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Daily Market Analysis - FRIDAY JUNE 30, 2023Key News: UK - GDP (YoY) (Q1) UK - GDP (QoQ) (Q1) Eurozone - CPI (YoY) (Jun) USA - Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (May) Thursday witnessed a modest upturn in US stock indices, primarily driven by a surge in bank shares following the Federal Reserve's positive outcome of the annual stress test. Moreover, the release of robust economic data further fueled expectations of additional interest rate hikes by the central bank. Prominent financial institutions like Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase experienced notable increases in their share prices, surpassing 3% and 4% respectively. This surge can be attributed to the stress test results, which showcased their resilience and ability to withstand a severe economic downturn. The S&P 500 banks index, reflecting the performance of major banks, witnessed a noteworthy climb of over 2%. This rise contributed to a broader relief rally, which in turn boosted the KBW Regional Banking index by 1.5%. Wells Frago stock daily chart Goldman Sachs stock daily chart S&P 500 daily chart Investors exhibited a clear inclination towards economically sensitive sectors, while growth sectors tied to interest rates experienced less activity, thanks to positive data that alleviated concerns of an imminent recession. The Russell 2000 index, which encompasses small-cap stocks, witnessed a notable gain of over 1%. This rise indicated investors' confidence in smaller companies and their potential for economic growth. Among the sectors within the S&P 500, the materials index emerged as the leader of the upswing. This sector's strong performance further reinforced the market's preference for areas tied to economic expansion and industrial activity. Nasdaq daily chart The US dollar index, a measure of the USD's performance against a basket of major currencies, surged to a two-week high in response to encouraging economic data that highlighted a strong labor market. This positive development potentially grants the Federal Reserve the flexibility to continue its trajectory of raising interest rates. The dollar index experienced a 0.35% climb, reaching a level of 103.310. This marks its highest point since June 13 when it peaked at 103.44. The strengthening of the US dollar indicates the market's response to the optimistic economic indicators, suggesting an increased likelihood of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. US Dollar Currency Index daily chart Market expectations for a 25 basis-point rate hike by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming July meeting experienced an increase, rising from 81.8% in the previous session to 86.8%, as reported by CME's FedWatch Tool. This higher probability indicates a growing anticipation among market participants for the central bank to raise interest rates. Furthermore, the likelihood of a rate cut occurring later in the year has been entirely ruled out. This suggests that market sentiment has shifted towards a more hawkish outlook, with reduced expectations for accommodative monetary policy measures such as rate cuts. The market's assessment aligns with the evolving economic landscape and positive data that may provide the Federal Reserve with the impetus to tighten monetary policy in response to a robust economy. USD/JPY daily chart The US dollar continued to exhibit strength against the Japanese yen, extending its streak for the third consecutive day and reaching a fresh 7.5-month high at 144.90 yen. The persistent divergence in monetary policy plans between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan is expected to contribute to the yen's ongoing weakness against the dollar. The yen declined by 0.23% against the greenback, resulting in an exchange rate of 144.83 yen per dollar. Investors are attentively monitoring any potential intervention by the Bank of Japan in the currency, as it has occurred previously around the 145 yen level. Meanwhile, gold prices remained relatively unchanged and reflected significant losses for the month of June. This decline can be attributed to robust economic data from the United States, which bolstered risk appetite and raised concerns about potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. Earlier in the week, gold prices hit three-month lows, largely driven by a series of hawkish signals from Fed officials, with particular emphasis placed on comments made by Chair Jerome Powell. On Friday, the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE), the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, is scheduled for May. Economists surveyed by Reuters anticipate that core rates will remain stable at 4.7%, providing insight into the level of inflationary pressures.
by FOREXN1
5
DOT 4Hinterval ReviewAs the third, we will check the DOT chart on the four-hour interval. As we can see, the price is above the uptrend line marked in yellow. Let's start by marking the price support spots and we see that we first have support at $4.84 but if the price goes lower then we have another support at $4.72 and then we have a very strong support zone at $4.60 $ to $4.42. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that currently DOT does not have enough strength to break the resistance zone from $5.04 to $5.27, but when this happens, we have another very strong resistance at $5.56, only after a positive test of this resistance we will be able to see a further price increase. When we turn on the EMA Cross 200, we will see an attempt to return the price to a strong uptrend, but at the moment the price is fighting to maintain this trend. The CHOP index indicates that there is still a lot of energy to be used, the MACD indicates a return to the local downtrend, while the RSI is in the process of recovering and we are approaching the lower end of the range, which may indicate the imminent end of the current recovery.
