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USDCAD moving higher 🦐USDCAD on the daily chart is trading below a weekly resistance. I would expect some more bullish development and a test of the 1.33 area can be expected. How can i approach this scenario? I will wait for the EU market open and check for a possible break above the structure. IN that case, i will search for a nice entry point according to the Plancton's strategy rules. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
Long
by InkyGrip
16
How to find local tops in a downtrendIn my previous post I published the idea of a massive bear market rally. This idea is still in the books, however, it may take days if not weeks to play out (if it does) As a result, it is important to spot local tops and re-balance lower (not just to maximize your profits but more importantly to avoid getting rugged) When we started the daily, the main idea was that we will definitely wick below the daily open and into the body of the previous daily candle without erasing more than 50% of its gains (I expected the wick to touch 19582 and it came really close, got an entry around 19600 - more about how to spot local bottoms in another post). As for the local top, I was expecting it to be between the wicks of two recently printed candles that we haven't visited since they were printed. Normally, I would look for candle bodies (textbook PA). However, I knew from recent price action that there were many stops around the 21k area so I looked for wicks instead (liquidity hunting). The main idea was that PA will try to stop those who shorted the top of yesterday's wick as well as FOMO anyone who sold that yesterday's wick to buy back into the market (and get trapped at a higher price) At the same time I thought that PA would not allow people who bought the top of the wick of 17/6 to sell (exit) without a loss. My thesis was enhanced by the Distribution that took place in the Low Time Frames (More about Distributions in another post) as well as the liquidity hunt that happened before the rug pull. This resistance worked like a charm. I am sure we will break it next time but first we need to go lower and find demand / exhaust sellers.
FTX:BTCUSD
by Athantonios
Watching 23-24K for short sellingMorning folks, Well, as you know - we're sceptic on any bullish setups that BTC is forming, just because we know the fundamental situation and it has no chances to normalize within few years. Thus, we keep valid our long-term targets on BTC of 12-13K and next is 8-9K. Now market has big technical problems - it has no more strong supports, it is not at oversold and it is re-testing previous vital top of 20K. If price breaks it down - bitcoin sets the new "old" trading range of 3-20K. But, this is a bit longer-term story. In short-term, market is taking relief after tough week, and all assets show the pullback, including interest rates. Thus, BTC could try to do the same, although, last time it was not able to form even minor reverse H&S on intraday chart, that we've shown you. WE do not plan to trade any bullish pattern, but we use it for special purpose. If pattern is formed - it shows us what levels to watch for short entry. Right now, if miracle happens and H&S pattern will be formed - supposedly 23.5-24K area might be interesting for new short entry. Still, it is not forbidden to make scalp long trades. We ignore it because trading time scale and because they are very unstable in current environment - but if you feel confidence, you could try.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
1
Is It Over, Are We There Yet? Bitcoin DailyI know the question that is on most people's minds right now... Is the drop over for Bitcoin? Is the bottom in? Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis We are looking at the daily timeframe for the BTCUSD pair. Yesterday we hit a new low set at $17,605. It is the first time Bitcoin see this price since November 2020. It is only the second time that Bitcoin goes through $18,000 on the downside... Now, as for your questions, we have to wait. Yesterday marked a new low and a break of a very long-term support level and that is the $20,000 level. Since we just lost $20,000 as support for the first time in years, we have to wait for several additional sessions to close before we can have a better picture. TD Sequential is at -8 and can easily go lower but that is why we need to wait and see. The RSI hit its lowest level since March 2020. We call it weak/oversold but there is room for lower even if prices recover. We wait for this daily and weekly candle closure. Prices can grow and close above $20,000 weekly sending out a positive and sure recovery signal, but if instead the weekly closes below we have to be very careful and wait a bit longer to see how things develop. We will look together at the weekly timeframe later on today and I am hoping that you can join me. Other factors to consider Mercury is now fully direct and out of its post-shadow phase, with Saturn going retrograde this can only signal one clear thing... WORK! To me work translate into a green market and we count this one as a bullish signal; not enough, we need more. The crypto fear and greed index is almost at its lowest ever... The sentiment reads extreme fear and normally this reflects a market that is bottoming out or going through a crash/bear-run. The signal in this case is in reverse just like the RSI. When the indicator is weak, for us it signals that things can easily turn. When the sentiment is bad down, it is time to prepare to buy because for the majority of people it takes time to adapt to new market development and conditions, they don't know that things will soon change. While we were looking at the bottom/low, the crash, bear-run, etc. back in January, February, and March of this year, most people are only realizing it now. While we start to prepare for the next bull phase and the Altcoins market bull run, people are in a panic thinking that cryptocurrency is really done for. I am not sharing this to degrade the masses or talk baldly about other people... I am sharing this to point out this amazing tool that we have. Even though this is public, this is specialized information and can work in our favor. Knowing things beforehand can lead to success in the long run. Conclusion It doesn't matter what happens, after the next drop prices grow. After a bearish wave comes to a bullish wave... Patience is key. We buy and patiently we hold. Long-term.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Roberto411
#TheStrat BTC Broadening Formation 13k to 16k BottomWeekly Chart shows a longer term broadening formation with the purple box as my potential bottom at 13k-16k for BTC Daily Chart shows we continue to fail to push towards the high of the broadening formation and continue to break lower 4hr Chart shows that we are quickly approaching the long term broadening formation I would watch the price action around this lower broadening formation and look for bullish reversals. Educational purposes only, this is not financial advice.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by fuuuqeht
1
USDCAD moving higher 🦐USDCAD on the daily chart is trading below a weekly resistance. After the FED decision to increase the interest rates we can see some more bullish development and a test of the 1.33 area can be expected. How can i approach this scenario? I will wait for the EU market open and check for a possible break above the structure. IN that case, i will search for a nice entry point according to the Plancton's strategy rules. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
Long
by InkyGrip
USDCHF can retrace to the 0.97 🦐USDCHF on the 4h chart after our previous analysis is looking for a retracement to the upside. The price perfectly bounced over the support area and is currently trading below a minor resistance. How can i approach this scenario? I will wait for a possible break of the structure and in that case, i will look for a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Long
by InkyGrip
6
EURCHF a turn at the 0.5 Fib 🦐EURCHF on the 4h chart after the test of the 1.05 level retraced at the 0.5 Fibonacci level. The market, after a few tests of the support area can start a new impulse and is now trading above a weekly resistance. How can I approach this scenario? I will wait for the EU market open and check for a possible break above to set a nice long order according to the Plancton's academy rules. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Long
by InkyGrip
2
23.5K and then 21KMorning folks, Those who read our weekly reports on FPA site on fundamental analysis of the US economy probably are not surprised with the BTC collapse. As BTC as the stock market are doomed. We expect 2500 level on S&P on mid-term perspective with further drop below 2000 in longer-term, which means that our long term targets on BTC is 12K and 8K... Now BTC is challenging the last bullish outpost around 25-26K. This is last 5/8 all time Fib support on BTC. Lower is just a "free" space. Thus, currently we intend to go from one tactical target to another and control oversold levels. Now daily oversold level is ~21K. Potentially market could reach two extensions. First one is 1.27 and it stands at 23.5K, next one is 1.618 - 21K, that is very close to daily oversold. This is the program until Thursday, guys. If Fed rise rate for 0.75 - downside action should accelerate. Intraday upside retracement should not be too strong. At first glance, it seems that 26.2K and 27-27.4K are two levels that worthy of our attention, where we could consider short entry. Obviously we consider no new long positions.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
2
GOLD is moving higher? 🦐XAUUSD on the 4h chart reached as expected the 1870 level and is now testing a daily support. The market after the break of the structure seems to have enough strength to move to the next structure around the 1890 area. How can we approach this scenario? I will wait for the EU market open and check for a possible break of the resistance area . In that case, i will search for a new entry point according to the Plancton's strategy rules for a nice risk-reward trade. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any questions. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InkyGrip
2
BTC might see 50k levels in near futureI know it's been pretty dull for BTC lately but I see possibility of 50k levels to come soon, confirmation of strong bull trend will be when bottom indicator moves above 0 or yellow line. One reason for above observation is that lately price action has been compressed and I feel its an indication of big player interest area, do not be surprised if current levels are avg price for the most big players when the price ends up really going to 50k I can't speak on time required for this but I estimate at least 4-5 months.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Pratik_4Clover
EURJPY for new recent highs - UPDATE - 🦐EURJPY on the daily chart is looking for a new all-time high. The market after the retracement into a descending channel tested the 0.5 Fibonacci level and broke above the daily resistance as expected. How can i approach this scenario? I will wait for the EU market open to look for a retest of the support area and set a nice long order according to the Plancton's Academy rules. Being Friday might be risky to open a trade and waiting for the next week can be safer. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Long
by InkyGrip
3
No inspiration to buyMorning folks, Price performance looks nervous in recent few sessions. Based on what I see on intraday chart, it seems that BTC is trying to break down the 29.65-29.67 K support area that we've discussed previously. Because it doesn't look like upward reversal. On daily chart we have bearish wedge consolidation and uncompleted weekly 25.9K target. Yes, lower CPI numbers could provide short-term momentum and let BTC to complete our 34-34.4K upside target. But this is different type of trading. You could try to bet on CPI numbers, if you want. Purely technical price action makes me to stay aside from long positions by far. Here I even do not consider our long term fundamental view, that is bearish.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
EURUSD - CURRENT SENTIMENT ANALYSE , DXY - DXY is currently at 102.623 LEVEL. Also the EUR FEATURE stays at 1.0687 LEVEL. The EURUSD PRICE is currently among the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the PRICE SHORT TERM can be sold a little before BUY. - Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently showing a NEUTRAL BIAS. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is a NEUTRAL RISK TONE in the market. Therefore, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD may definitely be slightly RANGE in the future. Also JPY CHF can be UP. - The EURUSD PRICE may be slightly up to 1.0911 LEVEL. Maybe a change from the USD HIGH VOLATILE EVENTS coming up in the coming days. So stay tuned. If you STRUCTURE BREAK the DOWN SIDE, you can DOWN the EURUSD 1.0314 LEVEL.
by benny_marshall
$34.10K ?Morning guys, This update is better to watch together with the previous one. So, our topic is next BTC target - 34.10K. How do you think, whether it will reach it? I hope so. At least the start of the week looks inspiring. In fact, last week Fed has added to financial system around $140 Bln (check the cash account of US Treasury), and this has let market to find the local bottom. Last time, when market just has reached support area, we said - it could bounce, but we do not see yet the signs of upside reversal. Now we see that support level is valid and price is bouncing up with signs of thrust. Although theoretical chances exist that we could get deeper AB=CD shape retracement down to 28K area, but we treat this chance as not very significant. With current performance we do not consider any bearish positions by far. Second - we should not get any deep retracements, as it already is done last week, and now by our view BTC stands in extension leg to the next target. It means that the most probable levels that could be reached and you could consider for long entry are 30.40-30.50K and 30.80K. Drop back to the 28 K area will not totally destroy upside chances, but makes context weaker. Because in this case we get too deep retracement after reaching of just minor target last week. Besides, in this case market erases current rally...
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten