XAUUSD 30/6/24The gold chart here shows a similar outlook to what we had last week. We played off the area of supply we marked, selling off nicely into the lower end of the range. After taking the liquidity across the lows, we saw a strong pullback with a large area of imbalance created, indicating upward momentum. However, it's important to remember that the overall ranges are bearish, and we expect the price action to move lower.
Our preferred option is for the price to run higher to the area of supply before selling off, sweeping the low marks below and heading to the demand zone marked in green. At this point, we would look for the price to either go bullish and move into the area of supply or break down through this zone and continue the bearish trend.
If the price breaks the 4-hour high, it would give us a new directional bias. Conversely, if the price breaks lower, it would align with our current bearish bias, so keep an eye on that if we start pushing in one direction or the other.
Trade safe and follow your plan.
D-XAU
Gold can correct to support level and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price declined to the support line, thereby breaking the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, but at once rebounded and started to grow. In a short time price rose higher than the 2310 level, breaking it again, and then rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Soon, GOLD broke this level, made a retest, and rose to 2442 points, after which turned around and started to decline. Price quickly declined lower than the resistance level with the support line, thereby breaking it. After this movement, the price some time traded in range and then reached the resistance level again, but at once rebounded and made impulse down lower than the 2310 level, to support line of the pennant. Next, Gold in a short time rose to the resistance line of the pennant, after which rebounded back to the support line. But a not long time ago it bounced up and now trades near the support level. In my opinion, the price can decline to the support level and then start to grow to the resistance line of the pennant. After this, Gold can break this line, thereby exiting from the pennant, and then continue to grow, therefore I set my TP at 2360 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Could Gold reverse from here?Price is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,334.91
1st Support: 2,311.24
1st Resistance: 2,354.31
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
SILVER - Playing Out Perfectly!In our last analysis we identified the picture perfect higher timeframe impulse schematic.
We were nearing the end of wave 3 and was anticipating the wave 4 correction to appear.
We now have the wave 4 correction and we are halfway through it.
On lower time we can see that we're in the midsection of the ABC correction for wave 4. We've completed wave A and now we're in Wave B. See below:
We're looking for one more move up to complete wave B (blue move) and then one final move down for Wave C (red move). See below:
Trade Idea: Blue Move (LONG)
For the blue move, we can take a short term entry on break of the trendline and actively manage positions until we're at the local highs.
Trade Idea: Red Move (SHORT)
We'll be looking for a trendline break once we've completed the blue move. Profit taking area for the shorts will be in the buy zone where we'll be preparing ourselves for the next swing opportunity.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
XAU/USD (Gold) Bearish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent formation well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2321, positioned close to the top level of channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2296
2nd Support – 2281
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2340. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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Thank you.
Bullish bounce?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could potentially bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 2,308.18
1st Support: 2,298.47
1st Resistance: 2,332.97
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold's Next Chapter: Technical Insights and Market TrendsGOLD (SPOT) – technical overview
The 2019 breakout above the 2016 high at 1375 was a significant development, opening the door for fresh record highs and this next major upside extension into the 2500-3000 area. Setbacks should now be well supported above 2000 on a monthly close basis.
R2 2451 – 20 May Record high – Strong
R1 2388 –7 June high – Medium
S1 2277 – 3 May low – Strong
S2 2223– 21 March high – Strong
GOLD (SPOT) – fundamental overview
The yellow metal has pushed record highs in 2024 with solid demand from medium and longer-term accounts. These players are more concerned about inflation, geopolitical risk and a less upbeat global growth outlook. All of this should keep the commodity well supported, with many market participants also fleeing to the hard asset as the grand dichotomy of record high equities and record low yields comes to an end.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is currently to the pivot and could potentially fall to the pullback support.
Pivot: 2,334.49
1st Support: 2,306.73
1st Resistance: 2,354.71
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD to form another higher low?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
Price action continues to trade around significant highs.
50 1day EMA is at 2317.8.
Trend line support is located at 2318.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to Buy at 2319.0 (stop at 2303.0)
Our profit targets will be 2359.0 and 2367.0
Resistance: 2327.3 / 2340.0 / 2355.0
Support: 2316.8 / 2306.5 / 2295.6
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Could Gold drop from here?XAU/USD is currently at the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could potentially fall to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,325.19
1st Support: 2,306.73
1st Resistance: 2,338.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD 23/6/24Gold this week has a similar outlook to last week. We have an extreme POI (Point of Interest) within the market, a higher time frame order block, and a fair amount of liquidity below the structural lows established last week during our pullback.
If you are up to date with last week's markup that we posted on TradingView, you would see that it has played out almost perfectly as expected. Following this, if we pull higher into the area of supply before dropping, we would expect a longer-term sell move. Conversely, if we sell off sooner, we will expect a bullish move later in the week.
If this fails, we expect the 4-hour low to be closed out completely and the price to move bearish. The main points to focus on this week are selling away from the area of supply and capturing the liquidity that sits below the lows.
Trade safe stick to your rules!
GOLD - Price can bounce up from support line to $2380 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price broke resistance level, which coincided with resistance zone and rose a little higher.
But soon, Gold made downward impulse to $2295 support level and started trading in flat.
Later price exited from this pattern and entered to upward pennant, where it made strong upward impulse.
Gold reached resistance line of pennant, breaking $2375 level, but soon, turned around and in a short time declined back.
Price fell to support line of pennant and now continues to trades near this line, and I think XAU can bounce up.
Also, I think price can break resistance level and reach $2380 resistance line of pennant.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold will make impulse from support level to $2360Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago broke the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and made a retest. After this, XAU continued to move up and later reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and soon broke this level too, after which rose to the trend line. Next, the price turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel, and made at once impulse down to the support line, breaking the 2385 level again, and even made a fake breakout of the support line of the channel. After this movement, the price quickly rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the trend line, which is the resistance line too and then rebounded down to the support zone. Then Gold in a short time rose back and even a little higher than the trend line, but a not long time ago, the price turned around and fell back to the channel, making a fake breakout of the resistance line. Now, I expect that XAUUSD will fall to the support level and then repeat movement up, higher than the trend line, thereby exiting from the channel. That's why I set my target at 2360 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can fall to support level, break it and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago price started to trade inside the wedge, where it at once made an impulse up from the support line to the resistance line, after which turned around and fell to the support level. Then price some time traded near this level and then started to grow to the resistance line of the wedge pattern and when Gold reached this line, the price broke it, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. Next, XAU quickly rose higher than the 2415 level, which coincided with the seller zone, but soon turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel. In the channel, the price declined to the support line, breaking the resistance level, after which rose to the resistance line of the channel. Then Gold almost fell to the 2285 support level, after which turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance line of the channel. At the moment, the price continues to trades near this line, so, I think that price can decline to the support level, after which Gold will break it and continue to decline. For this reason, I set my TP at 2240 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD - Sell PositionSomeone asked how I took this position. Let me explain the different reasons:
1. Two Bullish Legs: During the Asia session, XAUUSD formed two bullish legs. This suggested a pullback to the previous pivot level, even if it continues to rise in the London and NY sessions.
2. Bearish Flag Pattern: The trading range resembled a bearish flag, indicating a likely reaction and decline from this resistance zone.
3. Weakening Momentum: In the 5m chart, the three pushes up at the end of the second leg showed signs of weakening momentum, pointing to increased selling pressure. This signaled a high probability of a pullback.
These observations combined led me to anticipate a decline, making this position a strategic move based on technical analysis.
We remain wary of today’s gains on gold and silverSilver rose over 2% in Thursday’s Asian session, eventually prompting gold to try and catch up. Yet gold’s ‘rally’ was lacklustre in comparison, and with silver pausing near a resistance cluster, we’d prefer to fade fold below $2350 for a move lower.
Silver has stalled around a high-volume node (HVN) and trend resistance. RSI (2) is overbought and prices have risen whilst volumes were lower. RSI (2) is also overbought for gold on this timeframe with lower volumes, and the monthly pivot point and weekly R1 pivot reside around 2350.
Bears could fade into gold below $2350 and target the weekly pivot around $2320. They could also seek shorts on silver around current levels with $30 as an initial target. At which point, bulls could then seek evidence of a swing low around the monthly pivot point or $30 for long swing trade.
XAUUSD H2 - Long SignalXAUUSD H2
Here is XAUUSD update on the H2, we were previously targeting 2325/oz and then 2335/oz. With further targets pushing towards that 2350/oz price. We are looking at pulling towards the previous area of resistance, which we now anticipate to act as support, priced 2320/oz.
Targets remain at around 2350/oz and then 2360/oz subsequently. Not much in the way of economic data today, so lets see what unfolds. Might be a slow burner of a day
GOLD heading for under 2300$(06/18/2024)bears in the gold market still have the upper hand and selling pressure on gold still dominates the market. we believe the current price market will reach under 2300$ (likely 2285$ and 2266$) before doing a proper correction.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
XAUUSD M15 - Long SignalXAUUSD M15
Healthy start for XAUUSD here on the LTF. We just need this M15 to close bullish in the next 3-4 minutes and we could likely see another surge of 10-15 points. Making this position 1R and risk free from an attractive buy region.
Again, targets as per previous H1 analysis, 2323, 2335, 2350.
XAUUSD H1 - Long SignalXAUUSD H1
We bounced nicely yesterday from this indicated buy zone, offering as much as 3.5R. We have since come back down to this area of support. We could see some potential re-entries from this zone, with targets of 2325/oz, 2335/oz and then 2350/oz.
If support doesn't manage to hold this time round, we could expect to see the more major support price of 2285 see a test.