EURCAD I Potential buy from weekly structure Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**EURCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
Daily Charts
CHFJPY I It will fall from resistance Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
AMD DangerIn the coming days the SPY could drag AMD down to it's previous Oct 2022 lows. Watching the $64 area closely for support. Also, watching the $67 area, as well as the 65.15 area for resistance.
I will be going short once $64 is broken convincingly, I would like to see $63.50 broken before taking a position.
17040-17080 as a best caseMorning everybody,
So, we could see across the board that markets are going against the dollar, at least in short-term. While Dollar Index shows signs of weakness. We do not suggest that this lasts for too long, but still, this action is not over yet, and our analysis as of EUR as of Gold market also suggests further upside continuation.
Meantime, BTC has no participation with this move. It shows how weak and heavy it is. That's why we're skeptic a bit concerning its performance and suggest that forming of upside AB-CD pattern with the target that agrees with 17040-17080 Confluence resistance area will be the best case.
Besides, if it happens, we get "222" Sell around strong support and could consider it for short entry. Our mid/long term view on BTC remains bearish.
On 4th of January we get FOMC minutes publication that could bring some disclosure as J.Powell was relatively hawkish on his recent speech.
16.27 daily lows will be brokenMorning everybody,
So, market is so weak that was not able to show even minor 0.618 AB-CD action back to 17-17.10K resistance area that we've discussed last time. Now we're getting more and more bearish signs on FX market, DXY. Thus, it seems that BTC will take out daily 16.27K lows very soon.
Despite that we have here "222" Buy pattern - we do not consider any long position, but use any upside bounce for short entry instead.
BTC 17050-17080 Morning everybody and Merry Christmas,
So, holidays intrude a bit to BTC performance as well, delaying pattern's appearing that we've discussed last time. When activity returns, BTC could keep going to 17.35-17.4K target and area of the right arm's top of our 4H H&S pattern.
But, at the same time, we think that bulls have to worry about 17045-17080 area, which is a strong resistance of Fib levels K-area and COP (0.618 extension) target. Potentially BTC could turn down earlier. Besides, if it happens, we will get daily bearish grabber pattern that suggests even deeper action.
Daily review of BTC interval 4HHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving below the local downtrend line.
Let's start with setting the support line and as you can see the first support that currently defended the price is $16585 at 0.718 FIB, if the support is broken then the next support is $16457 and $16080.
Now let's go from the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $16752, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $16871, $16964 and $17058.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that in the 4-hour interval, energy was used for a sudden correction, but some was left for the next move. The MACD indicates the entry into a local downtrend, while the RSI rebounded, but there is room for a deeper correction.
17.40-17.5KMorning folks,
Everything were going with our trading plan, but unexpected collapse on Japanese Bonds market and BoJ rate action to 0.5% has changed normal price behavior. Still, we treat it as temporal intruding, and soon effect of this event should fade.
Thus, current action we treat as a chance to Sell at better price. Particularly speaking, 17.40-17.50K area seems attractive, if BTC completes upside AB-CD and we get "222" Sell" pattern. By the way, this also will form the top of H&S right arm, that we've discussed last time.
Despite our view, we do not intend to take the long position, although it is not forbidden. Our primary target is to get good short entry point.
Daily review of BTC interval 4HHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on the four hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving below the uptrend line.
As we can see the previous support at $16583 is still price support, the next support is at $16098 and $15471 at the previous low.
Now let's move on to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $17066, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $17325 and $17571 at 0.61Fib.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that in the four-hour interval, most of the energy has been used, the MACD indicates a local uptrend, while the RSI we could see that despite the price went lower in the first correction, the RSI did not see a deeper low, which is often a sign of a trend change.
GBPUSD Short PotentialHuge R to be gained potentially. We are in the middle of a bearish retracement on daily, with bearish price structure printed on intraday timeframes. Bouncing off from supply zone, and should hopefully break out of this range. I think this could be the time.
TRADING IDEA --- NOT AN INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
ATOMEUR 'D' - Sat on Support? Or a Drop Incoming?Crypto Tipster v2 sent us a Sell signal on Atom / Eur on the daily chart, and it has proved itself to be quite a reliable indicator with Atom recently! Should we follow this signal? The current price does seem to be sat on nice little ledge of support, but if this was to break down the next support isn't until after a near 30% drop - that could prove to be quite a trade! Keep your stops tight on this one if you do decide to trade, and aim for at least a 20% drop.
17.15-17.25K for short entryMorning folks,
So, downside action was even sharper than we thought, BTC collapsed without any H&S shape. Now it stands at local support area. We do not consider any long positions by far. For short entry 17.15-17.25 K-resistance area (and former trend line) looks interesting.
Alternatively, if, still, it will be the H&S of a bit larger scale, BTC could climb to 17.40-17.45K to form the right arm, but it doesn't break the context. So, whatever scenario you will choose and if you want to sell - it would be better to place initial stop above 17.5K for some case, or even slightly higher...
EURCAD Update I What to Expect This Week!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**EURCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
EURUSD TO 1.0750! (Longs)Nice little swing trade on EU here. Could take some time, may not. SL highlighted just under the boxed zone, TP at the base of the highlighted box above. Higher lows consistently being made, and this is based on H4 higher low + bullish retracement on daily before another continuation of bearish cycle.
EU SLs are around 1.0200 zone.
TRADING IDEA --- NOT AN INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!
Daily review of BTC interval 4HHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price has fallen below the local uptrend line.
Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first strong support is at $17199, if the support is broken then the next support is $17044 and $16924.
Now let's go from the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $17702, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $17919, $18097 and $18276.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that in the 4-hour interval, the energy begins to gain strength, the MACD indicator confirms the local downtrend, while the RSI shows a rebound, but we are still around the middle of the range, which may indicate a continuation of the correction.
17.9K seems interesting for short entryGood morning,
So, the bullish "Wild card" discussed last time has worked and BTC has completed 17.8-18.2K targets that we've discussed. Does it change something? No. Overall context remains bearish. Recent Fed statement, although has matched to expectations but still was slightly hawkish as just two members voted for the terminal rate below 5%. Market now stands at solid resistance area and we do not see any attractive decisions for bulls by far.
Bears have two options, either try to go with this minor H&S pattern on 1H chart, and take position around Fib levels with stop above the high. Or - watch for the same H&S pattern but of larger scale on 4H chart. If ECB fails to provide hawkish statement today EUR turns down sharp and major downside action could start across the board, like on Gold market right now.
Daily review of BTC interval 4HHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local downtrend line.
Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $16960, if the support is broken then the next support is $16900, $16852 and $16804.
Now let's move on to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $17032, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $17130, $17210 and $17292.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that in the 4-hour interval some of the energy has been used, the MACD indicates that we are moving in a downtrend.
Bullish wild card Morning folks,
Well, technical picture, no doubts, stands bearish. We've warned you about it within recent few weeks, and since the beginning of 2022 in a scale of monthly and weekly time frames. Now, if we wouldn't have CPI and Fed I would call for short entry. But, due coming important data we need to wait and get more confirmation.
At the same time, CPI and Fed could provide the "wild card" if CPI will be weak and Fed will be dovish. In this case all markets across the board could show short-term action, and it could be more or less strong. That's why we show you all scenarios that potentially you could follow, depending on your view.
First is a bullish "wild card' Scenario. You could consider this butterfly with placing stop just under its lows. Target might be either 17.7, or even XOP target around 18.2K. Features of this trade are - low chances on success, but low potential loss and huge reward if "wild card" will be given.
Second is bears - you need to keep an eye on 16.5-16.6K support and its downside break. Once it will happen, it is possible to consider short entry. Theoretically you could use Stop "Sell" entry order somewhere under 16.5K.
Finally, you could combine both scenarios.... if you brave enough ;)
Daily review of BTC interval 4HHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price has been moving in an uptrend channel for almost twenty days, which we have marked with blue lines.
It is now worth checking what supports we should consider in the coming hours or days and as you can see the first support is $17070, if the support is broken then the next support is $16977, $16885 and $16750.
Now let's go from the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance that the price has to overcome and positively test is $17221, if you manage to break it the next resistance will be $17323, $17412 and $17491.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that in the 4-hour interval, the energy begins to gain strength, the MACD indicator indicates that we have entered a local downtrend, while the RSI shows that we are quite high and we should consider hedging the position in case of a correction.
Daily review of BTC interval 4HHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving above the local uptrend line.
Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $17132, if the support is broken then the next support is $17080, $16997 and $16897.
Now let's move to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $17217, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $17319, $17403 and $17480.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that almost all energy has been used in the 4-hour interval, the MACD indicator indicates that we are maintaining a local uptrend, and the RSI is very high, which may indicate a price correction.
Price Action - (Defined Low)We have a defined low that comes in at 681.58
The previous low @ 772.95 was traded below. The sell stops that were protecting those long positions were traded into with this new low (681.51)
After this new low was created price action impulsively moved away in bullish momentum, to do what?....
Hit the buy stops that were created @ the previous short term high @ (1031.95)
That short term high (1031.95) was traded through eventually (which is highlighted with the shaded circle) and price starts trading higher
I'll leave the purple shaded area open for comment, let me know if you see the clues the market left behind!
Thank You
16.5-16.6K area is vitalMorning folks,
BTC looks weak. Maybe coming PPI numbers tomorrow and CPI + Fed on Tue could support market in short-term, but data release can't change the fundamental background that is vitally hurt by FTX tragedy. Confidence in crypto market is lost now.
Speaking about our technical setup - market has failed to stay above 17060 level that was crucial for the bulls, we've discussed it last time. Now we see signs of weakness and think that there are few chances on upside continuation. In fact, if 16.5-16.6K level will be broken - price starts action back to 15.5K lows first and even lower in longer perspective.
So, if you would like to take the short position - watch for downside breakout of this level. We do not see good context for long entry now.