Understanding Dark Pools█ Diving Into Dark Pools
In recent years, dark pools have become a significant part of the financial markets, offering an alternative trading venue for institutional traders. But what exactly are dark pools, and how do they impact market quality and price efficiency? This article delves into the comprehensive study titled "Diving Into Dark Pools" by Sabrina Buti, Barbara Rindi, and Ingrid Werner, which sheds light on the complexities of dark pool trading in the US stock market.
█ What Are Dark Pools?
Dark pools are private financial forums or exchanges for trading securities. Unlike public stock exchanges, dark pools do not display the order book to the public until after the trade is executed, providing anonymity to those placing trades. This lack of pre-trade transparency can help prevent large orders from impacting the market price, which is particularly beneficial for institutional investors looking to trade large volumes without revealing their intentions.
█ How Do Dark Pools Work?
In dark pools, the details of trades are not revealed to other market participants until the trade is completed. This lack of transparency helps prevent significant price movements that could occur if the order were known beforehand. Dark pools typically execute trades at the midpoint of the best bid and ask price in the public markets, ensuring fair pricing for both parties involved.
█ Why Are Dark Pools Used?
Dark pools are primarily used by institutional investors who need to execute large trades without revealing their trading intentions. Displaying such large orders on public exchanges could lead to unfavorable price movements due to market speculation and front-running by other traders.
█ Benefits of Dark Pools
Reduced Market Impact: Large orders can be executed without affecting the stock's market price.
Anonymity: Traders can buy or sell significant amounts without revealing their identity or strategy.
Lower Transaction Costs: By avoiding the public markets, traders can often reduce the costs associated with large trades.
Improved Execution: Dark pools can offer better execution prices due to the lack of market impact and reduced volatility.
█ Why Do Large Actors Hide Their Orders Using Dark Pools?
Large institutional investors use dark pools to hide their orders to:
Avoid Market Manipulation: Prevent others from driving the price up or down based on the knowledge of a large pending trade.
Maintain Strategic Advantage: Keep trading strategies and intentions confidential to avoid imitation or counter-strategies by competitors.
Achieve Better Prices: Execute trades at more favorable prices by not alerting the market to their actions.
█ Actionable Insights for Traders
Understand Market Dynamics: Knowing how and why dark pools are used can provide insights into market liquidity and price movements.
Monitor Market Quality: Be aware that increased dark pool activity can improve overall market quality by reducing volatility and spreads.
Assess Price Efficiency: Recognize that while dark pools can enhance market quality, they might also lead to short-term inefficiencies like price overreaction.
█ Key Findings from the Study
The study analyzed unique data on dark pool activity across a large cross-section of US stocks in 2009. Here are some of the critical insights:
Concentration in Liquid Stocks: Dark pool activity is predominantly concentrated in liquid stocks. Specifically, Nasdaq stocks show higher dark pool activity compared to NYSE stocks when controlling for liquidity factors.
Market Quality Improvement: Increased dark pool activity correlates with improvements in various market quality measures, including narrower spreads, greater depth, and reduced short-term volatility. This suggests that dark pools can enhance market stability and efficiency for certain stocks.
Complex Relationship with Price Efficiency: The relationship between dark pool activity and price efficiency is multifaceted. While increased activity generally leads to lower short-term volatility, it can also be associated with more short-term overreactions in price for specific stock groups, particularly small and medium-cap stocks.
Impact on Market Dynamics: On days with high share volume, high depth, low intraday volatility, and low order imbalances, dark pool activity tends to be higher. This indicates that traders are more likely to use dark pools when market conditions are favorable for large trades.
█ Conclusion
Dark pools play a crucial role in modern financial markets by allowing large trades to be executed without revealing the trader’s intentions, thus minimizing market impact and reducing costs. For retail traders, understanding the mechanics and implications of dark pools can lead to better-informed trading decisions and a deeper comprehension of market behavior. The study concludes that while dark pools generally contribute to improved market quality by reducing volatility and enhancing liquidity, their effect on price efficiency is nuanced. For small and medium stocks, dark pools can lead to short-term price overreactions, while large stocks remain largely unaffected. The findings underscore the importance of understanding the different impacts on various stock categories to make informed trading decisions.
For institutional traders and market participants, understanding the role and impact of dark pools is crucial for navigating the modern financial landscape. By offering an alternative venue for executing large trades discreetly, dark pools play a pivotal role in today's trading ecosystem.
█ Reference
Buti, S., Rindi, B., & Werner, I. (2011). Diving into Dark Pools. Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics, Fisher College of Business Working Paper Series, 2010-10.
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Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Darkpooltrading
1min candles with large wicks are Darkpool TransactionsCan't post an idea with 1min charts, but I'll show it below. Whenever you see 1min candles with huge wicks that seem to settle instantly, they are Darkpool transactions. It means some big money decided buy/sell a large block and found a seller/buyer in the darkpool. They agreed on a price that is roughly half of the candle's range. The transaction is already completed by the time they report it to the DTCC, and it is shown as a neutral transaction. There is an unknown delay between when the transaction happens and when it is reported; as darkpools are private.
Typically, the high/low of the darkpool candle gets visited shortly after, as you can see.
$KR Kroger remains bullish after PEGKroger recently came out of a cup and handle with a Power Earnings Gap (PEG) and has been digesting ever since, holding most gains and creating a nice VCP / Bullpennant like formation.
Today, there were about $117M in dark pools at $57, and giving the timing and price action my bias is to the buy side.
An idea would be to go long shares or calls with time.
I'm long the JUL 60c with 5,300 OI.
Macro - BDRYModel has given entry signals for Dry Bulk Shipping:
- The investment seeks to provide investors with exposure to the daily change in the price of dry bulk freight futures.
- We expect a boom in the shipping and freight sector with the pandemic backlog, and nations increasing their industrial production to meet new initiatives.
- We are very excited about opportunities in the commodities and shipping sectors, as we believe a macro turn is approaching in the nearest future.
- Technically has broken out of a channel, retested the support possibly finding a new channel top.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Short Squeeze - CMMBIdea for Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd.:
- 131% borrow fee for shares. 47 shares available for borrow, according to iborrowdesk.
- Bottom of Risk Range:
- S3 Filing Sales Agreement with Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. dated Apr 30, 2021. fintel.io
- Cantor Fitzgerald assigned overweight rating on CMMB and raised price target to $45. www.marketbeat.com
- Good short squeeze material.
- Non Optionable.
Bought the shares $16.69
Expect share dilution $40-$50
GLHF
- DPT
STOCKS - NDX - Q2Q2 Idea for Nasdaq 100:
- Lines of Least Resistance established for NDX. We expect a drop, but a rise for the first half of the quarter is not out of the question.
- We are still bearish overall.
- Potential energy is a type of energy that is "hidden" in some way. It is a type of energy that can be converted to other forms and often is related to some attractive or pushing forces.
Attached is some previous Fundamental Analysis and related ideas.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
"What If?" Wednesday - CPI and War"What If?" Wednesday:
- It's still Tuesday, but I wanted to post this early.
CPI:
- Speculated CPI to beat expectations.
- Bullish breakout of resistance, 2X ATR volatility.
Yom Kippur War II:
- "The Yom Kippur War, Ramadan War, or October War also known as the 1973 Arab–Israeli War, was fought from October 6 to 25, 1973, by a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria against Israel. The war took place mostly in Sinai and the Golan—occupied by Israel during the 1967 Six-Day War—with some fighting in African Egypt and northern Israel. Egypt's initial war objective was to use its military to seize a foothold on the east bank of the Suez Canal and use this to negotiate the return of the rest of Sinai."
- According to Chernyaev, on November 4, 1973, Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev said:
We have offered them (the Arabs) a sensible way for so many years. But no, they wanted to fight. Fine! We gave them technology, the latest, the kind even Vietnam didn't have. They had double superiority in tanks and aircraft, triple in artillery, and in air defense and anti-tank weapons they had absolute supremacy. And what? Once again they were beaten. Once again they scrammed. Once again they screamed for us to come save them. Sadat woke me up in the middle of the night twice over the phone, "Save me!" He demanded to send Soviet troops, and immediately! No! We are not going to fight for them.
- Iraq raises oil export prices to US and lowers them for Asia.
- In response to U.S. support of Israel, the Arab members of OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, decided to reduce oil production by 5% per month on October 17. On October 19, President Nixon authorized a major allocation of arms supplies and $2.2 billion in appropriations for Israel. In response, Saudi Arabia declared an embargo against the United States, later joined by other oil exporters and extended against the Netherlands and other states, causing the 1973 energy crisis .
- Ship gets stuck in Suez Canal.
- Colonial pipeline cyberattack.
- US missile submarine in Strait of Hormuz, intercepts weapon shipment.
- Israel-Palestine conflicts escalates, with Hamas firing over a hundred rockets into Tel Aviv (a tech hub)'s residential area.
- Trans-Israel pipeline in Ashkelon burned.
- US citizens lining up for oil, and hoarding oil in expectations of shortages.
- “We’re going to make it clear to anyone collecting unemployment who is offered a suitable job they must take the job or lose their unemployment benefits.” - Joe Biden
- 'But Joe, how can I get to work with no gas?'
#DealWithIt
I heard the military is always hiring!
COVID:
- Meanwhile COVID mutation rampages in India, where a large share of IT services in the US are outsourced to! This includes cybersecurity related positions.
Speculation:
- Energy crisis will be the first domino piece to fall.
Inflationary Shock forecast:
GLHF
- DPT
Quantum Reflexivity - Silver Fair PriceIdea for Silver, Ethereum, and Inflation:
- This is an experimental idea in a conceptual stage.
- Entropy cell has been determined.
- Ethereum and silver's price relative to inflation has been diverging, yet the volatility in the relationship has declined. We can speculate that the managed markets have this relationship under control.
There are 3 hypotheses we can make from this observation:
- The price of Ethereum in relation to inflation is the investor's perception of reality.
- The price of silver in relation to inflation is the Fed's perception of reality.
- We assert that inflation is between the two.
- Silver/USD will rise to adjust for the real value of inflation.
- There will be volatility in the relationship within the entropy cell.
Silver /USD vs Inflation has been on an uptrend, and we speculate a rise in Silver prices. There is a possibility of a volatile breakout, based on the above hypothesis.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Behavioral Cycles of Systems - Urim and ThummimIdea for VIX:
- The 2015 devaluation of the yuan was the tremor for this motive wave.
- G20, IMF & BIS steadily move toward a new Bretton Woods agreement and OECD BEPS.
- It is likely that the "Big One" will be EOY 2022, and interest rates will be raised in the US this year.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Credits to my mentor @Spotshooter1983 for the view.
MICROCAPS - DPLSAlgorithm has given entry signals for Darkpulse
- Darkpulse is an under the radar, future potential tech disruptor and monopoly.
- We believe that Darkpulse shares many similarities with Palantir, and will see similar outsized moves.
- Darkpulse will see incredible benefits from the coming infrastructure, tech, energy, defensives boom cycles.
- Potential technical breakout after consolidation and accumulation.
- Invalidated if the rally turns to a sign of weakness and turns to further accumulation.
- Attached Fundamental Analysis.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Macro - Inflationary ShockModel Forecast for Inflation:
- Model has forecasted an inflationary shock a la oil & Volcker in 1970s-1980s.
- The date is November-December 2021 or 2022.
- The nature of the event has yet to be determined, but it is speculated that the shortage will be in liquidity itself.
- This will be followed by aggressive global monetary policies to combat stagflation, but a period of deflation will follow.
- It is likely that a financial lockdown, and a restructuring of the global financial system will occur.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Volatility - VIX - Entropic BreakoutIdea for VIX:
- Testing my new Heisenberg's Uncertainty Bands indicator (HUB).
Hypothesis:
- Whenever price (time factored out) breaks out from the 5th Fibonacci level, it signals that greater volatility is approaching.
Expectations:
- As price becomes more certain (buyers and sellers agree to a level or trend), the uncertainty range of price contracts, and the certainty of predicting momentum also contracts (the uncertainty of momentum increases).
- Subsequently introducing momentum will increase the uncertainty of the position greatly.
- Uncertainty in price has contracted greatly, and momentum is likely to reverse the downtrend in a chaotic fashion.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Link to my public script:
METALS - GXYModel Forecast for Galaxy Resources Ltd:
- Model has produced Line of Least Resistance Elliot Wave for GXY.
- Cup and Handle breakout.
- Galaxy Resources is a leading producer and developer of lithium.
- We are bullish on commodities, especially metals.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Metals - AMYZFModel has given entry signals for American Manganese:
- American Manganese Inc., a metals company, focuses on the recycling of lithium-ion batteries with the RecycLiCo Patented Process.
- Lithium ion batteries are critical in the renewable energy industry.
- We are very excited about opportunities in the commodities sector, as we believe a macro turn is approaching in the nearest future.
- Technically in a Wyckoff accumulation structure with a spring, possibly testing the channel top.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Metals - VONEModel has given entry signals for Vanadium One Iron Corp.:
- Vanadium One Iron Corp. explores for base and precious metals in Canada. It holds a 100% interest in the Mont Sorcier iron ore and vanadium project located in Quebec, Canada.
- Iron and Vanadium are key metals for industrials.
- We are very excited about opportunities in the commodities sector, as we believe a macro turn is approaching in the nearest future.
- Technically in a cup and handle, with a Wyckoff accumulation structure on the handle, possible breakout.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
COMMODITIES - DANModel has given entry signals for Arianne Phosphate Inc.
- Arianne Phosphate Inc. engages in the acquisition and exploration of mining properties in Canada. It primarily focuses on developing Lac à Paul phosphate rock project located in the Saguenay-Lac St-Jean area, Quebec.
- Phosphorous is one of the key essential elements in modern agriculture.
- We are very excited about opportunities in the commodities sector, as we believe a macro turn is approaching in the nearest future.
- Technically in a cup and handle, possible breakout.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
STOCKS - Palantir $PLTR - Wave 3Algorithm has given entry signals for Palantir Technologies
- Palantir Technologies is ready for the triple digits, to join its peers in FAANG.
- Potential technical breakout.
- Invalidated if the rally turns to a sign of weakness.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
UVXY - Entropy, Gravity, and LightIdea for UVXY:
- Attached is Fundamental Analyses.
- We do not expect UVXY to reach $1.00 before the reversal of the greater trend.
- Why would Volatility enter an increasing trend? We expect global economic contraction, before stagflation, then finally deflation.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
CRYPTO - BTC - The Wyckoff Method #2Wyckoff Method Application:
Hello everyone, I spotted another great application for the Wyckoff Method, this time using Distribution Schematic #2. I caution bulls, as I believe that we are at the end of an exuberance phase and now Reward and Risk have inverted for Longs! I personally think that the price can go sub 10k very quickly, and 20k~ is a likely bottom. Trade with care...
But without further ado, Here we go!
5 Step Approach to the Market:
1. Determine the present position and probable future trend of the market.
- Currently swinging bearish, and I believe I have determined the whale operating on this market's trade setup:
2. Select stocks in harmony with the trend.
- Bitcoin is a leading indicator for the crypto market, but it is led by investors' risk appetite. I am bearish on the market, and I believe that US10Y yields will hit 2% again in the nearest future (which inverts the market, and consequently, the crypto market):
- My previous Wyckoff Idea (RIOT) being validated to TP1 gives me further confidence in my logic tree of assumption, and gives me the conviction to add to short positions on the previously powerful bull market:
3. Select stocks with a “cause” that equals or exceeds your minimum objective.
- I have high conviction that (a) BTC has ended its uptrend and is currently in a distribution phase, and (b) I speculate that the macro trend is about to reverse.
- My minimum objective is to use BTC as a leading indicator for crypto related instruments.
DXY:
4. Determine the stocks' readiness to move.
- TA shows that the stock is ready for a move to the downside (I won't be sharing all of my tells).
5. Time your commitment with a turn in the stock market index.
- I have high conviction that the stock market index will also see downside in the nearest future:
Three Wyckoff Laws:
1. The law of supply and demand determines the price direction.
2. The law of cause and effect.
3. The law of effort.
Analyses of Trading Ranges:
- Trading ranges ( TRs ) are places where the previous trend (up or down) has been halted and there is relative equilibrium between supply and demand . Institutions and other large professional interests prepare for their next bull (or bear) campaign as they accumulate (or distribute) shares within the TR .
Wyckoff Schematics:
- A successful Wyckoff analyst must be able to anticipate and correctly judge the direction and magnitude of the move out of a TR . Fortunately, Wyckoff offers time-tested guidelines for identifying and delineating the phases and events within a TR , which, in turn, provide the basis for estimating price targets in the subsequent trend.
Nine Buying/Selling Tests:
FYI - I won't be using a P&F chart.
1. Upside objective accomplished. ✔️
2. Activity bearish ( volume decreases on rallies and increases on reactions). ✔️
3. Preliminary supply, buying climax. ✔️
4. Stock weaker than the market (that is, more responsive than the market on reactions and sluggish on rallies). Stock did not make new high, when BTC made a new ATH! ✔️
5. Upward stride broken (that is, support line or uptrend line penetrated). Currently in the beginning of a descending scallop (scythe) pattern, clearly breaking uptrend line. ✔️
6. Lower highs. ✔️
7. Lower lows. ✔️
8. Crown forming (lateral movement). ✔️
9. Estimated downside profit potential is at least three times the risk for if the initial stop-order were hit. ✔️
“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)
I encourage you to join me in being a lifelong student of the market. If you like this idea, please Like, Follow, and Leave a Comment!
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
CRYPTO - BTC Whale TracksIdea for Bitcoin:
- This is a speculative idea for the month.
- Whale tracks detected.
- This is typical behavior of institutional investors (whales) and market makers.
- We predict that this is the current setup for the market operator.
- Fundamentals and macro supports the sentiment that investors may have lowered risk appetite, see attached idea.
- See attached BTC idea for our high precision short entry, further supporting the assumed logic tree.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
STOCKS - SPX 15 YearsModel Forecast for S&P 500:
- Attached is some earlier examples of fundamental analysis. Please give a read if interested.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
MACRO - DXYModel Forecast for DXY:
- We expect that DXY will hit 103-104 this impulse wave, likely between Q2-Q4 this year.
- Our model has produced bullish technical signals.
- Fundamentally, the market appears to be transitioning to a new macro quadrant, as growth slows, and inflation rises.
- Investors appear to be complacent, and unprepared for less dovish Monetary Policies. Consensus investors appear to be forward pricing dovish Monetary Policies, and poorly positioned for hawkish or even neutral policy biases.
- We expect that the market will transition to a contraction phase, as inflation rises and growth declines.
- We believe that it is possible that a rapid transition to a stagnation/stagflation, or even a deflation phase is possible, with poor judgement by the Fed.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
STOCKS - Hexagon CompositesModel Forecast for HEX.OL:
- Model had produced entry signals for PLATINUM previously.
- Model has produced bullish signals for HEX.OL.
- The Hydrogen Strategies market and Platinum are highly correlated.
- Technically bullish, with Automatic Rally + Wyckoff Spring off of Demand Zone, which has been tested 3 times.
- 52.40% potential gain in underlying to top of the channel.
- Excess to higher channels are highly likely, as we expect a Hydrogen Boom due to global Clean Energy initiatives. We believe this is an excellent entry point for companies that would benefit from such a boom cycle.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
