Could Gold drop from here?XAU/USD is currently at the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could potentially fall to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,325.19
1st Support: 2,306.73
1st Resistance: 2,338.07
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D-XAU
XAUUSD 23/6/24Gold this week has a similar outlook to last week. We have an extreme POI (Point of Interest) within the market, a higher time frame order block, and a fair amount of liquidity below the structural lows established last week during our pullback.
If you are up to date with last week's markup that we posted on TradingView, you would see that it has played out almost perfectly as expected. Following this, if we pull higher into the area of supply before dropping, we would expect a longer-term sell move. Conversely, if we sell off sooner, we will expect a bullish move later in the week.
If this fails, we expect the 4-hour low to be closed out completely and the price to move bearish. The main points to focus on this week are selling away from the area of supply and capturing the liquidity that sits below the lows.
Trade safe stick to your rules!
GOLD - Price can bounce up from support line to $2380 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price broke resistance level, which coincided with resistance zone and rose a little higher.
But soon, Gold made downward impulse to $2295 support level and started trading in flat.
Later price exited from this pattern and entered to upward pennant, where it made strong upward impulse.
Gold reached resistance line of pennant, breaking $2375 level, but soon, turned around and in a short time declined back.
Price fell to support line of pennant and now continues to trades near this line, and I think XAU can bounce up.
Also, I think price can break resistance level and reach $2380 resistance line of pennant.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold will make impulse from support level to $2360Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago broke the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and made a retest. After this, XAU continued to move up and later reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and soon broke this level too, after which rose to the trend line. Next, the price turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel, and made at once impulse down to the support line, breaking the 2385 level again, and even made a fake breakout of the support line of the channel. After this movement, the price quickly rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the trend line, which is the resistance line too and then rebounded down to the support zone. Then Gold in a short time rose back and even a little higher than the trend line, but a not long time ago, the price turned around and fell back to the channel, making a fake breakout of the resistance line. Now, I expect that XAUUSD will fall to the support level and then repeat movement up, higher than the trend line, thereby exiting from the channel. That's why I set my target at 2360 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can fall to support level, break it and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago price started to trade inside the wedge, where it at once made an impulse up from the support line to the resistance line, after which turned around and fell to the support level. Then price some time traded near this level and then started to grow to the resistance line of the wedge pattern and when Gold reached this line, the price broke it, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. Next, XAU quickly rose higher than the 2415 level, which coincided with the seller zone, but soon turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel. In the channel, the price declined to the support line, breaking the resistance level, after which rose to the resistance line of the channel. Then Gold almost fell to the 2285 support level, after which turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance line of the channel. At the moment, the price continues to trades near this line, so, I think that price can decline to the support level, after which Gold will break it and continue to decline. For this reason, I set my TP at 2240 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD - Sell PositionSomeone asked how I took this position. Let me explain the different reasons:
1. Two Bullish Legs: During the Asia session, XAUUSD formed two bullish legs. This suggested a pullback to the previous pivot level, even if it continues to rise in the London and NY sessions.
2. Bearish Flag Pattern: The trading range resembled a bearish flag, indicating a likely reaction and decline from this resistance zone.
3. Weakening Momentum: In the 5m chart, the three pushes up at the end of the second leg showed signs of weakening momentum, pointing to increased selling pressure. This signaled a high probability of a pullback.
These observations combined led me to anticipate a decline, making this position a strategic move based on technical analysis.
We remain wary of today’s gains on gold and silverSilver rose over 2% in Thursday’s Asian session, eventually prompting gold to try and catch up. Yet gold’s ‘rally’ was lacklustre in comparison, and with silver pausing near a resistance cluster, we’d prefer to fade fold below $2350 for a move lower.
Silver has stalled around a high-volume node (HVN) and trend resistance. RSI (2) is overbought and prices have risen whilst volumes were lower. RSI (2) is also overbought for gold on this timeframe with lower volumes, and the monthly pivot point and weekly R1 pivot reside around 2350.
Bears could fade into gold below $2350 and target the weekly pivot around $2320. They could also seek shorts on silver around current levels with $30 as an initial target. At which point, bulls could then seek evidence of a swing low around the monthly pivot point or $30 for long swing trade.
XAUUSD H2 - Long SignalXAUUSD H2
Here is XAUUSD update on the H2, we were previously targeting 2325/oz and then 2335/oz. With further targets pushing towards that 2350/oz price. We are looking at pulling towards the previous area of resistance, which we now anticipate to act as support, priced 2320/oz.
Targets remain at around 2350/oz and then 2360/oz subsequently. Not much in the way of economic data today, so lets see what unfolds. Might be a slow burner of a day
GOLD heading for under 2300$(06/18/2024)bears in the gold market still have the upper hand and selling pressure on gold still dominates the market. we believe the current price market will reach under 2300$ (likely 2285$ and 2266$) before doing a proper correction.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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XAUUSD M15 - Long SignalXAUUSD M15
Healthy start for XAUUSD here on the LTF. We just need this M15 to close bullish in the next 3-4 minutes and we could likely see another surge of 10-15 points. Making this position 1R and risk free from an attractive buy region.
Again, targets as per previous H1 analysis, 2323, 2335, 2350.
XAUUSD H1 - Long SignalXAUUSD H1
We bounced nicely yesterday from this indicated buy zone, offering as much as 3.5R. We have since come back down to this area of support. We could see some potential re-entries from this zone, with targets of 2325/oz, 2335/oz and then 2350/oz.
If support doesn't manage to hold this time round, we could expect to see the more major support price of 2285 see a test.
Potential bearish drop for gold?Price has rejected off a resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could fall to our take profit.
Entry: 2,337.01
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 2,353.31
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 2,308.44
Why we like it:
There is a pull back support level which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD 16/6/24This week on gold, we are looking at the same range we had last week on the 4-hour chart. We expect prices to either move even lower from the last confirmed low within the range or break this range and push into the area of unmitigated supply above.
Our preferred move is for the price to drop slightly lower, then run higher into the area of supply, and subsequently sell off, following the higher timeframe bias we have for this pair.
A key point to remember is that we might not get a pullback, and the price could actually shift bullish if the last major high is broken. If this is the case, we are looking for a bullish run of the daily highs.
For now, we are bearish, and I expect this to sell off further for the time being.
Follow price action and trade your rules.
Gold can exit from triangle and then drop lower support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a not long time ago declined a little lower than the buyer zone, but soon turned around and made a strong impulse up, breaking the 2325 support level. Later price reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it too, after which made little correction and then continued to grow to the resistance line. When the price reached the resistance line, it turned around and in a short time declined to the support level, breaking the 2385 level one more time. Next, the price some time traded near the support level and later broke the resistance line, after which rose to the resistance level and at once made a downward impulse, lower than the 2325 level, breaking it. Also, Gold started to trades inside the triangle, where it bounced from the support line and quickly reached the support level, broke it, and reached the resistance line of the triangle. To this day, the price continues to trades near the resistance line, so, that's why I think that Gold can exit from the triangle pattern and then make drop lower support level, breaking it. For this case, I set my TP at 2290 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Gold can make small movement up and then rebound downHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago price reached a resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and soon broke it, after which made little correction movement and then continued to grow to the trend line. When the price reached this line, it turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel, where Gold in a short time declined to the support line, breaking the 2385 level, and then started to grow. Later price rose to the resistance level again, but at once rebounded and made an impulse down to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and even fell to this area. Soon, the price turned around and started to grow, thereby making a fake breakout of 2300, after which the price made a correction to the support level and now rising again. For my mind, XAUUSD will make one more movement up and then rebound down to the support zone. That's why I set my goal at 2290 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD - last crash, then a new all time high! (buy here)GOLD is probably preparing for a last small crash to the main support of the expanding triangle in the major timeframe. This is a great opportunity to buy GOLD at the bottom of an expanding triangle because it is also in confluence with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. This Fibonacci level is very strong together with 0.618 because 0.618 + 0.382 = 1. You can buy gold here, or enter a long position on futures with leverage to increase your potential profit.
You probably know that I am very bullish on GOLD for the next few years and expect at least a double in price. After many years of sideways price action, GOLD finally broke out and made a significant new all time high. GOLD seems undervalued and should go higher.
It's always important to look at the Elliott Wave analysis, as it gives us a better understanding of the whole market structure. Where on the map are we currently? On the chart, you can see an impulse wave (12345) and after such move we can expect a corrective structure, such as ABC or WXY. Usually, you want to take a Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave and look for 0.382 FIB or 0.618 FIB. I don't think GOLD will go all the way down to 2155, that would be pretty bearish after the previous breakout to a new all time high.
Buying gold at current levels is definitely a good idea, but if you want better price and timing, I would take the 0.382 FIB. This will also increase your risk-to-reward ratio.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Falling towards pullback support, could it bounce from here?XAU/USD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,292.30
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 2,271.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 2,334.80
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD - 15m Sell ScalpOn the 15-minute chart, XAUUSD is breaking below crucial support trendlines, suggesting an increased bearish momentum. The weakening support, indicated by the failure to sustain above these trendlines, points to a potential decline towards lower support levels.
Traders should be cautious as the breakdown may accelerate selling pressure, leading to further downward movement in the gold price.
Monitoring the price action closely around current levels could provide insight into whether the bearish trend will continue or if a short-term consolidation might occur before any recovery attempts.
Gold levels heading into US CPI, FOMCGold managed to rose for a second day after Friday's strong NFP selloff, but bulls clearly lack conviction looking at the small bullish candles on the daily chart. This has allowed a retracement channel to form on the 1-hour chart, which suggests momentum could eventually turn lower.
With US CPI potentially coming in hot and the Fed pushing back on cuts, it could be a game of two halves which could send gold initially higher before rolling over. The weekly pivot point around 2322 and high-volume node / upper 1-day implied volatility band around 2332 make likely targets for bulls, or areas for bears to consider fading into.
Of course, be on guard for explosive volatility around these events, as volatility can cut both ways.
XAUUSD - Gold 4hrSimple trading - Trend breakout
BULLS:
No more bearish liquidity on the intraday timeframes. With new higher highs, Gold may have enough momentum to head towards 2330 and remain above the 2340 price. CPI Report came back negative which may allow gold to maintain above the previous support 2310-15.
BEARS:
Gold has NOT completely rejected the 4-hour HEADS and SHOULDER. This is because gold has broken above the neckline, Yes. But technically this could be the retest we have been waiting for. If the price falls below 2310 and fails to hold above the downtrend bottom channel, expect gold to freefall to the next support area.
*These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.