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XAU/USD 22 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish pullback phase, react at M15 demand zone, perhaps as deep as H4 or D demand zone to then target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 21 August 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Previous Intraday expectation was met and price has printed a bullish iBOS. Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Internal structure has been established and price reacted at discount of 50% EQ, however, price has also failed, as yet, to target weak internal high, therefore, price could potentially be seeking further liquidity and could be targeting M15 demand zone. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high but thus far has failed, therefore, price is perhaps seeking further liquidity (M15 demand zone) to fuel. bullish continuation. Alternative scenario: We need to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 21 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Intraday expectation to remain the same as analysis dated 18 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. H4 demand zone is positioned the same as bearish CHoCH positioning. Intraday expectation: On a candle-to-candle view since iBOS, price is printing higher highs, therefore, wait until price indicates pullback. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Previous Intraday expectation was met and price has printed a bullish iBOS. Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Internal structure has been established and price reacted at discount of 50% EQ, however, price has also failed, as yet, to target weak internal high, therefore, price could potentially be seeking further liquidity and could be targeting M15 demand zone. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high but thus far has failed, therefore, price is perhaps seeking further liquidity (M15 demand zone) to fuel. bullish continuation. Alternative scenario: We need to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 20 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Intraday expectation to remain the same as analysis dated 18 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. H4 demand zone is positioned the same as bearish CHoCH positioning. Intraday expectation: On a candle-to-candle view since iBOS, price is printing higher highs, therefore, wait until price indicates pullback. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 19 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in my analysis dated 16 August 2024, whereby internal structure was bearish. We needed to be mindful that H4 internal structure was bullish. Price has printed a bullish BOS and iBOS. Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price to react at discount of 50% EQ, or M15 demand level to target weak internal high. Price may seek liquidity at M15 supply level to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Alternative scenario: Price to target weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 19 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias to remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 18 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. H4 demand zone is positioned the same as bearish CHoCH positioning. Intraday expectation: On a candle-to-candle view since iBOS, price is printing higher highs, therefore, wait until price indicates pullback. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in my analysis dated 16 August 2024, whereby internal structure was bearish. We needed to be mindful that H4 internal structure was bullish. Price has printed a bullish BOS and iBOS. Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price to react at discount of 50% EQ, or M15 demand level to target weak internal high. Price may seek liquidity at M15 supply level to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Alternative scenario: Price to target weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 19-23 August 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all time highs with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line. I have previously mentioned that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought close to current price action. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. After bullish iBOS we expect bearish pullback. First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, and 50% internal EQ are almost identical. We currently do not have any indication of price pulling back. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. H4 demand zone is positioned the same as bearish CHoCH positioning. Intraday expectation: On a candle-to-candle view since iBOS, price is printing higher highs, therefore, wait until price indicates pullback. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 16 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias to remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 15 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per previous intraday expectation, price was approaching internal high, however, due to US CPI data, and traders trimming rate-cut bets due to US CPI data, price had a bearish reaction, nonetheless, bullish structure remains intact. Intraday expectation: Price to continue to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price targeting weak internal low printing a bearish iBOS. Bullish CHoCH positioning and strong internal high are positioned at the same level, however, as price has pulled back to discount of 50% internal EQ, I am happy to confirm internal low. Price has reacted at H4 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low, however, and as per yesterday's intraday expectation, we need to be mindful that H4 internal structure is bullish. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 15 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per previous intraday expectation, price was approaching internal high, however, due to US CPI data, and traders trimming rate-cut bets due to US CPI data, price had a bearish reaction, nonetheless, bullish structure remains intact. Intraday expectation: Price to continue to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met due to US CPI data release and traders trimming rate-cut bets which saw XAU print bearish price action. Price has printed bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback initiation. Price has also reacted at 50% EQ of the internal structure. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low, however, we need to be mindful H4 TF remains bullish. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
4
XAU/USD 14 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following bullish iBOS, price printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation. Internal structure is substantial, therefore, I have zoomed out in order to obtain a better view of structure. Price has reacted at an M15 supply level, however, the move did not sustain sufficient bearish momentum and it seems weak internal high is being targeted. Intraday expectation: Whilst I have mentioned that price may target weak internal high, price may well print a secondary reaction to the M15 supply level in order to gain more liquidity to complete bearish pullback phase. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 13 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per previous analysis, particularly alternative scenario, which was: We need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. This is exactly how price printed. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following bullish iBOS which indicates bearish pullback initiation. Internal structure is substantial, therefore, I have had to to zoom out so you may obtain a better view. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 12 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: I will keep my analysis/bias the same as dated 06 August 2024 in order to demonstrate alternative scenario and how the HTF's will always hold more weight over LTF's. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 09 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 08 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 07 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAU/USD 06 April 2024 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
4
XAU/USD 05 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has now printed a bearish iBOS. Although price has not yet print a bullish CHOCH, price has pulled back into premium of 50% EQ, therefore, I am happy to mark the current low as an internal low thereby giving us an internal range. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal low, however, we have had two failed attempts which could mean price is seeking liquidity to fuel it's drive down, therefore, price to react at premium of 50% or M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
4
XAU/USD 02 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 31 July 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. After BOS/iBOS price is expected to pullback. Last analysis and intraday expectation was for price to pull back into discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high which currently seems underway, therefore, intraday expectation remains the same. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has now printed a bullish iBOS aligning itself with swing structure. Price has reacted at H4 supply level to possibly initiate bearish pullback phase. CHoCH line is denoted with a blue dotted line with price yet to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH, trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand levels before targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario: Price to continue bullish to reposition CHOCH closer to current price action. To then trade down to discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand levels before targeting weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 01 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 31 July 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. After BOS/iBOS price is expected to pullback. Last analysis and intraday expectation was for price to pull back into discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high which currently seems underway, therefore, intraday expectation remains the same. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price printed a bulish iBOS followed by a double bearish iBOS. Whilst the most recent bearish iBOS did not print a bullish CHoCH, I was happy to mark the internal low as price had reached 50% and in to premium of the internal EQ. After bearish iBOS we expect price to pull back, therefore, for an early indication that pullback has initiated we need to see price print a bullish CHoCH. Intraday expectation: Price to print bullish CHoCH to indicate pullback initiation before targeting weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 31 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. After BOS/iBOS price is expected to pullback. Last analysis and intraday expectation was for price to pull back into discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high which currently seems underway, therefore, intraday expectation remains the same. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS After iBOS we expect price to pull back, therefore, for an early indication that pullback has initiated we need to see price print a bullish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH has been printed which indicates bearish pullback phase initiation and internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 19 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. After BOS/iBOS price is expected to pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to pull back into discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS which confirms swing pullback phase initiation. After iBOS we expect price to pull back, therefore, for an early indication that pullback has initiated we need to see price print a bullish CHoCH. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line on the inside bar candle. We are currently trading within an internal high and fractal low. Intraday expectation: Price to print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price to trade up to premium of 50% EQ or react at M15 POI before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Price to print a lower low which would reposition CHoCH positioning closer to more recent price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 18 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. I have been previously mentioning that price could be seeking further liquidity to fuel it's bearish pullback phase and price could create a higher high to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action to allow for a more realistic indication of pullback phase. This again, is precisely what happened. Price has printed all time high and CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. 50% EQ for swing structure is denoted in black. 50% EQ for internal structure is denoted in blue. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation, however, price has been unable to sustain it's bearish pullback phase and seems to be targeting the weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Price has been unable to sustain it's bearish pullback phase. I would therefore stand aside an wait for price to confirm. It may be possible that price will print a higher high which would bring the internal low closer to current price action allowing for more realistic confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS which confirms swing pullback phase initiation of the swing structure and has also confirmed swing range, however, I will be monitoring this. Intraday expectation: Internal structure is bearish, swing and internal high are positioned the same making swing high weak but the internal high strong. I would therefore stand aside and wait to see how price reacts at M15 supply level before taking action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 17 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. I have been mentioning that price could be seeking further liquidity to fuel it's bearish pullback phase and price could create a higher high to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action to allow for a more realistic indication of pullback phase. This again, is precisely what happened. Price has printed all time high and CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. 50% EQ for swing structure is denoted in black. 50% EQ for internal structure is denoted in blue. Intraday expectation: Allow price to continue it's bullish momentum and print bearish CHoCH to indicate pullback initiation. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has print both internal and swing BOS (Break Of Structure) Price has printed a bearish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price could potentially be targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario, price to react at M15 supply zone, pullback into discount of 50% or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 16 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. I have previously mentioned on a few occasions that I was concerned that price has not pulled back deep enough into either discount of internal 50% EQ or tapped in to any POI's. I also mentioned that price could be seeking further liquidity to fuel it's bearish pullback phase and that price could create a higher high to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action to allow for. This is precisely what happened. Price has printed a higher high and CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Allow price to continue it's bullish momentum as price could potentially print a further higher high which would bring CHoCH positioning even closer to current price action. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met with price breaching strong high printing a double bullish iBOS. This was not unexpected H4 was continuing it's bullish leg. After bullish iBOS price printed bearish CHoCH, traded down to discount of 50% EQ and reacted at M15 POI. Intraday expectation: Technically, internal structure is bullish and price is obviously targeting weak internal high, therefore, price should print a bullish iBOS. However, we need to remain mindful that H4 could initiate pullback at any moment, therefore, limiting M15 bullish momentum. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 15 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has reacted from daily supply zone which could potentially initiate the bearish pullback phase following bullish iBOS. Bearish CHoCH positioning, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, is quite a distance away from price, therefore, for a better indication that pullback phase has initiated I would like to see price print a bearish CHoCH. Intraday expectation: Both swing and internal structures are bullish. We currently do not have any indication or confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore stand aside and allow price to print a bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As previously mentioned, following bullish iBOS last week, technically price should have targeted weak internal high as price was in the discount zone of 50% EQ with internal structure being bullish and that we should be mindful that H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, therefore, I would not have be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. Price printed a bearish iBOS, therefore, the previous intraday expectation was correct. Following bearish iBOS price printed a bullish CHoCH which indicates bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price reacted at premium of 50% EQ but could not target weak internal low. Price could potentially seek more liquidity by trading up to M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK