DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 08/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that we are now working on wave 4 as an ABC structure.
DAX Index
DAX The decline isn't over but MACD can give a timely buy.DAX (DE40) gave us an excellent sell signal last time we looked into it (December 14 2023, see chart below), as the 1D MACD Bearish Cross, was our sell signal:
Our 16500 short-term target has already been hit, and we now shift our focus on the medium-term as it appears that this pull-back will most likely be extended to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at least.
It was a similar correction on December 13 2022, which after almost reaching the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level (as the currrent High), it got rejected back to the 1D MA50 on a -6.50% decline. As a result our sell target is now 16150 (1D MA50 contact) and we will buy again for the long-term only when the 1D MACD makes a Bullish Cross, which was the case on January 03 2023.
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 05/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that we are now working on wave 4 as an ABC structure.
#DAX - 03 JanI was wrong in the direction yesterday. DAX did rally from opening to my target, it hit higher resistance before faltering. I said NDX had a strong resistance and it held completely.
Interestingly, DJIA held the selling and see the recovery in DAX towards the half way but NDX is weak. Price action is neutral to bearish and price opened within the BZ. I would say can play both sides today.
Market would need to retest the lows before any recovery IMO. So IMO, I will look at 16823 for a possible short to re-test 16677. 16645 is the next support for a possible long for a near term low. Overall, I am still neutral of the whole move (from bullish)
Dox and extension in the upward trend? How much correction??!Hello there,
I hope you're having a great start to the new year. I wish you all the best in your trading ventures and a happy new year with your loved ones.
I'm a fan of the Elliott wave principle, which I find interesting and useful for market analysis. I've developed my analytical approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market.
Although I'm going to share my analysis with you, please note that I won't be providing a buy or sell signal. My goal is to share my unbiased analysis so that you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision.
To give you confidence in my analysis, I'll always share my previous analysis from the same market so that you can compare. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand.
I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you the best.
I'm waiting to hear from you. Finally, I'd like to remind you that like-mindedness and support, comments, and likes are the most important pillars of progress, like support points in the financial markets. They give me the energy to continue and share more ideas with you.
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 03/01/2024 (+ HTF)In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded.
#DAX - 2 Jan I gave a short from 16803 on Friday to 16721 (). 16803 was traded, highs at 16811 before it tanked to 16723 and it rallied back to the highs.
The sell down was tied to the down move in US indices before the recovery. DAX was relatively strongly.
Overall, price action is bullish for monthly, weekly, daily IMO. Currently DAX gapped up and is testing above resistance. Despite the down move on Friday, overall price action is still bullish, trend is still up, thus looking for further upside. 16775, confluence of levels will be a good level to look for longs, targeting 16865 and 16905.
US30 LongsUS30 is breaking All-Time-Highs.
Trend is still Bullish.
Market opened with bullish momentum; waiting for retracement to enter long positions.
Aggressively enter new long positions once original position is in profit and has found support.
Avoid entering new positions if original position is negative.
Stop loss placed under bullish breakout.
SPX LongsMarket has been breaking All-Time-Highs.
Overall Market Trend is still bullish.
Same sized retracements (indicated by green trend-lines) have printed, along with a subsequent bullish breakout, confirm continuation of uptrend.
Invalidation at 4733.3 (stop loss placed)
No profit target (new highs cannot be accurately determined at this time).
Aggressively enter new positions once original position is in profit and has found support.
Avoid entering new positions if original position goes negative.
Look for similarities in US30, NAS100, FTSE, DAX & NIKKEI.
DAX Sell pattern, rejection on top.DAX has formed a Channel Down pattern following the December 14th rejection on the Rising Resistance.
The 1day MACD has formed a Bearish Cross like the one on November 28th 2022, which is a Top after a similar aggressive rally like the one the index ran since late October.
That top also turned into a Channel Down which then broke downwards and hit the 1day MA50, a little over the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
Sell now and target 16200 (little over the 1day MA50).
Previous chart:
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Airbus: Turbulence! 🌪️ 🛫Airbus shares continue to struggle at the resistance level of €139.40. In our primary assumption, the price should soon leave this level behind and complete the magenta-colored (1) with the top of the turquoise wave 5, before it goes down again significantly in the same color wave (2). If this downward journey is prolonged to the immediate vicinity of the support at €48.08, a new low of the gray old.II can be expected, shifted to the right. Primarily, however, we believe that the stock is already on the upswing of gray III, whose five-part magenta substructure should break out to its impulsive (3) after the low of (2) and set new all-time highs in the process.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 20/12/2023In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
A powerful impulse with a small correction pattern!Hello!
I am a big fan of the Elliott wave principle, which I find very interesting and useful for market analysis. I have developed my analytical approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and considering various scenarios that could occur in the market.
While I would like to share my analysis with you, please note that I am not providing a buy or sell signal. My primary intention is to share my unbiased analysis so that you can utilize it as a guide to make an informed decision.
To build your confidence in my analysis, I always share my previous analysis from the same market so that you can compare and see the progress. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, which should make it easy for you to understand.
I hope that my analysis is useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best.
I am looking forward to hearing from you. Lastly, I would like to mention that like-mindedness and support, comments, and likes are the most important pillars of progress, just like support points in the financial markets. They give me the energy to continue and share more ideas with you.
Sincerely
DAX to breakdown at overbought extremes?GER40 - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Current prices have reacted from a low of 16662, however, we expect further losses to follow.
Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 17004.
An Evening Doji Star formation has been posted at the high.
A break of the recent low at 16662 should result in a further move lower.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
We look to Sell a break of 16658 (stop at 16758)
Our profit targets will be 16418 and 16348
Resistance: 16793 / 16850 / 16950
Support: 16720 / 16662 / 16600
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DAX Short setupDax looks so good for a short. I can clearly see a broke down of a weekly trendline on higher timeframe. On lower timeframe we can also see a break of a short-term trendline, short squeeze and drop. My indicators also shown a good divergence on h4 timeframe, and a drop is gihly expected
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 18/12/2023 (+ HTF)In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
DAX: Channel Up keeps it bullish. Strong correction if it breaksDAX is trading inside a Channel Up pattern since October 27th and it has been intact for so long that the 1D timeframe remains overbought (RSI = 78.050, MACD = 373.200, ADX = 82.264). Since it is holding the 4H MA50 over the bottom of the Channel Up, we remain bullish aiming at a +4.66% rise (TP = 17,400), which is the lowest it has registered inside this pattern. If the price crosses under the Channel Up however, we will short aiming near the S1 level (TP = 16,000), which can test the 1D MA50.
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 15/12/2023In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
DAX about to start its final leg up?What do we got here since the 2022 low? Right PA holding above 4.236 with actually already having triggered final target around 8.236.
Recent PA could be seen as a broadening wedge - typical for a wave 4 corrective pattern.
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DAX Will the 1D Golden Cross pull it back like last time?DAX (DE40) is trading within a 16-month Channel Up and is currently on the second most aggressive bullish leg, about to form the 2nd 1D Golden Cross within that time span. The 1D RSI is above 85.00 touching historically overbought levels while the price is approaching the 1.382 Fibonacci extension from the previous Higher High of the Channel, which is below where the Channel's first bullish leg of October - November 2022 peaked and then, after a 1D Golden Cross formation, pulled back to its middle trend-line and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Despite those bearish indicators, we will sell only after the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross, which has been the most consistent sell signal throughout this period of time and target 16500 (Channel's middle). On the other hand, if the index breaks above the 1.382 Fib first, we will buy the break-out and target 18000, which is the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up and +24.20% rise from the bottom (similar to the November 2022 rally).
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 13/12/2023In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.