Why S and R works so good - Spring & Upthrust WyckoffWelcome Traders to a new Educational Posts.
Today we will have a deeper look at Support and Resistance. One of the most popular chart techniques out there, but the question?! Do they really work?
Absolutely YES. But probably not like most of the traders think they do. That simple Break and Retest Strategy. NOOO!
I would like to introduce you to the extended version of Support Resistance. The Wyckoff Spring and Upthrust.
Wyckoff Spring and Upthrust
In other words they are simply the Fake Outs at Support and Resistance Levels. The idea behind it is to get an entry exactly there where most of the trader will put their SL.
-> WHY?!
because of the LIQUIDITY
The whole market is based on Liquidity (Supply Demand). The bigger fish will always win. Those who have the bigger amount will always dominate here. Just FACTS . So how do you want to position yourself in the market. Exactly there were 95% of the Retail Traders will put there SL? Or do you want to change your perception on how you view the market.
This will completely change your view on the Forex Market.
Supply Demand
What I also do is I use my own style of Supply Demand to identify exactly those areas where most of the trader will put there SL and I will place exactly my Entry there with a very tight SL to get bigger Risk Reward. Of course I will not have that much of valid entries for my setups as they do not occur as often as Support Resistance Setups but the Total Risk Reward is a complete new Level. WHY?
Example Upthrust
Because you are rocking the market with the market movers. You are always clearing with these entries both sides.
#1 Sellers at Resistance because of Upthrust
#2 Breakout Trader(buy) because of Upthrust
Sell is the right decision in this case but most of the Traders will lose that Trade due to SL hit. Everybody is placing the Entry and SL different but the majority is losing this trade.
Spring Example
This was the bigger manipulation as the price did a strong move to the downside through the level of Support. This level was a very interesting level for Retail Traders to buy. Doji occured for Price Action Confirmation but the price dropped down to the level of Demand. Why? -> Liquidity. All SL were located there so Market Movers had there buy limit order placed exactly there.
Conclusion
With this Post I do not want to judge Retail Traders using Support Resistance. Maybe you found a nice Strategy with that and you are profitable. I am also using Support Resistance but simply in a different way as you can see. I just wanted to share with you my thoughts behind Support Resistance and how I use them to be profitable
Please leave a LIKE if you found this Post useful and share your thoughts below!
Darius
GBPUSD short - Bearish CorrectionWelcome to a new Update
On GU we had a strong move to the downside.
Monthly:
It was because of the monthly timeframe. We are currently completing the correction based on the last impulse move to the upside.
Weekly:
Nice bearish Pinbar so signalize us the market will go down. This also the point why I expect it to go up first before dropping down. To collect some more liquidity.
Daily:
Bearish environment. We broke the trendlind
Lower Timeframes:
M Formation on the h4. Therefore I would like to see market going up before dropping down lower
What do you think of this Analysis? Share your opinion of this pair below.
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XAUUSD short - Still in the Correction, Top DownWelcome to a new Update
Monthly:
Has made new high and since them it is in a correction. Still in a bullish environment and we can expect the bullish continuation after the correction. Target is Fib Level 0.618 from the monthly impulse
Weekly:
is in the bullish flag / correction move. Still in this downtrend Channel.
Daily:
Bearish environment. Impulsive to the downside.
We should wait for the price to retrace till the previous level of support which is now Resistance and to enter from there into a nice short to rock Gold to the Downside
Lower Timeframes:
Watching here Price Action at the Resistance Level is super important to get a nice short entry.
What do you think of this Analysis? Share your opinion of this pair below.
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EURUSD long or short - Supply Demand, Top DownWelcome to a new Update
Monthly:
Bullish environment. The market is currently in the Correction Phase. Long Term we can expect big moves to the upside.
Weekly:
Here we can see clearly that the market is in a bullish Flag. Moving in a very Corrective way. Currently it is also at weekly Support.
Daily:
The daily has two sides. It is currently at a daily Demand Zone. However the market could go easily more to the downside before moving up as we are still in a bearish environment
Lower Timeframes:
The key element is to wait right now for a clean Price Action Confirmation to go long or to go short.
Opinion:
I do expect from this daily demand + weekly support at least a correction move to the upside
What do you think of this Analysis? Share your opinion of this pair below.
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EURUSD long - Supply Demand, Elliot WaveFor EURUSD I see the price moving more to the upside. We are currently at a very strong level of Demand from where I do expect the market do go up.
The possibility is still here to go more to the downside before the market will finally go up higher.
What do you think?
XAUUSD short - Supply Demand, Elliot Wave, Head and ShoulderOn Gold I expect one last move to the downside before this market will crazy rally up.
Also we can see a nice potential Head and Shoulder Pattern on the h4. Let's see if it will occur. I do not expect that this one will retest the neckline.
What do you think?
GBPUSD short - Supply Demand, weekly Fib ResistanceAs we can see the price is currently rejecting the weekly Fib Resistance. I do expect that the market will give us Retracement based on the daily impulse. Also it needs to go down to grab some more liquidity for the upcoming bullish move
What do you think?
EURUSD short and then long - Supply Demand, Elliot WaveFor EURUSD I expect right now that the market will drop down at least for a small correction. Based on the last impulse to the upside the market needs to give us right now a correction. This is perfect in confluence with the Supply Zone.
At the Support Level / Demand we also have an inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern. This will bring the price to the upside.
Everything is also in confluence with the Elliot Wave Theory. The market has provided us a nice ABC Correction. Right now it started a new impulsive to the upside
What do you think?
XAUUSD short - Supply Demand, Elliot WaveOn Gold I expect that the market will drop down till the Support Level. Previously the market rejected the Demand Zone. Right now we got a bearish pattern. The M Formation on the daily. This is why we want to see a nice move to the downside.
What do you think?