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Darkpools

BA Buy Zone Triggers Short-term ProsNYSE:BA is definitely below its current fundamentals for the 1st quarter of 2024. This was the biggest gain of all the Dow 30 components yesterday. It was an obvious reversal point at a prior Buy Zone at October's lows. Yesterday was driven by pro traders with a run up at open rather than an HFT gap up at open. We can also see the pro trader nudge pattern in the candlesticks before yesterday's move up. It may consolidate before running up, but this support level is now established for the next move up.
NYSE:BALong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
NTCT: Island Gap PotentialThere is an interesting phenomenon that occurs often: when a gap down of this size occurs, followed by a bottoming action and a large white candle forms, this often becomes an island gap. HFTs that gapped the stock down gap it up again. The fact that the gap down candle is a huge white candle for this chart indicates that the gap down is below fundamental values and Dark Pools were the buyers against the HFT selling. The drop in Accumulation/Distribution at that time was smaller funds dumping which often triggers Dark Pool TWAPs. NASDAQ:NTCT has a high Percentage of Institutional Holdings at this time and it's a lower-priced stock in a pricey market.
NASDAQ:NTCTLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
FTNT: Dark Pool Buy Zone SupportNASDAQ:FTNT is a good example of a stock that had a big gap down that immediately filled due to falling below its fundamental level and a Dark Pool Buy Zone. This and the sideways trading range developing on the long-term trend creates strong support for weathering any sympathy moves from other cybersecurity stocks that have been over-speculated. Sideways action is likely to continue for a time, but AI-driven cybersecurity will only become more important in the years ahead and this stock is still at a decent price.
NASDAQ:FTNTLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
MSFT: The risks of selling shortNASDAQ:MSFT ran down yesterday but is reaching the low of the support today. The next tier of support is outlined also from the Dec-Jan Buy Zone ahead of earnings season. The risk day traders are taking selling short is if it runs below the low of the support and the Dark Pools surface to buy below its fundamental price level. This is why selling short is risky at this time. Support is around $397. The big question is where are the lows for fundamental levels for the next quarterly report. MSFT had higher revenues with slightly lower earnings. The CFO did not adjust earnings. It could gap or run down on news, but fundamentals are not way below the current price.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
AMZN Joins the Dow at an Unusual PhaseThis hugely influential company should have been on the Dow 10 years ago. Listing as a component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average usually occurs when a company is about to enter a Market Saturation to Market Decline Phase. However, such is not the case with $NASDAQ:AMZN. It's quite the opposite. Its fairly new CEO, who was the CEO of AWS, the division of AMZN known for its powerful and totally dominant PaaS cloud technology, has extensive experience in exactly what AMZN needs right now: front running new technologies and driving more new technologies to market introduction faster. The challenge to be #1 in the use of Integrated Artificial Intelligence and other new technologies in the realm of Cloud Technology is on. Who will win depends on the CEO. Never underestimate the importance of the right CEO for the current market conditions. The chart of AMZN stock implies a consolidation or platform may develop during the month and a half between earnings seasons. These patterns tend to form due to value-oriented quiet accumulation by the largest institutions while the rest of the market pulls back from buying or sells.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
COIN Completes First Post-IPO BottomAs the first of its kind, this young company has a bright future. Weekly chart: NASDAQ:COIN has completed its first post-IPO bottom formation and is holding above the completion line despite some selling down in recent weeks. The company reports Feb 15th. The fundamentals are most likely at or near the bottom completion level. The run up became over-speculated so a minor correction is underway that can dip into the completion level, but support from the bottom formation is strong with Dark Pool buy zone patterns.
NASDAQ:COIN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Fundamental Value Levels via Technical Analysis: GOOG ExampleNASDAQ:GOOG had a mega gap down on earnings news. The stock was simply over-speculated. The price of this stock was way above the true fundamental values. So the stock gapped down to its current fundamental value level. See the chart attached. The green rectangle outlines the last range where there were Dark Pool Buy Zones. Indicators like Accumulation/Distribution help to confirm a consistent level of accumulation.
NASDAQ:GOOG
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Which Robotics Stocks Are You Watching?This stock's pattern is an intermediate-term trend correction to bottom formation that is near completion. It may head sideways for a bit, but when it does breakout of this consolidation, there is potential for swing style runs to develop. A Dark Pool buy zone triggered at the bottom's lows. And there are Pro Trader footprints in each run out of a new low. NYSE:ROK is in industrial automation, aka Robotics. There is a huge demand building for manufacturing via robotics in the US as many manufacturers are no longer reliant upon Chinese manufacturing, which has become more expensive in recent years. Robotics can easily displace human workers globally as it becomes more popular and used extensively. Hence, institutional holdings is quite high in this company. The So this stock may also be suitable for longer-term investment opportunity.
NYSE:ROK
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Dark Pool Buy Zones for Trading Momentum or VelocityDark Pool buy zones, identified with Relational Technical Analysis of the candlestick patterns and where they form in the long-term trend, along with indicators that reveal large-lot activity, are the key to preparing early for momentum to velocity runs for swing trading, position trading and even for planning long-term investments. NYSE:CHWY is working on a bottom, finally basing and now starting to test the bottom completion level. This can be a strong resistance level where Pro Traders who started a swing trade from the lows are likely to take profits. Often we see a sideways action develop at this level, the lows of which are usually confined by the support level built on the way up. This would be the level to watch for the next buy entry signal. If it consolidates narrowly or briefly, then there is potential for a momentum swing trade. If it platforms a little wider but within the last support level, then a position trade entry can develop.
NYSE:CHWYLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Looking Ahead to the 4th Quarter for $DISNYSE:DIS has been working on a bottom for a long time. The stock has moved up recently due to heavy buying of Dow components for the DIA and other ETFs which require Dow components. Many Families are making Disney Resorts a holiday location this year. The stock now faces stronger bottom completion resistance from the 2nd quarterly report, which sent the stock moving down further until this October. The volume is very low recently, which is partly due to the holiday but also warns of weakening buyer activity at this price level. However, there was Dark Pool accumulation in the base of the bottom, along with some Pro Trader activity evident in the candlestick and technical indicator patterns. This range now provides moderate to strong support.
NYSE:DIS
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Understanding the Role of HFTs and Dark Pools for Day TradingNASDAQ:TSLA reports on Wednesday of this week, October 18th. Last quarter, it had a gap down on its earnings news based on Year over Year comparisons which triggered High Frequency Trading (HFTs) to gap the stock down. Quarter over Quarter, however, NASDAQ:TSLA has shown consistent growth this year. The problem with determining if the HFT gaps are likely to gap down or up on the next earnings report is the very low Percentage of Shares Held by Giant Buy-Side Institutions (PSHI). TSLA’s CEO has lost the necessary confidence of the largest Buy-Side Institutions in the world. So it's institutional interest is extremely low for such an important US company. The Buy-Side Institutions want the Board of Directors to replace Musk with someone who is more focused on TSLA to help it grow. The PSHI is likely to remain low until a new CEO is chosen. The highest the PSHI has ever been was in July 2020 when it reached a high of 71%. It dropped to a low of 43% in November of 2021 and the stock has been sideways with very low PSHI ever since. It is very rare to see such low PSHI in a young new technology company with such high growth potential. With less support from largest most influential institutions, the HFTs, which use retail news as one of their 6 primary algorithm triggers for automated orders as Maker/Takers, often gap a stock down on earnings news that was actually not negative. Smaller Fund Managers, who have a special SEC classification with lower reporting requirements, often have VWAP automated orders trigger on high volume surges. This is often mistaken by smaller funds and retail investors or traders as “Dark Pool high volume activity,” when it is not. High PSHI creates a natural liquidity draw and thus more momentum and speculative price action. This is missing much of the time for NASDAQ:TSLA stock price movement. The current sideways trend has existed since 2021, best seen on a Weekly Chart. The dimensions of the sideways trend and the irregularity of the price range determines whether the sideways trend is a Long Term Wide Trading Range, a Short Term Trading Range, a Wide Sideways Trend, or a Platform-Building Sideways Trend. This is a Long Term Trading Range due to the inconsistent highs and lows. This is common in a stock that has PSHI below 60%. On a Daily Chart, the fundamentals currently are within the rectangular shape outlined below. This area of price can be problematic for retail day traders as there are always portfolio adjustments going on by the Buy-Side Institutions who have ETFs and Index funds with TSLA as a component. When the stock drops below that Buy Zone range, it quickly reverses and runs up into the lows of that fundamental range. This becomes a price range where there is conflict between retail day traders trying to trade on news and the Buy-Side Institutions accumulating inventory shares of TSLA for the Indexes or ETF Trust accounts that must maintain a value close to the ETF or index value upon which that ETF is based. What happens intraday is a very choppy and indecisive price action up and down that causes whipsaw losses for day trading. In order to successfully day-trade TSLA, these factors must be understood to use to one's advantage. This requires an understanding of how to identify a Dark Pool Sell Zone or a Dark Pool Buy Zone within the daily charts. It also requires an understanding of how HFTs trigger and how VWAP orders often cause whipsaw action as well. Remember that Dark Pool data is not available during the trading day. That data is on Over-the-Counter Alternative Transaction Systems. Those orders are filled off the exchanges and are not transmitted to the National Clearing Houses until after the market closes. Hence, ALL retail day traders are trading against an invisible entity whose orders they can’t see even on Level 2 screens. The art of day trading in harmony with Dark Pool activity requires what I call "Relational Technical Analysis."
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
10
Dark Pool Buy Zone Signals: AEISNASDAQ:AEIS was one of the darlings of the '90s. So much fun to swing trade this stock. It is now moving up to test the all-time highs of 2021. Electronic Components are cyclical stocks typically with huge revenues ahead of holidays, school openings and summertime. The cycle is starting again. Notice that Volume Oscillators and Money Flow indicators are rising from the bottom of the chart. This pattern has been very reliable in determining the end of the run down this year. Many stocks have this pattern at the moment. This signals the Buy Zone.
NASDAQ:AEISLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Semiconductors in Focus: Top or Not?NASDAQ:NVDA has shifted sideways since the huge earnings breakaway gap, a pattern that tends to provide strong support for profit-taking. Unlike NASDAQ:AMD , the trend doesn't appear to be at risk of shifting into a downtrend at this time. While there has been some negative news pertaining to China for NVidia, the chart patterns don't indicate any concern from the largest Buy Side Institutions yet. NVDA reports again near the end of August. By the end of this month, the big Buy Sides will have made adjustments to their holdings depending on their expectations for earnings, a time to watch for any shift in the technical patterns. AMD reports early August. This short-term M top is at risk of testing support level highs below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Battle of the New EV NASDAQ ComponentsLucid and Rivian, both new components of the NASDAQ:NDX , have been showing up on the High-Volume Institutional Activity recently. NASDAQ:LCID has the beginnings of a bottom attempt developing with a Dark Pool buy zone emerging, but it's been slow-going for this EV company. Professional short-term trading is evident in the current run up, as it is in other EV companies this week, spurred by the bankruptcy of Lordstown Motors, many would say. NASDAQ:RIVN has a clearer Dark Pool buy zone developing at this bottoming level with the same Pro Trader footprint in the current run up. This type of bottom formation provides a sturdier support level--evidence of more conviction from the institutions? Both stocks have a lot of work to do to complete their bottoms for more than short-term trading at this time. Resistance AND competition are heavy ahead, as it's still early days in the race to dominance in EV Auto Manufacturing.
NASDAQ:LCID
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
12
BKNG: Hidden Accumulation CuesThe big season for vacations starts this week as schools close, graduations begin, weddings increase, and families plan big vacations this year. BKNG has had HFTs attempting to sell it down several times but it holds within a sideways trend still. This implies hidden accumulation. If it breaks to the upside, then this sideways trend becomes support. BKNG must do as all other high-priced stocks have done: do a big split to lower the share price to $100 - 300. When the Board does so, the stock has more potential for runs up rather than down.
NASDAQ:BKNG
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Did you miss NVDA's move? What now?NVDA's gap up on a stellar earnings report should NOT have been a surprise, as the chart has been showing strength since January when I mentioned it in my Morning Reports. It was completing the bottom at that time. The trend upward was showing pro traders in control of price after Dark Pool quiet accumulation. It has 64% of the shares held by institutions, which is normal for a giant-cap stock. It should actually be a Dow 30 component rather than INTC but, alas, that won't happen for a while. NVDA stair-stepped upward. This is probably one of the hardest trendline patterns to see without rectangles drawn around the step, but one of the most important to recognize professional buyer dominance. What now? The gains are now extreme. And the pros are taking profits. That means there is very high risk for buying at this moment. CAN it move higher? Of course! Euphoric retail buying can easily drive prices upward further for a short period of time. Just remember that without institutional buying at this level, any upside from here may be short-lived.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
$SPYCore PCE which is the Fed's favored methods in evaluating inflation just hit the wires and came in softer than expected, but still above the Fed's ideal. T&S is reflecting that pre-market traders are enjoying the news, albeit on low volume. It is the end of the quarter heading into the weekend so todays price action will be important, lets take a look at some levels The majority of yesterdays darkpool action occurred below the bid, the areas with the most significant orders occurred at 401.27 & 403.64, we will look at these as local supports. bulls need a break above 409, bears need a break below 400. these are the potential scenarios I will look for today : long: - break above PM high, retest & hold - dip to yday's darkpool prints & hold short: - pop to PM high & fail - break below yday darkpool prints, retest & fail resistances: 405.22, 407.20, 409 supports: 403.64, 401.27, 400, 398, 396.62,393.69
AMEX:SPY
by runNgun
ROKU Earnings: Not Bad But Not GreatROKU has an incomplete bottom ahead of its earnings report later this week. The technical patterns don't indicate a bad report, just not a great one. There is some accumulation and a shift of sentiment around the lows of the bottom formation, which are likely to provide support. It is unlikely that this stock would drop further than the Dark Pool Buy Zone unless it has a bad report. The company has struggled with Market Saturation for a while. Some strategic partnerships recently and in the future may be what the stock needs to stabilize here to eventually begin the next uptrend. Weekly chart showing strong long-term support for the current bottom formation:
NASDAQ:ROKU
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
4
JPM Earnings Reversal PatternJPMorgan Chase (JPM) reported earnings today for the 4th quarter. There was no surprise for the professionals and for the Dark Pool Buy Side Institutions. They already knew what the numbers would be. Today's candle was not just a bullish engulfing candle. It is what we, at TechniTrader, call a major fundamental REVERSAL candlestick pattern. This is a huge one-day reversal that started out as a High Frequency Trader (HFT) gap down on negative expectations from the retail side and social media telling traders to sell short JPM. Those retail day traders who tried to sell short JPM got whacked big-time. Margin calls are likely, as the sell short losses on this large of a reversal candle are huge. Why did the stock price reverse so quickly? The outlined area of the sideways consolidation pattern reveals Professional Traders’ setups ahead of the earnings report. The stock dipped into this price level, and then buying commenced that is well above average for JPM stock.
NYSE:JPM
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
ES1! RALLIES & FALLS (UPDATE)DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided an updated version of my previous chart for ES1! . POINTS: 1. Price Action has broken previous pennant and fallen into a consolidation phase. 2. Breaking through this consolidation phase would either require breaking 3900 to the upside or 3800 to the downside. Current Fall Percentage = -9.47% Current Fall in Points = -1585 Average Fall Percentage = -14.63% NOTE: *Highlighted Channel 3800 - 3900 is current price action range where DIX HAS SHOWN TO SPIKE THE MOST. CME_MINI:ES1!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DGSTBROKERACC
AMZN: Moving into A Buy Zone?The Weekly Chart of AMZN shows that the stock has dropped into a strong support price level with a risk that there could be a Dark Pool Buy Zone here. The share price is now below fundamental values. With a month before AMZN reports earnings, it will be interesting to see how the stock behaves; it will reveal how well AMZN is recovering from the hyper revenues created by the stay-at-home orders and stimulus checks of the pandemic. This is the last quarterly report that will be skewed with the revenues and earnings from the pandemic anomaly. This company MUST provide a dividend soon.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
Dark Pool & Block Prints as Support and ResistanceAs of December 9, here are the main support and resistance levels as informed by smart money order flow (darkpool and block prints over $1 million). The white trendline is the one that has connected all the major peaks in 2022. The yellow trendline has acted as support from the October low, until it was broken on 12/6. A few things to keep in mind: $5.9B of prints following Powell's speech on 11/30 and the following day, at around SPY $407. This has been the intermediate peak so far over the last few months. We can likely conclude that this is smart money selling, and will probably be a significant point of resistance. At the end of the day today we got $1.7B of prints at SPY 393, the low of the day. There's also a lot of technical support in this area. Price has bounced off this level numerous times. Therefore, in my opinion, these prints are likely smart money buying for a push higher during what is statistically one of the strongest times of the year. The point of control (price at which trading volume is highest) is around SPY 395. That's the POC for the last two weeks, as well as the POC for the entirety of 2022. It's also roughly halfway between the white trendline and the November CPI gap. Overall, this is a pretty neutral spot going into next week's CPI release and FOMC meeting.
AMEX:SPY
by worldjetty
2
Dark Pool Buy Zone Patterns: BA ExampleA corporate aggressive stance to accelerate Boeing's recovery from the pandemic created buying activity during the index sell down over the past few days. BA is one of the few companies on the Dow moving up while the majority of components were being sold down. This is an example of how quickly a stock can reverse from selling down to resumption of its trading range or bottoming action. This is a range-bound run up. The technical pattern has some pro traders in the mix. The run is above the accumulation level for Dark Pools.
NYSE:BA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1