Levels to watch out I’ve exited my long positions and am staying on the sidelines for now. I won’t be selling into the current strength just yet, as there’s still room for exhaustion around the 2850 level. I’ll consider entering shorts if the market closes below 2725, with targets closer to 2000.
History is likely to repeat itself, with retailers jumping into the FOMO at 3000.
D-XAU
Bullish momentum to extend?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 2,787.21
1st Support: 2,715.57
1st Resistance: 2,858.98
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD BREAKOUT CONFIRMED|LONG|
✅GOLD went up just as
We predicted in our previous
Analysis and the confirmed
The breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 2788$
While trading in an uptrend
Which reinforces our bullish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Bullish momentum to extend?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,778.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,751.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,813.09
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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XAUUSD 2/2/25XAUUSD remains clearly bullish this week. We can see this through price action and, of course, the Orion bias, which is also bullish. We've maintained a bullish bias since the last weekly low was created, and we’ve successfully followed this entire upward move over the past couple of weeks.
If you followed along, congratulations on a strong long-term trade! However, we are now focusing on intraday and day trading opportunities. Please note that we currently have no target, as price is sitting around the all-time high. We expect price action to continue reaching new highs, but exercise caution, as we are in an exploration phase, meaning price is moving into uncharted territory. Look for rebalancing, which presents opportunities to buy back into the next expansive move.
We have the V2 Entry Level Indicator running, and the dotted lines represent our high-volume lows—key areas of interest for identifying expansive moves into new highs. Right now, we have two priority lower areas, which we will monitor for potential re-accumulation of long positions. However, since we are in an exploration phase, price may continue moving higher without retracing to these levels.
Watch for one of two scenarios:
A pullback into the lower areas, followed by an expansive move upward.
Continuous expansive moves, with new lows developing along the way.
Regardless of how price unfolds, our bias remains the same unless the bias changes with the daily—we anticipate further expansion to the upside.
Trade within your risk parameters, follow your rules, and always let Orion guide you.
Gold can reach resistance line of channel and then start declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, broke the 2620 level and reached the resistance line of the channel. After this, Gold made a correction to the buyer zone and then turned around and quickly rose back. Then the price made a correction again and continued to move up inside the channel, and soon it reached the second support level (2700) which is located inside the support area and at once corrected to the support line of the channel. Next, the price some time traded near this line and soon reached the 2700 level and broke it, after which made a retest and continued to move up next. Later Gold rose to the current support level, which coincided with one more support area, and corrected the support line of the channel. Price some time traded near this line, again, and later rebounded up to the 2780 level and broke it too. At the moment, the price continues to move up and I think that Gold can reach the resistance line of the channel and then start to decline to the support line, breaking the support level. That's why I set my TP at 2770 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD - Gold hits new ATH!Gold is trading above EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A correction towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio.
Donald Trump has announced his intention to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico due to the fentanyl issue, emphasizing that these tariffs will take effect starting Saturday. He also stated that China will eventually have to pay tariffs as well, and that the U.S. is already implementing trade restrictions against Beijing.
Trump further asserted that the era of passively watching BRICS nations attempt to distance themselves from the U.S. dollar is over. He declared that these countries must commit to neither creating a new BRICS currency nor supporting any alternative to the powerful U.S. dollar. Otherwise, they will face 100% tariffs and lose access to the thriving American economy. He insisted that BRICS has no chance of replacing the U.S. dollar in global trade, and any country attempting to do so will face severe economic consequences.
(Translation continues…)
Continuation of the English Translation:
Trump’s repeated tariff threats have raised concerns among American consumers and introduced economic risks for the United States. Even the mere discussion of such tariffs can have significant economic effects by influencing consumer behavior. Evidence suggests that many Americans are seriously worried about the potential consequences of these policies.
According to a survey conducted by economists from the University of Texas, the University of California, and the University of Chicago, Americans expect substantial tariffs to be imposed on all major trade partners—50% on Chinese imports and 35% on imports from Canada and Europe. Contrary to Trump’s claims, most citizens believe these tariffs will directly impact them by driving up prices. When asked about a hypothetical 20% tariff, half of the respondents stated that the majority of the costs would be passed directly to consumers.
Political differences are also evident in the perception of these tariffs. Democrats and Republicans disagree on the extent to which consumers will bear the costs. Democrats estimate that 68% of the tariff burden will fall on consumers, whereas Republicans believe it will be around 41%. Regardless of political stance, the financial strain from these tariffs is expected to be significant, particularly for consumers already weary of inflation.
Both the public and economists recognize that tariffs on imports can also raise prices for domestically produced goods. The economic impact of tariffs was clearly demonstrated during Trump’s first term. A study found that the tariffs imposed in 2018 on washing machines from South Korea and China led to a nearly equivalent price increase for washing machines in the U.S.—and even drove up the price of dryers as well.
Even if these new tariffs are not implemented, their mere threat can lead to price hikes. Many consumers, anticipating higher costs, are choosing to make purchases in advance. In a survey, 43% of respondents stated that they would buy products before the tariffs take effect to avoid potential price increases.Another survey in January found that 20% of people believed that now was the right time to buy durable goods because prices were likely to rise.
Businesses are responding in a similar fashion. Many companies are stockpiling inventory ahead of potential tariff hikes or shifting their supply chains to countries that would not be affected. This behavior has contributed to a surge in exports from China to the U.S., with December marking the second-highest export level on record—at least partly driven by efforts to preempt new tariffs.
These strategies, however, come with additional costs, much of which will likely be passed on to consumers. The COVID-19 pandemic provided a clear example of how supply chain disruptions can lead to widespread cost increases. For instance, higher import costs for auto parts eventually resulted in more expensive vehicle repairs and insurance premiums.
Stimulating inflation under current economic conditions—even temporarily—would be costly. The Federal Reserve has paused further interest rate cuts, waiting for clearer signs of sustained inflation reduction. Rising prices for key goods, particularly automobiles, halted progress in lowering inflation in the fourth quarter of last year. Additional inflationary pressures caused by tariff expectations could delay the Fed’s next rate cut and keep interest rates elevated for an extended period. The uncertainty surrounding future tariffs reinforces the Fed’s cautious stance.
Inflation is not the only concern stemming from tariff threats. A third of survey respondents indicated that the likelihood of widespread tariffs would lead them to cut spending and increase savings. The greater the uncertainty surrounding trade policy, the stronger the incentive for precautionary savings.
American consumers have been the driving force behind the nation’s economic recovery. However, the recent wave of tariff threats has created deep concerns, potentially putting the U.S. economy—widely regarded as one of the strongest in the world—at risk.
GOLD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a
Strong uptrend along the
Rising support line and the price
Is now making a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 2786$ which reinforces our
Bullish bias and makes us expect
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
GOLDEN HOUR - Central Bankers Are Buying Dear followers,
Recent data shows that gold purchases of central banks hit their all time high since 1967.
---- History doesn't repeat itself but often rhymes -----
The only difference this time is that there is a new player in town. A digital gold named Bitcoin.
However, having long exposure in physical gold TVC:GOLD won't harm you over the next couple months.
Stay tuned for updates and shares this message to support my channel!
XAUUSD - Gold awaits the Fed meeting!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for selling positions at the ceiling marked with the target of the bottom of the ascending channel. A correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with its next buying position.
Sergio Ermotti, CEO of UBS, has warned that the anticipated interest rate cuts could be delayed if Donald Trump’s second-term tariffs take effect and drive inflation higher.
Speaking with Andrew Ross Sorkin of CNBC, he stated:
“I have been saying for some time that inflation is far more persistent than we initially thought. The key question now is how tariffs will impact inflation.”
He further added:
“Tariffs are unlikely to help in reducing inflation. Therefore, I do not expect rates to drop as quickly as many anticipate.”
With Trump’s trade policies in play, the risk of rising inflation is high, and a major clash between Trump and the Federal Reserve over interest rate cuts seems inevitable. Such tensions could negatively impact the U.S. dollar.
Meanwhile, Scott Bessant, the newly appointed U.S. Treasury Secretary, is proposing a gradual global tariff plan starting at 2.5%, which will increase monthly and could reach up to 20%. This strategy aims to give businesses time to adjust to the new economic landscape. The Financial Times reported this plan, citing anonymous sources for details.
At the same time, the U.S.Senate has confirmed Scott Bessant as Treasury Secretary with a majority vote. This decision comes as Trump imposes a 25% tariff on imports from Colombia, reinforcing his aggressive trade policy stance.
The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting is set to conclude today, and it is widely expected that interest rates will remain unchanged. However, analysts argue that gold markets are now focusing more on Trump’s policies rather than short-term aggressive monetary measures.
Gold prices rallied after Trump’s speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. In a video address to global business leaders and policymakers, he urged central banks worldwide to cut interest rates. Trump stated:
“I am strongly calling for an immediate rate cut, and this must happen globally.”
Economists note that Trump’s remarks contradict the current economic reality, as a relatively strong economy continues to fuel persistent inflation. In recent weeks, the Federal Reserve has warned consumers about growing upside inflation risks and is seeking to shorten the current monetary easing cycle.
Ahead of this week’s policy meeting, markets expect the Fed to hold rates steady, with only one rate cut projected for this year.
Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, believes that the divergent views between Trump and the Federal Reserve have created uncertainty, benefiting gold as a safe-haven asset.
He further stated that the recent bullish momentum in the gold market suggests that the $2,800 price level may just be the beginning. Hansen concluded:
“As long as this uncertainty persists, I see no risk of overheating. Any downside break could trigger fresh buying interest.”