by cryptodailyuk
BNB/USDT Review 4hinterval - Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of BNB in pair to USDT, on a four-hour interval. In the first place, using the yellow line, we can mark the uptrend line that did not hold the price, while currently, using the blue lines, we can mark the downtrend channel from which the price goes sideways. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark the supports, and as you can see, we have the first very strong support at the price of $ 234.4, it is equal to 0.618 Fib, the so-called golden fibon point, the second support at the price of $ 228.2, and then we can see a decrease around 220 .1$, which is the location of the last price low. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we see that the price has no strength to break through the resistance at $238.3, however when it does, it still needs to break through the strong resistance from $243 to $249 for the price to move further towards the resistance at $257.4. Please pay attention to the CHOP Index, which indicates that there is a lot of energy to move. The MACD indicator maintains a local downtrend. On the other hand, the RSI is moving around the lower border, which may give the price an increase in the coming hours.
by cryptodailyuk
LTC/USDT 4HInterval Review support and resistanceHello everyone, let's look at the LTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving above the local uptrend line. Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $87.49, if the support is broken then the next support is $83.42 and then we have a strong support zone from $80 to $77. Now let's move to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $91.28, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $94.72 and $97.52. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD confirms the local downtrend, while the RSI shows a visible rebound, which may give room for future increases.
by cryptodailyuk
Daily Market Analysis - TUESDAY JUNE 27, 2023Market reactions are varied and uncertain due to the ongoing uncertainties in Russia and concerns about inflation. Key News: Eurozone - ECB President Lagarde Speaks USA - Building Permits USA - Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (May) USA - CB Consumer Confidence (Jun) USA - New Home Sales (May) On Monday, the US stock market experienced a decline as investors adopted a cautious approach towards riskier assets due to uncertainties surrounding the outcome of the disrupted mutiny in Russia over the weekend. The mutiny, led by Russian mercenaries, raised concerns about the future of President Vladimir Putin and the stability of the country. While Putin expressed gratitude on Monday towards the mercenaries and commanders who chose to stand down, thus preventing bloodshed, the US State Department highlighted that the situation in Russia remained fluid and unpredictable. The impact of these geopolitical events was evident in the performance of the primary indices, particularly with regards to growth stocks. Companies such as Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ: META), Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOGL), and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) experienced significant downward pressure, resulting in sharp declines in their stock prices. Investors' caution stemmed from the potential ripple effects of the Russian mutiny on global political and economic stability. Uncertainties surrounding the future leadership and governance of Russia, as well as the potential for geopolitical tensions, contributed to the market's apprehensive sentiment. As a result, investors opted for a more risk-averse approach, leading to the decline in growth stocks. The situation in Russia will continue to be closely monitored by market participants, as any further developments or shifts in geopolitical dynamics could have implications for global markets. Investors will seek clarity and stability before reevaluating their risk appetite and investment strategies. META stock daily chart GOOG stock daily chart TSLA stock daily chart The foreign exchange market currently lacks clear signals favoring safe-haven currencies such as the US dollar, Japanese yen, or Swiss franc. This subdued response can be attributed to two key factors that are influencing market dynamics. Firstly, there is a sense of uncertainty surrounding the future in the aftermath of the challenge to President Putin's authority in Russia. The mutiny led by Russian mercenaries has raised questions about political stability and the potential implications for global markets. As a result, investors are exercising caution and refraining from taking strong positions in safe-haven currencies until there is greater clarity on the situation. Secondly, the financial markets have already witnessed a year of a stronger dollar and higher energy prices due to the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine. This prolonged geopolitical tension has had an impact on currency markets, and investors may be hesitant to further increase their exposure to safe-haven currencies, considering the recent market trends. Instead, the primary focus of the market currently lies on inflation. Central bankers and governments are facing criticism for maintaining loose monetary and fiscal policies for an extended period. The upcoming annual ECB symposium in Sintra is expected to delve into this topic, particularly focusing on monetary policy. Many central bank governors from the G7 nations are anticipated to attend the event and deliver a potentially hawkish message, similar to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent testimony to Congress. Market participants are eagerly awaiting insights and guidance from central bank officials regarding their stance on inflation and the potential