BTC/USDT 1HInterval reviewHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart taking into account the timeframe of 1 hour. First, we will mark the local downtrend line under which the price is moving.
We will use the fib retracement tool to plot support and we see a support zone from $28996 to $28956, then there is a second zone from $28914 to $28854 and then strong support at $28779.
Now let's go from the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is the zone from $29031 to $29108, if you manage to break it further we have the second zone from $29187 to $29296 and then strong resistance at $29438.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is still energy for the current move, the RSI is at the lower limit, which in combination with the STOCH indicator on which we crossed the lower limit can give a local price increase..
Dailyanalysis
USDJPY I Daily forecast and execution planWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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BTC Chart Review 4HIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in pair to USDT, taking into account the interval of four hours. First of all, we will use the yellow line to mark the uptrend line above which the price stays, while locally we can mark the downtrend channel in which the price stays at the upper edge.
When we turn on EMA Cross 50 and 200, we can see that they indicate a return to the downtrend and it is worth paying attention to whether the situation of a quick break down the longs and a return to the growth zone will not repeat.
Now, in order to determine the support places, we will use the trtend based fib extension tool, thanks to which we will mark the support zone from $ 29,506 to $ 28,765, but if the price goes lower, we have support at $ 28,008, and then strong support at $ 26,952.
Looking the other way, we can determine the places of resistance in a similar way. First, we will mark the resistance zone from $30,509 to $31,541, when we manage to break it, we can mark further resistance areas and here we have resistance at $32,367, then at $33,216, and another very strong resistance at $34,419.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index which indicates that there is still enough energy to make a move, the RSI is near the middle of the range, but we still haven't seen the lower limit touched, which may affect the price correction, moreover, we are approaching the upper limit on the STOCH indicator, which also can give you a price adjustment.
BNB/USDT 1H Chart Review Hello everyone, let's look at the BNB to USDT chart on a one hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving above the local uptrend line.
After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, we see that there is a support zone from $242.8 to $242 first, then support at $241.39, and then the second zone from $240.73 to $239.81.
Looking the other way, we see a resistance zone from $243.92 to $244.58, resistance at $245.12, and then a second strong zone from $245.69 to $246.46.
The CHOP index indicates that there is still energy for a move, the RSI is approaching the upper limit again, which may reverse the direction of the price, while the STOCH indicator has crossed the upper limit, which may result in a stronger downward move.
BTCUSDT 4H Review!Hello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local uptrend line.
When we unfold the trend based fib extension grid, we see that the first support is at $29232, then we have strong support at $29148 and the third at $29042.
Looking the other way, the first resistance the price is below is $29292, then the second resistance at $29360, the third at $29415 and then we have a strong resistance zone from $29472 to $29550.
The CHOP index indicates that there is energy for a move, the RSI is near the middle of the range, and the STOCH index indicates that downward movements are stronger, which may pull the price lower.
ADA 1D ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the ADA chart in a one-day interval. As we can see, the price has broken the downtrend lines, but you can see that the price is moving just above it, which could bring the ADA back into the downtrend.
Let's start by marking the price support spots and we see that first we have a $0.28 to $0.25 support zone, however if the price goes down we have another support at $0.22 and then a $0 support at $18.
Looking the other way, we can similarly identify the resistance points that the price has to face. And here we see that the current price quickly moved back to the resistance zone from $0.33 to $0.36. We still have $0.38 resistance, only when price breaks out will have to break through the very strong $0.40 to $0.42 zone.
As you can see, the attempt to exit the EMA Cross 200 up failed and the price quickly returned to the downward trend.
The CHOP index indicates that we have a small upward movement and a lot of energy is gathering, the RSI indicates a sideways trend and movement around the middle of the range, be careful because the energy collected can be used for dynamic movement. The STOCH indicator indicates that we can expect small increases, however, downward movements give a much larger price movement.
BTC 1H Review Short-Term!Hello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in pair to USDT, taking into account the interval of one hour. First of all, we will use the blue lines to mark the uptrend channel, from which the price exited at the bottom and entered the downtrend channel formations. What's more, very often the exit from the channel is close to the size of the channel, in this situation we can see the price drop to around $28236.
In order to determine the support places for the BTC price, we will use the Trend Based Fib Extension tool, and here we see that the first support is at the price of $ 28973, then we can define the support zone of $ 28,528 to $ 28,171, but when the price breaks out of this zone, further we have very strong support at $27815 followed by $27305.
Looking the other way, we can determine the places of resistance in a similar way. First, we will mark the resistance zone from $29734 to $30009, when we break it we have resistance at $30277, then resistance at $30690, then very strong resistance at $31175.
The CHOP index indicates that the collected energy is used for a local price increase, the RSI indicates a significant increase with room for the price to go higher, but on the STOCH indicator we can see that we have exceeded the upper limit, which may affect the slowdown of the price increase and even return to correction.
ETH/USDT 1H Interval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the ETH to USDT chart on a one hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving above the local uptrend line.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, we see that the first support is at $1853, the second at $1848, the third at $1844 and the fourth at $1837.
Now let's move on to the resistances, first there is the resistance zone where the price is from $1855 to $1857, then resistance at $1860, third resistance at $1863, then fourth resistance at $1868.
The CHOp index indicates that there is still energy to move, the RSI moves around the middle of the range, while the STOCH index indicates that there is room for the price to go a little higher.
ETH/USDT 1DInterval Hello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, also on a one-day interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the uptrend line above which the ETH price is staying.
Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the trend based fib extension tool to mark the supports, and as you can see, we can first mark the support zone from $1784 to $1670, then we have support at $1559, and then another very strong support at $1399.
Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we will similarly mark the resistance zone from $ 2034 to $ 2160, the price of which has no strength to break through, but when it does, it must overcome a very strong resistance at the price of $ 2291.
The CHOP index indicates that there is still energy to continue the movement. On the RSI we see a rebound and a place for the price to go lower, while on the STOCH indicator we see that the energy has been consumed, although we can still see the price fall.
BTC/USDT 1DInterval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in pair to USDT, taking into account the one-day interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the downtrend line over which BTC is moving.
Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here, in the first place, it is worth marking the support zone from $ 29,484 to $ 28,738, but when we fall below this zone, we can see a drop to around $ 28,993 and even $ 26,941.
Looking the other way, in a similar way, using the trend based fib extension tool, we can determine the places of resistance. First, we will mark the resistance zone from $31,641 to $32,479. Once we manage to break through this zone we will move towards resistance at $33331 and then $34503.
It is worth turning on the EMA Cross 200, as we can see, the BTC price is still in a long-term uptrend.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index which indicates that there is still some energy left for the continuation of the downward movement, on the RSI we have a visible rebound, but with room for the price to go down, while the STOCH index indicates that most of the energy has been used
ETH/USDT 4H Interval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the ETH to USDT chart on the 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is staying below the local downtrend line.
When we unfold the Fib Retracement grid, we see that the price is in a strong support zone at $1902 to $1868, however as we move lower the next support is at $1823.
Looking the other way, we will similarly mark the resistance points for the price and here the first resistance is at $1932, then we have a strong resistance zone from $1970 to $1997, then resistance at $2030
The CHOP index indicates that there is still some energy left for the continuation of the move, MACD indicates a return to the local downtrend, and the RSI is moving in the lower limit, but with room for the price to go a little lower.
LTC/USDT Review 4H Hello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of LTC in pair to USDT. Let's start by marking the local downtrend line with a yellow line as we can see the price is about to try to break this line.
Moving on, we can move on to marking support areas when we start a larger correction. However, here we see that the price is at the upper border of the $93 to $87 strong support zone, when the price falls below this zone, the next support is at $80.
Looking the other way, we can mark the first support at $98.99, then we have a strong resistance zone from $105 to $109, only after an upward exit from this zone, the price will move towards resistance at $114.87.
When we turn on the EMA Cross 50 and 200, we can see that the price is moving just below the EMA Cross 200 and is close to an uptrend, which would indicate a return to the uptrend.
The CHOP index, which indicates that we have a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD remains in the local uptrend, while the RSI has a visible increase, but there is room for the price to go a little higher in the coming hours.
BNB/USDT Short-TermHello everyone, let's look at the BNB to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving along the uptrend line.
After unfolding the trend based fib extension mesh, we see that the first support is at $243, then there is a support zone from $242 to $241, and then support at $240.
Now let's go from the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $246 and then the price needs to break the $247 zone to $248.
The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy gathered, the MACD confirms the local uptrend, and the RSI is in the upper part, however, there is room for the price to go towards the first resistance.
BTC/USDT 1H Interval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price has returned below the uptrend line.
Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $29542, if the support is broken then we still have a support zone from $29342 to $29220.
Now let's go from the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $29999, if you manage to break it then the price needs to break the zone from $30238 to $30403.
The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used, the MACD confirms the local downtrend, and the RSI has approached the lower limit, which may give a temporary sideways trend.
Daily Market Analysis - THURSDAY JULY 20, 2023Greetings, traders! Welcome back to our daily Market Analysis. Today, we have gathered the top news and interesting fundamental analysis for your consideration. Let's dive in and stay informed!
The market digests positive earnings reports and economic optimism, driving various assets higher. Among them, the Australian Dollar surges on the back of robust employment data. Investors are analyzing corporate earnings reports and economic indicators to gauge the health of the global economy.
The Australian Dollar has seen significant gains following the release of strong employment data, indicating positive economic momentum in the country.
Key News:
USA - Initial Jobless Claims
USA - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jul)
USA - Existing Home Sales (Jun)
On Wednesday evening, Dow futures experienced a decline, following the earlier surge in major benchmark averages, reaching new 15-month highs. Traders were closely analyzing the quarterly earnings results of significant companies reported during the session. The market was in the process of digesting this corporate financial data to assess its potential impact on future trends.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index daily chart
Yesterday, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen delivered a positive outlook on the current economic conditions in the United States, which was well-received by the markets. The decreasing inflation has fostered optimism about the US economy's potential for a smooth landing. Yellen's confidence in the labor market cooling down without significant distress has further contributed to this positive sentiment.
If economic data continues to support this optimistic view, the market is likely to maintain confidence in a soft economic landing, leading to a gradual decline in the value of the US dollar. The S&P 500 index experienced a 0.7% increase yesterday, approaching levels last seen in early April when inflation concerns were more pronounced.
S&P 500 daily chart
The recent retail sales data from the US also supports the idea of a soft economic landing, with consumer spending showing growth, albeit at a slower pace. Despite this positive economic outlook, the yen is currently underperforming, as carry trades gain favor in the market. In Japan, the TOPIX index experienced a 1.0% increase, and the 10-year swap rate retreated after reaching highs earlier this month, surpassing 0.70% on Friday for the first time since March.
TOPIX daily chart
Governor Ueda's comments at the G20 summit in India have played a role in the recent rebound of USD/JPY and the decline in longer-term yields. His statement emphasized that achieving the 2% inflation goal is still a distant prospect, reaffirming the unchanged assumption reiterated in the overall narrative.
USD/JPY daily chart
The market's response to Governor Ueda's comments has tempered speculation about an immediate yield curve control (YCC) change in the upcoming week. However, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) might still make adjustments to YCC during the July meeting based on updated forecasts. Although yields currently show no upward pressure and are within the 0.50% band limit, the upcoming CPI data on Friday will be pivotal and could reignite speculation depending on the results.
On Thursday, the Australian dollar saw a substantial surge after the release of better-than-expected employment data in the country. Australia's net employment rose by 32,600 in June, exceeding market expectations for the second consecutive month of a 15,000 increase. As a result of this positive economic news, the Australian dollar surged more than 0.9% to reach an intraday high of $0.6834.
AUD/USD daily chart
On the other hand, the British pound suffered notable losses due to disappointing inflation data that fell short of market expectations. As a result, the market's anticipation of further aggressive interest rate hikes from the Bank of England (BoE) diminished. However, the pound managed to stage a slight recovery, gaining 0.15% to trade at $1.2958, after experiencing a decline of over 0.7% on the previous day.
GBP/USD daily chart
The euro, on the other hand, strengthened by 0.24% against the US dollar, reaching $1.1227. Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) policy meeting for additional insights into the rate outlook. Recently, ECB policymakers have adopted a more dovish stance, with some indicating uncertainty about future rate increases beyond the likely 25 basis points increase expected in July.
ADA 4HInterwal Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to review the ADA chart in pair to USDT, also on a four-hour interval. First of all, using the blue lines, we can mark the local downtrend channel in which the price is currently moving.
Now let's move on to marking the places of support. And as you can see, we have the first support at $0.29, then we have a support zone from $0.27 to $0.26.
Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first significant resistance at $0.33, and then the price needs to break the resistance zone from $0.35 to $0.37.
The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy harvested. The MACD indicator indicates a transition to a local uptrend. On the other hand, on the RSI we are in the middle of the range, which makes it difficult to turn the direction of the price, but adding the collected energy and entering the uptrend on the MACD, we can see an attempt to increase the price.
BTC Daily Review 4HIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on the BTC pair to USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the downtrend line from which the price has moved sideways.
Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here, in the first place, it is worth marking support at $29248, but when we go lower, we still have a strong support zone from $28696 to $28266.
Looking the other way, in a similar way, using the trend based fib extension tool, we can determine the places of resistance. And here the first resistance is at $30,242, then we have the resistance zone from $30,758 to $31,114, however, before any major increases, the price must break the resistance at $31,581.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index which indicates that there is a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD indicator indicates entering a local uptrend, while the RSI is moving in the lower part of the range, which may bring the price up in the coming hours.
BTC/USDT 1Hinterval support and resistanceHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on one hour time frame, the price is trading below the local falling trend line.
To check the supports, we will use the trend based fib extension tool and as you can see, the first significant support is at $29,481, and then we have strong support at $29,306.
Now let's move on from the resistance line, as you can see the price fights the resistance at $29783, then we have a strong resistance zone from $29930 to $30038 and then resistance at $30172.
The CHOP index indicates that there is energy for further movement, the MAC maintains a downward trend, and the rsi is moving under the downtrend line, only when we exit it can we see the price increase.
ETC/UST 1D ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETC chart on the one-day interval. As we can see, the price did not manage to stay on the downtrend line and was quickly reversed.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, we see that the price is holding just below the support at $19.19, the next support is at $16.69, then the third support at $14.84, and when we go lower we have a fourth very strong support at priced at $12.57.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the first significant resistance is at $21.67 with the downtrend line, then resistance at $24.15 and then the price will move to resistance at $27.26.
At this point, it is worth including the EMA Cross 200, which indicates that the ETC attempted to return to a strong uptrend, but it was a false break and a quick return.
The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD indicates the continuation of the downward trend, while the RSI has approached the middle of the range, so the move will be based on BTC price jumps.
Hello everyone, I invite you to review the BNB/USDT 4H ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the BNB chart against USDT, also on a four-hour timeframe. First of all, using the blue lines, we can mark the uptrend channel in which the price is currently moving in the lower part, it is also worth marking the local downtrend line with the yellow line.
Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the trend based fib extension tool to mark support, and first we will mark a strong support zone in which the BNB price is currently located, but when it falls below this zone, the next support is at $ 233.
Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first strong resistance at the price of $ 249, and then it is worth marking a very strong resistance zone from $ 257 to $ 262, only when the price breaks out of it and then positively tests, we will see further increases.
The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used. The MACD indicator maintains an ongoing downtrend. On the other hand, on the RSI we have a strong rebound to the lower part of the range, which creates room for a future price increase, but it is worth being careful because there is room for the price to go a little lower.
BTC/USDT 4HInterval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on the BTC pair to USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the local sideways trend channel where the price is at its lower border, while using this line we can mark the downtrend lines in the current channel where the price is higher with a sideways move.
Now let's move on to determining the resistance, for this we will use the trend based fib extension tool and as we can see the first significant resistance is at the price of $30705, then we have a strong resistance zone from $31220 to $31591, and only then the price will move towards the resistance at priced at $32,052.
Looking the other way, we can also mark support places for BTC, as you can see the first support is at $29687, and then we can mark a very strong support zone from $29227 to $28897.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that there is a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD indicator remains in a downward trend, but is close to changing the trend, and after reacting, we have a sideways movement on the RSI with the place for the price to move towards the first resistance.
Daily Market Analysis - MONDAY JULY 17, 2023Daily Market Analysis - MONDAY JULY 17, 2023
Key events:
China - Industrial Production (YoY) (Jun)
Eurozone - ECB President Lagarde Speaks
Eurozone - ECB's Lane Speaks
USA - NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jul)
Friday witnessed a modest dip in US stocks, yet investor optimism prevailed amidst signs suggesting a prolonged era of disinflation. With contemplation on interest rates, market performance, and Federal Reserve decisions, the prevailing sentiment remained buoyant.
NASDAQ Indices daily chart
S&P500 Indices daily chart
Dow Jones Indices daily chart
Market sentiment reflects a growing confidence in the potential for a smooth economic landing. Yields have witnessed a notable decline, particularly towards the week's end, driven by factors widely regarded as favorable. Investors are recalibrating their expectations by removing inflation premiums, rather than assuming imminent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as a response to inflationary pressures.
The unexpected decrease in US CPI has triggered market reactions, resulting in a narrowing of US-EU front-end rate spreads and a deepening inversion in US front-end rates. However, with the alleviation provided by the inflation drop and indications of progress towards a gentle economic landing, the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain its current stance and refrain from significant rate adjustments for the next 12 months. Consequently, the US Dollar is not expected to undergo a substantial depreciation.
US Dollar Currency Index
In terms of the rates outlook, there is limited divergence observed within a significant portion of the broad Dollar index. Many policymakers in emerging markets (EM) are already taking action in response to the lower inflation environment. The Eurozone is anticipated to follow suit, aligning its rate adjustments accordingly.
While US rates were predominantly influenced by domestic factors, there were indications towards the end of the week that Eurozone rates were starting to respond. This suggests that developments in the US economy and relief from inflation are beginning to influence global rate trends, including those in the Eurozone.
The upcoming second-quarter earnings season is set to commence, with Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) being the first among the prominent growth and technology companies that have been the driving force behind the US stock market's performance this year. Tesla's earnings report is scheduled for Wednesday.
Tesla stock daily chart
Tesla is a prominent member of the "Magnificent Seven," a group of colossal stocks that includes Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META). These companies have experienced remarkable share price surges ranging from 40% to over 200% this year, playing a significant role in driving the overall rally of the S&P 500.
While the market rally appears to be extending to other sectors, it's crucial to acknowledge that these substantial gains have been accompanied by high earnings expectations. Failure to meet these expectations by Tesla or any of the other megacap companies during this quarter's earnings reports could have a severe impact on equity indices.
In addition to Tesla's earnings report, several other major companies are scheduled to disclose their results in the upcoming week. The banking sector's earnings season continues, with Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) announcing its results on Tuesday and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) on Wednesday.
Tuesday will also see the release of US retail sales data for June, with an anticipated 0.5% increase attributed to a recovery in auto sales and higher gasoline station sales. This indicates that consumer demand remains resilient despite certain challenges.
Investors will also closely monitor reports on regional manufacturing activity, which is expected to remain sluggish. Furthermore, the weekly data on initial jobless claims will provide insights into the current state of the job market.
US Retail Sales
Wednesday will see the release of the UK's June inflation data, a significant factor that will impact the potential magnitude of the Bank of England's next interest rate increase.
It is expected that the headline consumer price index will moderate to 8.2% year-over-year, down from May's 8.7%. This easing is mainly attributed to a decrease in food and fuel prices. While core inflation is anticipated to show a slight decline, the services component is expected to remain stable at a post-COVID high of 7.4%.
GBP/USD daily chart
In the minutes of the June meeting, the Bank of England emphasized the potential need for further tightening if the economy demonstrated sustained inflationary pressures, particularly in the services consumer price index (CPI).
Consequently, the upcoming August meeting of the Bank of England is expected to be closely contested. Should there be an increase in the services CPI, it would likely strengthen expectations for another 50-basis point rate hike. Conversely, a lower reading would likely shift the balance towards a more modest 25-basis point increase. The inflation data will hold substantial sway in shaping the central bank's decision regarding future adjustments to interest rates.
BTC/USDT Short-Term 1HInterval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart in one hour time frame. As you can see, the price has broken out of the local downtrend line.
After unfolding the trend based fib extension mesh, we see that the price has bounced off the strong resistance at $30,442, and when it breaks the next resistance is at $30,550.
Looking the other way, we see that the first support is at $30,318, then you can mark a strong support zone from $30,238 to $30,182, and then support at $30,114.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that the energy is almost used up, the MACD confirms the local uptrend and the RSI has a significant increase, however, there is some room for the price to go a little higher.