Buy on XAU Gold has been in a strong uptrend, and I believe the following scenario might play out: a correction down to the green zone, followed by a move toward the blue line.
D-XAU
Gold showing strength after Trump entered White House
President Trump's recent phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping has created a strong expectation for a more conciliatory relationship with China. In response, the dollar, which had previously surged due to fears over tariffs and inflation, has begun to weaken and gold is on a consistent upward trajectory.
Goldman Sachs firmly predicts that gold will likely be exempt from widespread tariffs, asserting that there is less than a 10% chance of a 10% real tariff on gold being introduced in the next year. They also confidently forecast that the gold price will soar to $3,000 per ounce by mid-2026.
XAUUSD sustains a steady uptrend within an ascending channel. The price holds above EMA21, awaiting further price triggers to test the resistance at 2720. If XAUUSD breaches above 2720, the price may gain upward momentum toward 2735. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaks below EMA21, the price may fall further to the ascending channel’s lower bound, where EMA78 coincides.
Bullish on XAUEUR XAUEUR has resisted on the price around 2,605 and due to the news it will be bullish throughout the week.
XAUUSD - Gold will stabilize above $2700?!Gold is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold climbs to the ceiling of the channel, you can look for positions to sell it towards the midline of the channel. Losing the bottom of the channel will lead to the continuation of the downward trend.
The gold market had a strong start to the first full trading week of 2025. However, as the week progressed, optimism among traders grew, with predictions indicating a potential rally in gold prices ahead of Trump’s second presidential term.
Nevertheless, the market remains cautious about upcoming developments. Rich Checkan, the president and COO of “International Assets Strategies,” believes: “Unless there are any major disruptions during Monday’s inauguration ceremony, I expect gold prices to remain relatively unchanged next week. Market participants are waiting for more clarity on President Trump’s economic policies and their impact on key economic variables. However, one week is insufficient to see tangible effects, and a longer timeframe is needed for better evaluation.”
Bart Melek, the managing director and head of commodity strategy at “TD Securities,” highlighted the potential for higher tariffs and their inflationary effects, predicting a slight dip in gold prices. He stated: “If the new president addresses tariffs, signaling higher inflation, and the Federal Reserve takes a more serious stance on its inflation target, gold prices could decline moderately.”
At the beginning of 2025, gold is trading near $2,700 per ounce, while Bitcoin has approached the $100,000 threshold, placing both assets at the center of attention in emerging markets.
Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, forecasts that a correction in stock markets could drive gold prices above $4,000 this year. He remarked: “Gold reaching $4,000 will eventually happen. The unlimited supply of fiat currencies and the limited supply of gold, similar to Bitcoin, make this likely. However, my concern is that a natural and modest correction in the stock market, which is currently overvalued, could push gold to such levels.”
McGlone pointed out that the ratio of stock market value to U.S. GDP is around 2.2x — an unprecedented figure in the last 100 years. He emphasized that even a 10% correction in the stock market could provide the necessary momentum for gold prices to surge.
GOLD - Price can fall a little and then continue to move up nextHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price dropped from $2705 level and fell to $2536 points, breaking $2610 level and entering to triangle.
In this pattern, price at once made an upward impulse to resistance area and then made correction movement.
After correction, price some time traded near $2610 level and then exited from triangle and rose back to resistance area.
Then Gold turned around and dropped to support area, after which started to grow inside a rising channel.
In channel, price broke $2610 with $2705 levels and now trades very close to $2705 level in resistance area.
So, I think that Gold can fall a little below than support level and then continue to grow to $2750 points in rising channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Potential bearish reversal?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 2,717.07
1st Support: 2,633.49
1st Resistance: 2,789.99
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!!! GOLD !!! - Head & Shoulders?Hi,
This week will be very busy with Trump week.
Will we have a classic Head & Shoulders in Gold?
This is just an idea!
Be careful!
Falling towards pullback support?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,690.10
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,674.73
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,718.81
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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XAUUSD 19/01/25This week, our analysis on XAU continues with the same bullish bias from last week. After a clean bullish shift last week, we anticipate gold to maintain its upward momentum. As always, Orion guides us on the trading direction, and we follow accordingly.
Currently, we are targeting lows as potential buy zones and highs as key levels to trade into. With recent developments, including Trump becoming president and the current moves in gold, another bullish run appears to be the most probable scenario.
Stick to the plan, trade from the lows into the highs, and always manage your risk effectively.
Trade safe, follow Orion, and stay disciplined.
Xauusd | Weekly Prediction ( 19/January/2025 ) Xau usd | Weekly Prediction ( 19/January/2025 )
Hey guys hope you are doing well !
- This analysis is based on pure Educational Purposes
- Market closing was at 2702 point and we are expecting that 2698 and strong support level at 2693-92.00 which were clearly shown in our Chart .That point is also our Observing point so we will take decisions on the based of it
• Bullish Scenario : if market cant break our Support area which is at 2693-92 our targets would be 2700 - 2710 - 2720
• Bearish Scenario : if market close the candle below that region we are expecting a bearish trend until 2660 we decided to take hold at 2620 or not !
Additionally : Trump oath and Fomc Week be Ready for more updates
HelenP. I Gold will break support level and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. This chart shows how the price rebounded from the trend line and started to grow to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. When the price reached this level, it broke it and rose a little more, but soon turned around and made a correction movement to the trend line, breaking support 2 one more time. Later, Gold rebounded from the trend line, broke the support level one more time, and continued to move up. In a short time later, the price rose to almost support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, and then dropped to the trend line. Price some time traded near the trend line and then quickly backed up to support 1. When Gold reached support 1, it broke it and rose a little more, but recently XAu turned around and dropped back to the support level. At the moment, the price traded near this level and I expect that XAUUSD will fall to the trend line, breaking the support level and then making a small move up. After this, the price turned around and continued to decline, breaking the trend line too. That's why I set my goal at 2660 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD has hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 2725$
And because Gold was locally
Overbought we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction
And as we are bearish
Biased we will be expecting
A further local move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Gold will little correct and then to continue grow in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The chart shows how the price entered to seller zone, where it reached the mirror line and then dropped to the buyer zone, breaking the 2710 level. After this, the price bounced up from the buyer zone but soon corrected back. Then Gold made a strong upward impulse to the seller zone, breaking the mirror line again. In the seller zone, the price started to decline inside the downward pennant, where it broke the 2710 level one more time and fell to the support line of this pattern, breaking the support level too. Gold some time traded below the support level and later it exited from the pennant pattern, reached this level, and broke it, after which continued to grow. When the price reached 2662 points, the price corrected the buyer zone and then started to grow inside the upward channel. In the channel, Gold rose to the resistance line and then corrected to the support line, after which continued to move up to the resistance level. Recently price reached this level and even try to break it, but failed. For this moment, I think that Gold can correct to support line of the channel and then rise to the resistance level back. After this, XAU can break this level and continue to move up inside the channel. For this case, I set my TP at 2740 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can break support level and fall to $2660 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price entered to wedge, where it at once made an upward impulse to resistance line, breaking $2695 level.
Next, price in a short time declined to support line, breaking $2695 level again and then exiting from a wedge.
After this, price fell below $2625 level and started to grow in a rising channel, where it traded between $2625 level.
Later, Gold broke this level and rose a little, after which made correction and then continued to grow.
Price reached $2695 level, but at once made a small correction, after which backed up and broke this level.
At the moment, I think that Gold can start to decline from resistance line of a channel to $2660, breaking support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisThe price could bounce upward if it returns to the green support zone.
📊 Watch for confirmation to enter long.
Gold to stall at previous highs?Gold - Intraday
Selling posted close to the previous high of 2726.0.
2721.3 has been pivotal.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look to Sell at 2718.5 (stop at 2738.5)
Our profit targets will be 2668.5 and 2658.5
Resistance: 2724.5 / 2735.0 / 2750.0
Support: 2709.7 / 2700.0 / 2690.0
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XAUUSD - Gold reached above $2700!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1-hour time frame and is in its ascending channel. If gold climbs to the top of the channel, we can look for positions to sell it at the target of $2,700. The loss of the midline of the channel will lead to the continuation of this corrective process.
Gold is expected to continue its growth trajectory in 2025, although this growth may not match the impressive performance seen in 2024. Juan Carlos Artigas, the Head of Research at the World Gold Council, discussed the reasons behind this trend and outlined three possible scenarios for gold’s future in an interview with Kitco News.
Artigas attributed gold’s record-breaking performance in 2024, which included 40 new highs, to the metal’s dual role as an investment asset and a consumer commodity. He stated, “Gold is an extremely effective risk management tool. Investors have turned to it due to rising market volatility and geopolitical risks.”
For 2025, Artigas predicted three distinct scenarios for the gold market:
• Limited growth with low volatility: This would occur if expectations for interest rates, inflation, and economic growth remain stable.
• Downward pressure: If interest rates remain high or rise further, gold’s investment appeal could diminish. Additionally, weak economic growth might lower consumer demand.
• Significant growth: In the event of heightened market volatility and geopolitical risks, investors would likely view gold as a safe haven, driving prices higher.
Artigas cautioned that government debt could emerge as a “black swan” event in 2025. He explained that rising global government debt levels and difficulties in securing financing pose a significant risk to the global economy.
He further emphasized that gold’s performance against various currencies highlights its role as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. For example, gold’s returns against the Turkish lira reached 50% in 2024 due to the lira’s depreciation against the US dollar.
Additionally, Artigas pointed to increased demand from central banks and Western investors in the second half of 2024. This surge in demand was attributed to lower central bank interest rates and reduced opportunity costs for holding gold.
Among all commodities, gold remains one of the few assets that analysts at BMO Capital Markets are optimistic about for 2025. They predict that central banks will continue purchasing gold to reduce reliance on the US dollar. Furthermore, BMO expects gold to remain a dynamic asset, serving as an effective hedge against inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, and stock market risks.
Next week, Donald Trump will be sworn in as the next President of the United States. Meanwhile, the global community is bracing for the new administration, which has announced plans to impose tariffs to promote and protect domestic policies under the “America First” agenda.
BMO analysts believe the Trump administration will be “inherently” inflationary. Their report noted, “The new administration has highlighted two clear policies that will dominate Trump’s second term. The first is that 2025 will be a year of tariff increases. Since tariffs function as a domestic tax on consumption borne by consumers, the economic consensus is that tariffs are inherently stagflationary.” They added, “The second key policy involves continued increases in government spending. Trump won the election on promises of tax cuts for corporations and individuals. According to an analysis by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, these promises are expected to add approximately $7.75 trillion to the US national debt between 2026 and 2035.”
BMO analysts also noted that rising inflationary pressures will likely lead to a decline in real interest rates, eroding the appeal of short-term bonds, which were a favored risk-free option in the previous year.
GOLD LOCAL SHORT|
✅GOLD has retested a key resistance level of 2736$
And as the price is already making a bearish pullback
A move down to retest the demand level below at 2705$ is likely
SHORT🔥
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Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent Formation of a well-defined Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the Channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2709
2nd Support – 2729
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!!! GOLD !!! 2.670 and UP !HI,
It seems to be the last chance to buy cheaper this week.
This is just an idea.
Be careful!
GOLD - Price can reach resistance level and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price declined in falling channel, where it at once broke $2715 level and fell to support line of channel.
Then price moved up to resistance line of channel and then continued to decline to $2536 points.
Gold broke $2605 level but soon it made an upward impulse, exiting from a channel and breaking $2605 level again.
Also, price started to trades inside flat, where it twice reached resistance level and then dropped to support line.
After this, Gold exited from flat and started to grow near support line, and later it bounced from this line.
Now, I think that XAU can reach resistance level and then start to decline to $2625 support line.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold will touch trend line and then start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, broke it, and rose to the trend line. Then Gold started to decline inside the wedge and soon broke the 2690 level, after which dropped until to the support level and even lower the support zone to 2584 points (support line of wedge) and then turned around. Some time, the price trades below the support level and tries to break it, but it does this on the third try. Then Gold rose a little and made a correction to the support level, after which rebounded and started to grow to the resistance level. When XAU reached this level, it broke it and touched the trend line, after which made a correction movement, breaking the resistance level one more time. Then it turned around and rose to the resistance level one more time and touched the trend line again, after which started to decline. In my mind, XAUUSD will reach the trend line one more time and then continue to decline in the wedge. For this case, I set my goal at 2660 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold Technical Outlook: CPI Data to Define Trend DirectionGold Technical Analysis
The price has reached the resistance level at 2689 and is attempting to test 2678 ahead of or during the release of CPI data. Based on current expectations, gold is likely to remain in a bearish trend.
If the CPI exceeds 2.9%, the bearish momentum is expected to intensify, with the price targeting 2665.
Conversely, if the CPI comes in below 2.8%, bullish momentum could quickly drive the price up to 2706.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2689
Resistance Levels: 2706, 2720, 2727
Support Levels: 2665, 2653, 2636
Trend Outlook
Bullish Trend: Above 2706
Bearish Trend: Below 2689
previous idea:
