What to do when you are late to the party? ETH volatility!Phew! What a morning! Just look at those numbers! Volatility! 🤑
Now we all are super hyped with recent ETH success to break ATH God knows how many times in the last 48hrs. That is fantastic!
However, if it all stopped there and the price would be stable - we would not be here! Daily traders need volatility.
What's so special about volatility I hear you saying? Surely it should be obvious that we all want to buy low and sell high. So if it is always high... You get the gist.
Here are today's technicals: Position is short. Forecasted highs at 1690 and unlikely to reach 1730. Today's bottomless lows depend on whale activity. Early morning resistance shows at 1567, mid-way point at 1470. Let's rock this boat!
Dailytrading
Historic ETH success! What's next?Yesterday we experienced history as ETH hit an all-time high! It was not a clean slate cut - before ETH could even breach 1500 mark, it was heavily shorted and had to go up and down around 9 or 10 times before it hit 1502. Once resistance was broken, ETH took off! Across multiple platforms, you could see ETH frenzy. Many were celebrating and many were crying. We are also seeing a new pattern in the crypto market. Instead of reaching ATH and going down with a large dump, ETH wabbled a little and then the short squeeze kicked in. Gut feeling says that someone just accidentally stumbled into "holy sh*t have you seen shorts books* and instead of dumping, pumped ETH a little more!
So what does that mean for today? Will it go up? Will it go down? Sideways all around? Track whales and you will find your answer!
Today's technicals: Position should be Long (Eye of the storm, be vigilant Short and Long as per your better judgement). Forecasted hights 1600 with no hard ceiling. Forecasted lows 1520 with potential to implode if you all of the sudden start seeing large red candles!
Have fun and keep that volatility rising! 💸💸💸
Trade Like a Pirate: Ye needs the aRRR!!!!One of the amazing things about trading the financial markets is that it is the only industry where we “common folk” have the potential to EXPONENTIALLY grow our income day after day, week after week, year after year.
All our lives, from opening up our first lemonade stand to landing our first job, we are taught to make LINEAR income: to exchange TIME for MONEY. We are told that we must work “X” amount of hours per day, and you can earn “Y” amount of money. If you want more money, you simply have to work longer and harder: work overtime, work a second job, or start a "side hustle", and though it is true you can increase your earning power through multiple income streams or by climbing the corporate ladder, you are always going to be limited to the amount of money you can make because there are only so many hours in a day that you can work.
As Al Pacino said in Scarface, "Say hello to my little friend…” May I introduce to you, “R”, which stands for “Return”.
There are two powerful paradigms that you, Dear Trader, have access to in our glorious financial markets, and our primary goal needs to be that we MAXIMIZE all we can from them.
Paradigm Number One is a popular reason that we enter the fray: Instead of "working for our money” we trade so that we can "make our money work for us." Instead of clocking into a job where are are assigned duties where we will earn our daily bread, we take our “bread" and we assign it to a company, a commodity, or a currency in the stock, options, futures, and forex markets. We aim to hit “X” dollars per day or “Y” PIPs per day and call ourselves successful traders.
Paradigm Number Two is where the magic is, and is the topic of this article: let's “kick it up a notch” as Emeril likes to say. Instead of trying to earn "so many dollars per day," let us instead set our sights on achieving a certain “R” per day.
“R" is a measure of *return* based upon the amount of ‘risk’ we are willing to take on any trade. A good rule of thumb is that with any trade, you should never risk more than 1% of your account equity and you should never get into a trade without at *least* a 3-to-1 expectation of Reward if you are correct. This is known as the "reward-to-risk ratio”, or “R”. The working principle behind this is that we want to keep our risk *small* (i.e. you won’t blow up your account with a bad trade) and our reward *large*, where your winning trades will give you a minimum of three times what you are risking.
In this scenario of 3:1 you don’t have to be the best of traders to be a profitable trader. Say you do 3 trades per day and you were a mediocre trader, where you are only batting one out of three. You can only have a 33% hit rate, only winning one of every 3 trades, and if that were the case you would win 3%, lose 1%, and lose 1%, netting 1 “R" for the day. (3-1-1 = 1)
"1R? What good is that?" you might ask? Well here’s where we start talking about the *miracle* of compounding. On Day 1 with a $10,000 account you would look at risking $100 per trade to win $300. If you lost 2 and won 1, your account now has a value of $10,100. So on day 2 you aren’t risking $100, but $101. Every day you place 3 trades and win at least 1, your account grows not linearly, but *exponentially*. Each week you are making more and more money EVEN THOUGH YOU ARE DOING THE SAME AMOUNT OF WORK. By week 34 you are risking $500 to make $1,500. At the end of the year, (theoretically of course) that $10,000 could be worth over $120,000 - Your account has now grown in an order of *magnitude* from where you started. And all you are doing is placing 3 trades per day. Day in. Day out.
Do it again for year 2 and see what you come up with! Every day you are doing the same amount of work, but every day you are generating an increasing amount of cashflow as the 1% you are risking grows each and every day.
What does it take to get these kind of results? First, it takes a system of trading that you can follow that can give you at least a 1-in-3 success rate. Second, (and this is the hard part...) it’s all about YOU. Every day you don’t trade is anther day your net worth doesn’t grow… another day you will have to WAIT to achieve your dreams, whatever reason it was that you decided to become a trader.
But once you start realizing the power of R you will NEVER want to trade time for money again: you will want to increase your net worth by 1R, 2R, 5R per day until you reach that Magic Number you need to say “I’m done… I’ve got all the money I need to live as long as I need to enjoy the lifestyle I desire.”
TradingView makes it super-simple to put this philosophy into practice. Using the Long & Short Position tool, you can map out your trade, right-click the tool, select “Create Limit Order” and then change the “% Risk” field to 1%, 0.25%, or whatever your trading plan requires. (My personal “R” is one quarter of one percent, .025). For stock trading, the tool then automatically fills in the number of shares that will satisfy your risk percentage. For futures, it automatically calculates the number of contracts, and for Forex (most brilliantly!) it will automagically perform the necessary currency conversion and calculate the number of Units you can trade. THIS FEATURE ALONE is why I became a Premium subscriber to TradingView to trade through my Forex and Futures brokers - no more position sizer spreadsheets!
If you are not using the Long and Short position tool to place your orders you are missing out on a great resource. I will leave a link to a TradingView blog post on how to use it below.
A great exercise to get you excited about trading like a pirate is to create your own trading spreadsheet and calculate like a Pirate: Calculate your “aRRRRRRR” in multiple scenarios. There are 250 trading days per year give or take. What if you grew by 1R per day and you traded every day? What if you grew by 3R per day but you only traded 2 days per week? What if you were an options trader and you only traded on Mondays but you gained 7R per week? What if you threw in a home-run 20R trade every 3 weeks? (Yes, they do happen!) What’s your end retirement goal? $2 million? $7 million? When can you calculate that you will get there? By estimating your exponential growth you will be able to estimate the you will reach your life target.
Although these scenarios are idealized (we’re not *always* going to have a “Green Candle Day”) we need to have a PLAN for our trading activity. Having a *plan* and matching that with a *vision* will give you a *passion* to DO what you need to do so you will GET what you want to get.
As Louis Carrol said, “If you don’t know where you are going, any road will get you there.” And as Norman Vincent Peale said, "Shoot for the moon. Even if you miss, you'll land among the stars.” Make you plan, and work your plan. And having an exciting Vision will help you wake up early, stay up late, and stay on track.
I hope this lesson helps you bring out your inner pirate… I’ll see you on the high seas of the financial markets!
Trade Hard, and trade well… Till next time…
-Anthony
www.tradingview.com
THE BULLS ARE NOT GONE YET!!I'm sensing strong bullish pressure from the Daily Time-frame. Indicated to the left of the chart is a MA crossover between my Exponential & Weighted Moving Averages. Price recently bounced off of Daily Support towards the end of June. I expect the signal EMA to make a potential crossover with the 200 EMA.
(Orange Line) If that occurs i predict price movements towards Daily Resistance.
Comment below your analysis of GJ
xau/usdhere are my previsions for xau/usd we wish that the market will be stable . Since now the dollar has declined so as we know the gold is linked to dollar , and in this period the united states is preparing for a new wave of corona virus , due to those reasons the dollar has declined ...so stay tuned for today i am observing the market for news and we wish that the market won't pull back to the up side .
EURCAD technical analysis in 60 minute timeframethat's in flat ABC corrective pattern that will complete the B single wave after that the C one and all of this patterns are the parts of one zigzag pattern in the bigger timeframe that the Z singlewave of this pattern is very good opportunity for sell.
bubble in chainlink going to disappear on this chart, we face to several signal that encourage us for continuing down trend.
A & B is two top that had touched line trend. In the second touch (B) we found out chart can't make higher high.
On the Ichimoko, we face two patterns of line and Komo with 26 period. this is important reverse signal. 9, 18, 26 is important numbers for the patterns in this indicator.
we have to notice supports (1 & 2).
I think chart will touch support 1 for several times but on the base of RSI, charts need to break downs to disappear bubble.
Notice: we have to focus in the valid breakdown for support 1.
this chart had made huge bubble which need to destroy. long side charts can change psychological bubble.
AUDUSD – buyers have open positionAUDUSD – buyers have open position
Trend: Strong Buy
Support/Resistance:
R4: 0.70222
R3: 0.69921
R2: 0.69492
R1: 0.69172
S1: 0.68977
S2: 0.68695
Price action:
Buyers continued price very confident to the price level at 0.69126, where last daily candle closed. Buyers might relaxed for a while and give a chance to sellers to their first support. Overall market price is now at very good buyers position, which is more ment to buy Australian dollar then sell it.
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets:
T1: 0.69492
T2: 0.69921
T3: 0.70222
Bears targets:
0.68695
NOTE – We are trading AUDUSD via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
EURCHF – this pair is at risky level, where we have to wait for EURCHF – this pair is at risky level, where we have to wait for sell if we get sign
Trend: Sell/neutral
Support/Resistance:
R1: 1.10259
S1: 1.09775
S2: 1.08999
S3: 1.08375
Price action:
Buyers were keep going to break resistance level at ,but sellers showed first push few days ago very strong. If they will push again, then we know the answer, but if the buyers keep going and hold above first resistance level, then buyers will have open position.
Potencial trade idea:
Bears targets:
T1: 1.08999
T2: 1.08375
NOTE – We are trading EURCHF via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
EURJPY – Jpy currency is still in weakness, while buyers might pEURJPY – Jpy currency is still in weakness, while buyers might push higher
Trend: Strong Buy
Support/Resistance:
R4: 122.163
R3: 121.717
R2: 121.381
R1: 121.069
S1: 120.400
Price action:
Buyers might continue this trend after they break and hold above first resistance, if they're enough strong. First hard and slow target is at 121.381 level. If buyers will go forward, then trending way will follow buyers power.
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets:
T1: 121.381
T2: 121.717
T3: 122.163
NOTE – We are trading EURJPY via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
EURCAD – Sellers trending continuationEURCAD – Sellers trending continuation
Trend: Sell/Neutral
Support/Resistance:
R2: 1.45330
R1: 1.44905
S1: 1.44756
S2: 1.44357
S3: 1.44205
Price action:
This case might be for amaterur very tricky. As you can see buyers didn't give us reaction, so the next target for sellers is recent Lower Low and might be even deeper to 1.44357 level.
Potencial trade idea:
Bears targets:
T1: 1.44357
NOTE – We are trading EURCAD via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
CADCHF – Buyers might continue trendingCADCHF – Buyers might continue trending
Trend: Buy/Neutral
Support/Resistance:
R3: 0.76779
R2: 0.76566
R1: 0.76330
S1: 0.76126
S2: 0.75823
Price action:
Buyers marked first higher high at 0.76330 level in trending flow. Continuation and their focus on other targets will be if sellers will not show much power and if buyers are able to hold above 0.76330
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets:
T1: 0.76330
T2: 0.76566
T3: 0.76779
NOTE – We are trading CADCHF via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
GBPJPY – Following Gbp trending is showing performance to buy thGBPJPY – Following Gbp trending is showing performance to buy this pair
Trend: Strong Buy
Support/Resistance :
R3: 145.741
R2: 143.270
R1: 140.699
S1: 137.820
Price action:
Price hold above trending flow, which will first test Higher High levels and then we'll see if Yen currency will deny again. Buyers are enough confidant to continue trending flow in buy way, but still depending on sellers answer retracement.
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets:
T1 = 140.699
T2 = 143.270
T3 = 145.741
NOTE – We are trading GBPJPY via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
GBPAUD – Bears hasn't react yet, so daily analysis will show us GBPAUD – Bears hasn't react yet, so daily analysis will show us if sellers are ready to react very strong
Trend: Strong Buy
Support/Resistance:
R4: 1.97145
R3: 1.94481
R2: 1.90087
R1: 1.88622
S1: 0.86416
S2: 0.84203
Price action:
This currency pair is currently is strong trending, which is headed to new higher highs. Gbp currency recover from fundamental reasons. Tehnically has to confirm resistance level at 1.88622 to hold above and continue to Higher High level at 1.90087. If buyers will show their performance much stonger, then we might see all target levels.
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets:
T1: 1.90087
T2: 1.94481
T2: 1.97145
NOTE – We are trading GBPAUD via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
EURCHF – this pair is at risky level, where we have to wait for EURCHF – this pair is at risky level, where we have to wait for sell if we get sign
Trend: Sell/neutral
Support/Resistance:
R1: 1.10259
S1: 1.09775
S2: 1.08999
S3: 1.08375
Price action:
Buyers were keep going to break resistance level at ,but sellers showed first push few days ago very strong. If they will push again, then we know the answer, but if the buyers keep going and hold above first resistance level, then buyers will have open position.
Potencial trade idea:
Bears targets:
T1: 1.08999
T2: 1.08375
NOTE – We are trading EURCHF via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
Strong up move is writtenTrend: Strong Buy
Support/Resistance:
R2: 0.76198
R1: 0.75760
S1: 0.75454
S2: 0.75454
Price action:
If buyers are enough strong to hold key level at 0.75454, then buyers will buy position stronger after they’ve already broken strong 0.75454 level.
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets :
T1: 0.75760
T2: 0.76198
NOTE – We are trading CADCHF via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy