DAX to turnaround at all-time highs?GER40 - 24h expiry
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
A break of the recent low at 16240 should result in a further move lower.
We look to Sell a break of 16238 (stop at 16328)
Our profit targets will be 16028 and 15978
Resistance: 16310 / 16333 / 16400
Support: 16270 / 16240 / 16200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Index
DAX Index: Potential Rise Amidst US Economy CollapseIn this analysis, we explore the potential for the DAX Index to experience a rise in the future due to the potential collapse of the US economy. We believe that the DAX Index has reached a key target at 15,901.47 and is poised to gradually move towards 22,031.79. This analysis examines the potential factors influencing this projected upward movement.
1. US Economy Collapse and Global Impact:
A potential collapse of the US economy could have significant global implications, including a potential shift in investment flows. As investors seek stability and alternative markets, the DAX Index could benefit from increased demand, potentially driving its value higher.
2. Key Target Achieved: 15,901.47:
Our analysis indicates that the DAX Index has reached a key target of 15,901.47. This level could serve as a strong support zone and may attract further buying interest. Traders should closely monitor price action around this level as it could provide insights into the market's future direction.
3. Gradual Rise Towards 22,031.79:
Based on our analysis, we anticipate a gradual rise in the DAX Index toward the target of 22,031.79. This projection takes into consideration potential shifts in investor sentiment and capital flows away from the US economy. However, it is important to note that market conditions are subject to change, and careful monitoring of price action and fundamental developments is essential.
4. Factors Driving Potential Rise:
Several factors contribute to the potential rise of the DAX Index amid a US economic collapse:
a. Economic Stability: The DAX Index is composed of major German companies, many of which have strong fundamentals and global reach. Germany's economic stability and resilience may attract investors seeking safe-haven assets during uncertain times.
b. Trade Relationships: Germany has strong trade relationships with various countries outside the US, allowing it to potentially benefit from diversification and increased demand for its exports.
c. Investor Confidence: A US economic collapse could lead to a loss of investor confidence in the US dollar. As investors search for alternative investment opportunities, the DAX Index could emerge as an attractive option, driving its value higher.
While the analysis presented suggests the potential for a rise in the DAX Index due to a US economy collapse, it is crucial to approach trading and investment decisions with caution. Market conditions are subject to change, and unforeseen events can significantly impact asset prices. Traders should conduct thorough research, consider risk management strategies, and closely monitor market developments to make informed decisions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves risks, and traders should conduct their research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
DAX Testing its All Time High but upside may be limited!DAX had an excellent run since our previous buy signal on March 21 (see chart below) that hit its target yesterday:
The index is right now moments away from hitting the 16300 Resistance, which is the All Time High (ATH) of November 19 2021. The long-term pattern since the end of October 2022 has been a Channel Up and within it, three Megaphone patterns have guided the price to each Higher High before an eventual correction back towards its bottom. The symmetry is evident even on the +10.80% rallies that it has done three times.
The 1D RSI usually hits the 76.00 Resistance and then after a series of Lower Highs, we get the top confirmation to sell. Right now the RSI has just hit the 70.00 overbought barrier. In our opinion the upside is limited to around 16400 but as mentioned, we will only sell after we see Lower Highs forming. On the first Channel Up pull-back, it was the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that supported, on the second it was the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and this time it should be lower. Our early projection is 15500.
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DAX to retest all-time highs?GER40 - 24h expiry
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
16301 has been pivotal.
Short-term momentum is bullish.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look for a temporary move higher.
We look to Sell at 16297 (stop at 16377)
Our profit targets will be 16097 and 16047
Resistance: 16250 / 16300 / 16400
Support: 16200 / 16140 / 16100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX: Recession second wave. Vix exp. risk release.Recession second wave. Vix exp. risk release.
VIX exp 17e.
Options is getting volatile. can be sold today and market will crash before even vix exp.
SQQQ is getting much inflows these days and apple and big tech stocks get heavy shorts these past days into vix exp.
Biggest PUT exp is 19e. We need a lot of downside into that to keep options worth.
CFD Update: GER30 set for a breakout?Today's focus GER30
Pattern – Range – diagonal consolidation pattern
Possible targets – Upside, 15,985 – 16,160; Downside, 15,718 – 15,530
Support – 15,740
Resistance – 15,965
Hi, and thanks for looking at today's update. Our focus is on the GER30 as price sits in a range but has also formed a wedge/diagonal pattern that could signify movement to come. It's an interesting set-up as even if we see a break of the pattern price still has the range to contend with.
US futures are lower, and we are seeing the GER30 lower at this stage, so could we see a move lower today? If so, sellers will need to break support to get a breakout really going. On the other hand, buyers will need to do the same to resistance to get their move going.
US Retail Sales could play a part. It’s due today at 10:30 pm AEST (8:30 am EST)
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
DAX: Holding the 4H MA50 but has one more Resistance to break.DAX is on its 4H MA50 with the 4H MA200 on a parallel move to the bottom of the Channel Up. Both the 1D and 4H (RSI = 52.763, MACD = 7.300, ADX = 19.891) are neutral so we will only take short term, confirmed trades after breakouts.
A crossing over R1 (even better if the 4H RSI also crosses over its LH trendline) is a buy breakout signal (TP = 16,100) and further of the HH trendline, a buy signal targeting the All Time High (TP = 16,300).
We will go short on the other hand, if the index closes under S1 and target S2 (TP = 15,500).
Prior idea:
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GER30 H4 | Potential bearish reversal?GER30 is close to a key resistance level and potentially reverse from here. We could see price move down to our take profit target.
Entry: 16007.70
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance at the recent swing-high
Stop Loss: 16109.20
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.20% Fibonacci extension
Take Profit: 15707.45
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 10/05/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we probably still go up in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. We see two potential ways to enter a trade. Inflation data is released today, only trade at the extremes.
DAX Megaphone still intact. Breakout and scalping options.DAX is trading in a Megaphone, currently supported by the MA50 (4h).
Scalping is recommended inside this pattern and breakout trading outside it.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the price closes over the Megaphone.
2. Sell if it closes under the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 16200 (+12.17% buy leg).
2. 15200 (lower Support Zone).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is inside a clear Rectangle whose bottom and top can help with scalping inside the Megaphone.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DAX to find buyers at market?GER40 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 15921 (stop at 15841)
Daily signals are bullish.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Previous resistance at 15900 now becomes support.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 16121 and 16171
Resistance: 16010 / 16100 / 16200
Support: 15960 / 15900 / 15860
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
09052023 - $FDAXEerie small range consolidation day yesterday, inside bar. Possible break in either directions.
Above 16017 - long to 16049. Possible rejection from 16049 to 15981.
15983-16017 Neutral
Below 15981 - shorts to 15941, 15915.
15915 - look for bounce on divergence target 15979. Break of 15915 bring us to 15843.