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How to Trade a Platform: Position-Style Entry and Exit SignalsPlatform Position Style Trading is a trading style that is ideal for those of you who have a career and can only trade once a week to a few times a week. It is also great for retirees who do not want to sit all day monitoring your stocks. It is a very low-risk trading style with higher profit potential, as the hold time is a week to a few weeks. The platform is the Buy Zone for Dark Pools who trade OFF the public exchanges on unlit Alternative Trading Venues. There are 50 ATS venues. There are 15 public exchanges where all retail trading is transacted. The Dark Pools create small incremental price action that is always horizontal as they control price to the penny spread and have a tight price range that pings their TWAP orders and other professional types of orders not available to retail traders. Professional traders who trade as a business independently, search for the liquidity draw and the tight price action so they can nudge an HFT or MEME group to drive price up speculatively while the pros take huge profits. If you learn to get in with the professional traders, then your profits will be significantly higher. Risk is minimal because Dark Pools accumulate over several months, often 3 - 6 months, and that provides you with the time to enter. Then, you can ride the momentum or velocity run up with the professionals. The TT Accum/Dist and Volume Oscillators provide entry confirmation signals before the price moves up and exit signals BEFORE the price moves down. Hybrid Leading Indicators are important for trading the modern stock market which is automated and transacts on the millisecond scale on the professional side.
NASDAQ:PLTREducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
4
Downtrends Finding Support for the Next Uptrend: AMAT ExampleNASDAQ:AMAT was over-speculated in 2023 and then had a top formation that trended down starting in July 2024. This is still considered technically to be an intermediate-term trend correction. The selling started at an all-time high. HFTs are constantly in the mix, selling down. However, the shift of sentiment has started and there are gaps up recently. It is NOT in a buyback mode but the stock is finding support from the 2021 highs, which is strong support. This should provide the basis for the beginning of a bottom formation.
NASDAQ:AMAT
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
$AAL Formation Analysis for American Airlines Group1. Bullish Flag Formation: The chart shows a strong upward move (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase, where the price moves downward in a controlled and narrow channel (red trendline). The consolidation phase is marked by lower highs and lower lows, which aligns with a bullish flag pattern. This pattern suggests that the stock may break out upward, continuing the prior bullish trend. Key Levels: Breakout Point: Above $17.52 (resistance formed by the flag's upper red trendline). Confirmation: A strong breakout candle with high volume would confirm the pattern. Target: The height of the flagpole (~$2.50) can be added to the breakout point, projecting a target around $20.00. 2. Ascending Support: The green trendlines indicate ascending support levels, reinforcing a broader bullish trend. The price has consistently respected these trendlines, showing strength and buyers stepping in on dips. 3. Moving Average Support: The stock is trading above key moving averages (likely 8 EMA and 21 EMA), confirming a bullish bias. The 21 EMA (around $17.11) is providing dynamic support, with multiple recent bounces off this level. Potential Trade Setup: Bullish Scenario: Entry: Above $17.52 with confirmation of a breakout. Target: $18.50 (short-term) and $20.00 (based on the flagpole height projection). Stop Loss: Below $17.00 (to account for a failed breakout and loss of momentum). Bearish Scenario (if the pattern fails): Entry: Below $16.80, breaking the ascending green trendline and moving average support. Target: $16.47 (next key support level) and $15.50. Stop Loss: Above $17.35 to limit losses in case of a false breakdown. Conclusion: The chart currently shows a bullish flag pattern with potential for a breakout above $17.52, targeting higher levels. However, if the price fails to hold the ascending support or moving averages, a pullback to lower support levels is possible. Monitor for confirmation with volume to validate the breakout or breakdown.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by thedarkpooltrader
$BA Analysis and Prediction for Boeing CompanyChart Overview: Instrument: Boeing Company (BA) Timeframe: Daily Chart Indicators and Features: Dark Pool Levels: Key levels at 183.30, 180.79, and 169.48. Trendlines: Red trendlines indicate resistance and support zones. Green trendline shows the long-term ascending support. Moving Averages: Likely 8 EMA, 21 EMA, and 50 EMA to confirm trend direction. Volume: Not visible but implied for confirmation at breakouts or reversals. Key Observations: Current Price Action: BA is trading near a dark pool resistance level at $183.30, which has shown historical relevance for reversals or slowdowns. The price has been in a consistent uptrend, supported by the ascending green trendline and staying above key moving averages. Resistance Levels: $183.30: Immediate dark pool resistance and psychological barrier. $186-$188: Potential extension target based on upward momentum, aligning with the upper red trendline. Support Levels: $180.79: Nearest dark pool support level. $176.87: Key support level aligned with the red trendline, acting as a potential bounce zone. $169.48: Strong support and dark pool level, marking the base of the current uptrend. Trendlines and Momentum: The red ascending channel suggests BA is nearing the top of its short-term range. The green ascending trendline reinforces the long-term bullish trend. Trading Scenarios: Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation: If the price breaks and sustains above $183.30, it could trigger further upside momentum. Entry: Go long above $183.30, confirmed with a strong candle close and volume. Profit Targets: Target 1: $186 (upper resistance). Target 2: $188 (potential upper boundary of the red trendline). Stop Loss: Place below $180.79, the nearest support and dark pool level. Scenario 2: Pullback to Support: If the price fails to break above $183.30, it may retrace to lower support levels. Entry: Go long at $176.87, where the price aligns with support from the red trendline. Profit Targets: Target 1: $180.79 (dark pool resistance turned support). Target 2: $183.30 (current resistance level). Stop Loss: Place below $176.00, just under the trendline support. Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown: If the price breaks below $176.87, it could trigger a deeper correction. Entry: Go short below $176.00 with confirmation. Profit Targets: Target 1: $169.48 (strong dark pool support level). Target 2: $165 (potential psychological level and historical support). Stop Loss: Place above $180.00, invalidating the bearish move. Risk Management: Use a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio to optimize trade profitability. Adjust position size based on individual risk tolerance. Volume Consideration: Watch for a volume spike at key levels ($183.30 for breakout or $176.87 for pullback). Increased volume validates institutional activity and provides confirmation for the move. Summary: BA is currently in a strong uptrend, testing significant resistance at $183.30. A breakout above this level could lead to further bullish momentum, while a failure may result in a pullback to key supports at $180.79 or $176.87. Traders should monitor volume and price action closely for confirmation at these levels.
