DAX H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The DAX (GER30) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 23,765.39 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 23,200.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 24,732.86 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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DAX Index
DAX: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 24,262.29 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 24,423.36.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX Take 1 Part 2 – Reloaded but not yet good to goThe first time, we saw the DAX poke the 1/4 line.
This was followed by several attempts (distribution by the big players), and from that point on, it headed south and the DAX rolled down the hill.
Currently, it looks very similar.
I’m watching and observing the break of the trend barrier very closely, even on smaller timeframes than the daily.
The profit targets are indicated by the red arrows.
After the break of the thick white centerline, a strong retest of the CL could be in store.
My main target would then be the red centerline.
Since the markets are behaving completely irrationally, I’ll need more “breathing room” in the trade and will handle this trade using long-dated LEAP options.
...poor little guy §8-)
Bullish continuation?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 23,438.30
1st Support: 22,513.00
1st Resistance: 24,749.87
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#202522 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Max bearishness last Friday but markets refuse to go down and take tariff risks at face value. Q2 earnings will tell the story so buckle up. Earnings season kicks off in about 3 weeks. Until then the next big event will be in 8 days when 50% EU tariffs may or may not come into play. Until then I don’t expect a big move to the downside, since bears tried couple of times but market refuses to go down. The big upper channel line runs up to 25000 and that is the next obvious big target. For bears it’s a break below the bull wedge and retesting 23300.
current market cycle: bull wedge and on the weekly tf it’s a broad bull channel and we are at the very top
key levels for next week: 23000 - 25000
bull case: 25000 is the next big round number but I highly doubt we get there. I was wrong last week and until we leave bear gaps behind us, bulls are favored for everything because the reality is that buying every dip has been profitable for months now. Bulls have to keep printing higher lows though.
Invalidation is below 23300.
bear case: I doubt we have much more upside in store but we could very well spike to 25000 before we can expect more bulls to stop buying every dip. Bears get spikes and zero follow-through, which leads to many bear traps. Scalping both sides was fine the past 2 weeks but bears have to take quick profits or they vanish quickly. Bears need a daily close below 23300 for more downside and until then, swing shorts are account destroyers. We need a big gap down which does not close to stop the BTFD crowd. So if we get a decent one next week and market only corrects sideways, that will be the trigger for more selling.
Invalidation is above 24500.
short term: Neutral. Scalping both sides but I will only turn full bear with an open bear gap and a daily close below 23300.
medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb. This view has not changed, just the time horizon which aligns better with Q2 earnings and my expectation that we will see the tariff madness coming through. Markets can ignore risks for longer than you can maintain your account but that does not change the reality and if you think this tariff war has a happy ending, you have not paid attention to anyone but the US government or their echo chamber.
DAX Channel Up targeting a 24800 Higher High.DAX (DE40) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up and appears to be repeating the first Bullish Leg of the pattern.
More specifically, it rose by +5%, similar to April 30 - May 05 and yesterday's correction resembles May 06. With also identical 1H RSI formations (Lower Highs), we expect the uptrend to be extended in a similar structure and again target the 1.382 Fibonacci extension at 24800.
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2025-05-28 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Higher highs and higher lows. Focus on the easy trades. Can only get bearish with consecutive 15m or 1h bars below 24000 and for now that is unlikely. Bulls bought 24000 the whole week so look for longs.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23000 - 24500
bull case: As long as the bull gap 23700 - 23900 stays open, I would only look for longs. 24500 is the next obvious target and it’s not impossible that markets do a complete meltup tomorrow. Structure is a clear bull channel until we print below 24000.
Invalidation is below 23900.
bear case: Bears need something below 24000 again, that means lower lows. Right now bulls remain in full control and I doubt we can go from daily new ath to a big reversal down. I got nothing for the bears here.
Invalidation is above 24550.
short term: Neutral but would only trade long until we see much better selling pressure and prices below 24000.
medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb.
trade of the day: Short since the bull trap on the open but I did not take it. I thought chances of a reversal were too high for me. I was wrong but that’s ok.
DAX: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 24,143.24 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 24,064.02.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
2025-05-26 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Back where we started on Friday and I do think one more big leg down will finally be enough for the persistent btfd crowd to scale it down a bit. So far it has been profitable and that’s why bears need a big gap that does not close or otherwise we just continue sideways to up. Bulls need to get trapped for this to end.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23000 - 24300
bull case: Watch the 1h 20ema tomorrow. If we stay above, we can make another ath and it’s possible we see more upside above 24200. Since all my bull targets are met and I have no interest in buying this, I won’t be your guide in looking for longs here. I think buying above 24000, while we wait for 50% tariffs to the US, qualifies for most stupid the trade of the year. I’m happy for you if you make money on any side though.
Invalidation is below 23300.
bear case: Even if tariffs won’t be 50% and only 10%, it would still mean less business for everyone. Markets are not pricing the risks right and are begging to get rug pulled. Only a couple times a year markets are so miss-aligned with reality that in hindsight you feel unwell for not risking more. Having said that, now is not the time to short. We need way more selling pressure again. Wait for big bears to appear. Below 23900 we could see a test of 23800 but it will likely be an easy trap for bears so only take it if we either move very strongly down or if we move down over a long time without any decent bounce up.
Invalidation is above 24300.
short term: Neutral. Sitting on hands until bulls run for the exits and big bears come out.
medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb.
trade of the day: Long since Globex open. Tough.
#202521 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: tl;dr covered it. I would be really surprised if we see 24000 again over the next days, if not months. If there is no 180° reversal from orange face next week, this is a de-facto embargo and we will see new lows over the summer.
current market cycle: trading range and very broad bull channel on the weekly time frame
key levels for next week: 22000 - 24000
bull case: My base assumption is that we have started a new bear trend on Friday and any pullback will be a lower high. The higher bulls can get it, the better and weaker the trend will be. On Friday they could not hit the 50% retracement and if bears are strong, market will not trade above 23750 for the next weeks/months. If bulls can get above it, their next target would be the breakout retest 23900. Above 24000 means I am wrong about my thesis and market is doing something else, which will likely be a trading range 23000 - 243000.
Invalidation is below 22900.
bear case: Last Sunday I only wanted to short this but bears did not do enough until then. Friday changed it and I am in full bear mode if Monday goes well for the bears. Clear invalidation above 24000 and if bulls do not get it, shorts with stop new ath are reasonable. Donald gave the gift to bears, now I want to see some carnage. Market held above the daily 20ema but likely only due to the climactic selling, bears happy for any profit for such a long time and algos buying the first touch of the ema. Next targets for bears are the obvious round number 23000 and then closing the big gap down to 22600 and yes, I absolutely think we can get there next week.
Invalidation is above 24000.
short term: Neutral until bears show me some follow-through and not letting the bulls out with anything above 23800/23900. We need a big open bear gap and then we can see some bull slaughter.
medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb.
DAX WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅DAX made a retest of
The horizontal support level
Of 23,371 and the index is already
Making a bullish rebound so we
Are bullish biased and we will
Be expecting further growth on Monday
LONG🚀
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DAX Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in an
Uptrend and the index
Is retesting the horizontal
Support level at 23,319
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A bullish rebound and
A move up next week
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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DAX GE40 on the Move! Bullish Trend Breakdown + Trade PlanI'm currently watching the GER40 / DAX 🇩🇪📈 and can see it’s been in a strong bullish trend on the weekly timeframe 🕒🔥. Price is pushing into new highs 🚀, and I’m eyeing a potential buy opportunity based on this bullish momentum 💪.
However, since we don’t have previous structure levels to work from 📉⛔, we're using the Fibonacci extension tool 🔢📐 — focusing on two key levels for potential take profit targets 🎯💰.
In the video, we break all of this down — including the trend, price action, market structure, and the full trade idea 🧠📊: entry 🎯, stop loss 🛑, and targets 🎯✅.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
DAX: 1H MA200 supporting the Channel Up. Target 24,400.DAX is on strong bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.780, MACD = 423.600, ADX = 73.133) maintaining a short term Channel Up. The last HL bottom was priced on the 1H MA200 on an oversold 1H RSI. Buy and target the 0.618 Fibonacci (TP = 24,400).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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2025-05-21 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Quick stuff. Daily new ath means bulls are doing more than bears so don’t look for shorts. Today’s selling was a start but we need a clean lower high before one can look for decent short setups. I think anything above 24300 would make me physically sick.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23000 - 24300
bull case: Sideways above 24000 is peak bullishness and as long as we stay above 23750, bulls are fine. Below we test down to the bull trend line which is not far below that and only below 23400 things are getting more spicy for bulls.
Invalidation is below 23300.
bear case: I will spend more time in this section once we have a daily close below 23400. Before that, it’s most likely a pullback that bulls will buy. Odds are heavily against bears so don’t make your life tough. Long term shorts if you can hold through 24500 or higher are fine. Next 10-20% will be made to the downside, zero doubt about it. Only matter is timing.
Invalidation is above 24300.
short term: Neutral. Pullbacks will likely be good long opportunities until we see bigger selling pressure. Bulls in full control but I will not buy the highs. Nothing changed.
medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp.
trade of the day: Buying the bear trap below yesterday’s low was amazing and so was short 24200. Both buying and selling pressure were so great that market did not run stops above or below the extremes.
DAX: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 24,119.04. Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 24,214.64.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX H4 | Falling toward an overlap supportThe DAX (GER30) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 23,447.57 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 22,700.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 24,732.86 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
2025-05-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls finally got their retest and a higher high. Now is decision time. Can we do another leg up or is this a bull trap and we finally reverse for a deeper pullback over the next days? I heavily favor the latter but for now bears are nowhere to be seen and until then, looking for shorts is suicide. 24300 could be the potential next target if we continue in the bull channel on the 1h chart.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23000 - 24300
bull case: Bulls got 24000 and we are in a perfect channel upwards. Trade it until broken. I will only scalp this and if we break above this channel or go beyond 24300, it will be without me.
Invalidation is below 23300.
bear case: I see the odds of this becoming a late bull trap greater than another leg up but so far, bears are doing nothing, so do not look for shorts. Only below 23700 is the current channel broken and we test 23600 next. Below that, 23400 would be next but we closed at the highs and thinking about anything below 23700 is senseless for now.
Invalidation is above 24130.
short term: Neutral. Pullbacks will likely be good long opportunities until we see bigger selling pressure. Bulls in full control but I will not buy the highs.
medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp.
trade of the day: Buying Friday’s low at 23788 and hold at least for gap close. The move up was strong enough to continue to hold and market has printed 6 consecutive 1h bull bars.
Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge!🔥 Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge! 🔥
Europe’s elections just dropped a BOMB! 💣 Poland (May 18), Portugal (May 18), and Romania (May 4 & 18) rejected far-right surges, but the center’s crumbling. 🇪🇺 Poland’s pro-EU Trzaskowski barely leads—June 1 runoff could flip it! Portugal’s Chega is shaking the old guard, and Romania’s Nicușor Dan rides an anti-corruption wave.
Why care? Political chaos = market volatility. 📉 EUR/USD is wobbling, DAX could tank, and defense stocks (🇺🇦 ties) are in play.
💡 Trade Idea: Overlay EUR/USD with election dates (May 4, May 18, June 1) to catch volatility spikes.
❓ What’s your move? Will Europe’s turmoil crash markets or spark a rally? Drop your take below! 👇
#202520 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: We are only about 300 points higher than the previous week but market printed the obvious big round number and Friday we had the retest, which did not quite get there but close is always close enough. We are seeing somewhat of an increase in selling pressure but it’s not enough.
current market cycle: trading range and very broad bull channel on the weekly time frame
key levels for next week: 23000 - 24000
bull case: Best for bulls would be to go sideways and not let market fall below 23400. That’s pretty much all I can come up with for the bulls. Can we go much above 24000? We can but I can not see it happening. If we go higher, it will be without me. I am only interested in seeing an increase in selling pressure and looking for a good short entry. I give bulls 2-3 more days in trying to print 24000 again and if they fail 1-2 more times, they will give up and we can test back down to 23000. It would still be the most bullish outcome if we continue to range between 23000 and 24000.
Invalidation is below 22900.
bear case: I only want to short this but bears are not doing enough for me to consider it. I hate being early because it correlates big time with being wrong. My line in the sand would be a daily close below 23000 and the daily 20ema. Until bears get that, odds heavily favor the bulls to buy any pullback. So for now, not much to do as a bear. For this year I still expect at least 20000 to get hit again. So if you would force me to give an answer, I would short this with a stop 24600 and wait until we hit 20000 again. If we go into a recession, I would likely hold for lower.
Invalidation is above 24100.
short term: Neutral. I wait for clear topping signals and more selling pressure. Long scalps against support if bulls want 24000. Same as last week.
medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks/months and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000. We most likely have not seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?” 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp.
DAX Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX broke the key horizontal
Level of 23,319 and the index
Made a pullback and retest
And is now going up again
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DAX WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅DAX is trading in an uptrend
And the index made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 23,400 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Is DAX ready for a slight correction lower?We are watching the German XETR:DAX as it is currently struggling to go for a new all-time high. Can this be the moment for a deeper correction lower?
Let's dig in...
MARKETSCOM:GERMANY40
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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