USD/CAD Bearish setup is coming!On this pair, we have a bullish setup on the daily chart with a double impulse trendline. Currently, the price seems to be closing below a very important resistance level at 1.3380. If the market closes below this level, we could expect a downtrend towards the 1.3240 level, where we have a valid trendline with a higher timeframe FVG (Fractal Volume Gap) confirmation in the H1 chart. This would validate the bullish trendline. Additionally, if the M15 chart confirms the setup, I will aim for a long trade with an entry at the FVG zone and a target at the previous high around 1.3650. Let me know what you think. Happy trading to all from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
Daily Charts
Same scenarioMorning folks,
Situation has not changed. Additionally we've got few new bearish grabbers on daily chart. That's why, we do not see any reasons to change our trading plan and still watching for 28-28.3K target area. Now we do not consider any longs, let's see what will happen when (&if) our target will be reached.
EURNZD SELL OPPORTUNITY Hey traders,
We have a nice opportunity to sell this pair
Let's see those reasons
Daily chart
Daily candle did not close above resistance
Hourly Chart
Before touching the resistance zone market made a small consolidate area,
And that touch would be the rejection
We have multiple targets
Trade safely with money management
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USDCAD sell opportunity Hey Traders
We have a trading opportunity here, Let's see those reasons,,,,
Daily chart
Daily candle did not close above the resistance area and forming a nice rejection
Hourly chart
Market formed a Double Top pattern and retesting resistance area
We have multiple targets
Trade safely with money management
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28.1KMorning folks,
So, our 28.5K Butterfly target was perfectly completed. Then market has shown reaction on the US downgrading from Fitch Agency. But this reaction was very short-term. As a result, we've got bearish grabber on daily chart, suggesting that our 28.1K target is still valid.
Besides, US yields are rising, which makes additional pressure on BTC. Thus, we do not consider any new long positions for now and watching for 28.1K target (at least).
USDJPY I Daily forecast and execution planWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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XAUUSD Gold daily breakdownLooking at the daily timeframe after Fridays bullish closure hints at price wanting to continue up after creating a new support in the AOI marked in red
The only issue is that the daily candle has no bottom wick so I would anticipate a liquidity grab of this area before we can see price continue.
This morning saw a liquidity grab on the 1950 level which was to be expected as it broke the recent lows, so any move up from here would see price test 1960-1962 where I would wait for confirmation for sells back down.
Keep the same scenarioMorning folks,
So, based on BTC performance we do not see any reasons to change our view and we still keep the scenario with 28-28.5K target. BTC absolutely doesn't support main market stream, based on recent "positive" statistics of GDP, PCE, CPI etc.
This is indirect sign of weakness. Here, on the chart we put the butterfly, but actually this is just one of the possible market shapes. The major thing is our OP target around 28.1 on 4H chart.
XAUUSD Daily breakdownPost FOMC and unemployment claims has finally given us the high volatility we've been waiting for. We saw price test 1980 before falling 40$ and closing below 1954 which was a strong level of resistance.
As far as the daily timeframe is concerned, we are in an area of indecision which means we could reject any support or resistance here at any level and just range like we did on the 24th May until the 20th June.
Alternatively, the market picks a direction and pushes straight through. What will be the catalyst for it? Well, We have PCE tomorrow (what people call the FED's favourite inflation indicator) and NFP next week. This is the perfect set-up for a push down.
Why down? Main reason is the weekly candle has flipped from being strong bullish to bearish. That is significant for price action, and all it takes from here is another $30 drop in price on Friday and Monday for the monthly candle to close bearish after testing the 1980 level, which for me would be the most obvious indicator that we will be visiting the low 1800's.
Thursday 27th was a great day for trading with 3 trades based on levels posted, and it was all from being patient.
As always, be patient, wait for the market to tell you what it is most likely to do next, and then act.
Feel free to request any charts in the comments below and let me know what you think!
Fed reaction is weakMorning folks,
So, first dive has happened. While all other markets - FX, Gold, Stocks show positive reaction on Fed statement - BTC can't support the major trend. This is indirect sign of weakness. Now price mostly is supported by 4H K-support area that you could see in our previous update.
We do not see any reasons to take off the table our 28-28.5K target by far. To change the view we need stronger bullish context, reversal patterns that we do not have now.
Thus, let's see what will happen around 29.8K resistance area. Supposedly it might be interesting for another short entry. In a case of upside breakout, most probable destination point is 30.3K and context could start changing...
XAUUSD Daily updateWell, our analysis 24 hours ago was spot on with price action replicating what we had said regarding a dip down before a test on the 1970 level, with a high probability of price continuing to 1980 if we can close above the 1970 level.
This was an important level because its prior support and resistance being retested after a leg down, a bottom wick had been created for the 4h candle which was the liquidity grab needed.
From here we can expect price to close bullish on the weekly timeframe, however we still have 2 trading days left so lets see how tomorrows candle closes now that FOMC is out of the way.
NZD/USD short on daily chart
SL = 0,65226
ENTRY = 0,62976
TP1= 0,60726
Two positions with the same stop loss and x1 target for the first position
The stop loss of the second position to breakeven when the first position hits the target1.
The second position has no target, only exit
Risk= 2% of account capital (1% each position
XAUUSD Gold daily analysisVery interesting day when it comes to price action. We saw price close below the resistance yesterday and into the area of indecision, however today we not only broke yesterdays low but closed back above the range and above yesterdays open.
Why is this significant? Simple answer: It isn't. Yet.
I say this because we have FOMC rate announcement tomorrow. Of course, the market has priced in a 0.25 bps hike, however that will still be enough of an announcement to provide volatility to allow price to pick it's next move. Now that we have grabbed liquidity (and created a bottom wick for the daily candle from Tuesday 18th July last week) I would expect the next leg up to begin.
With that being said, I will not be taking any long term trades ahead of the announcement tomorrow. It is always risky and no matter what happens in the first hour, there will be more moves to come.
AUDJPY LONG PROJECTIONAUDJPY on daily showing strong bullish momentum with EMA's crossed over confirming buyers coming into the market with a resistance turned into support broken as well as the trendline. On our H4 execution timeframe we are seeing a pullback to the broken daily trendline and H4 support zone which will set us up for long positions once the trendline and support have been retested and rejected.
Just waitingMorning folks,
Situation is changing slowly here. Recent news of re-filling of big whales ETF registration with the SEC mostly have been ignored, as we do not see any inspiring action here. It means that overall technical picture has not changed too much.
Our major bearish patterns are still in place - daily bearish engulfing, weekly bearish grabber. Markets looks heavy by far and shows inability to break through resistance. This makes us keep our trading plan and consider scenario with downside AB-CD, somewhere to 28-28.5K area. Later we could say this with more precision.
By this reason we do not consider long positions now.
XAUUSD Daily breakdownLooking at the daily timeframe, we can see after the prior weeks push to the 1980's, price rejected this level many times before and bounced within the range of 1980-1939, this would be the most likely level where we can see price continue to on the daily timeframe should a bearish trajectory continue.
SasanSeifi 💁♂️GOLD 👉1D🔻 1913 / 1896 🟡Hey there, buddy!
So, let's talk about what's been happening in the daily timeframe. Since early March, we've seen the price facing some buying pressure around the 1809 support level. It managed to break through the important resistance level at 1892 and even the price structure, which led to a nice little rally. It reached a fresh high around 2081, which was pretty exciting!
But, The price has been going through a correction phase for about a month, bouncing between the price range of 1984 and 1935. Now, here's a possible scenario to consider: if the price drops below the 1935 support level and holds steady there, there's a good chance we might see further correction toward the support levels at 1913 and 1890. We'll have to keep an eye on how the price reacts to those levels to get a better sense of the next move.
Now, if things go as planned, we could see some positive price action and a nice upward trend coming from those support levels. But if the price manages to hold above the 1935 support level, we might be looking at a range-bound trend with some partial positive swings.
Oh, and don't forget the important resistance levels in the daily timeframe, which are around 1965 and 1984.
Just keep these scenarios in mind as you analyze the market. Remember, things can always change unexpectedly, so stay flexible in your trading approach.
Wishing you loads of success in your trading adventures, my friend!
❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!
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Downside scenario is still validMorning folks,
I've prepared but forgot to place update yesterday... So, as we've mentioned in recent two weeks, BTC seems has not enough power to proceed upward action immediately. Recent reactions, and inability to join other markets with CPI rally tells, that downside pullback scenario still stands on the table.
Last time we've discussed perfect engulfing pattern on daily chart, and possible downside AB-CD, based on it. Target is the same around 28-28.5K area which is the support on 4H chart.
Now, on 1H chart we see that upside bounce, based on H&S is over (yesterday it was still in progress), and we consider 2nd leg of extension down.
Theoretical chances exist that BTC could try to touch 5/8 resistance first, showing more extended upside bounce, before downside leg starts, but right now we do not see sighs of it, because H&S is done. If even this will happen, I mean 5/8 bounce, it doesn't change the core of scenario with large AB-CD downside pattern, but, just will change slightly the starting point.
USDJPY I Time for a shift🧐Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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SasanSeifi 💁♂️ADA/USDT👉1D 0.32 / 0.34 Hey there!✌
◼In the daily timeframe, as you can see, the price is still moving between the range of 0.26 and 0.30 and remains within a consolidation phase. The scenario to consider in the daily timeframe is as follows: after the price range, if the price establishes itself above the resistance level, there is a potential for further price growth towards the supply zone at 0.32 and the resistance level at 0.35, potentially forming a new high above the previous high of 0.30.💹
For a positive trend in the medium term, it is crucial to observe the price's ability to sustain above the resistance level at 0.30. Otherwise, if the price fails to sustain and confirms lower in lower timeframes, we may once again face a correction towards the support zone at 0.26 and 0.25. In the case of a correction, for a better understanding of the continuation of the price movement, it is important to see how the price reacts to the support levels.💹
🔹Just keep these scenarios in mind as you analyze the market. Remember, things can always change unexpectedly, so stay flexible in your trading approach.
🔹Wishing you loads of success in your trading adventures, my friend!✌
❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️
🔶Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!
And if you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you! 🙌