NYSE:BALong
by thedarkpooltrader
1
$ASND Analysis and Prediction for Ascendis Pharma A/SChart Overview: Instrument: Ascendis Pharma A/S (ASND) Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart Key Features: Dark Pool Level: Highlighted at $140 (critical resistance). Pivot Resistance: R1 ($141.91) as a significant resistance level. Support Levels: S1 ($130.43), MY TGT ($127.07), and S2 ($124.47). Trendlines: Green ascending trendline providing support. Price approaching a wedge structure, tightening between resistance and support. Volume: Recent increases in volume, particularly on dips, indicate potential accumulation. Key Observations: Resistance at $140 and $141.91: The price has faced multiple rejections around the $140-$141.91 zone, forming a strong resistance. These rejections are marked by lower highs, signaling seller strength at these levels. Support at $135.85 and $130.43: The $135.85 pivot level aligns with the ascending green trendline, acting as immediate support. A breakdown below this level could lead to a move toward $130.43 (S1 support), followed by $127.07. Ascending Wedge: The price is tightening within an ascending wedge pattern, with the upper bound at $140 and the lower bound following the green trendline. This setup suggests an imminent breakout or breakdown. Volume Analysis: Increasing volume on support bounces shows potential buyer interest. However, lack of volume during rallies toward resistance ($140) indicates hesitation to push higher. Trading Scenarios: Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout: Entry: Go long above $140 with confirmation (strong candle close above resistance and increased volume). Targets: Target 1: $141.91 (R1 resistance). Target 2: $144-$145 (psychological resistance and potential Fibonacci extension). Stop Loss: Below $135.85, invalidating the breakout. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown: Entry: Go short below $135.85, confirmed by a breakdown of the ascending green trendline and volume spike. Targets: Target 1: $130.43 (S1 support). Target 2: $127.07 (MY TGT and stronger support zone). Target 3: $124.47 (S2 support). Stop Loss: Above $140, invalidating the bearish thesis. Risk Management: Use a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio to ensure profitable trades. Adjust position sizes according to individual risk tolerance. Volume Consideration: A volume spike at key levels (breakout above $140 or breakdown below $135.85) will validate directional moves. Weak volume during consolidation increases the likelihood of a false breakout or breakdown. Summary: The current chart setup for ASND suggests a critical decision point. The ascending wedge pattern indicates tightening price action, with resistance at $140-$141.91 and support around $135.85-$130.43. A breakout or breakdown from this zone will determine the next significant move. Traders should monitor volume and price action closely for confirmation.
NASDAQ:ASNDShort
by thedarkpooltrader
Analysis and Prediction for Starbucks Corporation SBUXChart Overview: Instrument: Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) Timeframe: Daily Chart Indicators and Features: White Dashed Lines: Represent key dark pool levels. Trendlines: Red lines represent major resistance. Green line marks ascending support. Supply Zone (SZ) and Demand Zone (DZ)**: Highlight potential zones of liquidity and institutional interest. Pivot Levels: R1 at 102.59 and R2 at 108.73 serve as key resistance levels. Key Observations: Descending Resistance: The upper red trendline shows a long-term descending resistance. SBUX recently tested this resistance around the R1 (102.59) level but failed to break out, leading to a rejection and drop. Dark Pool Levels: Key levels to watch: $98.60: Acts as immediate resistance and a potential reversal point. $91.65: A key demand zone (SZ) aligned with a dark pool level. $86.30: Lower demand zone and ultimate support for bulls. Ascending Support (Green Line): The ascending green trendline has held as a strong support level during prior dips. The current price bounced off this support around $86.30, indicating buyer strength. Potential Reversal Zone: After a sharp selloff, the price has bounced back to the $91-$93 range, which lies close to a short-term support zone (SZ). This indicates a possible consolidation before the next significant move. Pivot Levels and Supply Zone: The R1 (102.59) level is a critical resistance, aligning with the red descending trendline and prior rejection. R2 (108.73) represents the next profit target if SBUX can break above R1. Trading Strategy: Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout: If the price sustains above $94.00, we could see bullish momentum toward the following: Target 1: $98.60 (dark pool resistance). Target 2: $102.59 (R1 and major resistance). Target 3: $108.73 (R2). Entry: Long positions above $94.00 with confirmation (strong volume and candle close). Stop Loss: Place below $91.00 (below the demand zone and green support trendline). Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation: If the price fails to break $94.00 and reverses, we could see: Target 1: $91.65 (demand zone/dark pool support). Target 2: $86.30 (ascending trendline support and demand zone). Entry: Short positions below $91.00 if breakdown is confirmed. Stop Loss: Place above $94.00. Risk Management: Use a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. Position size should reflect individual risk tolerance and account size. Volume Consideration: Watch for a volume spike near key levels (94.00 or 91.65) to confirm breakout or breakdown scenarios. Summary: This chart shows a critical point for SBUX, where buyers are defending a demand zone ($91.65-$93.00). A breakout above $94.00 would suggest a move toward $98.60 or higher, while a failure to hold above the green trendline would indicate further downside to $86.30.
NASDAQ:SBUX
by thedarkpooltrader
$SLV Trade Analysis DarkPoolsChart Overview: Instrument: iShares Silver Trust (SLV) Timeframe: 4-hour chart Indicators on Chart: Moving Averages: Likely 8 EMA and 21 EMA for short-term trend analysis. Dark Pool Levels: Represented by white dashed lines at key levels. Trendlines: Red Line: Downtrend resistance. Green Lines: Support forming an ascending wedge after a potential trend reversal. Horizontal Resistance: Yellow Line at $29.00: Major psychological and technical resistance. White Dashed Lines near $28.20 and $26.53: Key dark pool levels. Key Observations: Descending Channel Reversal: SLV was previously in a clear downtrend marked by the red resistance and green support lines. The recent breakout above the green support line and consolidation near $27 indicates a potential shift in momentum. Ascending Triangle Formation: After the breakout from the previous downtrend, the price has formed a triangle pattern, with resistance near $27.08 and ascending support at $26.96. This formation is often a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout if the price can breach the resistance. Dark Pool Levels: $28.20: An immediate target, aligning with prior price action and a dark pool level. $26.53: A significant support level where institutional activity may provide a floor for the price. Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance: $27.08: Triangle resistance. $29.00 - $29.13: Major resistance and likely profit-taking zone. Support: $26.96: Immediate ascending support line within the triangle. $26.53: Key dark pool support level and invalidation zone for a bullish outlook. Volume: A breakout above $27.08 should ideally be accompanied by a volume spike to confirm institutional buying and sustained bullish momentum. Trade Idea: Entry: Breakout Entry: Enter above $27.08 with confirmation (strong candle close and increased volume). Pullback Entry: Enter near $26.96, the lower support of the triangle, for a better risk-reward setup. Profit Targets: $28.20: First target aligning with the dark pool level. $29.00: Major resistance and likely profit-taking zone. $29.13: Final target, slightly above the psychological resistance zone. Stop Loss: Close below $26.53: Invalidation of the bullish setup and indicates a likely continuation of the downtrend. Risk Management: Position size should be calculated based on risk tolerance. Ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, considering the entry near $27.08, stop loss at $26.53, and first target at $28.20. Additional Notes: Volume Confirmation: A breakout above $27.08 should be accompanied by a surge in volume to validate the move. Dark Pool Influence: Watch price behavior near $28.20 and $26.53 to gauge institutional activity. Caution: If the price consolidates too long near the triangle resistance without breaking out, it may signal weakness and increase the probability of a breakdown.
AMEX:SLV
by thedarkpooltrader
$XOM Trade Analysis DarkPoolsKey Observations: Descending Wedge Pattern: The chart shows a descending wedge, marked by a narrowing price range between the green support line and red resistance line. This is a bullish reversal pattern. Price is currently testing the upper red resistance trendline, signaling a potential breakout. Dark Pool Levels: Key levels include: 111.76 (BA SW). 110.82 and 109.12 acting as potential support or resistance zones based on price action. These levels suggest significant institutional activity, making them critical for trade planning. Support and Resistance: Support levels: The wedge's lower green trendline near 106.28. Major dark pool support at 104 (BB SW 104). Resistance levels: 108.07 (Dark Pool Level). 111.76 and 112.00 (Dark Pool and Fibonacci target). Higher targets at 115.00, 117.50, and 120.00 (Fibonacci extensions). Trend Analysis: The price is currently near the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, suggesting consolidation and potential for a breakout. A break above 108.07 (dark pool level) could trigger bullish momentum. Trade Idea: Entry: Breakout Entry: Enter above 108.07 if confirmed with strong volume. Pullback Entry: Enter near 106.28, the lower wedge support, for a better risk-to-reward ratio. Profit Targets: 112.00: First target aligning with Fibonacci and dark pool levels. 115.00: Second target, key Fibonacci extension. 117.50: Third target based on continued bullish momentum. 120.00: Final target for a strong bullish move. Stop Loss: Close below 106.00: Invalidates the wedge pattern breakout. Close below 104.00: Signals bearish continuation, as the price would break significant support. Risk Management: Ensure position size aligns with risk tolerance. Risk-to-reward ratio should be at least 1:3, considering entry at 108.07, stop loss at 106.00, and initial target at 112.00. Additional Notes: Volume Confirmation: Look for above-average volume on breakout above the wedge's resistance line. Dark Pool Reaction: Monitor price action near dark pool levels (especially 108.07 and 111.76) for reversals or breakouts. Fibonacci Levels: Higher Fibonacci extensions suggest strong potential upside if the breakout is sustained.
NYSE:XOM
by thedarkpooltrader
$SPY Trend Analysis DarkPoolsChart Overview: Instrument: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Timeframe: 4-hour chart Indicators on Chart: Moving Averages: Two moving averages, possibly the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, are visible and used for trend analysis. Dark Pool Levels: Represented by white dashed lines. Fibonacci Extensions: Horizontal levels plotted as profit targets. Trendlines: Yellow Lines: Represent a rising channel encompassing long-term price movement. Red and Green Lines: Form a triangle pattern suggesting potential price breakout. Volume Indicators: (Not directly visible, but implied in analysis as crucial.) Key Observations: Dark Pool Levels: A level around 605 (BA SW 605). Another level at 586.16 (BB SW 585). These levels often indicate significant institutional trading activity and are likely areas of support/resistance. Triangle Breakout: Price has broken out of a triangle pattern (green and red lines), indicating bullish momentum. The breakout occurred after a strong push above the 597.12 - 596.11 zone, confirmed by the candle close. Trend: The price is trading above both EMAs, which signals bullish momentum. The broader channel suggests an upward trend with potential consolidation at the top. Targets: Fibonacci-based profit targets are clearly defined at: 607.50 610.00 612.50 615.00 The first target (607.50) aligns with a critical resistance zone, suggesting potential short-term profit-taking. Support Zones: The previous triangle breakout zone (around 596.11) serves as a strong support. The lower dark pool level (586.16) provides additional safety if the price retraces significantly. Trade Idea: Entry: If not already entered, consider a pullback entry near the 597-596 range, which aligns with the EMAs and breakout level. Profit Targets: 607.50: Partial profit-taking area; first resistance. 610.00: Secondary target if bullish momentum sustains. 612.50: High-probability target if momentum accelerates. 615.00: Final target aligning with the Fibonacci extension. Stop Loss: Close below 596: Invalidates the bullish triangle breakout. Final Stop: Close below 586.16 (dark pool support), marking a shift to bearish momentum. Risk Management: Position size based on risk tolerance. Risk-to-reward ratio should ideally exceed 1:3, considering a stop at 596 and initial target at 607.50. Additional Notes: Volume Confirmation: Ensure the breakout is supported by a volume surge to validate institutional involvement. Dark Pool Activity: Watch for price action near 605 (BA SW) as it could act as temporary resistance.
AMEX:SPY
by thedarkpooltrader
$TSLA is now "Playing Ping Pong" Trade Analysis DarkPoolsOverview Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is currently trading at $430.60, with significant dark pool activity at $430.75 (DP 1.5M). The stock is in an uptrend, but recent price action shows a pullback from the $492 high, indicating indecision. Tesla is now "playing ping pong" between the 4 EMA and 8 EMA, with price reacting to the $430.75 dark pool level. Technical Analysis Key Observations Ping Pong Action: The stock is oscillating between the 4 EMA (red) and 8 EMA (yellow), creating a range-bound movement as buyers and sellers fight for control. The dark pool level at $430.75 is acting as a pivot point, with the price consolidating around this critical level. Trend Analysis: Tesla remains above the 21 EMA (blue), which indicates the uptrend is still intact despite the pullback. A breakdown below the $430.75 dark pool level could signal further bearish momentum. Dark Pool Activity: The $430.75 (DP 1.5M) level represents significant institutional interest and is a critical support/resistance zone. Failure to hold this level would likely lead to a test of lower targets, such as $399.45. Fibonacci and Targets: Target 1: $348.74. Target 2: $306.85. Target 3: $269.95. These levels align with Fibonacci retracement zones and long-term support areas. Trade Plan Bullish Scenario: Key Factors: The price bounces off the 8 EMA or $430.75 dark pool level and reclaims the 4 EMA, signaling a bullish continuation. Entry: Long position above $435, confirming a bounce above the 8 EMA. Profit Targets: First Target: $450. Second Target: $492. Stop Loss: Close below $430, as it invalidates the bullish setup. Bearish Scenario: Key Factors: The price breaks below the 8 EMA and the $430.75 dark pool level, confirming bearish pressure. Failure to hold the 21 EMA would accelerate the downtrend. Entry: Short position below $429, confirming a breakdown. Profit Targets: Target 1: $399.45. Target 2: $348.74. Target 3: $306.85. Stop Loss: Close above $435, as it invalidates the bearish setup. Conclusion Tesla is currently oscillating ("ping pong") between the 4 EMA, 8 EMA, and the $430.75 dark pool level, signaling consolidation with no clear trend direction yet. A break above $435 could lead to a retest of $450, while a breakdown below $430.75 may target $399.45 or lower. This setup offers clear entry points and risk management for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by thedarkpooltrader
$SPY Trade Analysis DarkPoolsThis chart appears to be analyzing the SPY ETF (S&P 500 ETF Trust) on a 30-minute timeframe, with various levels marked for support, resistance, trendlines, and potential targets. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis based on what is visible in the chart: Trend Analysis: Downtrend Observed: The red trendline indicates a clear lower highs (LH) pattern, suggesting a bearish structure. The green trendline highlights a previous descending support line, which was broken, followed by a recovery. Current Context: SPY is below the red trendline, which is acting as resistance. The price is hovering near the EMA cluster (moving averages such as 8 EMA and 21 EMA), indicating indecision or consolidation. Key Levels: Resistance Zones: 595.23 to 599.31: This range aligns with previous pivot points and overlaps with a lower high (LH), making it a significant resistance area. 604.37 (DP): A dark pool level from 12/18 indicates where institutional activity occurred. Breaking this level could signal bullish momentum. Support Zones: 590.96 to 586.50: Price currently sits above this cluster, suggesting short-term support. 578.93 (90 SMA): The 90 SMA acts as a longer-term support level. Potential Trade Ideas: Bullish Scenario: Entry: Above 595.23, ideally with a strong close above the red trendline. Targets: T1: 597.63 T2: 599.31 T3: 604.37 Stop Loss: Below 593.87, the most recent support level. Bearish Scenario: Entry: Below 586.50, confirming a breakdown below immediate support. Targets: T1: 585.00 T2: 580.00 T3: 578.93 Stop Loss: Above 588.00, invalidating the breakdown. Indicators: EMA Strategy: Watch for a cross of the shorter EMA (e.g., 8 EMA) below the longer EMA (e.g., 21 EMA) for bearish confirmation, or vice versa for bullish momentum. Volume Confirmation: Increased volume at breakout levels strengthens the validity of the move. Overall Outlook: The current price action is consolidating between 595.23 (resistance) and 586.50 (support). This range-bound behavior may continue until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs. A move above the red trend-line could suggest a bullish reversal, while a break below the lower support zone would confirm bearish continuation. Why the 6:15 Candle is Key: Liquidity Shift: Around 6:15 a.m. EST, pre-market trading often experiences a shift in liquidity as larger institutional traders and automated systems begin positioning themselves ahead of the regular market open. This creates a noticeable increase in volume or volatility. Reaction to Overnight News: By this time, many traders have processed overnight news, including international market developments, economic data, or corporate announcements. The 6:15 candle often represents the market’s collective sentiment to these inputs. Early Dark Pool & Futures Activity: Institutional players and hedge funds might act on dark pool or futures activity signals around this time. For instance, the SPY chart you provided shows interest in identifying areas that coincide with pre-market setups for further price movement. Key Levels for the Day: The high and low of the 6:15 candle in pre-market trading are frequently used by day traders as pivot points. These levels often act as intraday support or resistance, with price reacting around these zones during the regular trading session. Interpreting the 6:15 Candle in Your Chart: Looking at your chart: The 6:15 candle seems to be sitting just below key resistance at 591.14. This candle’s high and low can serve as short-term levels: High Break: A break above the 6:15 high signals bullish momentum. Low Break: A move below the 6:15 low indicates bearish pressure. For SPY, this candle is important because it often sets the tone for the first trading hour of the day. How to Use the 6:15 Candle: Range Breakout Strategy: Mark the high and low of the 6:15 candle. Use these as breakout or breakdown levels for the regular session. Pre-Market High/Low Alignment: If the 6:15 candle aligns with pre-market highs or lows, it reinforces the importance of those levels. Volume Confirmation: Check if the 6:15 candle has significant volume compared to previous candles. A spike in volume confirms institutional interest. EMA Relationship: Notice if the 6:15 candle is above or below key moving averages like the 8 EMA or 15 EMA. This gives insight into short-term sentiment. In Summary: The 6:15 pre-market candle acts as a pivotal reference point: High and low levels often dictate intraday trading strategies. It reflects liquidity shifts, news reactions, and institutional activity. Use it alongside volume, EMAs, and resistance/support zones for more accurate predictions.
AMEX:SPY
by thedarkpooltrader
$TSLA Trade Analysis DarkPoolsOverview of Chart The updated chart for TSLA shows additional volume information, key pivot levels (R1, R2, R3, P, and S1), and dark pool prints, which provide a clearer picture of institutional activity and support/resistance zones. The chart continues to reflect the stock's bullish trend but highlights a potential consolidation phase around critical resistance. Key Observations Trend Continuation with Consolidation: TSLA remains in an uptrend, with the price still above the 8 EMA (white line), which acts as a short-term dynamic support. However, the current candles indicate consolidation near the R2 pivot level ($443.60), where selling pressure is evident. Dark Pool Prints and Institutional Activity: The dark pool print at $436.17 (1.6M shares) remains a critical support level. This suggests institutional interest in this price area, likely acting as a floor for further pullbacks. Holding above this level confirms bullish sentiment. A failure to hold this level could accelerate a bearish pullback toward lower pivot levels. Volume Analysis: The chart now shows elevated volume on recent red candles, which suggests increased selling pressure near resistance levels. Notably, the volume spike is not overwhelmingly bearish, indicating potential profit-taking rather than a complete reversal of the trend. Pivot Levels and Support/Resistance Zones: Immediate Resistance: The R2 pivot ($443.60) is acting as a ceiling for TSLA's recent upward momentum. Breaking this level could result in a move toward R3 ($514.82). Immediate Support: The dark pool level ($436.17) and the 8 EMA align as immediate support levels. Below this, the R1 pivot ($391.77) and 21 EMA ($393.86) represent the next significant supports. Bearish Divergence Risk: While the overall trend is bullish, the consolidation near R2 and elevated selling volume suggest a potential pullback if support levels fail to hold. Trade Plan Bullish Scenario: Entry: A confirmed breakout above the R2 pivot ($443.60) with increasing volume. Ideally, a daily close above this level will confirm the breakout. Targets: First Target (T1): $456 (recent swing high). Second Target (T2): $514.82 (R3 pivot). Stop Loss: Below the dark pool level ($436.17). Bearish Scenario: Entry: If TSLA closes below $436.17 and the 8 EMA, indicating a loss of short-term bullish momentum. Targets: First Target (T1): $413 (pivot support). Second Target (T2): $393.86 (21 EMA). Stop Loss: Above the R2 pivot ($443.60). Additional Considerations Risk Management: TSLA is volatile, and trades should consider position sizing and stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively. Monitor the overall market sentiment (e.g., SPY, QQQ) for confirmation of broader trends. Institutional Influence: Keep an eye on how the price reacts to the dark pool print at $436.17. Institutional support or rejection here will guide the next move. Broader Market Factors: Tesla's price can be influenced by sector-wide news (e.g., EV market trends) and macroeconomic factors (e.g., interest rates or broader tech sentiment).
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by thedarkpooltrader
4
SPY Technical Analysis PredictionThis chart is a daily timeframe for SPY (S&P 500 ETF), displaying multiple indicators such as pivot points, dark pool levels, trendlines, moving averages, and volume. The current market structure suggests a potential trend transition phase, with price currently consolidating near critical support levels. Key Observations: 1. Trend Structure: The long-term uptrend is still intact, supported by the green ascending trendline originating from prior lows. The recent pullback breached the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, which implies short-term bearish momentum. However, price is consolidating near the S1 pivot level (579.18), suggesting possible support. Higher Highs (HH) were achieved earlier in the trend, but the failure to maintain levels near the R1 pivot (614.64) indicates resistance and profit-taking. 2. Support and Resistance: Resistance Zones: 600-604: A psychological resistance level and the approximate region of the 8 EMA. 609.07: The previous swing high and a critical level for a bullish continuation. R1 (614.64): A strong pivot resistance level. Support Zones: Immediate support at S1 (579.18), which aligns with current consolidation. Lower supports are seen at S2 (555.80), S3 (543.72), and the ascending green trendline (~524). Dark pool levels between 513.20 - 522.91 represent critical institutional zones, which may act as strong support. 3. Volume Profile: Significant volume spike on the most recent red candle indicates institutional activity. If price remains above key supports (S1, S2), this could suggest accumulation. A breakdown below S1 would imply further distribution and downside. 4. Dark Pool Levels: Dark pool prints at 522.91, 518.92, and 513.20 mark critical price levels for institutional interest. A break into these levels would indicate bearish momentum but could offer significant buying opportunities near those zones. Trade Setup: Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from S1 (579.18) Trigger: A strong bounce off S1 with price reclaiming the 8 EMA (currently near 600) would confirm bullish momentum. Profit Targets: 595-600: The immediate resistance zone and EMA alignment. 609.07: The swing high from earlier in December. 614.64 (R1): A longer-term target at the pivot resistance. Stop-Loss: Below 575, as this invalidates the bullish setup. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below S1 (579.18) Trigger: A break below S1 with high volume and price failing to reclaim the 8 EMA would confirm bearish continuation. Profit Targets: 565.16: The prior swing low and intermediate support. 555.80 (S2): A strong pivot support level. 543.72 (S3): A deeper downside target. Stop-Loss: Above 595, as it would indicate a reversal back above resistance. Scenario 3: Long-Term Reversal Near Dark Pool Levels If price falls into the dark pool zones (522.91-513.20), this could offer significant long-term buying opportunities, especially near the ascending green trendline (~524). Final Thoughts: Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation near S1 requires close monitoring for either a bullish reversal or a bearish breakdown. Volume and price action at the EMAs and pivot levels will be crucial indicators. Long-Term Outlook: The green trendline and dark pool levels represent strong support zones, offering potential for accumulation if prices drop further.
AMEX:SPYLong
by thedarkpooltrader
$ NVDA Trade Analysis DarkPoolsThe chart demonstrates the price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) with significant levels, volume spikes, trendlines, dark pool prints, and pivot levels. NVDA has experienced notable price fluctuations, forming a broader pattern of higher highs and higher lows, but it is now testing critical support levels after a pullback. Key Observations Trend Analysis: Primary Trend: The long-term uptrend is intact, with the green ascending trendline providing consistent support. Short-term Trend: The recent candles suggest a pullback within the uptrend, with price action consolidating near the S1 support ($129.07) level. The price remains above the long-term ascending support line, maintaining its overall bullish structure. Dark Pool Prints: Key dark pool levels are marked, showing significant institutional activity: $136.71 (most recent dark pool print): The price recently rejected this level, which could act as near-term resistance. $124.65 and $119.37: These levels represent potential downside support if the price continues to fall. Support and Resistance Zones: Resistance: The price is struggling to reclaim the $136.71 dark pool level, which aligns with the R1 pivot ($140.76). Above this, the next major resistance is R2 ($162.07). Support: Immediate support is at S1 ($129.07). A breakdown here could lead to a retest of the $124.65 dark pool level or the S2 pivot ($119.39). The long-term trendline and S3 pivot ($102.98) are critical for maintaining the bullish bias. Volume Analysis: The chart shows high volume near support levels, indicating significant activity. This suggests either strong buying interest or institutional distribution. Potential Reversal Zone: A clear head-and-shoulders pattern might be forming. If the neckline around $129.07 breaks, it could confirm a bearish reversal, targeting levels near $119.37 or lower. Trade Plan Bullish Scenario: Entry: A confirmed breakout above $136.71 (dark pool level) with increased volume. Targets: First Target (T1): $140.76 (R1 pivot). Second Target (T2): $152.89 (mid-resistance). Final Target (T3): $162.07 (R2 pivot). Stop Loss: Below the ascending trendline and $129.07 (S1 pivot). Bearish Scenario: Entry: A daily close below $129.07 (S1 pivot) with momentum and volume confirmation. Targets: First Target (T1): $124.65 (dark pool level). Second Target (T2): $119.37 (dark pool level). Final Target (T3): $102.98 (S3 pivot and trendline support). Stop Loss: Above $136.71 (dark pool resistance). Additional Considerations Dark Pool Reactions: The $136.71 level will play a crucial role in determining near-term direction. Watch for rejections or sustained price action above this level. Head-and-Shoulders Risk: A break below $129.07 could lead to a measured move lower based on the head-and-shoulders pattern. Market Context: NVDA is heavily influenced by the tech sector (QQQ). Broader market conditions will provide context for whether this pullback is temporary or part of a larger correction.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by thedarkpooltrader
Beyond Basic Candlestick Pattern AnalysisLearning to Recognize Who Is Controlling the Stock Price There is a plethora of training on Candlestick Pattern Analysis and interpretation, and yet this remains one of the most problematic areas for Technical Traders who want to trade at the expert level. Once the basics of Japanese Candlestick Patterns are understood, it is time to move up to the next tier of analysis. That is being able to recognize not only where a pattern is, but also who forms that pattern, why they are capable of creating that pattern, what automated orders generate that pattern, and which Market Participant Groups react or chase that pattern. Nowadays it has become critical to include Volume with Candlestick Analysis, because this provides the basis for recognizing which Market Participant Group created that candle pattern. Candlestick Pattern Analysis at the expert level involves more than just one to three candles. Instead it includes a larger group of candles in the near term. This is what I call "Relational Analysis." This is especially useful for Swing Traders, Momentum Traders, Velocity Traders, Swing Options Traders, and Day Traders using Swing Style Intraday action. The NYSE:RAMP chart is an excellent example of a Candlestick Pattern for Swing Style Trading. See where High Frequency Traders (HFTs) took control of price, and gapped the stock down for one day on extreme volume. Selling did not continue the following two days, and Volume was above the Moving Average, but much lower than the High Frequency Traders' spiking Volume pattern. This was the first accumulation level for this stock. Dark Pools started buying the stock even though High Frequency Traders were selling, since they typically miss this initial buy mode of the giant Institutions. High Frequency Traders typically create the final gap down to the low which, if it reverses quickly, indicates a Buy Zone area for the Dark Pools. These patterns are what I call "Shifts of Sentiment." They happen in bottom formations where buying is generally dominated by the Largest Institutions' quiet accumulation. The next phase will be when Professional Traders and then High Frequency Traders discover the Dark Pool accumulation. The bottom is not complete, but it shifts sideways if more Dark Pools decide to buy.
NYSE:RAMPEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
SNPS Breakout Potential to the UpsideNASDAQ:SNPS has been range-bound since 2023 and is finally showing technical patterns that reveal Dark Pool hidden accumulation, pro trader nudges, and the potential for HFTs to gap and run the stock upward. This stock is setting up to challenge the all-time high. Often in the current Moderately Up-trending Market Condition, HFTs will gap the stock over the resistance level. So keep the stock on a watchlist to look for pro trader nudges or resting-day candles that indicate the pros are attempting to trigger HFTs to gap the stock up. IF the HFTs gap the stock, then pro traders will take profits immediately, selling into the foray of retail traders chasing the gap. The goal is to enter before a potential gap. The stock may not gap. However, the pattern is indicative of more HFT activity.
NASDAQ:SNPS
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Buybacks vs. Dark Pool RotationThis lesson is about understanding the dynamics behind corporate buybacks. Sell-Side Institutions, aka the Banks of Record, have their floor traders do the actual buying of shares on behalf of the corporation. However, the Dark Pools, meaning the Buy-Side Institutions, start selling as the buybacks are going on. This training will help you enter a buyback sooner and exit with higher profits for swing trading. We'll study the NASDAQ:AAPL chart to identify buyback candlestick patterns and how to see when the Dark Pools are selling to lower inventory, which is called "rotation." You will also see how the TTAccum/Dist indicator works, and how I use this excellent, leading Hybrid Indicator to aid in my analysis.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
3
Dark Pool Buy Zones Explained with Pro Trader Nudge SignalsThis lesson is about how to identify when a hidden quiet accumulation of a stock is underway and how to prepare for the momentum runs that follow. NYSE:DIS is our example for today. Dark Pool activity is explained in detail. Alternative Transaction System (ATS) Venues are called Dark Pools of Liquidity. A Buy Zone is an extended period of hidden accumulation of often millions of shares of stock over several weeks to months. Professional traders use these buy zones to enter on the penny spread and instigate a trigger of HFT gaps to the advantage of the pro trader. Learn how you can profit from this activity for swing trading or position trading.