tightening of monetary policy. This focus on inflation dynamics and monetary policy decisions is shaping the market sentiment and influencing currency flows. USD/JPY daily chart The anticipation of an approaching recession has led to expectations of inverted yield curves, as investors assess the economic landscape. Consequently, the US dollar is projected to maintain its strength against currencies that lack robust monetary defenses. This strength is particularly evident in the USD/JPY currency pair, which is expected to sustain its upward trend as investors seek the safety of the US dollar. Another significant event on the US economic calendar this week is the release of core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data for May, scheduled for Friday. Market participants will closely analyze this data as it carries crucial implications for monetary policy decisions. If the data reveals another high reading, especially around 0.4% month-on-month, it would indicate that inflationary pressures persist and may prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain its hawkish stance without signaling any plans for easing monetary policy. Investors will closely monitor these developments as they shape market expectations and influence currency movements. The interplay between recession concerns, the strength of the US dollar, and inflation dynamics will be crucial factors driving investor sentiment and decision-making in the foreign exchange market. US Dollar Currency Index Based on forecasts, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to fluctuate within the range of 102.00 and 103.00 over the course of this week. In addition, the USD/JPY currency pair is anticipated to approach the intervention zone around 145. On the preceding Friday, Europe received discouraging data concerning the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), particularly in the services sector, which indicated a decline. This adds to the already sluggish state of the manufacturing sector. Consequently, the EUR/USD currency pair witnessed a decrease of approximately 50 pips following the release of this data. The weakening PMI figures in the services sector contribute to concerns about the overall economic growth and recovery in Europe. As a result, market sentiment towards the euro has been dampened, leading to a downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair. The data release highlights the challenges faced by the Eurozone economy and underscores the importance of monitoring economic indicators to gauge the direction of currency pairs. In the coming days, market participants will closely monitor economic data releases, central bank communications, and geopolitical developments, as these factors can significantly influence the movement of currency pairs, including the EUR/USD and the broader US Dollar Index. EUR/USD daily chart The prevailing narrative of central banks needing to maintain higher interest rates for an extended period may initially appear unfavorable for the pro-cyclical euro. However, the European Central Bank's (ECB) hawkish stance has provided some defense against the elevated interest rates in the United States, leading to the EUR/USD currency pair rising above 1.09. This stance also reinforces the expectation of two additional 25 basis points rate hikes in July and September, potentially offsetting the modest easing anticipated in 2024. Given the current circumstances, it is likely that the EUR/USD will continue to trade within the range of 1.0850 to 1.1000, while the desired outcome of a smooth economic transition and a more accommodative policy from the Federal Reserve seems to be further delayed. The challenges faced by central bankers in navigating the shift from a relatively straightforward decline in headline inflation driven by base effects to the more complex task of reducing core inflation are extensively discussed in the financial press. Many countries are experiencing core inflation rates around 5%, with the Bank of England contending with an even higher rate of 7%. In light of this situation, it is expected that Bank of England officials will not hesitate to price the Bank Rate above 6% early next year. Additionally, it is anticipated that the government will maintain its stance on mortgage interest relief, as compromising on this issue would only complicate the Bank of England's efforts. These factors underscore the intricacies and challenges faced by central banks in addressing inflationary pressures and maintaining financial stability. Market participants will closely monitor central bank actions and policy decisions as they navigate these complex dynamics, which will have a significant impact on currency movements and trading strategies in the coming months. EUR/GBP daily chart The decline in Eurozone PMI data on Friday had a notable impact on the EUR/GBP currency pair, leading to a decrease in its value. Despite concerns about a potential hard landing for the UK economy, your initial analysis remains unchanged regarding the Bank of England's response. Looking at the UK calendar for this week, the key focus will be on Bank of England speakers, particularly BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's event on Wednesday, which will draw significant attention. The remarks and insights provided by central bank officials can have a considerable influence on currency movements and market sentiment. Based on current analysis, it is anticipated that the EUR/GBP pair may experience a retreat and potentially reach the level of 0.8520 during the week. This suggests a strengthening of the British pound against the euro. Additionally, for the GBP/USD currency pair, it is expected to find support below the 1.27 level, indicating a potential resilience of the pound against the US dollar.
