Daily Charts
Interesting point to considerGreetings everybody,
BTC picture remains tricky. Fundamentally, we do not see any reasons for BTC rally and keep untouched OP target that we are discussing in lat two weeks.
Still, since market is forming symmetrical round bottom on 1H chart, it seems it stands now in perfect position for long entry where risk/reward ratio is maximal. It doesn't guarantee success, but, gives chance to get minimal possible loss.
Because if it goes up - it should go right from here. Otherwise it collapses. So, if you have reasons to buy - you could consider current area
For confirmation of bullish changes market has to move above 30.4K level and form bullish reversal swing.
NASDAQ BULLISH MARKET ANALYSIS ON 4HRHere's is my quick breakdown on NAS100 using the daily and 4HR timeframe to idetnify high probable area to enter a buy trade to continue with the trend (market structure)..
LET ME KNOW WHAT YOU THINK AND DROP YOUR COMMENTS BELOW!!!!
*ALWAY REMEMBERS; ITS PROGRESS OVER PERFECTION!!!***
Gold D Sell Idea 7/29/23Gold D has formed a M. Friday was the retest of the neckline for that M. There has also been a bearish break and retest of a W trendline on the daily.
The 4H has hit 50% of the FVG (fair value gap) that was created and started to drop. The W trendline has not been closed above on the 4H time frame.
The 1H has created an evening star at the 4H FVG, also having a bearish break and retest on the W trendline.
Looking for price to continue bearish possible to the D Zone created 7/6/23 around 1911.00. At the least price should fall to Fridays low around 1945.53, a good 137+ pips from where price closed on Friday.
USD/CAD Bearish setup is coming!On this pair, we have a bullish setup on the daily chart with a double impulse trendline. Currently, the price seems to be closing below a very important resistance level at 1.3380. If the market closes below this level, we could expect a downtrend towards the 1.3240 level, where we have a valid trendline with a higher timeframe FVG (Fractal Volume Gap) confirmation in the H1 chart. This would validate the bullish trendline. Additionally, if the M15 chart confirms the setup, I will aim for a long trade with an entry at the FVG zone and a target at the previous high around 1.3650. Let me know what you think. Happy trading to all from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
Same scenarioMorning folks,
Situation has not changed. Additionally we've got few new bearish grabbers on daily chart. That's why, we do not see any reasons to change our trading plan and still watching for 28-28.3K target area. Now we do not consider any longs, let's see what will happen when (&if) our target will be reached.
EURNZD SELL OPPORTUNITY Hey traders,
We have a nice opportunity to sell this pair
Let's see those reasons
Daily chart
Daily candle did not close above resistance
Hourly Chart
Before touching the resistance zone market made a small consolidate area,
And that touch would be the rejection
We have multiple targets
Trade safely with money management
Be happy
If you agree with our idea,
Please leave a <> to encourage us
USDCAD sell opportunity Hey Traders
We have a trading opportunity here, Let's see those reasons,,,,
Daily chart
Daily candle did not close above the resistance area and forming a nice rejection
Hourly chart
Market formed a Double Top pattern and retesting resistance area
We have multiple targets
Trade safely with money management
Be happy
If you agree with our analysis
Please leave a <> to encourage us
28.1KMorning folks,
So, our 28.5K Butterfly target was perfectly completed. Then market has shown reaction on the US downgrading from Fitch Agency. But this reaction was very short-term. As a result, we've got bearish grabber on daily chart, suggesting that our 28.1K target is still valid.
Besides, US yields are rising, which makes additional pressure on BTC. Thus, we do not consider any new long positions for now and watching for 28.1K target (at least).
USDJPY I Daily forecast and execution planWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
XAUUSD Gold daily breakdownLooking at the daily timeframe after Fridays bullish closure hints at price wanting to continue up after creating a new support in the AOI marked in red
The only issue is that the daily candle has no bottom wick so I would anticipate a liquidity grab of this area before we can see price continue.
This morning saw a liquidity grab on the 1950 level which was to be expected as it broke the recent lows, so any move up from here would see price test 1960-1962 where I would wait for confirmation for sells back down.
Keep the same scenarioMorning folks,
So, based on BTC performance we do not see any reasons to change our view and we still keep the scenario with 28-28.5K target. BTC absolutely doesn't support main market stream, based on recent "positive" statistics of GDP, PCE, CPI etc.
This is indirect sign of weakness. Here, on the chart we put the butterfly, but actually this is just one of the possible market shapes. The major thing is our OP target around 28.1 on 4H chart.
XAUUSD Daily breakdownPost FOMC and unemployment claims has finally given us the high volatility we've been waiting for. We saw price test 1980 before falling 40$ and closing below 1954 which was a strong level of resistance.
As far as the daily timeframe is concerned, we are in an area of indecision which means we could reject any support or resistance here at any level and just range like we did on the 24th May until the 20th June.
Alternatively, the market picks a direction and pushes straight through. What will be the catalyst for it? Well, We have PCE tomorrow (what people call the FED's favourite inflation indicator) and NFP next week. This is the perfect set-up for a push down.
Why down? Main reason is the weekly candle has flipped from being strong bullish to bearish. That is significant for price action, and all it takes from here is another $30 drop in price on Friday and Monday for the monthly candle to close bearish after testing the 1980 level, which for me would be the most obvious indicator that we will be visiting the low 1800's.
Thursday 27th was a great day for trading with 3 trades based on levels posted, and it was all from being patient.
As always, be patient, wait for the market to tell you what it is most likely to do next, and then act.
Feel free to request any charts in the comments below and let me know what you think!
Fed reaction is weakMorning folks,
So, first dive has happened. While all other markets - FX, Gold, Stocks show positive reaction on Fed statement - BTC can't support the major trend. This is indirect sign of weakness. Now price mostly is supported by 4H K-support area that you could see in our previous update.
We do not see any reasons to take off the table our 28-28.5K target by far. To change the view we need stronger bullish context, reversal patterns that we do not have now.
Thus, let's see what will happen around 29.8K resistance area. Supposedly it might be interesting for another short entry. In a case of upside breakout, most probable destination point is 30.3K and context could start changing...
XAUUSD Daily updateWell, our analysis 24 hours ago was spot on with price action replicating what we had said regarding a dip down before a test on the 1970 level, with a high probability of price continuing to 1980 if we can close above the 1970 level.
This was an important level because its prior support and resistance being retested after a leg down, a bottom wick had been created for the 4h candle which was the liquidity grab needed.
From here we can expect price to close bullish on the weekly timeframe, however we still have 2 trading days left so lets see how tomorrows candle closes now that FOMC is out of the way.
NZD/USD short on daily chart
SL = 0,65226
ENTRY = 0,62976
TP1= 0,60726
Two positions with the same stop loss and x1 target for the first position
The stop loss of the second position to breakeven when the first position hits the target1.
The second position has no target, only exit
Risk= 2% of account capital (1% each position
XAUUSD Gold daily analysisVery interesting day when it comes to price action. We saw price close below the resistance yesterday and into the area of indecision, however today we not only broke yesterdays low but closed back above the range and above yesterdays open.
Why is this significant? Simple answer: It isn't. Yet.
I say this because we have FOMC rate announcement tomorrow. Of course, the market has priced in a 0.25 bps hike, however that will still be enough of an announcement to provide volatility to allow price to pick it's next move. Now that we have grabbed liquidity (and created a bottom wick for the daily candle from Tuesday 18th July last week) I would expect the next leg up to begin.
With that being said, I will not be taking any long term trades ahead of the announcement tomorrow. It is always risky and no matter what happens in the first hour, there will be more moves to come.
AUDJPY LONG PROJECTIONAUDJPY on daily showing strong bullish momentum with EMA's crossed over confirming buyers coming into the market with a resistance turned into support broken as well as the trendline. On our H4 execution timeframe we are seeing a pullback to the broken daily trendline and H4 support zone which will set us up for long positions once the trendline and support have been retested and rejected.
Just waitingMorning folks,
Situation is changing slowly here. Recent news of re-filling of big whales ETF registration with the SEC mostly have been ignored, as we do not see any inspiring action here. It means that overall technical picture has not changed too much.
Our major bearish patterns are still in place - daily bearish engulfing, weekly bearish grabber. Markets looks heavy by far and shows inability to break through resistance. This makes us keep our trading plan and consider scenario with downside AB-CD, somewhere to 28-28.5K area. Later we could say this with more precision.
By this reason we do not consider long positions now.
XAUUSD Daily breakdownLooking at the daily timeframe, we can see after the prior weeks push to the 1980's, price rejected this level many times before and bounced within the range of 1980-1939, this would be the most likely level where we can see price continue to on the daily timeframe should a bearish trajectory continue.