NYSE:DISEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
What Is Money Flow In & Out of a Stock? And Why Should You Care?Professionals often speak of money flowing in or out of a stock, but how can that be if there is an equal number of buyers and sellers? It is because “Money Flow” comes from the balance of the lot sizes. There are four possible positions in any one stock: Buy Buy to Cover Sell Sell Short Each investor and trader in the stock has their own separate agenda. Each may come from a different Market Participant Group. There are now 9 Stock Market Participant Groups, starting from those who buy first, at the bottom of a new upward cycle: The giant Buy Side Institutions who invest Mutual and Pension Funds and/or create ETFs and other kinds of stock market derivatives. The Sell Side Institutions, aka the big banks and major market makers Wealthy Individual Investors Corporations Institutional/ Pro Traders High Frequency Traders (HFTs) Small Funds Individual Small-Lot Investors, Investment Groups and Individual Retail Traders Odd-Lot Investors Buyers are anticipating that the stock is going to move up. Their stock order types span the spectrum, for example: Market Orders, Limit Orders, Stop Orders. Buy to Cover Orders are placed by traders who sold short and are now taking profits. Those who are selling the stock are anticipating that the stock is going to move down. In an uptrending stock, this is profit-taking near the top of the run. It can also be similar in a downtrending stock because the seller is afraid that the stock is going to move down more, and they have been holding through what they thought was a short retracement. Most of these stock order types will be “Sell at Market” (SAM). Sell Short Traders are anticipating that the stock is going to move down, and they can place a variety of orders just like the buyers. Both Buyers and Sell Shorters are entering the trade, while Buy to Covers and Sellers are exiting the trade. It is the mix of these different types of buying and selling coupled with the kind of investor or trader and the size of their share lots that causes money to flow in or out of a stock. If the buyers are mostly large lots and the sellers are mostly small lots, who is in control? The buyers purchasing large lots . This is because, at some point, there will not be enough small-lot sellers, and those who are Selling Short will turn and start Buying to Cover, creating more of a shortage of sellers. Consequently, this will put more pressure on the buy side. There are always latecomers to a stock run, and they are usually small-lot buyers. As the stock moves up in price, more of the small-lot buyers will step in, pushing the price up even further. Most small-lot buyers typically use a “Buy at Market” Order, which is the worst kind to use to control the entry price. As the stock moves up further in price, the last of the Short Sellers will panic and Buy to Cover, causing the stock to gap up or jump even higher. This then triggers the large-lot buyers to start selling for profit. As profit-taking begins, the stock dips in price. This causes the odd-lot buyer, who is the last in the market participant cycle to buy, to rush into the stock and buy because they have been told to “Buy the Dip.” By now, the news media has been talking about this stock and its great run. Consequently, the odd-lot uninformed investor finds the dip irresistible and buys on pure emotion without any analysis of the stock. This causes the final gap up and exhaustion pattern. Now, while all of those odd-lot latecomers are buying, who is selling to balance the equation? Market Makers are Selling Short and the Smart Money, who were the first to enter, are selling to take profits. Suddenly, the large lots are now shifting to the downside, and what happens? The control switches to the sellers who are moving larger lots. Now, money is flowing out of the stock, yet the price may go up briefly before a downtrend develops. Large lots are usually wiser investors and traders who know more than the other investors and traders. So the giant Buy Side Institutions investing Mutual and Pension Funds, who have access to information often not yet available to Individual Investors and Retail Traders, are called the Smart Money. It can be assumed that the smaller the lot size, the less the investor or trader knows and understands about the market. As smaller lots move in, a shift of power occurs due to the large lots moving to the sell side, and thus money shifts to flowing out of the stock. As the stock collapses and reaches a price or equilibrium near a base or bottom, those smaller lots who held through the collapse reach an emotional point of extreme pain of loss and begin to sell in panic. In response, the Smart Money and Market Makers switch roles again, Buying to Cover their profitable shorts and buying to hold as the stock moves up again. Summary: Every time you take a position in a stock, there are also three other positions in that same stock. You need to be aware of each of these and make sure that you are with the right group. Most of the time, traders who are having problems with their trades are simply trading with the wrong group. It is important, then, to learn about today's stock market structure and what I call the "Cycle of Market Participants." When traders can trade with the flow of the Smart Money, they have a decided advantage.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
$AMZN: Fast Rebounds Reveal Fundamental Support LevelThe new technologies that Amazon is embracing, including robots/robotics, and a brilliant CEO keep this huge company moving forward. The HFT-driven gap down in August was massive but the rebound was fast. This isn't the first time the stock has moved right back up to its prior quarter's fundamental support range, aka Dark Pool Buy Zone. Now, NASDAQ:AMZN is slightly above that range to challenge the July high. A stock to watch ahead of its earnings report October 24th.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
Dark Pool Buy Zone Stages More Gap Up PotentialNYSE:NKE gapped again with a breakaway gap jumping over resistance. These rarely fill and if the gap fills, it will be minimal. Volume was above average. This kind of gap up sequence can happen easily when a classic Shift of Sentiment pattern forms in Accumulation/Distribution indicators as a stock bottoms. But price remains well below the previous gap down. It may gap again as the stock challenges that resistance.
NYSE:NKELong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader