XAU/USD 01-05 April 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish swing BOS followed by a bullish iBOS.
Most likely scenario would be for price to pull back following swing and internal BOS (Break Of Structure)
First structural indication, but not confirmation that pullback has initiated would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted by a vertical blue dotted line. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH.
Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low.
Expectation is for price to pullback following swing and internal pullback. Internal low and CHoCH are positioned at the same level.
Price could potentially continue bullish to bring the CHoCH closer to current price.
Weekly Chart :
Daily Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains unchanged since last daily analysis dated 20/03/2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a swing BOS. Swing low confirmed and adjusted with swing high yet to be established.
Most likely scenario will be for price to pull back following swing BOS. First indication, but not confirmation, would be a bearish CHOCH denoted with a vertical dotted line.
Price could potentially continue to trade bullish to seek further liquidity before pullback, however, it is looking increasingly likely a pullback will be imminent as the CHoCH has been brought considerably closer.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains unchanged since last analysis dated 29/03/2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price is now trading within a fractal high and low.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new high.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, it would be advisable to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
D-XAU
GOLD - Price can rise a little and then bounce down to $2185Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered to falling channel, where started to decline between support level, which coincided with support area.
Later Gold one more time broke this level and fell to support line of channel, but at once turned around and made upward impulse.
After this, price broke $2040 level again, exited from falling channel, and entered to rising channel.
In this channel, XAU reached $2185 level, which coincided with support area, and soon broke this level.
Also then price reached resistance line, and then fell back, but recently XAU rose to this line again and now trades close.
In my mind, Gold can rise higher than resistance line of channel and then bounce down to $2185 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HTF Markup 1-5 Apr 2024 W14- XAU, DXY, GBP, JPY, AUD, NAS, BTCThis is a Weekly post for several pairs showing HTF Markup only using Smart Money Concept (SMC) on Weekly, Daily and 4H Time Frames.
Feedback will be highly appreciated.
U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY
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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar OANDA:XAUUSD
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British Pound / U.S. Dollar FX:GBPUSD
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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen FOREXCOM:USDJPY
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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar FOREXCOM:AUDUSD
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US Nas 100 OANDA:NAS100USD
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Bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD
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XAUUSD on the rise! 🚀✨ Gold's glow intensifies amidst rate cut XAUUSD on the rise! 🚀✨ Gold's glow intensifies amidst rate cut speculations. 💰📈 All eyes on the Fed's moves and the awaited PCE report! 🔍 but poised for a breather! 🌟💫 Amid rate cut speculations, gold's journey may pause for a pullback towards the 75% quarters level of 2200-2225. ⏸️💰 Stay vigilant as it readies to resume its ascension! 📈💎 Socials @OfficialKieranTrewick
XAU/USD 29 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price is now trading within a fractal high and low.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new high.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, it would be advisable to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS printing all time highs with no structure to the upside. We are now trading within a fractal high and low.
As with all HTF's it would be advisable to adopt patience and allow price to print structure before taking any action as opposed to picking tops.
Intraday expectation would be for price to pull back following iBOS.
Another likely scenario is price to continue bullish and keep printing all time highs!
M15 Chart:
#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD #Short #ShortSetup #Eddy#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD #Short #ShortSetup #Eddy
I'll Think Its Time to short Gold Again xD (( In the monthly time frame, it looks like we have the third collision and the completion of the monthly divergence... What you think!?... ))
Related Analysis of Gold : (( XAU/USD )) : Check Link :
< - - - (( This Setup sl X)) -_-
First Analysis of Gold : (( XAU/USD )) : Check Link :
My Analysis of Dollar : (( XAU/USD )) : Check Link :
GOLD's New Bullish CycleWe are close to my previous price target for GOLD:
In recent weeks, Gold has captured the spotlight by surging to all-time highs, signaling a potential shift in the precious metal's market dynamics!
The breakout has garnered attention from investors, raising expectations for a new bullish cycle, with some setting a price target of $2500.
Historically, gold has been perceived as a safe-haven asset, particularly during times of economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, or inflation concerns.
The recent surge in gold prices suggests that investors are increasingly turning to the precious metal as a store of value and a portfolio diversifier.
The $2500 price target underscores the optimism surrounding gold's future prospects!
XAU/USD 28 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday (27/03/3034)
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
-> Sub-Internal: Bullish.
Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week.
Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's
Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action.
Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure. Sub-internal structure has printed a further bullish iiBOS.
Intraday expectation is for price to pull back following iiBOS to either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the sub-internal structure before target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line.
M15 Chart:
A comprehensive look at gold's volatile history during crisesIt is often said that gold tends to perform well during economic uncertainty and crisis. But is this really so? Let’s examine gold's volatile history before and during recessions in the past 50 years. The 1960s and 1970s were marked by many economic and geopolitical changes, including multiple crises of the British pound, the collapse of the London Gold Pool, the suspension of a gold standard, and the end of the Bretton Woods System. These events helped to reshape the global monetary system and the role of gold within it. Before U.S. President Richard Nixon's “temporary” suspension of gold’s convertibility to the U.S. dollar, gold was pegged at $35 per troy ounce and allowed to move within a certain band around this level. However, following the breakage of the peg between gold and the U.S. dollar, gold’s price soared past levels previously thought to be unattainable. Thanks to high inflation rates, the oil crisis, and the weak U.S. dollar, gold rose more than 2,300% during the 1970s, recording a 147% increase in 1979 alone.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The green background highlights gold’s performance one year before the recession began in January 1980. The yellow background indicates recession periods, as reported by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
In the first 19 days of January 1980, gold rose another 54%, hitting an all-time high of $873 per troy ounce. In the next 66 days, gold plummeted 48% to $473. From lows on 27th March 1980, gold gained over 65%, stopping at $748.50 on 22nd September 1980. After that, gold declined until 21st June 1982, erasing nearly 60% of its value before staging a temporary rally. Nevertheless, it was only two years after the recession, on 25th February 1985, that gold finally bottomed out at $282.60.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 portrays the daily graph of XAUUSD. The red background indicates gold’s performance one year before the recession began in July 1990. The yellow background shows the recession period.
After bottoming out in 1985, gold rallied nearly 80% by mid-December 1987. But the next few years saw gold underperform and plunge 31%. The decline halted on 14th June 1990, at $348.20. Following that, gold’s price started to appreciate, rising 22% in the next two months, hitting a high of $425 on 21st August 1990. Yet, it was only a brief rally again, and gold soon reversed the trend. Gold lost more than 23% in the next three years, dropping to a low of $325.8 per troy ounce on 10th March 1993. Another three years were carried in a similar volatile manner, with gold rising nearly by one-third and then reversing and declining to merely $252.10 on 22nd August 1999.
Illustration 1.03
The image above shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The red background illustrates gold’s performance one year before the start of the recession in March 2001, and the yellow background indicates a recession period.
After soaring 35% from 1999 lows in less than two months, gold shocked precious metal investors when it reversed and began a slow decline that lasted until the start of the 2001 recession; in fact, gold nearly took out 1999 lows in early 2001. During the recession, gold had a run-up of 12% and continued to soar to new heights after its end. By the next recession hit in late 2007, gold doubled in price.
Illustration 1.04
Illustration 1.04 displays the daily graph of XAUUSD. The green background shows gold’s performance one year before the start of the recession. The yellow background highlights the recession period.
From its peak in March 2008, gold lost approximately 34% until its low of $681.50 on 24th October 2008. Yet, despite this massive decline, gold bottomed out before stocks and soared more than 180% until hitting a peak in September 2011.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Gold to close above $2200 this week or next? Gold to close above $2200 this week or next?
Examining the daily gold chart, it appears there's a potential bullish flagpole pattern forming, indicating a possible forthcoming breakout. If this pattern unfolds, gold prices could rise. This week, gold attempted to breach $2,200 but faced rejection, dropping to $2,080 before rebounding above $2,190.
However, market sentiment may be turning cautious ahead of significant US economic data releases in the shortened holiday week, including the GDP Growth Rate, Core PCE Price Index, and Personal Spending. Despite this caution, if the GDP Growth Rate falls from 4.9% in the previous quarter to the expected 3.2%, it could reinforce expectations of a June rate cut by the Federal Reserve, as the market anticipates. This could potentially increase demand for gold and boost its price.
If this week's data doesn't serve as a catalyst, attention may shift to next week, with JOLTS Job Openings scheduled for Tuesday and NFP on Friday (US time), potentially providing further market insights.
XAU/USD 27 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway.
H4 chart:
M15 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday (26/03/3034)
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
-> Sub-Internal: Bullish.
Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week.
Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's
Analysis on 22/02/2024 was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which was denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this.
Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action.
Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure.
Intraday expectation is for price to target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line.
M15 Chart:
GOLD can it go very low? medium and long term idea planhere is the full plan for gold
as long as prices stay below 2222 this analysis is valid
break of 2147 confirm this idea with the same invalidation point
the area of 1980-2026 is a good area to look for a buy setup
so trade safe and follow me 😉
giving this idea a BOOST is the next step you do 😄
TECHNICAL TUESDAY 3/26/24Today may or may not pan out as far as triggering an entry.
As of right now we are hitting 2 out 5 on the checklist which means, NO ENTRY.
Will revisit at 0845.
what will I be looking for?
US Core Durable Goods Orders
US Durable Goods Orders
Why? Because 'actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for precious metals. If this happens at 0830, Ill feel better about entering the buy stop.
Why will I not be selling even if given a signal? Welp Jimothy, because its above water and thats a no-no.
And for the love of sweet baby Jesus, please dont over leverage.
********Disclaimer********
The trade ideas and insights provided on this channel are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for everyone. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content shared here is based on personal opinions, analysis, and interpretation of market trends, and it may not always be accurate or up to date. By participating in these trade ideas and insights, you acknowledge that you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions and any outcomes that may result. The moderators and administrators of this channel shall not be held liable for any losses incurred from trading activities. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before engaging in any trading activities.
XAU/USD 26 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
-> Sub-Internal: Bullish.
Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week.
Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's
Analysis on 22/02/2024 was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which was denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this.
Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action.
Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure.
Intraday expectation is for price to target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - 1H risky Sell for scalpersGold has been consolidating just beneath the uptrend line within the ascending channel, presenting a potential scalping opportunity for those looking to sell.
However, it's important to approach this with caution;it's a riskier play, so managing your risk and position size wisely is crucial.