USDJPY Short - Poor US Data Abounds, Risk Aversion Vibes Update 1:
SL was a little too tight. In reality SHort is still in play. SLs can't be moved on TradingView.
Update 2:
TP was hit at 121.423
Technical Factors:
I like the Tweezer Tops on H4.
The pair is currently trading below the 200,100 and 50 SMA. They are now dyniamic levels of Resistance.
H1 has a number of rejection candlesticks off 122.900 (current pivot); This is around middleground of the the 50%-61.8% Fib retracement level of the previous bear move from 123.700 to 121.830 .
Fundamental Factors:
US Jobs Data was poor. ISM data was poor today as well. Tomorrow's trade balance is also expected to be lower, according to Bloomberg analysts' survey. This may dampen positivity on early rate hike expectations.
Greece is potentially giving us a risk-off scenario that usually strengthens the JPY.
Targets
Price is below 122.900 Pivot and downside targets are preferred. Target is 121.400.
Stop is tight at 35 or so Pips.
Risks:
The USD's Safe Haven status may make it an attractive prospect as Grexit fears loom and US Stocks devalue (7th July Monday Intraday) thus it may rise as USD demand increases.
It is difficult to identify a true risk aversion scenario.
DATA
CRM-Know What I Like About Earnings Gap Ups? The Pullbacks3-6 Know what I like about issues that gap up on earnings?
More often than not once the dust settles they tend to build
a pullback pattern offering a lower risk entry vs chasing the
gap. A lot of times they'll pullback to a support zone. As
you can see that is what's happening with this issue.
The blue lines are support zones for stop loss and risk
management purposes. You've got choices. You can think
about buying here then manage the blue support zones. Or
you can wait for an upside crossover of the green line then
manage the blue lines.
For informational and educational purposes only, trade at your own risk