by FOREXN1
8
BTC 1D Interval ReviewWe will now move on to the BTC/USDT chart, also on a one-day timeframe. First of all, using the yellow line, we can mark the downtrend line from which the price went up, then, using the blue lines, we can mark the uptrend channel in which the price is currently moving. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark support, but here we will use support zones and we have the first zone in the range of $ 27725 to $ 25381, then there is a second strong zone from $ 23388 to $ 21513, while if the price fell lower we have a third very strong support zone from $18,934 to $15,418. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first very strong resistance at the price of $ 31769, which so far has not been strong enough to overcome, the next resistance is at the price of $ 35578, and then the third resistance at the price of $ 41028. When we turn on the EMA Cross 200, we can see that it kept the price nicely in the uptrend. The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used. The MACD indicator is in a strong uptrend. On the other hand, on the RSI we see a breakout of the upper limit and we currently have a slight rebound, but I expect a stronger rebound or a sideways trend with small price slides.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT 4HIntervalHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price has moved down from the local uptrend channel. Let's start with setting the support line and as you can see, the price is currently moving in the important support zone from $30,433 to $30,159, if the price falls below the zone, we can see a drop to the support area at $29,373. Now let's move on to the resistance line, as you can see we have the first resistance zone from $30696 to $30915 and then the price needs to break through the second zone from $31154 to $31468. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is a lot of energy to move, the MACD indicates the maintenance of the local downtrend, while the RSI shows a rebound, but there is still room for the price to go a little lower.
by cryptodailyuk
Daily Market Analysis - MONDAY JUNE 26, 2023The momentum of stocks is affected by global growth concerns and central bank actions, while the euro experiences an upswing. Key News: Eurozone - ECB McCaul Speaks Eurozone - ECB President Lagarde Speaks The US stock market is currently experiencing a decline amidst deteriorating global growth forecasts, primarily attributed to weak global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) readings. This worrisome trend is particularly prominent in Europe, where the risk of a severe economic downturn is higher compared to the United States. Consequently, the dollar is expected to maintain its support in the short term due to these circumstances. Throughout this week, stocks have faced unfavorable conditions, resulting in the unraveling of various trades involving large-cap technology companies. Specifically, the Nasdaq index is taking a considerable hit, predominantly due to profit-taking in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. The prevailing sentiment among investors is to withdraw their profits from AI-related investments, contributing to the downward pressure on the Nasdaq. Nasdaq daily chart Looking ahead to the upcoming week, the focus will shift towards a fresh wave of inflation releases following the conclusion of major central bank decisions. The euro has experienced a robust month, benefiting from the market's anticipation of the European Central Bank (ECB) adopting a more aggressive approach in raising interest rates compared to previous expectations. Despite signs of moderating inflation and sluggish economic activity, the ECB has expressed its intention to pursue higher rates. However, this commitment may carry risks in the long term, potentially limiting the ECB's flexibility in responding to changing economic conditions. Nevertheless, the rally in European yields has made the euro an increasingly attractive investment option for market participants. Furthermore, the weakness observed in the US dollar and the Japanese yen has provided additional support to the euro, as foreign exchange dynamics are often influenced by relative performance. EUR/USD daily chart As we look to the future, a critical question arises regarding the momentum of the euro's rally. The answer to this question is likely to be influenced by the forthcoming inflation report scheduled for release on Friday and its implications for the European Central Bank's (ECB) future decisions. Throughout this year, inflation has displayed a consistent downward trend, and recent business surveys indicate that this trend has persisted into June. Notably, selling prices have been rising at the slowest pace in over two years, further contributing to the overall picture of declining inflationary pressures. In terms of market performance, the DAX index has witnessed a notable decline, predominantly driven by a sharp decrease in the shares of Siemens Energy. The company's stock plummeted by over 30% following its decision to withdraw its full-year guidance due to challenges faced by its Spanish Gamesa operation. This development has had a significant impact on the DAX index's overall performance and has garnered attention from market participants. DAX daily chart In a similar vein, the FTSE 100 index has encountered downward pressure, resulting in a decline below the crucial 7,500 level. This descent has brought the index back to levels observed earlier in the trading period, reminiscent of the beginning of the year. The FTSE 100's retreat reflects the prevailing market sentiment and highlights the challenges and uncertainties currently influencing the broader market landscape. FTSE 100 daily chart In the United States, the week will commence with the unveiling of significant economic indicators, including durable goods orders and new home sales for the month of May on Tuesday. This will be followed by the release of crucial data on Friday, including the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, personal consumption, and income figures for the same month. In recent weeks, there has been a notable back-and-forth between Federal Reserve officials and market participants, resembling a game of chicken. While policymakers have signaled their intention to implement two more interest rate hikes throughout the remainder of the year, investors have only priced in expectations for one. The ultimate determinant of who is right in this scenario will depend on the persistency of inflationary pressures. The outcome will carry implications for the performance of the US dollar, as its value is intricately linked to interest rate differentials and market expectations. US Dollar Currency Index daily chart Throughout this month, the US dollar has encountered downward pressure, primarily influenced by two factors. Firstly, there has been market skepticism surrounding the Federal Reserve's hawkish signals, which has created uncertainty among investors. Secondly, the prevailing optimistic sentiment in stock markets has reduced the demand for safe-haven assets, including the US dollar. Gold, on the other hand, has faced a challenging couple of months as Wall Street anticipates more aggressive tightening measures from central banks across Europe. The strong demand for Treasuries, driven by investor concerns about the global growth outlook, has caused the dollar to rally. However, as the stock market experiences a more pronounced selloff, gold is beginning to attract safe-haven flows. This is evident as gold prices have fallen to the $1920 level, prompting some investors to seek refuge in the precious metal as a hedge against market volatility and uncertainty. XAU/USD daily chart Gold received an additional boost when Federal Reserve official Bostic expressed his preference for no further rate hikes for the remainder of the year. This sentiment supported the precious metal's rebound. However, the momentum of the rebound waned when the latest PMI data failed to demonstrate sufficient weakness in the service sector, which would have justified a pause in rate hikes. Looking ahead, the upcoming week will play a crucial role in shaping expectations regarding future Fed rate hikes. This will be influenced by the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) readings and remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Powell. If market participants, as reflected in swap futures, start to believe that the Fed is likely to implement two more rate increases, gold may remain vulnerable. However, if risk aversion intensifies and investors seek safe-haven assets, gold could experience an influx of buying pressure. Key support for gold is anticipated at the $1900 level, indicating a price level where buying interest could emerge. On the other hand, resistance is likely to be encountered around the $1960 region, signifying a level where selling pressure may intensify. These levels will be closely monitored by traders and investors as they assess the future trajectory of gold prices.
by FOREXN1
9
ETH/USDT 4HInterval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the ETH to USDT chart on the 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price has broken out of the local downtrend line. Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support that held the price is $1867, if the support is broken then the next support is $1822, $1786 and then there is the support zone from $1751 to $1699. Now let's move to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $1932, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $1979, $2017 and $2054. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that we have a lot of energy for the upcoming move, MACD indicates a local downtrend, while the RSI, despite small price movements, recovers nicely, which will give room for further increases.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT 4HInterval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. Currently, the price is moving in the local uptrend channel. Let's start with the support line and as you can see, first the price held a strong support zone from $30639 to $30423, then we have strong support at $30149 and then we can see a drop to the third support at $29353. Now let's move on to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $30855, if it breaks through, the next resistance will be $31138 and then we have the resistance zone from $31363 to $31587. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is still energy to continue the move, the MACD indicates the maintenance of the local downtrend, while the RSI is moving at the upper limit, which can affect the sideways trend or a slight price drop.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC - Tow different scenarioHello, my friends. In my previous analysis, I made a mistake. The market always has scenarios to surprise you, and losses and mistakes are part of the market. It is important for you to be able to manage your losses effectively. Nevertheless, a series of events and news have caused price growth. Now we have two scenarios for the future. In the first scenario, as the price approaches the upper bound of the ascending channel, it is likely to react and then bounce back to the price range of 30,700 before resuming its upward movement. In the second scenario, if the price fails to break above the previous ceiling at 31,400, we might witness another price decline to the range of 28,800. In the current conditions, I do not recommend entering any positions. I suggest we wait and see the outcome of the supply and demand battle around the price level of 30,000. Only then can we make a better decision for entering trades. To succeed in the market, do not fight against it; understand it and go along with it.
by hamidrzb
1
ETH/USDT 4hInterval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to the review of ETH in pair to USDT, also on a four-hour interval. First of all, as in the BTC chart, we can use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel that the price has left the top. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark support, and as you can see, we have a support zone from $1862 to $1815 in the first place, but when the price goes lower, it is worth marking a second very strong support zone from $1745 to $1692. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here you can see that we are in a very strong resistance zone from $1886 to $1945, only when the price moves up out of this zone will it move towards the resistance at $2031 and then to the resistance at $2140. It is worth mentioning that the exit from the channel often gives an increase at the level of the channel itself, which in the current situation can give an increase to the support area at $2031. The CHOP index indicates that the energy is gathering more and more strength. The MACD indicator indicates a transition to a local downtrend. On the other hand, on the RSI after a strong increase above the upper limit of the range, we have a rebound, but we are still at the upper limit, which may give a slight rebound in price or a sideways trend in the coming hours.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT 4HInterval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to the Friday cryptocurrency review. Let's start by checking the current situation on the BTC pair to USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the local downtrend channel, from which the price went up by the height of the indicated channel. Now we can move on to marking the support areas when the price recovers from the current increases. And here we first have support at $29,994, then second support at $29,095, then third support at $28,342, however when the price goes lower, we have a strong support zone from $27,589 to $26,520. Looking the other way, in a similar way, using the trend based fib extension tool, we can determine the places of resistance. And here we can immediately see that the price is in front of a strong resistance at the golden point of the fib retracement, at $31838, when it manages to break it, the second resistance is at $33,790, and when the price breaks it, it will move towards resistance at the price $36,247. Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that the energy is gathering more and more strength, the MACD indicator indicates an attempt to maintain an uptrend, while the RSI shows a strong increase, which may bring a slight rebound or a temporary sideways trend.
by cryptodailyuk
2
BNB/USDT 4H Interval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the BNB to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is above the local downtrend line. Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $240.3, if the support is broken then the next support is $237.8, $235.7 and $233.6. Now let's move on to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance the price is fighting is $243.8, if it manages to break it, the next resistance will be $246.4, $248.6 and $250.8. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is still energy for the move, the MACD remains in a downtrend, while the RSI is in the middle of the range, which may indicate a temporary sideways trend.
by cryptodailyuk
Daily Market Analysis - FRIDAY JUNE 23, 2023Events: UK - Manufacturing PMI USA - FOMC Member Mester Speaks USA - FOMC Member Bostic Speaks USA - FOMC Member Bullard Speaks USA - Services PMI (Jun) During Thursday's trading session, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq displayed upward movement, propelled by the statements made by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell's hawkish stance indicated that the central bank's tightening cycle was not yet complete, instilling confidence in investors. However, he also emphasized the Fed's commitment to exercising caution in its approach to monetary policy. The Nasdaq, known for its heavy concentration of technology stocks, experienced significant gains. This surge in the index was primarily driven by the momentum stocks of prominent companies like Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN), Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL), and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT). These tech giants showcased impressive performance, contributing to the overall positive sentiment in the market. On the other hand, the progress of the broader S&P 500 index was more modest compared to the Nasdaq's surge. While still displaying positive movement, the gains in the S&P 500 were not as pronounced as those in the technology-driven Nasdaq. In contrast to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) remained relatively unchanged. The Dow is composed of large, established companies from various sectors, including industrials and financials. However, during this particular trading session, these sectors had a minimal impact on the index's performance. Overall, the market sentiment on Thursday was largely influenced by Powell's statements, which offered a mixed perspective. While indicating a continued tightening of monetary policy, Powell also reassured investors about the Fed's cautious approach. This combination of factors led to varying degrees of upward movement in different indices, with the Nasdaq taking the lead, followed by the S&P 500, while the Dow remained relatively stable. NASDAQ indice daily chart S&P500 indice daily chart DJI indice daily chart During his appearance before the Senate Banking Committee for the semi-annual monetary policy testimony, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated his stance on the likelihood of further interest rate hikes in the near future. This statement reaffirmed his belief in the need for continued tightening of monetary policy to address potential inflationary pressures and maintain economic stability. Powell's perspective on future rate hikes was echoed by Fed Governor Michelle Bowman during the session. The alignment of views between Powell and Bowman highlights the consensus within the Federal Reserve regarding the potential necessity of raising interest rates as part of their ongoing efforts to carefully manage the country's economic growth. The reaffirmation of this belief in further rate hikes signals the Fed's commitment to a proactive approach in addressing economic conditions and maintaining a balanced monetary policy. By emphasizing the likelihood of future interest rate increases, Powell and Bowman are providing transparency to market participants and indicating their intention to address inflationary pressures and promote sustainable economic expansion. As the Federal Reserve's monetary policy plays a crucial role in shaping financial markets and investor sentiment, the reaffirmation of the potential for rate hikes in the coming months will likely influence market dynamics and investor decision-making. Traders and market participants will closely monitor future statements and actions from the Federal Reserve for further insights into the timing and magnitude of potential interest rate adjustments. US initial jobless claims In the economic landscape, the stability of jobless claims at a 20-month high reflects persistent challenges in the labor market. This indicates ongoing difficulties for job seekers and potential concerns about employment conditions. Additionally, the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, which tracks various indicators to gauge the future direction of the economy, recorded its 14th consecutive monthly decline. This suggests that the Federal Reserve's efforts to moderate economic growth are starting to have the intended impact of slowing down the overall pace of expansion. Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) has made a decision to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes during its 13th meeting under its tightening policy. This move has received mixed reactions from different stakeholders in the financial markets. Households, bond investors, stock investors, and foreign exchange (FX) traders have expressed their disapproval of the BoE's decision. This dissent stems from concerns about the potential impact of higher interest rates on borrowing costs, investment returns, and currency valuations. These stakeholders are closely monitoring the consequences of the BoE's actions and adjusting their strategies accordingly. The BoE's decision to hasten the pace of interest rate hikes highlights their focus on managing inflationary pressures and ensuring economic stability. However, the varied reactions from market participants reflect the complexity and potential trade-offs associated with monetary policy decisions. As the effects of the BoE's actions unfold, it will be crucial to monitor the implications for different sectors of the economy and assess how market dynamics and investor sentiment are influenced by these policy moves. UK interest rate Despite the stabilization of the 2-year gilt yield above the 5% threshold, it failed to receive a substantial boost. This can be attributed to concerns among market participants regarding the potential negative consequences of the Bank of England's (BoE) proposed additional interest rate hike of one full percentage point. These concerns mainly revolve around the potential impact on the British economy, particularly in the property market. The anticipation of such a significant rate increase has dampened investor sentiment, leading to a cautious approach. In parallel, the 10-year gilt yield has experienced a decline in response to the prevailing gloomy economic outlook. This decline reflects market expectations of a challenging economic environment and a lack of optimism regarding future growth prospects. The declining yield suggests that investors are seeking safer assets amid uncertainty, resulting in increased demand for long-term government bonds. The possibility of Britain avoiding a recession, let alone a property crisis, appears increasingly unlikely in light of these developments. The market sentiment is shaped by concerns about the potential adverse effects of higher interest rates on the property market, which is a key sector of the British economy. This sentiment is further fueled by the prevailing economic uncertainties, both domestically and globally. Turning to the FTSE 100, the index has approached the 7500 level. However, trend and momentum indicators are displaying negative signals, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market. Additionally, the index is nearing oversold conditions, suggesting that it may be due for a potential rebound or period of consolidation. FTSE 100 daily chart The performance of large British companies has been negatively impacted by falling energy and commodity prices, influenced by a relatively weak reopening in China. This year, these factors have contributed to bearish pressure on the companies, and the situation has been further intensified by rising interest rates. Until there is a rebound in global energy prices, which is yet to materialize, the outlook for the FTSE 100 remains neutral to negative. The market will closely monitor any developments that could potentially improve the prospects for energy prices and subsequently impact the performance of the index. Interestingly, in response to the 50 basis point interest rate hike, the pound depreciated instead of appreciating, contrary to the typical expectation. This reaction reflects the sentiment of the market, which believes that the challenges and uncertainties facing Britain outweigh the potential positive effects that higher interest rates could generate. The prevailing concerns and uncertainties surrounding the British economy have outweighed the impact of the rate hike, leading to a depreciation of the pound. Turning to the gold market, prices experienced a slight decline on Friday, signaling a potentially challenging week and heading towards their worst performance since January. This decline can be attributed to the significant rate hike by the Bank of England, coupled with hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. These developments have raised concerns among investors about the prospect of tighter monetary conditions. Market participants will closely monitor any further signals and actions from central banks, as they have a significant influence on gold prices. XAU/USD daily chart Gold prices have reached a three-month low, breaking out of a narrow trading range observed over the past month, but unfortunately in a downward direction. This decline in gold prices indicates a shift in market sentiment and a potential weakening of demand for the precious metal. Looking ahead to Friday's session, investors will closely monitor the release of preliminary manufacturing and services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data. These indicators provide valuable insights into the health and performance of these sectors, serving as important economic barometers. The PMI data can influence market sentiment and investor confidence, as it offers a glimpse into the overall economic activity and potential growth prospects. In addition to the PMI data, market participants will also pay attention to speeches from several members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), including Bullard, Bostic, and Mester. These speeches have the potential to shed further light on the monetary policy outlook and provide clarity on the Fed's stance and future actions. The comments made by FOMC members can significantly impact market expectations, especially regarding interest rates and overall monetary policy direction. Overall, Friday's session is expected to be influenced by the release of PMI data and the speeches from FOMC members. These events will shape market sentiment and provide crucial insights into the current economic conditions and the potential future trajectory of monetary policy. Investors will closely analyze these developments to make informed decisions and position themselves accordingly in the market.
by FOREXN1
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ETH/USDT 4HIntervalHello everyone, let's look at the ETH to USDT chart on a four-hour time frame. As you can see, the price has broken out of the local downtrend line. Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the coming hours is $1864, if the support is broken then the next support is $1821 and then we have the support zone from $1785 to $1749. Now let's move on from the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance the price rebounded from is $1939, if it breaks down the next resistance will be $1980, then it will move towards the resistance zone from $2019 to $2055. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy has been exhausted, the MACD indicates the uptrend is maintained, and the RSI has a rebound, however, we are still above the upper limit, which may give the price a rebound.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT 1D Interval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to a review of ETH in pair to USDT, also on a one-day interval. First of all, with the help of blue lines, we can mark the downtrend channel from which the price breaks upwards, in the longer term, we can see that the price stayed above the uptrend line, from which it has already rebounded for the second time. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the trend based fib extension tool to mark the supports, and here we first have a support zone from $1780 to $1707, while when this zone does not hold the price we have a second support from $1644 to $1581, and then a strong support at $1495 . Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first significant resistance at $1921, the next resistance is at $2010 and then the third very strong resistance at $2100. As we can see, as in the case of BTC, the ETH price rebounded around the EMA Cross 200, The CHOP index indicates that most of the energy has been used. The MACD indicator indicates a return to an uptrend. On the other hand, the RSI shows a definite increase, but there is still some room left for the price to grow more.
by cryptodailyuk
BNB/USDT 1DInterval ReviewHello everyone, welcome to the BNB review on a one-day interval. As we can see, the price left the bottom of the uptrend channel marked with blue lines, what's more, leaving the channel downwards also gave a drop below the EMA Cross 20o and thus a return to a strong downtrend. Let's start by marking the support spots for the price and we can see that first we have a very strong support zone from $240 to $210 which is currently holding the price, however if the price goes lower we can see a drop to around $172. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price is currently fighting the first resistance at $251, the second resistance is at $270, the third is at $286, and further we have a very strong resistance zone from $301 to $323. The CHOP index indicates that the energy is gaining more and more strength, the MACD indicates a return to an uptrend, while the RSI had a strong rebound and now we can see a rebound, but also that there is plenty of room for the price to continue to grow.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT 4HInterval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price has definitely moved upwards from the downtrend channel by the height of the channel. Let's start by drawing a support line and as you can see the first support if the price wants to pull back is $28785, the second support is at $28016, then we have a strong support zone from $27409 to $26801 and then a strong support at $25933. Now let's go from the resistance line, as you can see the price has broken a strong resistance and it's important that it holds it now, the second resistance is at $31017 and once we break it we will move towards the resistance at $34838 Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy has been used in the recent increase, the MACD confirms a strong upward trend, while the RSI shows a definite overheating of the indicator, which may translate into a rebound in the price.
by cryptodailyuk
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ETH/USDT 1Dinterval Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, also on a one-day interval. Here, however, we will first mark the place of the current price, which remains on the EMA Cross 200 line, after the price dived, it quickly returned to the level of the EMA Cross 200, but for the moment it did not return to the uptrend above the line. Now, using the blue lines, we can mark the downtrend channel in which the price moves similarly to the previously presented BTC. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark the supports, and as you can see, we have the first very strong support at $1663, but if the price falls below our golden Fib point, then the second support is at $1529, and then we have the third very strong support at $1364. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we see that the price is fighting with the resistance at $1747, going further you can mark the zone where the price has been moving for a long time from $1820 to $1883, only when it breaks it will move towards the resistance at $1946, then the fourth resistance at $2035 $, and then a fifth resistance at $2145. The CHOP index indicates that most of the energy has been used. The MACD indicator remains in a downtrend, while the RSI is moving in the lower part of the range, which can give a positive place for the upcoming price increase.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT 4H Interval Targets and StoplossHello everyone, let's look at the ETH to USDT chart on the 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving below the local downtrend line. Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can take into account: T1 = $1774 T2 = $1790 T3 = $1809 T4 = $1834 AND T5 = $1864 Now let's move on to the stop loss in case the market goes down further: SL1 = $1700 SL2 = $1656 SL3 = $1619 AND SL4 = $1585 Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy has been used, the MACD indicates an ongoing local uptrend, while the RSI has a large increase, which may give the price a rebound or a sideways trend in the coming hours.
by cryptodailyuk
XRP/USDT 1DInterval ReviewI invite you to review the XRP chart this time taking into account the one-day interval. As we can see, the price has moved down from the uptrend line. Now let's move on to marking the support places for the price and we see that the first very strong support that currently holds the price is at $0.45, however, if the price goes lower, the next support is at $0.42, and then the third support at 0 $39. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see first resistance at $0.49, then second resistance at $0.51, third resistance at $0.53, then fourth very strong resistance at $0.55. The CHOP index indicates that we have a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD indicates a return to the downtrend, while the RSI shows a rebound to the lower part of the range, which creates room for future increases.
by cryptodailyuk