XAUUSD Short - I Doubt That's The BottomWe do not have fundamnetal data yet which might support the idea a bottoming for Gold. So gonna short it.
D-XAU
Gold Outlook: Consolidation Phase with Breakout SignalsGold Analysis
Gold Prices Rise by Over 1%
Gold prices climbed more than 1%, reaching $2,660 per ounce on Tuesday. The rise was supported by a weaker dollar as traders grappled with uncertainty surrounding President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff policies amid conflicting signals.
Additional support came from China's central bank, which increased its gold reserves for the second consecutive month in December.
Traders are now awaiting key U.S. labor data and the FOMC minutes for further insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook for the year.
Technical Analysis:
Gold maintains bullish momentum, particularly if it can stabilize above the resistance level of $2,665. Currently, the price is consolidating between $2,653 and $2,665. Building volume below $2,653 could reinforce a bearish trend toward $2,636.
However, a 1-hour candle close above $2,665 would signal a bullish move toward $2,678 and potentially $2,706.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2665
Resistance Levels: 2678, 2690, 2706
Support Levels: 2653, 2636, 2623
Trend Outlook:
Consolidation Between 2653 and 2665
Bullish trend above 2665
Bearish Below 2636 and 2653
Gold Likely in correction/consolidation phaseThis could be a bit early, but Gold very likely wants back into the $2450 support area and possibly a test lower.
XAUUSD - Gold is waiting for an important week!!In the 4-hour timeframe, gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is in its short-term descending channel. The continued rise of gold towards the supply zones will provide a position to sell it with a suitable risk reward.
The year 2024 turned out to be unprecedented for the global gold market. This precious metal witnessed a remarkable growth of nearly 30%, outperforming all other commodities and emerging as one of the most prominent financial assets of the year. Such exceptional performance has continued to gain the trust of analysts and professionals in the gold and jewelry industry, drawing the attention of many traders to this market.
Despite forecasts suggesting that gold prices could surpass $3,000 per ounce in 2025, the beginning of 2024 told a different story. Spot gold prices started the year at around $2,000 but fell to $1,992 by mid-February. However, Valentine’s Day marked a turning point, as gold rebounded strongly, climbing back above $2,000 and successfully maintaining this critical level.
A significant market milestone occurred at the end of February. In just two days, gold prices surged by over $60, and on the first trading day of March, the metal broke past the $2,100 threshold, setting a new record. After a period of price consolidation at higher levels, gold resumed its upward trend in the final days of the month, surpassing $2,200. By mid-April, gold approached the $2,400 mark. However, traders were not yet prepared to accept these levels, and by the end of April, spot gold prices had retreated below $2,300.
May saw renewed optimism in the precious metals market. On May 16, spot gold decisively broke through the $2,400 resistance level. Nonetheless, after reaching a peak of $2,426, prices entered the longest consolidation phase of 2024.
Finally, on June 10, gold once again broke the $2,400 resistance and managed to establish it as a support level. From that point onward, gold embarked on one of its most stable upward trends of the year, which continued through late summer and early autumn. On October 30, gold prices hit a new record of $2,788.54 per ounce.
However, the election of Donald Trump on November 5, 2024 (15th of Aban 1403), interrupted gold’s rally. Spot gold, which had reached $2,743 on November 4, dropped within 10 days to the $2,560 range.
Nevertheless, gold quickly found new support. The president-elect’s threats of tariffs and trade wars, combined with renewed inflationary concerns, pushed gold prices back above $2,700. Although the metal did not return to its October highs, it maintained strong support at $2,600 for the remainder of the year, preventing further declines.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs revised its forecast for gold prices, stating that the metal would not reach $3,000 in 2025. However, the bank remains optimistic that gold prices will continue to rise, albeit at a slower pace than before.
XAUUSD 6/1/25Coming into this week, we maintain a bullish bias on gold. Last week, we experienced a short-term shift to bearish, which was expected as we mentioned before the new year. Currently, we are focusing on the cluster of lows at the base of our most recent range. This is the area we are targeting for potential long trades this week.
