Waiting for the pullbackMorning folks,
So, upside target of 52.2$ is reached. Now price stands at strong resistance area, including monthly major 5/8 level, Yearly Pivot Resistance 1 and upside weekly XOP target. Additionally we see that daily butterfly has been completed and market is overbought here.
Although we do not exclude some wobbling in 52-55K area, so 1.618 butterfly target also could be reached, in nearest time we will be watching for natural downside reaction on strong support area.
Now we do not consider any new longs positions. For intraday short positions it seems too early as well, as market has not started yet any reaction on this level
Daily Charts
SasanSeifi 💁♂🟡GOLD Long-Term OutlookXAUUSD As you can see, after an uptrend and a new high, the price faced a correction from the 2146 range due to the liquidation of buyers. After the correction, the price rebounded slightly from the 1973 range but failed to stabilize above the 2081 liquidity range and saw another range and correction. Currently, the trend is stuck in a range.
In the long-term view, I expect the price to continue to correct to the SELL-SIDE LIQUIDITY 1985 / 1973 range after ranging and consolidating below the 2000 range. In case of correction, we need to see how the price reacts to better understand the continuation of the trend. Additionally, if it faces demand and can consolidate above the important 2075 range, the corrective scenario will be invalidated.
In the long term, the target correction ranges are 1950 / 1933, but currently, we are moving forward with the step-by-step chart.
🔵Remember, always conduct your analysis and consider other factors before making any trading decisions. Good luck!"✌️
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The macd on btcusd.With the explosion of the rise that broke the old highs relating to the intermediate period, the price proves to have reliable bullish strength. The Macd highlights that with this crossing, between the signal line and its moving average above the zero line, the short-term correction could be over, therefore a resumption of the upward path again in the intermediate period. I remember that this macd is configured for an intermediate period therefore from 3 months upwards, which is why it is slower to give the signal, but excludes false signals.
Tactical pause is necessaryMorning folks,
So, 47.2K target is also completed. The next one is 50.50-52K, which is a big monthly cluster, including upside weekly XOP target, our XOP here, from reverse H&S target that we're trading now (it stands around 50.50K), Yearly Pivot Resistance 1.
But for now it seems market needs some tactical pause. Now major 5/8 monthly Fib resistance is hit, and price is overbought on daily chart. Thus, appearing of small 1H H&S pattern could trigger tactical natural pullback before market will proceed to the next target
It Only Took 8 Years. Is GBPJPY Ready For A Higher High?After a strong reversal and a confirmation of a higher low at the end of last week, EASYMARKETS:GBPJPY made its way back to its key resistance area, at around 188.90. This barrier continues to provide strong resistance from the end of November 2023. Also, back in November 2015, the pair struggled to overcome that hurdle, resulting in a prolonged sell-off. It only took 8 years to get back to that area again. Although there is an indication that more upside could follow, we prefer to wait for a breakout first. Additionally, this week we get the British unemployment numbers, together with the CPIs, preliminary GDP and retail sales figures. This data could create more volatility for GBP.
If EASYMARKETS:GBPJPY ends up pushing strongly above the 188.90 territory, this will confirm a forthcoming higher high, possibly clearing the way to some higher areas. We will then target the 192.00 zone, which is near the inside swing low of August 7th, 2015. However, if that area is no match for the bulls, our next target could be somewhere near the 196.00 level. This is near the highest point of 2015.
Alternatively, to consider lower zones again, a break below the 186.16 hurdle would be required. Recently, it acted as a strong support, meaning that its break may attract a few more bears into the field. We will then target the next potential support area, roughly between the 182.20 and 182.76 levels, which mark the inside swing high of December 27th and the low of January 9th respectively. If EASYMARKETS:GBPJPY continues to slide, our next aim is the 178.60 hurdle, which is near the current lowest point of this year.
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10 daily outlooks. D1Will analyse markets and possible entries every day for 10 days. Send your pairs or questions
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☝️ALL videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion.
USDCAD - SEEMS A GREAT TIME!after a long time of overthinking things about trading patterns, reading the news of world, using multiple patterns in different times of the chart etc...i have literally just looked at the charts as simple as i could...in all honesty a simple trendline, support and resistance with common sense is all you really need...sure as we all know investments are a risk...just don't complicate things and just react to hit the trigger...the reality is it's going up or down! just with the simple outlook on a chart you'll feel so much less stressed and let the time do it's thing. i'm no professional expert at wall street or a multi millionaire but what i do have is common sense. just use it with your basic knowledge and with patience you can reap what you sow.
thank you for reading, i wish everyone the best trading! :D
GBPUSD SELL IDEAFX:GBPUSD
The weekly, daily and 4h are overall bearish, with price having retraced to the Daily key resistance area in confluence with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. entry is based on the 1h bearish engulfing candlestick at daily resistance and also a break of bullish countertrend, retest and bearish engulfing candlestick structure on the 15 min and 30 min timeframes
47.22$Morning folks,
Sorry for a bit messy chart, just try to put everything necessary here. So, our minimum target is mostly done - 45K area. Next one is 47.22K - H&S major target.
But, since the 45K area is moderate resistance level, it is normal to expect tactical down reaction on it, somewhere to 44K area at least. Before upside action will continue
Up right now?Morning folks,
So, today we take a look at daily chart finally. Last time we've discussed upside bounce that should become the right arm of H&S pattern on 1H chart. Indeed, upside bounce has happened, and it seems that it has become the arm of H&S, but there are few nuances...
H&S on 1H chart stands too distorted and skewed to the upside. And we do not want to rely on it. Recent price performance also doesn't match to idea of bearish pattern.
On daily chart we've got tweezer bottom and obvious pennant pattern under 3/8 resistance - two bullish signs. So, we do not exclude that upside action could continue. We keep our nearest target at the same 45K area. So, it seems that our reverse H&S pattern, that we're considering for last 2 weeks - might be in action already
EURJPY BUY IDEAFX:EURJPY
The weekly, daily are overall bullish; On the 1h price managed to break its bearish structure at the daily low pushing up and breaking above the 1h key support/resistance level and price making a retest as support the 1h key support/resistance area/zone. Entry is based on the 1h bullish engulfing candlestick at the 1h key support/resistance area/zone
Some practical issuesMorning folks,
This post should be considered as practical add-on to our major upside scenario. Now we consider reverse H&S pattern on 4H chart. Market has reshaped it a bit, so we haven't got desirable retracement yet (i.e. right arm is not formed yet).
But, it could be soon. On 1H chart you could see potential downside H&S. BUt the problem is - the 4H arm should be (or could be) around 41.5K, while the target of 1H pattern suggests lower levels.
At the same time, you could see that on 41.5K we have very strong support area - this is downside XOP (1.618 AB-CD target) and K-support area.
That's why we consider this area as suitable for long entry. If even later market will form 1H HS& and keep going lower - at first touch we should get the bounce with high degree of probability. Because right arm here has to be formed as well. This makes attempt to go long here relatively safe and with ability to place very tight stop.
Everything will be even better if BTC starts upward action right from here...
EURUSD Short Trade 24-01-29: Trade Signal EURUSD Short Trade
24-01-29
*Trade Price Levels*
1. Risk Entry (Pending Order)
Pending Order Price : 1.08700
Stop Loss Price : 1.09100
Take Profit : 1.08100
Risk to Reward Potential
-1 units of risk for 1.5 units of gain
-Note: Needs a win rate or 41% or above to be a profitable trader
-Will Track Feb Signal Win Rate
A. Will track risk entry win rate and confirmation entry model win rate
B. Based on data that will determine risk profile for Prop Firm Funding (More Aggressive Risk Profile)
Cons For Trade
A. Price is in the discount of the swing range
(should sell from premium and long from discount)
B. Price could use the demand zone from the daily to drive (hawkish) Price through zone above making higher highs and lower lows
C. Price broke key price level of 1.0800 (more neutral)
Pros
A. Double zone supply zone coverage with stop loss being big enough to let the trade breathe a bit
B. The first Mitigation of a zone often fails leading to price moving up and then going deeping (bearish) towards the strong swing structure below
C. The overall trend is more bearish than bullish
Fundamental Drivers
A. Price Broke 7 week low of 1.0800
B. Central Bank rates remained unchanged
C. President Lagarde is more dovish than hawkish
Short term correction on btcusd.Does the macd indicate weakness of the short-term correction, is the decline over? A rise now could also bring the price above 49k USD, but tomorrow's FED meeting will affect the direction of the price in the short term, so we have to wait to understand just how many cuts they will make on interest rates this year. Once this event has passed, I hypothesize a resumption of the upward trend in the price in the coming weeks, barring sensational events that could change the ongoing scenarios. This is not in question for now.
First is done. Here is the 2nd oneMorning folks,
So, our 3-Drive and H&S pattern that we've discussed have completed. But, as we consider 45K level as major target for this trading setup - we expect continuation.
Meantime, market hits 42.6K target and 3/8 Fib resistance on daily chart. It needs some tactical pullback. We suggest that 41-41.2K support is the most probable area.
Then, if everything remains the same, upside action should continue with larger scale H&S pattern on 4H chart. But, the pullback is our first step.
I mark setup as bearish, but only because of expected pullback. In general we have bullish view in short-term.
24-01-26 EURUSD Long Entry - Trade Management 24-01-26
EURUSD Long Entry
Trade Management Price Levels
A. Move Stop loss to a take profit support level on a lower time frame
Price: 1.08450
Locked In Risk to reward:
+ 0.25 % Going to the weekend
* Left a bit of breathing room for spreads for sunday opening and to cover my risk if any large news happens this weekend *
Signal Price Info
Entry Price: 1.08350
Stop Loss Price : 1.07950/ 40 Pips
Take Profit: 1.08950/ 60 Pips
Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5
Trade Grade: A-