Gold: Breakdown in Motion (15m Chart)Just price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Momentum Long — Price broke out from a base with clean volume. MA structure aligned, and bulls had control early.
⛔ Top Reversal — Price peaked and printed a clean rejection. Volume faded. Sellers rotated in.
⛔ Lower High Rejection — Attempt to reclaim highs failed fast. Fib and MA structure stacked against continuation.
⚠️ Temporary Recovery Attempt — Brief bounce off support, but no structure regained. No follow-through = no entry.
🚨 Breakdown Confirmed — Price lost all support levels with conviction. Volume backed the flush. Breakdown held and extended.
👀 Current Pressure Point — Price still pressing lows. Watching to see if momentum continues or if we get exhaustion behavior.
Always happy to be helpful.
D-XAU
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD formed a bearish
Triangle pattern and then
Made a bearish breakout
Hinting at a coming bearish
Correction that was long
Overdue so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A local bearish move down
After a potential pullback
Sell!
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XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (25.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3232
2nd Support – 3188
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GOLD RISKY LONG|
✅GOLD will soon retest a key support level of 3260$
So I think that the pair will make a rebound
And go up to retest the supply level above at 3323$
LONG🚀
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Gold at $3,260: Buy the Fourth Dip?Gold prices have stabilized today after experiencing an earlier decline that represents the fourth dip down to the $3260 level over the past few sessions. The repeated defense of this support level could indicate strong buyer interest at these prices.
Recent reports suggest an easing of trade tensions which might be weakening demand for gold. But have tensions really eased to any great extent? Commerce Sectary Howard Lutnick announced yesterday the U.S. is close to 1 trade agreement with 1 mystery trade partner (rumored to be India? But why not brag about that if true) isn't the kind of progress that consoles me.
But is it time to buy?
The consistent support at $3,260 coupled with a potential move above $3,375 could provide the technical confirmation needed for renewed confidence in this kind of trade.
GOLD - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once broke $2885 level and reached resistance line of channel.
Then it corrected and then continued to move up in channel, but later it dropped to support area.
Price soon rose above $2885 level, making a fake breakout and after retesting this level, continued to grow.
Later Gold reached resistance line of channel and then made correction movement, exiting from channel and entered to pennant.
In pennant pattern, price made upward impulse, breaking $3275 level and at the moment it trades near $3275 level.
I think that Gold can exit from pennant, decline to support area, and then bounce up to $3440
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Gold Possible SellsOANDA:XAUUSD My sentiments on gold for today.
1. Last buyer haven, prior to recent one
This is the last place prior to the level gold is sitting on top currently (4.(black)) where buyers would have been really and truly comfortable buying which means we know there could likely be stop losses even below here.
2. Bearish momentum/bearish channel
At this time gold has been bearish for about 7 days and if its one thing you know I believe in is momentum, adhere to whatever the momentum is doing - in this case its selling (bearish) so it is likely IMO to continue to do so - this is further supporting by the elements of my analysis.
3. Buyers stoplosses
The area highlighted in red shows suggested buyers stop losses below the currently obvious buyer havem (4. black) which means this is likely where the market will try to attack to capture that trapped liquidity. Something to think about, if gold had the liquidity to buy, it would. Let this guide you in terms of what you allow yourself to see next.
4. Current Obvious buyer haven
Pay attention to the level I've drawn to show where buyers would be heavily induced to buy at this time, this looks like a gold mine for buys (pun intended lol). Something you'd learn in this space, if it feels to good to be true, it probably is.
5. Possible move
This is what I think is likely to occur, gold will crash below the current obvious buyer haven taking out all previous buyer stops, capturing all that liquidity along the way even attacking the last buyer haven. Then and only then can gold resume it's bullish activities because now it would have enough liquidity to do what it wants.
What are your thoughts?
EURAUD H2 compression BUY/HOLD +150/300 pips🏆 EURAUD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 7650/7700
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 8050/8150
🔸Status: compression wedge
🔸getting ready for a PUMP
🔸noteworthy compression in April
🔸Price Target Bears: 7650/7700
🔸Price Target BULLS: 8050/8150
📊 Forex & Gold Market Highlights – April 30, 2025
💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1400
- Trading around 1.1390 amid softer U.S. economic data
- Investors await German economic indicators and U.S. PCE report
- April shows a 5.1% gain, the largest monthly increase since November 2022
💷 GBP/USD Hovers Near 1.3400
- Sterling trades at approximately 1.3379 after testing YTD highs
- U.S. JOLTS and Consumer Confidence data missed forecasts, fueling Fed rate cut speculation
🥇 Gold Retreats Below $3,310
- Spot gold at $3,302.58 per ounce, down 0.4%
- Decline follows easing trade tensions and a stronger U.S. dollar
- Investors focus on upcoming U.S. PCE data and non-farm payrolls report
📌 Market Outlook:
- EUR/USD: Potential to test 1.15 if German data supports euro strength
- GBP/USD: Eyes on U.S. economic data for direction; support around 1.3300
- Gold: Volatility expected; watch for U.S. economic indicators influencing Fed policy expectations
Gold - Warning #1 IssuedGold goes up forever right?
