update #Short #ShortSetup #Eddy
According to the specific structure of the distribution, it is in the final phase and soon gold will fall to the specified level. (( This analysis is based on supply and demand style as well as Wyckoff and Dow theory. ))
Related Analysis of Gold : (( XAU/USD )) : Check Link :
My Analysis of Dollar : (( XAU/USD )) : Check Link :
XAUUSD 28/7/24This week, we are looking at some great potential moves in gold. At first glance, it may seem like we have no plans to buy, but we have a much stronger bias for long positions than short ones. The key point is that until we have a clear structural narrative, we simply follow what we see, which currently indicates short moves.
We have a clear sign of momentum on the daily timeframe, leading us to think the pullback could continue and go lower into some more key areas. In terms of price moving lower from its current position, we have identified some clean-cut zones of supply to watch. These zones are marked out above the current price. The first zone is the candle responsible for the run of the last major low and the order block that caused a minor reaction, ultimately inducing buys into failing positions.
You can see the trend line we have highlighted, indicating the current trajectory for price action. If this trajectory continues, the higher areas of supply might not be tapped into. However, we are looking for a longer move here if the price allows it. Watch the zones above if the price starts to rise.
My main move to watch is running the liquidity low above our demand zone and then shifting up, giving us a clear bullish move into the daily high liquidity target. If we turn bullish, this target will be taken. Until we hit either the supply or demand zones, we have nothing to do except wait.
Trade safe and follow your rules.
XAUUSD - Gold 4HRSimple Trading - Head and Shoulders pattern
-PLEASE READ BELOW-
Gold has broken from its bullish momentum and is now finding support at 2350. Expect gold to continue to the previous low and make Lower lows. If the Head and Shoulders pattern plays out correctly, 2400 should be the Highest gold goes before reaching the target. Keep in mind that 2 or more candles closes above 2390-2400 could indicate buying pressure.
How to trade the pattern:
Entry 1 is the 4hr FVG, 2400-2413 as this is a 4hr H&S pattern we look for the next FVG on the same time frame.
BULLS: (weekly)
Pay attention to the previous week's candle close. Two weeks ago gold week low was 2395. And last week, Gold's weekly low was 2350. The high of last week was 2430. not only was this considered a bearish week, but Gold also made a huge weekly doji candle. Gold price is uncertain on where price should move next. With a Potential bull flag pattern and a triple bottom, GOLD is certainly still long-term bullish.
**We are currently in a 1000pips range or 100 points. 2390 -2290 If gold fails to remain bullish over the next couple of days, gold may drop to the previous week's support.
BEARS:
Respect the Pattern, take sells around 2395-2400. If a 4hr candle breaks above this 50pips zone, more bullish price action may push the price into the 4hr FVG.
*These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
GOLD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bullish
Rebound from the support
Level of 2352$ just as
I predicted in my previous
Analysis, but has now reached
A horizontal resistance level
Of 2392$ from where
We will be expecting a
Local bearish reaction
Sell!
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R2F Weekly Analysis - 27th July 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
Chaos and Confusion within Gold Today!I think it makes more sense to walk away from gold at this time as it isn't very clear about what it is attempting to do.
Have you ever felt like the market doesn't know what it wants to do? Well if that is the case and the market doesn't know, how the F could you know?
Come on, not everyday requires you to place a trade.
This is a test most traders will surely fail, because they are addicted to the industry, you have to gain some kind of control over yourself and force yourself to walk away.