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DAL

DAL Projection *UPDATE*NYSE:DAL With rising fuel prices, its not helping the airline industry (jet fuel is one of their major expenses) combined with shuydowns. I am still bullish as this investment is getting cheaper for me to get back in at a lower price (averaging down). Still waiting for the 29th when I anticipated a bottom of $20.49 for further adjustments. An addition to this holding, an energy investment that benefits from rising energy prices may be a hedge (i.e. MR NYSE:MR ).
NYSE:DALLong
by investinfamily
DAL 1w to 6w trading outlookNYSE:DAL This chart represents my 1w to 6w trading outlook on DAL. Background: The unprecedented turmoil in which global airline industry found itself is yet to clear up and show signs of resolution, despite the fact that the covid-19 curve is somewhat flattening, this does not means that we are close to be back on track with the global economy's recovery. We are yet to truly and fully comprehend and measure the long term effects of covid-19 pandemic and its collateral damage to the global economy. As a result - entire industries will be reshaped and restructured and global recovery will potentially take years to get to the pre-pandemic levels of Dec 2019. Until there will be developed vaccine/herd vaccine - there will quite a lot sensitivity and edginess in the markets. CL1 (oil) broke the recent support despite the cut in production from last week which is not a bullish sign for the global economy. The market is on drugs and is not acting rationally (fed aggressively pumping money into the economy via intra-venous injections) and there likely will be bad withdrawal symptoms for the markets. Potential catalyst this week - Q1 earnings call (expected on Apr 22nd). This upcoming week we approaching Q1/20 earnings call (which apparently has been delayed for a couple of weeks and for good reasons). It is obvious that Q1/20 earnings will be in red for the first time in over a decade. Since the beginning of the pandemic he company burnt through the vast majority of its cash and took on more debt and govt "relief". About 90% of its scheduled flights (=revenue) are cancelled and it is unclear when the company will return to fly at its full capacity if ever. What I will be paying close attention to is company's guidance and outlook for the rest of the year. Anything has to do with uncertainty and less-than-expected recovery outlook will potentially cause a sell-off and brake the current short-term support line (blue on the chart). As of today @24$ DAL is trading way over it's current market capitalization (under pandemic conditions and taking into account that recovery might take years) there's a lot of room towards the bottom. Technicals - on the above chart you see near-term green support line and near-term red resistance line which outline the range in which the stock was trading in recent weeks since the outbreak of the pandemic in the US. In the last few weeks there was formed a support tine (blue line on the chart). At the bottom of the chart you will see the white all time low line above which there are 4 yellow-ish strong historical support and resistance lines which will be relevant in case DAL breaks the short-term blue support line (potentially on the earnings call news next week). If this break happens - I expect the price to fall to 14.95$ area (top yellow historical resistance line) and in coming weeks after - followed by tumbling lower and settling to trade anywhere in the range of the yellow historical lines on the chart. If DAL breaks through and closes above 27.5$ - 28$ red resistance - sentiment is bullish and we will be looking into resistance line becoming a new support. There are quite a few good trades that can be constructed with the described above scenario. Share your thoughts with me. Thank you for reading and good trading!