Not necessarily...
Our Team at Bullfinder-official has identified potential risk in OANDA:XAUUSD , issuing Warning #1.
Gold has been moving aggressively to the upside for some time now, hitting +116% since November of 2022.
Gold currently sits at $3,313 - And although this may not be the exact top of this run, we would like to note that current regions may warrant greater caution, and present greater levels of risk.
We're inspired to bring you the latest developments across worldwide markets, helping you look in the right place, at the right time.
Thank you for reading! Stay tuned for further updates, and we look forward to being of service along your trading & investing journey...
Disclaimer: Please note all information contained within this post and all other Bullfinder-official Tradingview content is strictly for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice. Please DYOR & Consult your licensed financial advisors before acting on any information contained within this post, or any other Bullfinder-official TV content.
GOLD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD went up from the
Support just as I predicted
But is now retesting a local
Horizontal resistance structure
So we can go short with the
Take Profit of 3320$ and
The Stop Loss of 3374$
Using small lot size is
Highly recommended
As it is a risky setup
Sell!
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XAUUSD - Gold trend reversed?!Gold is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly timeframe and is in the specified pattern. The continuation of gold's movement depends on the breakdown of one of the two established trend lines, and after a valid breakdown, we expect to reach the established targets.
In recent weeks, gold prices have experienced significant volatility. This precious metal, long regarded as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty, faced a decline in Monday’s trading session. The primary reason behind this drop was signs of easing trade tensions between the United States and China, leading to decreased demand for safe assets. This decline occurred while investors awaited clarity regarding ongoing trade negotiations between the two countries.
Last week, media reports indicated that China exempted some American imports from 125% tariffs, signaling a reduction in bilateral tensions. In response, Donald Trump stated that trade talks were underway; however, this claim was rejected by China. Additionally, the U.S. Treasury Secretary announced that he was unaware of any active negotiations, further fueling market doubts.
According to a recent Federal Reserve survey, participants cited the outflow of foreign capital from U.S. assets and a decline in the dollar’s value as potential new economic shocks. Some respondents believed that increased tariffs might only cause limited market disruptions. The survey indicated that despite market turmoil in April, prices remained elevated relative to fundamental indicators.
Meanwhile, investors were closely awaiting key U.S. economic data set to be released over the coming week. While the previous week was relatively quiet in terms of economic indicators, market focus has shifted toward a series of critical U.S. employment reports. These include the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) on Tuesday, the ADP private-sector employment report on Wednesday, and weekly jobless claims on Thursday—all paving the way for the most crucial event of the week: the April Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, to be released Friday morning.
Beyond these reports, several major events are scheduled in the economic calendar: Canada’s federal election on Monday, the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index on Tuesday, preliminary first-quarter GDP data, pending home sales figures, and the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI on Thursday—all of which could impact market sentiment.
On another front, the China Gold Association reported that gold consumption fell by 5.96% in the first quarter of 2025, reaching 290,492 tons. Although gold jewelry demand declined by 26.85%, investment-related gold demand surged by 29.81%, reflecting investors’ pursuit of safe assets amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
Domestic gold production in China increased by 1.49%, and assets held in gold ETFs rose sharply by 327.73%, indicating heightened financial caution among Chinese consumers in 2025.
A recent report from Goldman Sachs suggests that the downward trend of the U.S. dollar is far from over and that the currency remains significantly overvalued. Jan Hatzius, the bank’s chief economist, stated that despite the dollar’s recent 5% drop, it still stands roughly two standard deviations above its long-term real average since 1973. Historically, such levels have marked the beginning of multi-year correction cycles for the dollar.
Similar patterns occurred during the mid-1980s and early 2000s when the U.S. dollar experienced declines of around 25% to 30% following such valuations. Based on this, Goldman Sachs expects a similar scenario to unfold in the coming years.
One of the key structural factors fueling this anticipated correction is the portfolio composition of global investors. Specifically, non-U.S. investors hold about $22 trillion worth of assets in the United States, roughly one-third of their total portfolios.Half of these investments are unhedged against currency risk, which could lead to sharp fluctuations in the currency markets if investor sentiment shifts.
Goldman Sachs analysts believe that even a modest reallocation of global capital away from U.S. assets could significantly lower the dollar’s value. Therefore, they view the dollar’s gradual yet sustained decline not as a temporary fluctuation, but as a long-term structural trend.
GOLD WILL GO FURTHER UP|LONG|
✅GOLD fell again to retest the support
But it is a strong key level
So as we are seeing a bullish
Rebound already I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bullish rebound and a move up
LONG🚀
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GOLD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a local
Bearish correction but
It is trading in a long
Term uptrend so we
Are bullish biased and
We will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
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GOLD April Rally Continues📉 Flash Corrections and New Highs:
Gold has shown sharp swings, dropping to $3,287 per ounce and swiftly hitting a historic high of $3,500. These moves are not chaos but reflect deep processes within the global financial system.
🔍 Key Drivers of Today’s Gold Market
1️⃣ Geopolitics on Edge:
Trade wars between the US and China, political instability, and the upcoming US elections have fueled demand for safe assets. Central banks continue purchasing gold at a pace exceeding 1,000 tons per year, challenging the dominance of the US dollar.
2️⃣ Stagflation and Fed Policy:
Markets are pricing in rate cuts, traditionally strengthening gold’s position. Even short-term easing of geopolitical tensions hasn’t derailed the bullish trend — inflation expectations and weakening consumer confidence keep pushing prices upward.
3️⃣ China as a Major Player:
It’s not just state-level purchases — retail demand among China’s Gen Z is hitting new highs. Institutional mandates requiring gold holdings further tighten global supply, reinforcing upward pressure.
📊 Technical Outlook : Where to Look for Entry Points
Support Levels: $3,260 – $3,280
Resistance Levels: $3,420 and the psychological barrier at $3,500
April followed a classic scenario: breakout to new highs, profit-taking, and return to key levels for position re-entry. For the attentive investor, this isn’t a reason for panic but an opportunity to reload into a long-term bullish trend.
Gold is not just an asset — it’s a barometer of trust in the global financial system. Every time the system falters, gold shines brighter.
Conclusion
The gold market in April 2025 is a textbook example of how global risks turn into opportunities for those ready to act. Volatility only scares those who don’t understand it.
As always, stay one step ahead.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
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XAUUSD - Will Gold Reverse?!Gold is trading between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 15-minute timeframe and is on its uptrend line. A continued bullish move towards the supply zone will provide us with the next opportunity to sell it with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a range of $10-$15.
Gold prices dropped by 4% on Wednesday, just a day after reaching an all-time high. The decline followed remarks by President Trump that helped ease Wall Street’s concerns about the ongoing trade war with China and tensions between the White House and the Federal Reserve.
Throughout this year, gold has seen a substantial rise due to investor fears over the economic consequences of tariffs. Additionally, the metal has benefited from capital fleeing U.S. assets amid political uncertainty under the Trump administration. On Tuesday, Trump reassured markets by stating that he had no intention of removing Jerome Powell as Fed Chair and expressed his expectation that tariffs on Chinese goods would soon be lowered.
Trump’s statements supporting Federal Reserve independence and hinting at easing trade tensions with China reignited risk appetite in financial markets, causing gold prices to tumble on Wednesday.Just a day earlier, prices had hit a record high above $3,500, as investors speculated that Trump might attempt to remove Powell. Trump had previously criticized Powell for not cutting interest rates and for warning that tariffs could lead to higher consumer prices.
Gold’s price surge this year has been especially notable following Trump’s decision to halt the implementation of sweeping new tariffs initially announced in early April. Gold, as a safe-haven asset not tied to any single national economy—unlike traditional alternatives such as the U.S. dollar or Treasuries, which are subject to U.S. government influence—has become increasingly attractive to investors wary of Trump’s policy decisions.
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that continued tariff escalation in 2025 could push global public debt to 95.1% of GDP—an increase of 2.8 percentage points from previous forecasts. According to the IMF’s latest “Fiscal Monitor” report, if revenues and output fall significantly below expectations due to tariff-induced pressures, global debt could surpass 117% of GDP by 2027.
Investment bank JPMorgan has projected that gold prices could exceed $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026. This forecast is based on expectations of an economic recession, a prolonged trade war, and sustained demand from central banks. However, JPMorgan also cautioned that a sudden drop in central bank demand could threaten this bullish trend.
The IMF’s report further estimates that global public debt will climb to 99.6% of GDP by 2030, exceeding even the pandemic-era peak.
The IMF has forecasted global economic growth at around 2.8% for 2025. In this scenario, the U.S. budget deficit is projected to decrease from 7.3% of GDP in 2024 to 6.5% in 2025, and further down to 5.5% in 2026, largely due to increased tariff revenues and continued economic expansion.
These IMF projections for the U.S. deficit are based on policies announced up until April 2, 2025, and assume that the individual tax cuts enacted in 2017 will expire at the end of this year.
GOLD RISKY LONG|
✅GOLD has been making
A bearish correction after
Establishing a new all-time-high
So we are bullish biased on
Gold mid-term and we will be
Expecting a local bullish rebound
From the support around 3283$
LONG🚀
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GOLD, hibernated - and its good. More energy for MORE RISE AHEADSignal: LONG GOLD
After going parabolic this past few days -- hitting a series of ATH on daily basis, Gold finally took some well deserved respite, and hibernated to tap previous resistance turned support area.
Price is now basing again at this discounted zone -- an ideal seeding area.
Fib tap at 38.2 has been spotted. This is where most buyers converge.
The growth prospect of this next phase in progress is a bit on the generous side. A possible 2500 pip scenario from the current price range.
Long at current price 3330.
Target 3650.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
GOLD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price is
Making a local bearish correction
So after it retests the horizontal
Support level below around 3344$
We will be expecting a rebound
And a further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,419.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,458.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,355.45
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.9% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold Trades I'm Taking Today 2
Last week was a success. This week, this is my vibe (don't take my trades without proper research) I'm still going for buys at least till a much stronger resistance. Gold has been breaking levels and i don't think she's stopping anytime soon.
In situations like this, we BUY!!!!..
Let me know what you think.
XAUUSD - When will the gold trend reverse?!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A downward correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying position with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a fluctuation of $10-15 in each range.
The global gold market has experienced notable shifts in trade flows following the removal of retaliatory tariffs on metals imposed by the Trump administration. According to data, a significant portion of gold that had been moved to New York since December is now being returned to Switzerland, its original destination.
Swiss customs data reveals that gold imports from the United States surged to 25.5 metric tons in March—the highest level in 13 months—up from just 12.1 tons in February. In contrast, gold exports from Switzerland to the U.S. dropped by 32%, falling to 103.2 tons.
For the first time in over 14 months, Comex-approved warehouses, part of the CME Group, have recorded consistent outflows of gold. These outflows indicate a reduction in U.S. futures premiums and a decline in trader anxiety following the removal of tariffs.
Switzerland has once again emerged as the primary destination for gold leaving American vaults, reaffirming its central role in global gold refining and logistics. Nevertheless, a portion of the gold stored in U.S. warehouses continues to serve as a hedge against market uncertainties.
In an average year, the U.S.consumes around 115 metric tons of gold in the form of physical coins and bars. Current data suggests that kilobar inventories held in CME warehouses are sufficient to meet this demand for nearly 12 years.
The gold market remains heavily influenced by geopolitical and economic factors. These developments highlight Switzerland’s importance in refining and transportation, as well as the United States’ significant role in gold storage and resource management.
Meanwhile, a growing number of economic forecasts are warning that the U.S. may be entering a period of “stagflation”—a situation characterized by stagnating economic growth coupled with persistently high inflation. Tariffs have the potential to drive up consumer prices while simultaneously slowing growth, placing financial pressure on households, particularly if the labor market deteriorates.
Central banks face serious challenges in responding to stagflation through monetary policy, as efforts to address one side of the issue often exacerbate the other. Even if the U.S. economy avoids a recession triggered by tariffs, many economists foresee rising risks of a painful stagflationary period.
While economic experts remain divided on whether former President Trump’s trade wars will ultimately tip the economy into recession, a large number of recent forecasts underscore the increasing threat of prolonged inflation combined with sluggish growth. Numerous analysts, including Federal Reserve officials, argue that tariffs are likely to hamper economic expansion and weaken the labor market, all while elevating consumer prices.
However, Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel Financial, is among those who believe the labor market and consumers remain resilient enough to help the economy steer clear of a full-blown recession—assuming recently announced tariffs are eventually scaled back.