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce tot he 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,721.59
1st Support: 2,692.70
1st Resistance: 2,763.31
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅GOLD is approaching a demand level of 2720$
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
GOLD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a local
Bearish correction while
Trading in an uptrend
So after it hits the
Horizontal support of 2720$
And after the retest we
Will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
HelenP. I Gold will drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price rebounded from the trend line and started to grow and soon reached support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then it broke this level, made a small movement up, and dropped to the trend line, which broke soon and fell below. But Gold continued to move up below the trend line and soon it broke this line with support 2 one more time, after which made a retest and continued to grow next. Later Gold rose to 2723 points, after which dropped to the trend line and then at once rebounded and rose to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. Then the price broke this level too and some time traded in the support zone, after which turned around and made a correction movement. After this, XAU turned around and made impulse up, breaking support 1 again. Now, in my mind, XAU will fall to the support area and then break the support level. Then it correct move up and then continues to move down to the trend line. So, that's why I set my goal at 2730 points, which coincides with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAUUSD - Gold Enters the Last Week of January!On the 4-hour timeframe, gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for selling positions at the ceiling indicated by the target of the midline of the ascending channel. A correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with its next buying position.
Last week, the gold market showcased one of its most stable and impressive performances in recent months, seemingly adapting to the shocks and uncertainties introduced by the newly established U.S. administration.
Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst at Barchart.com, highlighted that given global markets’ reaction to the unpredictability of the new U.S. president, there appear to be few barriers to new record highs for gold. He stated, “At this point, we can set aside technical and fundamental analysis. Gold is acting as a safe haven against the chaos stemming from the new U.S. government. No one knows what the next statement or action will be.”
According to the latest U.S. Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report released by S&P Global, the services sector index dropped to 52.8, marking its lowest level since April of last year and falling below market expectations of 56.5. Meanwhile, the manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, exceeding the forecasted 49.7. The composite PMI also decreased to 52.4.
Although confidence in the services sector has declined from its 18-month peak in December, it remains the second-highest level recorded in the past year.Additionally, the services sector experienced the fastest rate of job creation in 30 months. Input costs and selling prices across sectors also rose at the fastest pace in four months.
Chris Williamson, Chief Economist at S&P Global, commented on the data, stating that U.S. businesses began 2025 with optimism about the new administration’s policies. In particular, growth expectations in the manufacturing sector have increased due to anticipated government support. He also noted that while GDP growth slowed slightly in January, sustained business confidence suggests this slowdown may be temporary. The rise in hiring rates, driven by improved business outlooks, is another encouraging sign.
However, Williamson warned about increasing inflationary pressures. Companies reported that rising supplier costs and higher wages, driven by labor shortages, have led to price increases. If this trend continues, concerns about inflation could intensify, prompting the Federal Reserve to adopt more hawkish policies.
Rich Checkan, President and COO of Asset Strategies International, predicted that gold might experience a price correction in the short term. He explained, “While the long-term trend for gold remains bullish, thanks to the mismanagement of fiat currencies, I anticipate a price correction this week. Gold has approached historical highs today, but uncertainties surrounding the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting could prompt investors to take profits, leading to a temporary price pullback.”
This week, officials from major central banks worldwide will convene to make critical decisions. These meetings come as discussions about President Trump’s tariff threats resurface. The Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB), and the Bank of Canada (BoC) are all scheduled to hold their monetary policy meetings this week.
XAGUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on XAGUSD
The price just got rebounded from a very strong resistance, just to go back and retest the range bottom (support) zone, although the Trend remains bearish and the set Trendline keeps the price on the lower part of the market.
The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken support and used as resistance before I look for a SHORT trade.
A BUY opportunity is at the top above the weekly Low at $30.953.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Could the Gold drop from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,778.01
1st Support: 2,718.90
1st Resistance: 2,815.38
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD 16/01/25XAUUSD continues to hold the same bias as the past two weeks. As always, trade from the lows and aim for the highs. Orion provides us with a clear rule set to follow, allowing us to sit back and wait for our alerts to trigger.
This week, the main plan is to build more upside momentum while waiting for price to return to the lows. This would align with our long entry criteria. If the current target highs are reached, we’ll look for new lows to form and trade from.
Our approach remains simple: trade long to the highs, then wait for the next setup to appear. With Orion guiding the way, we simply follow the rules.
Trade within your risk limits and trust Orion.
Xauusd | Market break the point 2770-2769 ?XAUUSD 2,770 885 | 27/January/2025 ( Market break the point 2770-2769 )
- This video is based on Educational Purposes
In Our Past Commentary we discuss that market should close the candle below the 2770-2769 area and Currently market is at 2770.885 which is quite close
So what will be the Possible Scenarios ?
- Bearish Scenario : If Market closed the candle below our Observation point we will hold our positions to 2760 point and we are confident market will touched at 2750.00 so basically there are two regions (2750 and 2739) which are indicated trying to push from levels .Although if candles closed below this region our expectations would be to touched 2680.00 area a new lowest point
- Bullish Scenario : if Market cant break the Support level which is at 2770 - 2769 area we are going to expect the All time high at 2790 to 2800.00 area