NYSE:DALShort
by targetismoving
4
DAL - Delta Airlines - Who Will Own The SkiesA lot of Buzz around the airline industry since the bailout this week, so we're taking a look at Delta ($DAL), along with every other person who just downloaded their Robin Hood account this month. Hearing a lot of the "airlines are so cheap, airlines can't fail, people aren't going to stop flying" comments. Correct, people will not stop flying, just depends on who owns the plane. Airlines can most definitely fail. American Airlines is still fresh off Bankruptcy that occurred in this decade!! Airline operating costs and gas do not come cheap. Why do you think you're paying $4 for a bag of potato chips. Fundamentals: 1. Buffet just dumped $314 million worth of Delta shares alone this month 2. Delta just accepted the Stimulus $ in which they can use to stop the bleeding, but they can't lay off any employees (around 90,000 of them) at least until September. They're burning around $60 million per day, so they expect that money to be gone by around June unless they get more $ or people start flying 3. DAL had around 600,000 passengers on a given day in March, they're now around 38,000. Technical: We see price consolidation and price seems to have found support around $20-$22 range. Usually this is a continuation pattern forming, which leads to more downside. If you're going to play this, this is a complete gamble at the moment. Would only buy to go in and out quikc trades. We're not long on airlines until we start seeing people book vacations and businesses stop using Zoom instead of traveling for work. Go tight with the stop loss, as any breaking news can push the stock either way. If we play it, target buy at $21.50-$22.00 with a stop loss at $20.00. Target #1 at $28.78, Target #2 at $34.82. Hit us with a like and a follow for more updates. Cheers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NYSE:DAL
by MannyLo
Delta in a Bearish Pennant? Thoughts?However, I am overall bullish on Delta. I actually think this stock may drop even further especially looking back to 2012. Let me know your thoughts. It looks bullish on lower time frames.Untested levels from 2012 remain and it appears to be making a bearish pennant on 2D-Weekly. Let me know why you think this is bullish, because apparently everyone does. Don't let the drastic price drop make you think we have hit a bottom. We would need a massive bull candle and if you see the higher levels that hasn't happened or any signal of a reversal.
NYSE:DALShort
by DigitalData
1
$AAL EPS Projection = -$2.47 / Falling WedgeI will be looking for $AAL to follow this falling wedge downwards and likely lag till earnings. Earnings may cause more downside. Wall Street Journal EPS Projection: -$1.83 More realistic EPS: -$2.47 I believe revenue projections are heavily understated as shown by Ford. $UAL has quarterly revenues under 10 billion and predicted a revenue loss in march alone at 1.5 billion . $AAL I am betting will have lost more revenue than 1.5 billion in March. If we take into account $UAL projecting losses of 1.5billion in March when their revenue is under 10 billion a quarter it is safe to say that $AAL would lose 1.5 billion in revenue as well, which is generous because they could have lost more. Projected Revenues/Expenses/Net Income/EPS Operating Expense for Q1: 10.157 billion Operating Expenses for January: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for February: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for March: 3.386 billion Operating Revenue for Q1: 10.757 billion Operating Revenue for January: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for February: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for March if it were a normal month, based on trends: 3.585 billion Non operating expenses: 158 million Net income in January: 200 million Net income in February: 200 million (generous) Expected losses in revenue for March: 1.5 billion Expected Operating revenue for March: 2.085 billion. Net income in March: -1.3billion 200 mill + 200 mill -1.3billion - 158 million = -1.058 billion before taxes No clue how this loss would be taxed, so let's just leave that alone, but this means their real net income after tax will be worse than -1.058 billion -1.058 billion / 428.2million weighted outstanding shares = -$2.47 EPS or worse. This is important because a normal falling wedge like this would break towards the upside, however if earnings are truly this bad I believe there may be more downside.
NASDAQ:AALShort
by bishopknight
Different airlines, different leverges."The Senate's bailout package, which deals with the economic crisis caused by the coronavirus, will give airlines $25 billion in direct grants as long as they agree not to place any employees on involuntary furloughs or discontinue service at any airports they now serve until at least the end of September. Another $25 billion is available for loan guarantees."-- CNN Four popular American Aviation industry leaders are under fire sale.. but which will hold till the end and outperform in your portfolio? I made a fundamental comparison of these companies. mainly focusing on debt/bankruptcy risk.
NASDAQ:AAL
by UnknownUnicorn3827973
12
Smarter than Buffett?"Delta plunges after Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway slashes its stake" is the morning's headline following the announcement. As investments I don't know why anyone would want to own airlines. They are too exposed to all kinds of risk... world economic factors, energy, terrorism, and now plagues. But to trade airlines... the contrarian in me combined with a price action alert makes me want to test for an opportunity. Earnings are this week and I do not expect anything they say to help or harm what is already known; that Delta is burning through a whopping $60 million per DAY! So while there is some earnings gap risk I'm going to keep my position small and exploratory. Let's see if this is the double bottom of the Daily.
NYSE:DALLong
by norok
3