Orion is indicating that we need to align with the long bias, so we will follow this direction and monitor targets and entries accordingly. Note that we currently have only two targets above. If the market creates another high before dropping into the mentioned lows, we may have more than two targets to work with, requiring us to trade within those areas.
Be mindful of the current structure. As mentioned in the EU analysis, we may form short-term lows to play off, which could make the lower areas less likely for the week’s initial move. As always, we wait for a low to be reached, then analyse the entry timeframe to determine if there’s an opportunity to participate.
Trade safely and stick to your plan.
Falling towards overlap support?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,632.46
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,608.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6%^ Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,659.51
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
2,632.46
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Gold Technical: Key Levels and Trend Outlook for the Week
Gold Trading Lower Despite Dollar Weakness
Gold prices traded lower on Friday afternoon, even as the dollar retreated from its highest level in more than two years and Treasury yields eased.
Gold Technical Analysis
The price precisely reached our resistance level at 2665 and then dropped to the pivot line at 2636, as anticipated in the previous week's analysis.
For this week, the initial move is expected to test 2653. The price must then break 2653 to reach 2665. To move further toward 2678, a 4-hour candle close above 2665 is required.
However, if the price closes a 4-hour candle below 2636, it is likely to drop to 2623. A sustained move below 2623 could lead to a further decline toward 2603.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2636
Resistance Levels: 2653, 2665, 2678
Support Levels: 2623, 2603, 2658
Trend Outlook
Consolidation: Between 2636 and 2653
Bullish Trend: Above 2645
Bearish Trend: Below 2636
previous idea:
GOLD: Risky Long!
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GOLD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Xau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframeXau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframe
- This idea is based on educational purposes
Detailed analysis for higher time frame to lower time frame
Market currently at 2639.72 and in higher time frame 2621 is a rejected point more then 6 times
so when we move to lowest time frame things are more clearly and we see that market is moving in uptrend so we have to move and trade within trend
if market move and touched 2642 to 2645.00 area we will entered in buy trade and our first target would be 2650.00 then 2660 onwards
if market break the region which are selected and move downward we will take our first take profit at 2621.00 again it was crucial point but if it went again this point we will see the next move at 2605.00
Like and Comments on our Analysis
Gold can drop from resistance line of pennant to 2595 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the support line and rose to 2790 points, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the support line, breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and then continued to fall next. Soon, Gold declined below the support line and even broke the 2595 level and fell to 2536 points. But later Gold turned around and made a strong impulse up to the seller zone, breaking the support level one more time, and started to trades inside pennant as well. Next, the price made a small correction and then some time traded in the range, after which in a short time rose to the seller zone back. In this area, it reached the resistance line of the pennant and then started to decline to the buyer zone, breaking the 2710 level. Later XAU some time traded near the support line of the pennant and then rebounded up to the resistance line of this pattern, which at the moment continues to trades near. For this case, I think that Gold can rebound from the resistance line and drop to the support level, exiting from the pennant. Therefore I set my TP at 2595 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅GOLD fell again to retest the support of 2636$
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
We will see a bullish rebound and a move up
LONG🚀
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Gold's Potential Movememt in 2025Here is the detailed technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
1. Key Levels and Chart Structure
- Resistance Zones (red boxes): There is a significant resistance zone highlighted around $2,720–$2,740. This is an area where the price has previously struggled to break through, indicating strong selling pressure or profit-taking.
- Support Zones (green boxes): The key support levels are marked near $2,580–$2,600. This area has been tested multiple times in the past, showing buyers stepping in and defending this zone.
2. Chart Pattern
- Symmetrical Triangle: The white lines outline a symmetrical triangle pattern. This indicates consolidation and a potential breakout, either upwards or downwards, as the price nears the apex of the triangle. Triangles often lead to sharp price movements as traders anticipate a resolution.
3. Potential Scenarios
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (green path)
- If the price breaks above the resistance zone near $2,720, we could see a bullish rally.
- The price might retest the breakout level before heading higher towards $2,760–$2,800. This aligns with the continuation of the prevailing uptrend from earlier in the chart.
- A breakout above the symmetrical triangle would signal strong buying momentum, supported by increasing volume during the breakout.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (red path)
- If the price fails to hold the triangle's lower boundary and the key support zone near $2,580, a bearish breakdown is likely.
- This could lead to a sharp decline, targeting levels around $2,520 and potentially further towards $2,480.
- Such a move could be triggered by strong selling pressure or macroeconomic factors unfavorable to gold, such as a strengthening U.S. dollar or rising bond yields.
4. Volume Analysis
- The volume seems to be decreasing as the price moves within the triangle, which is typical for such consolidation patterns. A significant increase in volume during the breakout or breakdown would confirm the direction of the move.
5. Trading Implications
- For a bullish breakout, traders might consider entering long positions above $2,720 with stops below the triangle and targeting $2,760 or higher.
- For a bearish breakdown, short positions could be initiated below $2,580, with stops above the triangle and targets near $2,520 or lower.
- Risk management is essential, especially in volatile market conditions like this.
This analysis is based purely on the technical chart setup and does not account for any fundamental factors or news events that could influence gold prices. It would be wise to monitor any upcoming economic reports or geopolitical developments that might impact gold's movement.
GOLD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is about to retest
A horizontal support level
Of 2636$ while trading
In a local uptrend so
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
And a further move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
XAUUSD Short - Regular Price ActionStrong level, I expect some pullback. My thought is that the PMI data wont be negative while we're still in Bidens period.
The Golden Journey: Historic Milestones and a Glimpse into 2025Gold Price Analysis: A Historical Overview and Future Outlook
Gold has always played a crucial role as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty. Over the years, its price movements have been shaped by various global events. Let’s take a step-by-step look at the key historical moments and their implications for the future.
[ b]Historical Highlights:-
March 2008: Financial Crisis Escalation
Gold prices surpassed $1,000 per ounce for the first time, driven by the Global Financial Crisis.
Key Factors:
- The collapse of Bear Stearns fueled fears of systemic financial instability.
- Aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts weakened the U.S. dollar, increasing gold’s appeal.
Impact: Gold surged as a safe-haven asset during one of the most critical financial crises of the modern era.
October 2008: Global Financial Crisis Peak
Gold prices dropped to $681 per ounce initially due to forced liquidation but rebounded later, stabilizing around $730-$800 per ounce.
Key Factors:
- Forced selling to meet margin calls during the crisis.
- Central banks introduced aggressive interventions, including interest rate cuts, to stabilize the economy.
Impact: Despite short-term declines, gold regained its safe-haven status as market uncertainty persisted.
Profits and Losses of New York Stock Exchange Broker-Dealers 2000 to 2008:
Cost of the 2008 Financial Crisis :
August 2011: All-Time High Amid Global Economic Uncertainty
Gold reached a record high of $1,917 per ounce amid the U.S and Eurozone debt crisis and concerns about the U.S. economy.
Key Factors:
- Investors were concerned about the U.S. economy after the S&P downgrade of U.S. credit from AAA to AA+ earlier in August.
- The 2011 U.S. Debt Ceiling Crisis was one of a series of recurrent debates over increasing the total size of the U.S. national debt.
- Safe-haven demand surged as central banks maintained low interest rates.
Impact: This period underscored gold's reliability during global economic turmoil.
November 2015: Multi-Year Low
Gold prices dropped to $1,050 per ounce, the lowest since 2010.
Key Factors:
- Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike reduced gold’s appeal.
- Low inflation diminished its role as a hedge.
Impact: The decline highlighted gold’s sensitivity to monetary policy and inflation expectations.
August 2020: Record High During COVID-19
Gold hit an all-time high of $2,075 per ounce, driven by the global economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Key Factors:
- Massive monetary and fiscal stimulus from central banks and governments.
- Weak U.S. dollar and negative bond yields boosted demand.
Impact: Gold cemented its status as a hedge against both inflation and economic uncertainty.
September 2022: Aggressive Rate Hikes
Gold dropped to around $1,615 per ounce as the U.S. Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates to combat inflation.
Key Factors:
- Rising bond yields and a strong U.S. dollar reduced gold’s appeal.
- Geopolitical Uncertainty.
mpact: This period reflected the inverse relationship between gold and rising interest rates.
October 2024: Record Peak
Gold surged to a new all-time high of $2,790 per ounce due to heightened geopolitical tensions and monetary policy shifts.
Key Factors:
- Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
- Central banks’ easing policies and inflation fears supported the rally.
Impact: This continued gold’s bullish momentum, driven by its safe-haven demand.
Future Outlook for Gold in 2025
Key Expectations:
1. Bullish Momentum to Continue:
- Gold is likely to remain on an upward trajectory, potentially breaking the $3,000 per ounce barrier.
- Geopolitical uncertainty and inflation concerns will continue to drive demand.
2. Consolidation and Corrections:
- Gold may face short-term corrections, with support levels at $2,600-$2,500, before resuming its bullish trend.
3. Critical Drivers:
- Geopolitical Tensions: Persistent global conflicts will boost gold’s safe-haven appeal.
- Monetary Policy: Central bank decisions, especially from the Federal Reserve, will influence gold prices. A pause or reversal in rate hikes will support bullish momentum.
- Inflation Hedge: Rising inflation expectations will sustain demand for gold as a store of value.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance Levels: $2,800, $3,000, and beyond.
- Support Levels: $2,600, $2,500, and $2,300.
Summary:
Gold has consistently demonstrated its value as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. With its recent surge in October 2024 and the ongoing macroeconomic conditions, the outlook for 2025 suggests further bullish potential. However, investors should be prepared for short-term corrections before the continuation of its long-term upward trend.
Gold's remarkable performance over various timeframes highlights its strength:
- In 2024 alone, gold rose by 27.25%, marking a stellar annual performance.
- Over the past 5 years, gold has gained an impressive 79.25%, showcasing sustained upward momentum.
- Over the past 10 years, gold has soared by 121.00%, reflecting its resilience and importance as a long-term asset.
Disclaimer:
The insights and expectations shared in this analysis are based on my personal experience and deep understanding of the market. While these projections are grounded in my expertise, it is important to exercise caution and perform your own research before making any investment decisions. Remember, the market carries inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Gold Price Eyes 2653 Before Expected DeclineGold Technical Analysis
The price is approaching the resistance level at 2,653. A 4-hour candle closing above this level will confirm further bullish momentum, potentially pushing the price toward 2,665.
Alternatively, if the price stabilizes below 2,653, it is expected to decline to 2,636. A 1-hour candle closing below 2,636 will strengthen a bearish trend, targeting 2,623.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2640
Resistance Levels: 2653, 2665, 2678
Support Levels: 2636, 2623, 2603
Trend Outlook:
Bullish Trend: Above 2,653
Bearish Trend: Below 2,636
HelenP. I Gold will reach resistance level and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago price rebounded from the trend line and dropped to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level. Then price some time traded near this level and then tried to grow, but failed and continued to decline, breaking the 2640 level. Then it fell to the support level, and even a little below, after which some time traded and then broke the 2600 level and started to grow. Firstly Gold rose almost to resistance level, but then made small corrections and then continued to move up. Some time later price rose to the resistance zone and tried to rise to the resistance level, but failed and when it touched the trend line, the price dropped to the support level. After this movement, Gold rebounded and in a short time rose to the trend line and even broke it. At the moment, I expect that XAUUSD will rise to the resistance level and then start to decline to the support level, breaking the trend line again. For this case, I set my goal at 2600 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD - Price can little correct and then continue grow in wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price bounced from $2720 resistance level and tried to grow, but failed and started to decline inside wedge.
In wedge, price broke $2720 level and dropped to support line of wedge, breaking $2595 level as well.
After this, price made upward impulse to $2720 level, breaking $2595 support level again and then made correction.
Gold rose to resistance level again and then corrected to support level, where some time traded near.
Recently, price started to grow from support line of wedge and I think it can make correction movement.
Then Gold can turn around and continue to move up to $2690 resistance line of wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving in an UP trend channel and is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an Ascending channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance area, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
XAUUSD - Gold reached its previous day's target!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term bullish channel. The correction of the price of gold towards the demand zones will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward.
In the early days of 2025, gold prices surged by over $40, regaining some of the losses from December and once again capturing investors’ attention. Although December’s decline in gold prices was not significant, it was disappointing for many investors—especially considering the positive news at the start of December 2024 that the Chinese central bank had resumed its gold purchases after a months-long pause.
Several key factors are currently shaping the outlook for the gold market. First, the release of China’s economic data on January 7 is expected to play a crucial role in influencing the market. Second, the weak start to 2025 for Chinese equities and domestic investors’ disappointment with the lack of tangible economic stimuli, particularly in the consumer sector, have acted as supportive factors for gold.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s interest rates and the strength of the US dollar remain important elements to watch. While US bond yields dipped slightly today, the dollar remains strong. For gold to replicate its impressive 2024 performance, a reversal in the dollar’s upward trajectory will be essential.
Gold had a very strong performance in 2024, but it now appears to be entering a phase of range-bound movement for a period. Historically, gold has exhibited back-and-forth fluctuations, and with US interest rates continuing to rise, this trend could work against it. Analysts estimate that the $2,500 level could serve as a price floor in the first quarter of 2025. Any price dips are likely to attract buying pressure, though a significant upward breakout is not expected. A key factor that could support gold would be a decline in the 10-year US Treasury yield.
For instance, if the 10-year yield drops below 4%, it could trigger a significant rise in gold prices. However, there is little interest in selling gold under current conditions.It is predicted that gold’s behavior in 2025 will resemble its performance in 2021, where buyers were present but no substantial upward movement occurred.
Should gold break above the $2,800 level, this could trigger major changes and push prices toward the $3,000 mark. It would not be surprising if this happens at some point during 2025. However, the first few months of the year are expected to favor range-bound price movements.
!!! GOLD !!! - Next stop 2707 ?Hi,
We have a similarity here.
If this run is 4.35% the target is 2707
This is just an idea!
Be careful!
XAUUSD: Gold in 2025!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term ascending channel. In case of a valid break of the resistance range, we can witness the continuation of the rise of gold and see the supply zone. Correction of gold and pullback to the broken channel will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward.
According to a recent report by UBS, the price of gold is expected to reach $2,900 per ounce by the end of 2025. UBS highlights that one of the main drivers of this price increase is the continued demand for gold by central banks. These institutions are motivated by a desire to reduce reliance on the dollar and diversify their reserves, and they are expected to maintain their purchasing momentum in 2025, supporting high gold prices.
In addition, investor demand for gold as a safeguard against geopolitical and policy-related uncertainties will also play a critical role in sustaining elevated prices. UBS points to ongoing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine conflict, tensions in the Middle East, and uncertainty surrounding U.S. fiscal and trade policies under President Donald Trump as factors that could boost investment in gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Furthermore, declining interest rates and a weakening U.S. dollar are other key factors contributing to gold’s rise. UBS anticipates that interest rates will continue to drop and that a weaker dollar will drive higher demand for gold.
Beyond gold, UBS also highlights opportunities in copper and other energy-transition metals. The bank identifies global investments in electricity generation, energy storage, and electric transportation as long-term drivers of demand for these metals.
Meanwhile, according to surveys conducted by the Financial Times, Trump’s economic policies, known as “Maganomics,” could pose risks to economic growth. The findings suggest that many economists believe Trump’s protectionist measures might overshadow the benefits of his other policies.
More than half of the 220 economists surveyed across the U.S., UK, and Eurozone believe Trump’s policies could lead to higher inflation and force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more cautious stance on cutting interest rates. However, most analysts, including those from the IMF, OECD, and European Commission, forecast that U.S. economic growth in 2025 will outpace that of Europe.
